Friday’s Forum

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FILED UNDER: Open Forum
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. Bill Jempty says:
  2. Bill Jempty says:

    Some literary news

    From the San Francisco Chronicle

    A popular San Francisco bookstore has removed the “Harry Potter” series from its shelves after author J.K. Rowling announced she would use franchise profits to support efforts aimed at rolling back transgender rights.

    Booksmith, located on Haight Street, said via statement, it would no longer carry Rowling’s books following the author’s pledge to fund the J.K. Rowling Women’s Fund, which she described as an organization committed to removing transgender protections “in the workplace, in public life, and in protected female spaces.”

    “We don’t know exactly what her ‘women’s fund: [sic] will entail, but we know that we aren’t going to be a part of it,” Booksmith wrote in a blog post Monday, June 23. “As a group of queer booksellers, we also had our adolescents shaped by wizards and elves. Look at us, it’s obvious.”

    Fabulosa Books followed suit on Wednesday, June 25.

    Is this behavior hypocritical when supporters of trans rights howl in protest when transgender literature is removed from libraries? Let people buy or borrow books they want to read is my opinion.

    3
  3. Bill Jempty says:

    Dear Wife and I leave for the British Virgin Islands on Monday. We will be gone a week. The purpose of our trip is my researching an upcoming book of mine that will be set in the BVI. One of my previous books had a brief scene there*. It will be better if I familiarize myself with the place before setting a whole book there.

    Part of our time will be spent in the USVI. DW and I will be celebrating the 4th of July there.

    Just yesterday, DW asked why I can’t set the book somewhere else. She isn’t much interested in the BVI. I asked where she thought I should set a book. One of the places DW mentioned was Germany. So I told her- wouldn’t you rather visit Germany for Oktoberfest say next year**? DW likes that idea.

    I have a partly written 1970s Cold War story*** saved to Onedrive. Most of the story is set in Germany. A trip to Germany, like this year’s trip to the BVI, would be most useful before setting out to finish the book.

    Our church got a phone call Wednesday. Somebody was saying there will be ICE activity in our part of Palm Beach County next Monday and Tuesday.

    *- All of which took place in a souvenir store.
    **- It would have to be next year. DW and I will be in Italy during Oktoberfest 2025.
    ***- The story is alluded in an espionage book I wrote over 5 years ago. Some of the characters in that book would be in the next one also.

  4. Scott says:

    A meat and potatoes post:

    Pentagon formally unveils $961.6 billion budget for 2026, with reconciliation help

    The Defense Department finally revealed its fiscal 2026 budget today, making official a $961.6 billion request, but without details for how it plans to maintain those spending levels in the coming years.

    Apparently, there is basic incompetence is building the yearly and outyears budget plan:

    Lawmakers from both parties in Congress criticized Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for the delayed and unusual budget during multiple days of testimony earlier in June. The secretary has argued that the request shouldn’t be an issue — saying they have “two bills and one budget.”

    Members of Congress have said this process has created unnecessary confusion and puts many of the military’s most important weapons programs at risk.

    As of Thursday morning, the Pentagon still hadn’t published the broad overview of its budget and many of the other documents detailing what is going toward the military services.

    Adding in the $400B Veterans Administration bill, the $30B National Nuclear Security Administration budget, the $82B National Intelligence Program budget , we are looking at a $1.4T bill for national defense.

    Whether such budget numbers are needed, appropriate, or allocated properly is another discussion. But most people do not understand the scope of what we spend on defense. And that is the first step.

    2
  5. Jen says:

    @Bill Jempty: A bookstore that sells books is very different from a public library. While I’m a big believer of let people read what they want to, but ultimately, as a unit of government, a library has different obligations to preserve access than a bookstore, which is a private business and can choose which books it wants to sell and which it doesn’t.

    32
  6. Rob1 says:

    Briefing on Iran strikes leaves senators divided as Trump threatens new row

    Even as senators were being briefed, Trump reignited the row with a Truth Social post accusing Democrats of leaking a draft Pentagon report that suggested last weekend’s strikes had only set back Iran’s nuclear program by months – contradicting the president’s insistence that it was “obliterated”.

    “The Democrats are the ones who leaked the information on the PERFECT FLIGHT to the Nuclear Sites in Iran. They should be prosecuted!” he wrote.

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/26/trump-iran-strikes-intelligence-congress

    Note that Trump’s default outrage is directed at Democrats for divulging facts about the Iran mission contradicting his lies, not that they themselves lied. Trump, having been “prosecuted” multiple times now evinces a persecution complex, and reflexively reaches for “prosecuting” his opponents at every turn. Maximum leadership with NPD plus a side order of persecution complex. No way to run a modern democracy or any hope of a functional society.

    2
  7. Michael Reynolds says:

    @Bill Jempty:
    I think Rowling is making the same mistake the transgender rights movement made: overreach. She is fostering a hate group and women may participate in hate groups, but they don’t power them.

    It is usually a bad idea to pick fights you don’t need to pick. What the trans rights movement needed was access to facilities and the normal rights afforded all citizens. The pronoun fight was unnecessary. The attempt to pretend that biology was irrelevant and gender was a mere social construct was overreach and unnecessary to the goal. Overreach, as General Robert E. Lee learned at Gettysburg, and General Montgomery learned in the Netherlands, and Hitler learned on the road to Moscow, is a mistake.

    A female hate group is unnecessary to Rowling’s stated goals. It’s hubris. It’s overreach. I came across this succinct quote from an Oxford don (by way of Canada):

    Hubris is interesting, because you get people who are often very clever, very powerful, have achieved great things, and then something goes wrong – they just don’t know when to stop.
    — Margaret MacMillan

    Just stop, JK, you’re making a fool of yourself and in the end you’ll destroy what you built.

