Sunday’s Forum

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FILED UNDER: Open Forum
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a retired Professor of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. Beth says:

    So last night my friend Ricky had a pedal powered bus. It was like a regular sized bus, but the drive pedaled to make it go. So I was driving my friends to the mall and we hung out there for a bit. Then Reynolds was there and I made fun of him for paying 65 USD for breakfast. He was all crabby but he got on the bus with us. We drove down a highway frontage road and through some construction to get to the taco superstore. A giant Costco sized store that sold nothing but taco related things.

    Then my friend Eman told me it was getting ridiculous and I should wake up.

    10
  2. charontwo says:

    Reposting a comment I put at the tail end of yesterday’s forum:

    People do gravitate toward reading or hearing stuff that makes them feel good, away from stuff that upsets them.

    The people around “strong men” style leaders like Putin and Trump act on knowing this, which explains the New Republic piece I recently quoted. The people around Trump want to preserve their access, so they tell him stuff that makes him feel good. For example, tell him the voters like his tariffs (based on polling his core supporters), avoid the bad news so many voters are pissed off and/or frightened by them.

    4
  3. charontwo says:

    HeatherCoxRichardson

    On Friday, China imposed 125% tariffs on goods from the U.S. A spokesperson for the Chinese Finance Ministry said that Trump’s tariff machinations “will become a joke in the history of the world economy.” At 9:20 a.m. President Trump posted: “We are doing really well on our TARIFF POLICY. Very exciting for America, and the World!!! It is moving along quickly. DJT.” The new tariffs had badly threatened Apple Inc., and at 10:36 p.m. the U.S. Customs and Border Protection posted a notice that various electronics, including smartphone and computer monitors, are exempt from the tariffs.

    When economist Justin Wolfers commented: “I just want to tip my hat to the crack team of White House economists who were able to discover—in just a few short days—that the U.S. is dependent on China for smartphones, computers and semiconductors.” Dr. Soumya Rangarajan noted that “a basic medicine we use 1000x per day in the hospital, heparin, is also dependent on China, and people will die without it.” As Sabrina Malhi of the Washington Post explained, about 12 million people hospitalized in the U.S. need heparin every year, and it is only one of the many medications that will be affected by Trump’s tariffs on goods from China.

    4
  4. charontwo says:

    Krugman

    But I wanted to put up a quick response to yesterday’s sudden move to exempt electronics. What you need to know is that it does not represent a move toward sanity. On the contrary, the Trump tariffs just got even worse.

    Why? Three reasons.

    1. For electronics, at least, we’re now putting much higher tariffs on intermediate goods used in manufacturing than on final goods. This actually discourages manufacturing in the United States.

    2. Uncertainty created by ever-changing tariff plans is arguably a bigger problem than the tariffs themselves. So look at the timeline so far. First we had the sudden imposition of average tariffs bigger than Smoot-Hawley. Then, a week later, Trump ditched that plan and replaced it with a plan that imposed average tariffs roughly the same size, but with the tariffs on individual countries either much higher or much lower than in the first plan. Then tariffs were taken off some but not all products just three days later. At this rate we’ll soon see tariffs changing every day, then maybe every three hours.

    3. The stench of corruption around these policies keeps getting stronger. There’s a lot of circumstantial evidence for massive insider trading around last week’s tariff announcement; the big beneficiaries from the latest move are companies that made big donations to Trump. Investing in plant and equipment looks like a bad idea given the uncertainty, but investing in bribes for the ruling family clearly yields excellent returns.

    So just like that we’re turning into a nation where policies are ill-considered and constantly changing, and business success depends not on what you know but on who you know and whether you pay them off.

    Trump is making something great again, but it ain’t America.