    10
  8. Scott says:

    As predicted:

    Christian parents sue to stop Ten Commandments requirement in Texas schools

    A group of faith leaders and parents from North Texas this week sued to stop a new state law that will require public schools to display the Ten Commandments in classrooms, arguing it violates their First Amendment and parental rights.

    The plaintiffs filed the suit Tuesday in a Dallas federal court on behalf of their 10 children who attend schools in the Dallas, DeSoto and Lancaster Independent School Districts, whose boards are all named as defendants.

    The suit challenges one of the latest measures that state lawmakers have passed that critics say inject religion into the state’s public schools, attended by roughly 5.5 million children.

    At least 4 of the commandments are strictly religious in nature and that is a big problem. And given the “parental rights” movement, the commandment not to commit adultery is subject to the same arguments far right parents use on other matter of sexuality.

    Though it would amuse me to see students of all ages struggle with the language of the mandated King James Version of the 10 Commandents.

    4
  9. Neil Hudelson says:

    @Bill Jempty:

    I’m not familiar with protests over libraries removing trans literature but I’m sure it’s happened, and understandably so–its a public resource paid by taxpayer funds and should have very tight guidelines over censoring materials.

    I think a better counter example would be Christian bookstores refusing to sell LGBTQ content, which is quite common.

    12
  10. Bill Jempty says:

    @Jen:

    A bookstore that sells books is very different from a public library. While I’m a big believer of let people read what they want to, but ultimately, as a unit of government, a library has different obligations to preserve access than a bookstore, which is a private business and can choose which books it wants to sell and which it doesn’t.

    The bookstores have the right to sell or not sell whatever they want but if they are also protesting libraries restricting what people can or can’t read, it isn’t consistent.

    1
  11. Scott says:

    Trump administration expands military’s role at the border to the southern tip of Texas

    The Department of Defense is expanding a militarized zone along the southern U.S. border where troops are authorized to detain people who enter illegally for possible federal prosecution on charges of trespassing in a national defense area.

    This is largely private property. I wonder if the 3rd amendment to the Constitution applies here.

    2
  12. Bill Jempty says:

    @Scott:

    This is largely private property. I wonder if the 3rd amendment to the Constitution applies here.

    Hmm….

    No Soldier shall, in time of peace be quartered in any house, without the consent of the Owner, nor in time of war, but in a manner to be prescribed by law.

    How does that apply? The article makes no mention of anyone being quartered there.

    2
  13. Scott says:

    @Bill Jempty: Maybe not. Troops temporarily assigned will probably stay in motels. A property owner may provide some land for temporary use. There is always eminent domain. Third amendment hasn’t had much exercise in the courts. Is it just restricted to quartering or is it expansive to include any kind of confiscatory use of property.

    2
  14. Rick DeMent says:

    It is my contention that any deficit reduction plan that does not include increasing taxes, in some way’ is totally unserious. Well now we have proof. Yes, tariffs are a tax and it looks like it it is bringing in revenue. Consumers of course are largely paying this tax, businesses to a lesser extent all the while the ultra-rich and large corporations are benefitting for the tax cutting. Wouldn’t it be great if we just did the exact opposite?

    Cutting taxes on the rich, and even more broadly, has been tried in every Republican administration since Reagan and it never, ever worked. It didn’t work for Reagan, and not for Bush, it was an unholy disaster in Kansas when Sam Brownback tried it: but here we go again. It didn’t work for Trump I and it’s not going to work for Trump II even with the influx of the consumer tax money that are the tariffs.

    The strategy of mixing tax increases with speeding cuts did work (to some extent) in California when they when through a budget crunch. Are we that innumerate in this country? I guess we just have to live with simple answers that are wrong over complex answers that no one seems to want to understand.

    However, unless something changes I have a feeling that tariff revenue will go down as more of the price increases get passed along to consumers. And in all of this we still have large corporations getting million in subsides and cute doges such as the “carried interested” loophole for finance companies.

    Trump tariff revenue soars 78%. Who’s paying them?

    5
  15. wr says:

    @Bill Jempty: It’s not hypocritical, because it’s not the same thing at all.

    Apparently these bookstores have been selling the Harry Potter books for years even as Rowling became more and more vocal in her hate for trans people and her political work to eliminate them from society. Which means they were not using politics to determine which books to carry.

    They are pulling them from the shelves now because Rowling has announced that HP royalties would be donated to a fund dedicated to eliminating any protections for trans people. Which makes every sale into a political donation to a cause they find hateful, and they are deciding — no doubt at a considerable cost to their own businesses — that they do not want to contribute.

    17
  16. Jen says:

    @Bill Jempty:

    The bookstores have the right to sell or not sell whatever they want but if they are also protesting libraries restricting what people can or can’t read, it isn’t consistent.

    One is a matter of access to taxpayer resources and the First Amendment, the other is about what a private business chooses to sell, and ultimately as @wr notes, how that translates to financially supporting Rowling’s opinions. If you think those two situations are equivalent, I’m not going to try to convince you otherwise.

    16
  17. becca says:

    Since we let the bottom lake front revert to habitat (we did throw in some wildflowers) all sorts of creatures showed up. I see quite a few fireflies lately, too.
    There are birds, birds, birds everywhere! Too numerous to name, even if I could identify all of them. Butterflies and hummingbirds, too.
    We have a bumper crop of snapping turtles this year. They come in all sizes, from just a couple inches long up to two feet or so for the great granddaddies that are
    the apex predator on the lake. Except back when some people up here ate them. Didn’t make soup, but fried the legs. Does not sound tempting.
    Sadie goes to the shoreline and digs for turtles. If she gets one, she brings them up on the small lawn and tosses them into the air, like a ball. This isn’t behavior we encourage, but so far she hasn’t hurt one. I take them to the water and toss them back in and they swim away. Traumatized? Sure, but otherwise intact.
    I love nature.

    6
  18. Bill Jempty says:

    This makes me want to puke Florida edition of the headline of the day- Port St. Lucie man accused of abusing, killing kittens he adopted from shelters

    1
  19. Michael Cain says:

    @Scott: My understanding is that it’s not about quartering, it’s about having the military act the way ICE is currently — no ids, no warrants, just go onto private property and detain whoever they want. Because at some point the locals are going to insist that the local police take some action against masked heavily-armed people who won’t say who they are.

    3
  20. Bill Jempty says:

    @wr: @wr:

    They are pulling them from the shelves now because Rowling has announced that HP royalties would be donated to a fund dedicated to eliminating any protections for trans people.

    The SF Chronicle article I quoted, doesn’t say that. It does say however-

    “We don’t know exactly what her ‘women’s fund: [sic] will entail, but we know that we aren’t going to be a part of it,” Booksmith wrote in a blog post Monday, June 23.

    We don’t know anything but we’re angry! How many times have people like that been belittled around here. Jan 6 rioters…….

    1
  21. Jay L Gischer says:

    One other point about the Harry Potter books. I don’t think anyone is objecting to the content of the books, in contrast to LGBTQ+ book bans. They are objecting to the avowed use of the profits.

    Indeed, Rowling’s position on trans people contrasts quite sharply with the ideas in her books, it seems to me. Her books celebrate people that are not quite “normal” in a way that was a great joy to me.

    7
  22. Chip Daniels says:

    Trumpists want to suppress speech that shows queer people in a positive manner.

    Liberals want to suppress speech that shows queer people in a hateful manner.

    8
  23. Eusebio says:

    @Rick DeMent: “Are we that innumerate in this country?”

    Unfortunately, yes, many of us are. And selfish, and gullible, and unable/unwilling to learn from even recent history. “You say no tax on overtime (or tips, or social security benefits)? That’s for me!” And now the White House is running ads claiming that “families will see an average increase in take-home pay of over $10,000 per year,” which makes me wonder what kind of dollars and what year they’re talking about… Taiwan dollars? In 2035?

    2
  24. Fortune says:

    @Rick DeMent: Tax revenue increased under Reagan. The Democratic Congress reneged on the budget cuts.

    2
  25. Mister Bluster says:

    US supreme court limits judges’ power on nationwide injunctions in apparent win for Trump
    Court ruling leaves fate of the US president’s order to overturn birthright citizenship rights unclear
    The court’s opinion on the constitutionality of whether some American-born children can be deprived of citizenship remains undecided and the fate of the US president’s order to overturn birthright citizenship rights was left unclear.
    The Guardian

    2
  26. Barry says:

    @Bill Jempty: “We don’t know anything but we’re angry! How many times have people like that been belittled around here. Jan 6 rioters…….”

    Incorrect. They don’t know the details, they do know her intent, and they’ve already seen her push recording women in bathrooms.

    9
  27. Rob1 says:

    Long past due. May he succeed and many more follow. Defamation and lies are a de facto form of censorship especially when coupled with the Right’s “flood the zone” media and social media activism. This tech-charged echo chamber phenomenon exploits democracy’s benevolent nature and undermines our sustainability. We simply have to draw a line in the sand.

    Gavin Newsom files $787M defamation suit alleging Fox News lied about Trump call

    Gavin Newsom filed a lawsuit against Fox News on Friday, accusing the conservative cable giant of defaming him with its coverage of his phone call with President Donald Trump earlier this month amid the Los Angeles protests over the president’s immigration crackdown and mobilization of the National Guard.
    [..]

    If Fox News wants to lie to the American people on Donald Trump’s behalf, it should face consequences — just like it did in the Dominion case,” Newsom said in a statement. “Until Fox is willing to be truthful, I will keep fighting against their propaganda machine.”

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/newsom-la-protests-trump-call-defamation-b2778358.html?utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=related&utm_campaign=embed1

    8
  28. LongtimeListener says:

    @Mister Bluster: Well, there goes the ballgame. What little was left of brakes on Trump/Miller and Project 2025 is now effectively gone.

    May the fates have mercy on us.

    7
  29. Barry says:

    @Chip Daniels:

    “Liberals want to suppress speech that shows queer people in a hateful manner.”

    Wrong. Liberals want to not support speech which insists on hurting people.

    3
  30. Chip Daniels says:

    @Barry:
    It’s fair to say that liberals want social censure on those who refuse to accept queer people as equals.

    Trumpists want social censure on those that do.

    3
  31. Kylopod says:

    @Jay L Gischer:

    Indeed, Rowling’s position on trans people contrasts quite sharply with the ideas in her books, it seems to me.

    By “her books,” I assume you mean Harry Potter. Since her 2019 descent into anti-trans madness, she’s started writing books under the name Robert Galbraith, which by total coincidence happens to be the name of one of the founders of gay conversion therapy. One of those books is an over-1000-page screed about someone who gets harassed and eventually murdered by a mob of SJWs. I am not remotely joking.

    8
  32. CSK says:

    Apparently Eric Trump, like his older brother DJT Jr., has presidential ambitions.

  33. Jay L Gischer says:

    @Kylopod: Yes, I meant Harry Potter. No, I did not know that.

    Wow. Just wow.