    8
  5. charontwo says:

    https://x.com/ArmandDoma/status/1911083347599905044

    tariffing input goods but excluding finished computers, phones, etc, puts US manufacturers at a distinct *disadvantage* to Chinese manufacturers now, no?

    https://x.com/JosephPolitano/status/1911073375432085744

    Trump exempting computers & phones from the tariffs today means that Chinese-made laptops now have lower tariffs than European Cars, Mexican Steel, & Canadian Lumber

    Also means Vietnamese-made laptops have a lower tariff than Ethiopian coffee, Indian tea, & Guatemalan bananas

    https://x.com/JosephPolitano/status/1911074434867228947

    Import Chinese battery: 145% tariff
    Import Chinese battery inside Chinese laptop: 20% tariff
    Import Chinese battery inside Vietnamese laptop: 0% tariff

    Fuckin brilliant. A+ work here team. I am so glad there are such smart people working on our trade policy.

    4
  6. Beth says:

    @Beth:

    lol, guess I wasn’t awake enough to proofread. That should have started with last night I dreamt that…

    8
  7. Jen says:

    @charontwo:

    U.S. need heparin every year, and it is only one of the many medications that will be affected by Trump’s tariffs on goods from China.

    I know this situation continues to change rapidly, but I thought medications–so far–were exempt from tariffs?

    ETA: Ah, I just read about it. Apparently, this is still in the “threats about tariffs” phase.

    1
  8. Michael J Reynolds says:

    So i was sitting down to a delicious if overpriced breakfast when @Beth rode by on a penny-farthing and asked for my Costco card. . .

    11
  9. CSK says:

    @Beth:

    Well, it’s better than what I dreamed.

    2
  10. Kurtz says:

    @JohnSF, from yesterday

    Reality and perception are distinct, but connected, because a organism must be able to perceive external reality accurately enough to survive.
    Nothing else matters very much.

    Must have filtering and sorting stimuli by relevance. With each addition of machinery to perceive a new variety of stimuli, there must also be a process to focus on relevant information.

    In some pictures, Waldo’s glasses matter more than the red stripes on his shirt. In others, it’s the scarf. Or hair color.

  11. Scott says:

    “When religion and politics travel in the same cart, the riders believe nothing can stand in their way. Their movements become headlong – faster and faster and faster. They put aside all thoughts of obstacles and forget the precipice does not show itself to the man in a blind rush until it’s too late.” Frank Herbert – Dune

    I excerpted a lot out of this to make my point: Anti-abortion extremists are also anti-woman extremists. And it comes out of the Christian Nationalist movement which has infiltrated our politics.

    An emboldened anti-abortion faction wants women who have abortions to face criminal charges

    Experts say the abortion abolitionist movement, once considered fringe, is growing and getting louder, empowered by recent victories for abortion opponents.

    In February, Hawkins posted on X, saying “the people I fear getting shot by, most of the time,” are not abortion rights activists but abortion abolitionists.

    Then came the replies: “Demon,” “Ungodly,” “An accessory to murder,” “Enemy of God.” Her post opened a fire hose of online barbs from abortion abolitionists. Some called for her to resign and asserted that women should not have roles outside the home, let alone leading national anti-abortion groups.

    Some conservative podcasts and online figures have hosted abortion abolitionists or echoed similar disdain for the larger anti-abortion movement. Ben Zeisloft, a podcaster for TheoBros, a network of Christian nationalist influencers, blamed feminism for abortion and said, “We need Christian men leading the fight against abortion.”

    3
  12. Mister Bluster says:

    @Beth:..In Your Dreams
    Bike Bus
    I wonder if they would let Reynolds smoke his cigar as he pedaled?

    1
  13. Jay L Gischer says:

    @Beth: Well, it was a bit disorienting, but I figured it out, and I think it is much more interesting and entertaining the way it is.

    3
  14. Jay L Gischer says:

    One of the links Steven posted yesterday had this quote:

    In a statement, White House communications director Steven Cheung criticized the former national security adviser.

    “H.R. McMaster has completely beclowned himself and his third-rate book, which is now sold in the bargain bin of the fiction section of a discount bookstore, is filled with lies in a futile attempt to rehabilitate his tattered reputation,” Cheung said.