    1
  34. just nutha says:

    @Bill Jempty:

    The SF Chronicle article I quoted, doesn’t say that.

    Well, not exactly, no. It did say, however,

    …following the author’s pledge to fund the J.K. Rowling Women’s Fund, which she described as an organization committed to removing transgender protections in the workplace, in public life, and in protected female spaces.” [emphasis added]

    But I support your Constitutionally guaranteed right to cherry pick your own citation to justify whatever lie you want to tell yourself and to believe that lie. So, I’m stepping away now. My job here is done.

    9
  35. Fortune says:

    @Mister Bluster: It’s telling that Barrett is interested in the history and legality of universal injunctions, but Sotomayor is more focused on what the impact will be. Liberals always claim conservatives back out their reasoning from their desired rulings but you can watch the dissent do it and the majority opinion do the opposite.

    2
  36. Jay L Gischer says:

    @Michael Reynolds:

    Now, as is often the case, I can’t actually tell whether I agree with you or or not.

    In particular, I am not sure what you mean by “pronoun battles”. I use feminine pronouns with reference to my daughter. I slipped up sometimes. It upset her. I gave her a nerf gun to shoot me with when I slipped up, and everyone felt better. Was that a “battle”?

    When political figures use male pronouns for a trans woman, it is a political act. It is not ignorance, nor is it accidental. Is that a “pronoun battle”? How do you respond to deliberate insults? I mean, I try very hard to not get baited into certain conversations, yes. I think many other commenters on this blog could stand to think harder before they respond to someone in anger, but it’s pretty common to not do so.

    I have avoided the “trans women in sports” conversations. I just think they are super low impact, as compared to anti-transition laws, and can be used to frame the idea of “trans people are up to something”. And I have attempted to redirect any conversational attempt in that direction to the issue of anti-treatment laws.

    You seem, to me, to be commanding the tide to not come in. I assure you, I am often tempted to do so these days myself. I try not to, though. I try to spend energy where it might help things, where it might help someone.

    I read some trans people who are unhappy with politicians for not being – scrappy enough – I can understand the disappointment (especially with Newsom, he could have done better than that), but I don’t expect politicians to lead on this.

    We need to lead. We need to tell our story. We need to figure out how to make it punch through, to reach people who need to hear it, and tell it in a way that is accessible.

    So, I think we agree, but I would encourage you to spend more of your focus on what needs to happen, and less on what is in the way. It takes a lot of effort, but I think you are capable of great things.

    5
  37. Kylopod says:

    One of the things a lot of people don’t get when it comes to Rowling is that she isn’t simply misguided on one particular issue–she’s made it her fucking life. Contrast that with, say, George Lucas, who was rightly criticized for using coded racist and anti-Semitic stereotypes in some of his alien characters in The Phantom Menace. To my knowledge nobody tried to organize a boycott over it. And for that matter they didn’t for Rowling herself back when some people started finding the hook-nosed Gringotts bankers a bit suspect. Being imperfect when it comes to bigotry is not the issue. Rowling has crossed a line in recent years that Lucas never did, and that has real-world negative consequences. It’s not purity-testing to point that out.

    6
  38. charontwo says:

    The New Republic on Nancy Mace. It’s paywalled, but a few excerpts will suffice to get the gist:

    TNR

    Nancy Mace Is the Future of the Republican Party

    The South Carolina representative isn’t just a bigot and a laughingstock. She’s pioneering a media strategy that her GOP colleagues will follow.

    Before she became the most prominent transphobe in American politics, Nancy Mace presented herself as a different type of Republican. Taking congressional office in 2021, the South Carolina representative quickly established a reputation as a “pro-baby, pro-gun, pro-pot, pro-gay” maverick who scrapped with far-right Georgia Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, broke with Donald Trump after January 6, and implored her colleagues to “stop being assholes to women.” Mace talked openly about being sexually assaulted, about her experience as a single mother, and about her desire to “find a way to balance the right to life but balance women’s rights as well” as a lawmaker. She billed herself as a “caucus of one.” As recently as May 2023, The New York Times depicted her as the future of a kinder, gentler post-Trump Republican Party.

    01:54

    03:12
    Read More

    Few would label Mace kind or gentle now, and today, as she engages in a relentless crusade against trans rights, she is more one-trick pony than “caucus of one.” She has used slurs like “tranny” in committee meetings; bullied trans congresswoman Sarah McBride, whom she has labeled a threat; and suggested that people like her are not women but rather “mentally ill.” In November, she pushed a bill that would ban transgender women from using bathrooms on federal property, that aimed to discourage them from public service, and otherwise served to discourage them even from visiting government buildings or national parks. “I am a general’s daughter,” she wrote in her memoir. “I know a battle when I see one.”

    If there is a through line connecting the incongruous halves of Mace’s political career, it is an all-consuming desire for attention. During her first few years in Congress, it seemed that Trump’s hold on the Republican Party was loosening, and Mace eagerly played the right notes for reporters in search of the GOP’s next generation. Eventually, it became clear that Trump wasn’t going anywhere—and Mace, whose district had been redrawn and was suddenly significantly redder, was suddenly the wrong type of Republican. She fixed it by becoming the right type, more or less overnight: The formerly “pro-gay” representative was now Congress’s most vociferous anti-trans culture warrior.

    Mace is best known for theatrical displays of cruelty that capitalize on anti-trans sentiment and almost always stand out in a chaotic news cycle. For her, every anti-trans stunt she engages in creates a virtuous cycle: She does something bigoted and provocative; trans people and allies respond; she then claims she’s been “bullied” or “silenced”—in a vicious cycle that never ends.

    The sincerity of Mace’s politics is largely beside the point; it doesn’t matter if she genuinely holds bigoted views or if she simply pretends to. What is clear is that she is desperate for recognition and not particularly interested in most aspects of governance—and in this way, few people better embody the spirit of Trump’s Republican Party than she does. Ex-staffers report that she does not believe her job in Washington is to pass legislation or even to represent her constituents. She believes her job is to go on television. More often than not, she goes on national news to demean and dehumanize trans people.

    Mace presents herself as an arbiter of common sense who is simply acting to protect the public from those she deems a threat to the patriarchal status quo. “Voted for gay marriage twice. Would do it again,” she has said. “Have supported pro LGBTQ legislation. Draw the line at women being forced to undress in front of men or men using our bathrooms or any private spaces.” Depicting herself as the type of person she’s appealing to—an ardent supporter of gay rights who nevertheless sees trans issues as a bridge too far—she pitches her party as a bulwark of sanity and normalcy in a world gone mad, falsely implying that Republicans largely held the same beliefs on LGBTQ rights that Democrats held until Democrats descended into madness over the transgender craze seducing our children.

    None of this is true, of course. The dystopia she describes, where women are forced to strip naked in front of gawking men, is a fantasy, while Republican state legislatures across the country are currently working to erode gay rights. It’s a narrative that inverts reality, cloaking the GOP in moral seriousness and expunging the party’s long, appalling record on LGBTQ rights and women’s issues. In Mace’s telling, Democrats have not only abandoned women and jettisoned gay rights; they have transformed into a party of immoral psychopaths encouraging groomers. Perfect culture-war fodder for an unscrupulous politician. Perfect for getting on television.

    3
  39. Jen says:

    The current US President doesn’t know when the Civil War ended, but we’re supposed to believe that Biden’s decline was somehow more significant.

    5
  40. Barry says:

    @Fortune: “Tax revenue increased under Reagan. The Democratic Congress reneged on the budget cuts.”

    I’ve seen this before. Regan’s administration spanned from the bottom of a serious recession to the top of a recovery. And included tax increases.

    5
  41. Barry says:

    @CSK: “Apparently Eric Trump, like his older brother DJT Jr., has presidential ambitions.”

    That’s reasonable, from their point of view. They are Swamp Monsters, who have vastly enlarged the Swamp. They have pulled in many, many millions, and are basically above the law. They have celebrity in a celebrity political system.

    4
  42. CSK says:

    @Jen:

    What’s his estimate? 1945?

  43. Gustopher says:

    @Jay L Gischer:

    Indeed, Rowling’s position on trans people contrasts quite sharply with the ideas in her books, it seems to me. Her books celebrate people that are not quite “normal” in a way that was a great joy to me.

    Harry is literally in the closet when he’s at home.

    But such an observation would assume that Rowling is making intentional choices about her writing that are reasonably well thought out.

    2
  44. Barry says:

    @Fortune: “It’s telling that Barrett is interested in the history and legality of universal injunctions…”

    This is the SCOTUS who said that Dem President Biden could not waive some student loan payments, because that was beyond his Constitutional powers.

    Then said that Trump’s attempt to overthrow the Government was maybe within his powers.

    These are not honest people.

    15
  45. Gustopher says:

    @Fortune:

    It’s telling that Barrett is interested in the history and legality of universal injunctions, but Sotomayor is more focused on what the impact will be

    Most cases before the Supreme Court are about balancing competing rights, rather than simply determining the extent of a right.

    It’s probably more telling that the conservatives pretend not to look at the impact, while ruling in a way that always somehow has the impact they are ideologically predisposed to.

    10
  46. Daryl says:

    @Fortune: If you’re taking the position that trickle down economics work, you’re a bigger dumbass than any of us thought.
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tax-cuts-rich-50-years-no-trickle-down/

    6
  47. Jen says:

    @CSK: He did manage to get the right century (1800s) by saying it was “1869 or whatever.”

    1
  48. Gustopher says:

    @Jen: He got within 5 years. That’s more than close enough unless he is trying to pilot a Time Machine.

    A bigger question is does he know who won, and is he happy with that result?

    And his thought on Reconstruction and the abandonment of it, but I’m not sure he is aware of that.

    1
  49. Gustopher says:

    @Daryl:

    If you’re taking the position that trickle down economics work, you’re a bigger dumbass than any of us thought.

    Point of order: I don’t appreciate you underestimating how much of a dumbass I think he is.

    7
  50. Fortune says:

    @Jen: You think Trump ever knew the timeline of the Civil War?

  51. CSK says:
  52. gVOR10 says:

    @Chip Daniels:

    It’s fair to say that liberals want social censure on those who refuse to accept queer people as equals.
    Trumpists want social censure on those that do.

    My Google skills aren’t up to finding the quote, but Matt Taibbi wrote that both liberals and conservatives want to restrict speech of which they disapprove, but only conservatives are open and honest enough to do it through the law. Which is one of the dumbest things I’ve ever read, but does describe the situation.

    Social obloquy has always been used to enforce social norms. What conservatives can’t accept is that while they were once the arbiters of social norms, they are now the targets of social scorn and derision. Liberal attitudes have largely prevailed in society and conservatives wish to reverse that by law.

    8
  53. Moosebreath says:

    @Michael Cain:

    “it’s about having the military act the way ICE is currently — no ids, no warrants, just go onto private property and detain whoever they want. Because at some point the locals are going to insist that the local police take some action against masked heavily-armed people who won’t say who they are.”

    I am somewhat surprised that I haven’t seen a case yet where the person ICE was seeking to detain didn’t pull out a gun and start shooting. It could make an interesting test for some states’ Stand Your Ground laws.