    I found myself wondering how well Cheung matches up with Baghdad Bob for outlandish hyperbolic statements. I think Cheung is winning, but I could be mistaken.

    5
  15. Stormy Dragon says:

    I think the important thing to remember here is that if you remember dreaming at all, it means something interrupted your sleep cycle last night

    2
  16. CSK says:

    @Stormy Dragon:

    😀 Good one.

    1
  17. Franklin says:

    @Beth: The way it was written, I figured out it was a dream sequence after about five sentences. I enjoy hearing what people’s subconscious is processing!

    2
  18. @Franklin: I paused and reread the first sentence and then I caught on.

    4
  19. wr says:

    @Beth: I assumed that was a deliberate choice, and I approve. “Last night I dreamed…” is such a dreary opening, all but commanding people to stop reading. Your way in, simply to tell the story, was much better. I stared at the mention of the pedal bus, trying to imagine such a thing and whether they have them in Mexico. And even when you met up with MR, there was a moment of wondering how that could have worked. Then of course it became obvious, but by then I had been engaged and entertained.

    So well done to you!

    10
  20. @Scott: I often think about the conservative evangelical churches I was involved in earlier in my life, especially given their alliance with the current administration. One of the key obsessions was sex, and it was ultimately and clearly about control, most especially of women.

    They also get sooo concerned with the afterlife that they reduce it all down to rules. Do this or that and you go to Hell! So they then convince themselves that all they are doing is saving souls for eternity. Meanwhile, they largely ignore the “love one another as I have loved you” stuff, at least when it pertains to anyone who isn’t following their rules.

    “Love the sinner, hate the sin” seems to always translate into not loving the sinner at all, and that is why they deserve to be sent to CECOT (to mix topics a bit).

    9
  21. @wr: I briefly thought she was referring to one of those pedal-bus bars you see in cities.

    2
  22. Kathy says:

    @Mister Bluster:

    Looks more like a tram.

  23. @Steven L. Taylor: Like this one I saw in Atlanta. Note the police car and all the cans and such on the road behind it-they had taken the corner on a hill too steeply and had a little problem. Imagine that!

    Hopefully Beth and MR weren’t on that one, as I would have stopped to say hello.

    2
  24. Michael Reynolds says:

    @wr:
    I assumed the same, and agree. Well-written.

    I assume you’re watching The Studio? Or as I think of it, The Bear for Hollywood.

    2
  25. Kingdaddy says:
  26. @Michael Reynolds: We started The Studio this weekend and have gotten through the first two. Great stuff. I love the second episode.

    1
  27. Scott says:

    @Steven L. Taylor: @Michael Reynolds: I watched the first episode of The Studio. It was OK and I usually give shows about 3 episodes before giving up. I think I’m cool on it because Seth Rogan just always irritates me for some reason.

    On the other hand, “The Pitt” was just great. I recommend it highly. Our feel-good show is “Call the Midwife”.

    1
  28. Michael Reynolds says:

    @Steven L. Taylor:
    That was such an ambitious episode, especially so early in a series. A oner about a oner. With a winking reference to ‘no whip-pans’ which of course Rogan/Goldberg used several times for their own oner.

    1
  29. Rob1 says:

    Highly debatable. And suspect.

    Trump is ‘fully fit’ to serve as commander in chief, his doctor says after recent physical

    https://apnews.com/article/trump-physical-weight-loss-oldest-president-75913b1e114cec64ae0acab1389118b2

    Definitely morally unfit.

    1
  30. @Michael Reynolds: And the bookend. Everyone loves a bookend.

    1
  31. @Scott: “The Pitt” is on our list as well.

    I am looking forward to the new season of “Hacks” as well.