    5
  54. Kylopod says:

    @Gustopher:

    Harry is literally in the closet when he’s at home.

    Phil Leotardo!

    In seriousness, she was never especially subtle about what the war against mudbloods was supposed to represent. But that doesn’t mean there was anything notable or profound about it. Fantastic racism is fine for a kid’s book, but it’s long struck me as a very surface-level way of teaching lessons about bigotry, and even problematic to a degree since it’s almost always the case that the fictional “races” are different in non-superficial ways, which implicitly reinforces the notion of inherent characteristics. That’s why it’s not surprising to occasionally see cringey stuff like the Gringotts goblins or Watto creep in.

    3
  55. Chip Daniels says:

    @gVOR10:
    The reason I phrased it so bluntly was to demonstrate that cries of “free speech” are always conditional and have assumed boundaries which are hidden from view which only invites abuse and bad faith.

    Everyone, without exception, holds that there are certain categories of speech should not be protected from government suppression (E.g., slander, threats) and categories which should not be protected from private action (publishers rejecting certain text, employers forbidding certain types of speech) and categories which should not be protected from social censure.

    So it isn’t really about Free Speech versus censorship, but a battle over whose values are given censure and whose are not.

    2
  56. gVOR10 says:

    @CSK: Reiterating my theory that the electorate are a box of rocks. Perhaps in some cases it is wise to defer to experts, who actually know something.

    @Jen: What “case” was Trump babbling on about that was started the day the war ended?

    Decades ago I read an analysis that stuck with me of one of those periodical professional society rankings of presidents. The author looked at the top ten prez or whatever and saw two common threads, not universal, but common. One was that they had been career politicians, coming out local politics where compromise was understood and everybody got a piece of the pie. The other was at least a serious amateur interest in history, which provided examples and perspective. Obviously neither applies to Trump.

    1
  57. CSK says:

    @gVOR10:

    The case was birthright citizenship. I think Trump is saying it was only intended for the former slaves and their descendants.

    1
  58. Kathy says:

    Remember the crash of China Eastern flight 5735? A final report on the results of the investigation hasn’t been published, and now it seems none will ever be.

    Notice the reason given to suppress the report is “Disclosure may endanger national security and social stability.” There seems to be reasons to believe the plane was deliberately crashed.

  59. CSK says:

    Isn’t this swell. Mike Lindell has planned a reporter in the WH Press Room.

    http://www.rawstory.com/2020-election-2672446941/

  60. Rob1 says:

    Trump stretches “Big Balls” tenure, hangs it on Social Security post.

    19 year old phenom holds fate of senior citizens and disabled in his young hands.

    Ex-Doge employee ‘Big Balls’ gets new Trump administration position
    Edward Coristine – the 19-year-old who quit Elon Musk’s controversial so-called “department of government efficiency” (Doge) earlier this week, where he gained notoriety in part for having used the online moniker “Big Balls” – has in fact been given a new government job, this time at the Social Security Administration (SSA)
    [..]
    Trump’s budget chief, hard right nationalist Russell Vought, who says he wants government employees “in trauma”.

    https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/jun/27/doge-big-balls-trump-administration

  61. Gustopher says:

    For our fellow commenters who prefer astrophysics to the news of the day (a reasonable survival mechanism), I offer this article on a website I’ve never heard of, bigthink.com, with a super click-baity title.

    It was rebskyed by Katie Mack, who is a real astrophysicist, so I assume this is decent info, not flat-earther astrophysics or something.

    Busting the top 5 myths about the Big Bang

    It isn’t that these galaxies are moving through the Universe itself, but rather that the fabric of space that makes up the Universe itself is expanding. Just as raisins appear to recede in proportion to their distance in a leavening ball of dough, the galaxies appear to recede from one another as the Universe expands. The raisins aren’t in motion relative to the dough; the action of the expanding dough itself simply appears to drive them apart. In our Universe, the galaxies (or galaxy groups/clusters) caught up in the expansion of the Universe behave as the raisins do, while the dough itself, if it were transparent and invisible, would correspond to our expanding fabric of space.

    But what really interests me is how much this looked like trash when initially viewed

    https://bsky.app/profile/startswithabang.bsky.social/post/3lsjgv5gvxk2x

    And how much the endorsement of an authority will get me to change my mind. If Katie Mack got brain worms, I might believe 5 true things about the Big Bang had been disproven.

    And that gets me thinking about SSL/TLS and how we — well, our browsers — trust a small set of certificate authorities who assert that a website is who they say they are when we use https. (That’s very dumbed down, and the mechanisms are complex).

    And that gets me thinking about current politics, and how the fuck does RFKJr. become a source of trust to anyone. The man is clearly a loon. The whale head story alone should call his judgement into question.

    Not to mention Donald Trump. Or JK Rowling.

    5
  62. CSK says:

    @Gustopher:

    Ah, yes, the whale head. Not to speak of dumping the bear carcass in Central Park.

    2
  63. just nutha says:

    @CSK: That’s actually a workable enough argument that I’m pretty confident that he got it from someone else. Not very many people think deeply enough into the question to get to that argument, I suspect.

  64. just nutha says:

    @CSK: Pillow TV has a news department? Heh. Who woulda imagined?

  65. charontwo says:

    @Gustopher:

    Interesting link, thanks.

  66. charontwo says:

    New Yorker

    Susan B. Glasser

    A Week for the Ages in the Annals of Trump Suck-Uppery

    The NATO secretary-general goes all in on strategic self-abasement while meeting with his American “Daddy.”

    Over the past decade, as I watched ambitious, embattled, fearful, or just plain weak interlocutors deal with Donald Trump, it became obvious that many of them have reached the same conclusion about how best to manage the capricious President: with suck-uppery—the more egregious, the better, and ideally combined with a few strategic rounds of golf that Trump is allowed to win. This has proved to be a much safer choice than actually standing up to him. Just ask Volodymyr Zelensky. Or Angela Merkel. Or Mike Pence. In Trump’s first term, Poland proposed to name a new permanent U.S. military installation Fort Trump in his honor. Israel thanked him for recognizing its occupation of the Golan Heights by unveiling a new settlement called Trump Heights. At this point in the Trump era, the path of over-the-top praise has been well-trodden by everyone from Lindsey Graham to the late Shinzo Abe, the former Prime Minister of Japan, who, in 2018, nominated Trump for a Nobel Peace Prize for pursuing a nuclear-disarmament deal with North Korea that did not, in fact, happen. They know what we all know by now: Trump is a reverse-Machiavelli who prefers the praise of the flatterer, no matter how insincere, to the hard counsel of unpleasant truth.

    But, even in the voluminous catalogue of world leaders who have engaged in ego-wilting acts of Trump sycophantism, this week’s performance by Mark Rutte stands out. Rutte, the secretary-general of NATO and former Prime Minister of the Netherlands, hosted the American President on Tuesday and Wednesday in The Hague for the alliance’s annual summit. To be fair, this was no easy assignment. Trump, a longtime NATO skeptic, threatened to pull out of the alliance altogether at its 2018 gathering; he began his second term demanding billions more in defense spending from NATO allies. Otherwise, he said at one of his 2024 campaign rallies, the alliance’s main adversary, Russia, ought to be free to “do whatever the hell they want” to any country that didn’t pay up. In response, Rutte and the allies designed the summit around avoiding a blowup with Trump—agreeing in advance to his demand for a new goal of five per cent of G.D.P. to be spent by members annually on their defense budgets, pre-negotiating the summit communiqué so that it could not be derailed by a last-minute Trump tantrum, and making the formal sessions as short as possible. “I would call this ‘the Trump Summit,’ ” Marco Rubio, Trump’s dual-hatted Secretary of State and national-security adviser, bragged before the official meeting had even begun.

    Even after watching the months of anxious buildup that went into hosting Trump, however, I was not fully prepared for Rutte to launch NATO so robustly into what may become known as its MAGA era. The first sign of where Rutte was headed came from Trump himself, who, before leaving for The Hague, posted on his social-media account a text message from the secretary-general that was so florid in its praise that I might not have believed it was real had NATO officials not confirmed it. Rutte hailed the “truly extraordinary” and “decisive action” that Trump had taken against Iran over the weekend, launching air strikes aimed at destroying its nuclear program, “something no one else dared to do.” He promised “another big success” awaited Trump at the summit. On Wednesday morning, the secretary-general followed up with a photo op alongside Trump; his language during the press conference was, if anything, even more worshipful. “He is a man of strength, but also a man of peace,” Rutte enthused, as Trump sat practically beaming next to him. He then announced that Trump was personally responsible for a trillion dollars in “extra aggregate defense spending” in his first term, before crediting Trump with “the big splash” at this year’s summit, the new five-per-cent threshold for defense spending. “This would not have happened if you had not been elected,” Rutte said. “So I want to thank you.” Trump beamed some more.

    etc.

    1
  67. CSK says:

    @just nutha:

    Yeah, it’s called “Pillow Talk.” Just joking!

  68. wr says:

    @Fortune: “It’s telling that Barrett is interested in the history and legality of”

    I almost left a lengthy response demonstrating why this poster is completely full of shit, and then I realized it was just Fortune, and he doesn’t mean a word he says and doesn’t care if anything is true and will never engage with anything close to an idea. He’s just a parasite.

    9
  69. wr says:

    @Barry: “These are not honest people.”

    If I may crib from old F. Scott, I think he pretty much nailed the Republican majority on the Court:

    They were careless people – they smashed up things and creatures and then retreated back into their money or their vast carelessness or whatever it was that kept them together, and let other people clean up the mess they had made.

    5
  70. JohnSF says:

    @charontwo:
    I dislike what Rutte said, but I can understand why he said it.
    We (that is, Europe) needs time, and must play for it.

  71. JohnSF says:

    @Gustopher:
    Just been reading John Gribbin’s “The Universe: A Biography”.
    What’s remarkable is how concepts and observations from astronomy, particle physics, and mathematical cosmology and physics have, generally, been able to combine to to make up a reasonably coherent picture of the universe and its laws and processes.

    It really is one of the most remarkable achievements in human itellectual and technological history.
    And beacuse it’s based on collective endeavour, rational hypotheses, precise mathematics, and tests against observed reality.

    Not silly dogmatic assertions.

    1
  72. JohnSF says:

    Anyhoo, having a fun evening drinking wine and watching Glastonbury on the BBC.
    Some excellent music, and the Glastonbury crowd always cheers me up.

    2
  73. Kathy says:

    @wr:

    I almost left a lengthy response demonstrating why this poster is completely full of shit, and then I realized it was just Fortune,

    Do you suppose they serve that kind of fortune cookies at Mar a Lardo?

    Speaking of which, upon opening Edge today I was presented with Copilot Vision. The gist is, when active, will “see” the webpage you’re on, and you can ask it questions about it. First thing it tells you is “make sure your mic is enabled and the volume’s on.”