  32. Bobert says:

    @Jen:
    approximately 60% of the heparin supply is sourced from China. That is to say, China ships the active ingredient to US manufacturers who then “finish” (dilute and process) the raw heparin that you see in IV bags.
    Now, here’s the rub. Finished pharmaceuticals are exempted from the “trump tariff”, but unfinished or bulk pharms are NOT exempted. (as best as I can discern today).
    Of course this can change at the whim of the President.
    It seems to me that the only way to tell what the situation is hour by hour is to ask Customs.

    Great way to run a country !

  33. just nutha says:

    @charontwo: Given that heparin is synthesized from pig intestines, the US should be able to produce heparin if it chooses to. All industrial start up and re-onshoring warnings do apply, however.

  34. Liberal Capitalist says:

    If ANYONE has the right to sue the Trump administration on its deportation policies, it’s THIS guy.

    Considering he already has the backing of the Supreme Court, I hope two things:

    1) he and his family never have to work another day in their life, and

    2) All hearing events are televised so that people get to see how deeply fascist the Trump administration is at its core.

    Imagine:
    “On what grounds was Kilmar Abrego deported?”

    “Well… Just LOOK at him! He looks like he needed deporting!”

    3
  35. just nutha says:

    @Beth: No problem. The ending filled in the details just fine. (And even in your dream, MR has nothing on my sister-in-law who paid $85 US each for American-style breakfast buffet for 3 of us one morning in Korea.*)

    *She decided she wanted some scrambled eggs. Koreans don’t make scrambled eggs. They do scramble them but only make them into steamed eggs cooked in a ramekin and an egg loaf that is cut into strips for kimbap (sushi roll) and side dishes.

  36. Bobert says:

    @just nutha:
    Makes you wonder if US domestic pig farmers are willing to work for the same profit as Chinese pig farmers.
    What a great opportunity !

  37. just nutha says:

    @Scott:

    And it comes out of the Christian Nationalist movement which has infiltrated our politics.

    Hmmm… I see this as white nationalist/bigotry-based politics having (long ago) infiltrated Christianity. Perspective plays a role.

    2
  38. just nutha says:

    @Stormy Dragon: If that is the case, my sleep cycle gets interrupted almost every night.

    1
  39. just nutha says:

    @Scott: Maybe because Seth Rogan isn’t funny? (Just my take.) Haven’t managed to find the appeal of Call the Midwife. Then again, don’t have children, either.

  40. JKB says:

    Like socialism that works, the oligarchy is always just around the corner for Bernie

    Of course, DOGE has revealed that what we got was a NGOarchy. Rule by government funded non-governmental organizations doing what the technocrats and bureaucrats were prohibited by law from doing so they doled money out to private contractors with a wink and a nod

    1
  41. just nutha says:

    @Liberal Capitalist:

    2) All hearing events are televised so that people get to see how deeply fascist the Trump administration is at its core.

    Which was such a resounding success with the Jan 6 hearings that the voters never elected anyone like him again.

    4
  42. @JKB:

    Of course, DOGE has revealed that what we got was a NGOarchy.

    Only a fool would look at a billionaire making decisions by fiat, and empowered by a billionaire cabinet and whatever Trump is, and say: “No oligarchy here. Nope! It is those damn bureaucrats at NGOs who rule.”

    When some NGO dude can fire Musk, get back to me.

    14
  43. de stijl says:

    I picked up a piece of asphalt earlier today. I like it. It’s got chunky aggregate visible.

    It’s roughly the size of 2.5 acorns. I know this because it is sitting directly next to my acorn on my window sill.

    (I love my acorn. It’s so cool and chill. Sitting there, being super awesome. Always.)

    1
  44. de stijl says:

    Every few years there is a drought up in Minnesota or upstream and the river that runs through my city dries up a bit and narrows. I love walking the now exposed parts. Looking at what is now dry.

    It’s mostly bottle caps and pennies. But you can spot some weird shit, too. Why would someone throw a condom in the river?

    And then, every few years, the river can overrun the banks entirely and flood a fairly large portion of downtown.

    When a river rises fifteen feet above normal, well, that’s a fuckton of water!

  45. Kathy says:

    On the subject of vision yesterday, most mammals have only two types of cone cell pigments, while humans and I think great apes have three.

    Birds have four, and their extra one strays into ultraviolet. they also have much sharper vision than we do, which is useful for creatures that fly in the day time.

    As to how the brain interprets vision, it’s really complicated. For one thing, your field of vision is far narrower than what you see. Your eyes shift constantly, and the brain stitches several “takes” into one, it also incorporates things seen peripherally.

    3
  46. wr says:

    @Michael Reynolds: “I assume you’re watching The Studio?”

    I am, but I’m not really hooked for some reason.

  47. wr says:

    @Michael Reynolds: “I assumed the same, and agree. Well-written.”

    I realized after I posted that I had just given notes on a blog comment. I think I may be teaching too much this term…

    2
  48. Kathy says:

    I don’t think I’ve linked to this one yet: The Planets, by Gustav Holst.

    On other things, I’m on ep 2 of season 2 of Severance. I’m not sure what to make of it, and I find the timeline stated to be confusing.

  49. Kurtz says:

    Saw this comment on an old Reason piece:

    Jesus H. Christ 11 years ago

    I predict within ten years the Federal Government will pass law to create government control of 401k accounts. The alleged reason will be to protect investors. The real reasons will be to force feed US bonds in order to further monetize the debt, and to hold onto assets of the middle class to prevent them from leaving. That along with stiff expatriation taxes. In other words, all ur dollars are belong to us.

    Sure, we all make predictions that turn out to be wrong. But reasonable people do not make predictions based on paranoid fantasy.

    I do wonder if Mr. H. Christ is currently crediting Trump with saving us from the 401k nationalization scheme.

    1
  50. charontwo says:

    Steve M.

    And that’s just a partial list of current news stories. But at the Times and the Post, the important news is tariffs, tariffs, tariffs.

    The media cares what happens to rich people. News about business reaches a large audience of well-to-do readers and readers who want to be well-to-do someday. That’s why there’s a lot of business coverage in the most prestigious news outlets, and there are many publications devoted to business.

    The media cares somewhat less about what happens to ordinary citizens. Every major newspaper has a section devoted to business, and a permanent “Business” tab on the website, but none have sections devoted to issues affecting working people. Labor issues don’t get daily coverage, the way they did fifty years ago.

    Our major media outlets don’t think they need a front-page tab for democracy and human rights in America, even though that’s a subject that needs to be covered every day now. There’s good work being done on this subject in most major news outlets, but it’s needs to be forced onto the front page, and often it doesn’t linger for very long.

    For those of us who oppose Trump, there’s a lesson here: The media cares about money a lot more than it cares about human rights. So we need to keep protesting Tesla. We need to talk about the way Trump is damaging the economy. And we should accept the reality that while we also need to talk about Trump’s horrific human rights abuses, they’ll probably never get as much attention as a fluctuation in the bond market or a trade deal that changes the price of an iPhone. That sucks, but that’s reality.

    3
  51. gVOR10 says:

    @Kurtz:

    Saw this comment on an old Reason piece:

    Jesus H. Christ 11 years ago

    I predict within ten years the Federal Government will pass law to create government control of 401k accounts.

    At work in the late seventies there was a group conversation over lunch. The conversation turned to the then new idea that credit cards were becoming more common and would eventually replace cash. One guy suggested the government would then track all our transactions and added, “And you know who the government will be by then.” “Umh, no. Who?” “Satan.” Everybody suddenly had something urgent they needed to get back to. Paranoid fantasy? Sure. But lately it seems he was pretty close to right.

    1
  52. Gustopher says:

    @JKB: hey, you’re alive! I was beginning to worry that you were snatched up by ICE and deported to a El Salvadoran concentration camp with no due process, since you haven’t been by to defend the Trump administration deporting people to an El Salvadoran concentration camp with no due process.

    Glad you’re ok.

    Did you see that an immigration judge ruled that the government can deport someone for their existing or expected political views? Crazy, eh?

    Hope you don’t have measles and that your job isn’t imperiled by a rapidly fluctuating tariff policy.

    7
  53. Beth says:

    @wr:
    @Michael Reynolds:

    Thank you guys. That means a lot to me. I really enjoy writing even if it’s just silliness on the internet. But I’ve come to understand that I’m not particularly clear. Lol, that understanding has also helped me with my legal writing. Lol, I like the idea that I inadvertently made a little bit of art today and that actual writers enjoyed it.

    Oh, and when I told my partner about the dream she was like, “who? OH! yeah, the guy you fight with on the internet.”

    2
  54. CSK says:

    Per the NYT, someone did an arson job on Gov. Josh Shapiro’s house. No one was injured, but part of the residence was badly damaged.

  55. Michael Reynolds says:

    @Beth:
    Probably not a great habit for most of what a lawyer writes, but when in doubt an easy trick is to read your writing back out loud. Your ear will catch what your eye misses.

  56. Mister Bluster says:

    Today’s bumper sticker:
    Only Gay Cops
    Pull Me Over

    1
  57. Beth says:

    @Michael Reynolds:

    No, see. That doesn’t work. My idiot goblin brain gleefully fills in all the leaps of logic and weird buried assumptions my brain used to spit out the right answer. I mean, the answer is right but people want to see the work and I can’t show the work. But the answer is is right. And then people get pissed and don’t believe me.

    Anyway, my brains just cleans up the gibberish with a smile on its idiot face like a Zamboni on ice.

    I figured this out because my partner’s face has the same problem my mouth does: it talks too much. I started to figure out when she was struggling to figure out what I was trying to say and I was losing her. Then I figured out that everyone makes the same basic face when I start to lose them. That’s when I have to strictly point out that I’m right and my math/logic is an Eldritch horror that will eat your brain and leave you stupider.

    And this idiot meat brain just keeps smiling.

    So, yeah, no, I can’t proofread myself.

    1
  58. Just nutha ignint cracker says:

    @Michael Reynolds:

    to read your writing back out loud. Your ear will catch what your eye misses.

    I’ve recommended that to students in my classes over the years. The one downside is that it only works to the extent that you only read what you actually wrote rather than what you think you did. But it’s still better than nothing.

    ETA (to Beth): Yeah. Sorry it doesn’t work for you. My second-best trick only works on stuff that you can postpone rereading for a week or more. (Some people, separated from the writing for long enough, will read what they actually wrote rather than what they intended to. Editing and proofreading improves in efficiency quite a bit.)

    1
  59. Kathy says:

    @Michael Reynolds:
    @Beth:

    And @Just nutha ignint cracker:

    The one downside is that it only works to the extent that you only read what you actually wrote rather than what you think you did.

    Yup. That’s the main reason I’ve trouble proofreading my own work. Not just writing, but assembling price and product listings, and petty cash. I’d hate to calculate how much time I’ve spent chasing down a significant error in the latter, or how many times when there’s a fe cents difference I just say “F**k it!”

    It will turn out I wrote 634 when the price was 643, and I literally don’t see the difference. Yet if I’m checking someone else’s work, I spot such things without trouble.

    My second-best trick only works on stuff that you can postpone rereading for a week or more.

    That, too. It’s one reason I use generative AI to summarize my writing when I can’t stop for a week to look for major narrative errors.

    BTW, an unspotted error in a samples list nearly got me fired once. It wasn’t until the boss realized the sample list consolidated from seven different requirements lists, not in the same order, wasn’t something I could be expected to check on my own.

  60. just nutha says:

    @Kathy: will turn out I wrote 634 when the price was 643, and I literally don’t see the difference.

    This is sometimes a marker for dyslexia (some research I’ve read claims dyslexia as more common than we realize because this phenom is pretty common). I’m not accusing either you or me of being dyslexic, but it’s why I check numbers I write 3 times. And once more before I hit “send” or “print.”