    Ok. So my first reaction was to mute the microphone in the Vision bar at the bottom of the screen. The second was to find out how to disable the mic, or at least prevent Edge from using it (I’m not sure I did this, so I disabled the mic altogether*). The third was to find a way to shut down the Vision bar.

    I’m puzzled, too, because the Copilot sidebar has always been perfectly capable of telling you about stuff on a web page. I just tried it now, to check, and it did.

    Though it’s getting too familiar now. Here’s a reply from the test: “Of course, Kathy! The page you’re on now introduces Microsoft Copilot in Edge, your AI-powered sidekick built directly into the browser.” I don’t recall it ever addressing me by name before.

    And apparently this Vision thing will also be, or already is, a feature for the Copilot app on Win11. I’m not sure about that because I still run Win10 at home (can’t upgrade officially), and am still on vacation so I won’t see the Win11 laptop until Tuesday (I’m not sure it runs the Copilot app at all; it’s administered by IT).

    And stay tuned, as these things get even more intrusive: Copilot Actions are coming.

    In a way, that’s partly what may make LLMs useful for everyday (and every time) tasks. But, right now, do you trust one of these to correctly fill out forms? What about using your credit card numbers?

    *I realized I’d no idea if my desktop PC even had a microphone, since I’ve never had to use it before. Turns out it does.

  74. dazedandconfused says:

    @JohnSF: I believe there is a quote of Napoleon, probably apocryphal, of “If I need something from a man I kiss his ass, and don’t make too fine a point of it.”

    Currently my partner has been binge-watching Russian series on Catherine the Great’s early years. Mostly about the court politics of Imperial Russia, and she finds the nuances fascinating enough to get through what is, to our eyes, a glacial pacing of the plot. The acting is quite good though.

    One of the aspects is the highly refined Russian art of sucking up without being fawning. One of the net results of this refinement is the Empress got to the point where she only trusted those who argued with her, as “Those who speak their mind are not a threat.” I saw this same thought echoed in HBO “Chernobyl” series, where the head of the secret service let up on the scientist after the scientist pretty much cussed him out, judging (probably correctly) that no one who was a secret enemy would do that. What a dangerous game play, with the very highest of stakes!

    Trump is a rookie, he absolutely loves fawning, and we Westerners have much to learn about living under a dictatorship.

    2
  75. Bobert says:

    @Bill Jempty: Are these trips deductible business expenses? Can you also claim DW’s expenses?

  76. JohnSF says:

    @dazedandconfused:
    It probably depends if the monarch concerned is intelligent or not.

    Also monarchies varied a lot, from the parliamentary monarchy of England, via French “traditionalism”, the German rechtsstaat, Russian “nominal absolutism”, to “law-free” despotism.

    An interesting thing about Catherine (and later Elizabeth) was that she was actually German by origin, as was much of her court and many senior officials.

    Given Trump’s evidenced thin-skinned narcsissism, obsequious flattery may be optimal for others.
    Trump’s obvious flaw is that it is decidedly sub-optimal for both himself and (if he cares much) the United States.

    My personal opinion is that Trump’s evident animus toward Ukraine in general. and Zelensky in particular, relates to Kyiv refusing to “do him a solid” over the “Biden corruption” nonsense in his first term.

    As I say, Europe needs time for its current re-armanent to come online.
    And then to see how much post-Trump MAGA continues to shape US policy.

    Reconstructing full strategic autonomy is not something that can be achieved overnight.

    3
  77. gVOR10 says:

    @CSK: Yes, I know what he intended to say, or would have intended if he understood anything. But birthright citizenship wasn’t a “case” and it didn’t start the day the war ended. The point is not to finish his sentences for him, the point is his ignorant incoherence.

    3
  78. gVOR10 says:

    @JohnSF:

    And beacuse it’s based on collective endeavour, rational hypotheses, precise mathematics, and tests against observed reality.

    We are, collectively, so good at so many things. But we can’t seem to govern ourselves worth a damn. What a piece of work is man.

    2
  79. CSK says:

    @gVOR10:

    Oh, I know. That is why I said that I thought that was what he was referring to, but it’s hard to make sense of his witless babble.

    1
  80. JohnSF says:

    @gVOR10:
    Well, maybe its just me, but despite the recent far-right challenge, Europe seems to have established a reasobable system of both domestic governance and international co-operation.

    See the GDP per capita figures for Poland.
    Back in 1990 they were on a par with Iran, and below Russia.
    Now they closing in on Japan, while Iran has stagnated, and Russia also fallen behind.
    The reality is even worse for both Iran and Russia, because so much of nominal per capita GDP is actually sequestered by oligarchs and/or the regime elite.

    It’s a similar pattern across much of central/eastern Europe.
    And, to take a longer time-base, much of western Europe also.

    The US is, arguably, even better at internal economic dynamism.
    But perhaps less so at avoiding areas of entrenched deprivation, and “zero-sum” politics.

    otoh, give the idiots like AfD, Reform, RN, Fiesz, PiS, etc the chance and doubtless they could do plenty of damage.

    Scientific knowledge advances; political wisdom perhaps not so much.

    2
  81. dazedandconfused says:

    @JohnSF: @JohnSF: Elizabeth preceded Catherine. Elizabeth was also German but seems to have had little love for them. it was Elizabeth who arranged the marriage of Catherine to her nephew, Peter III, whose reign lasted only a few months before Catherine deposed of him by military coup.

    1
  82. JohnSF says:

    @dazedandconfused:

    Elizabeth preceded Catherine.

    Yep. Derp.
    Usually my Russian history memory is better than that.
    I studied Russian history under Ronald Kowalski at Worcester.
    One of the best teachers I’ve ever had.
    Though the focus was on post-1890, so I have that, rather feeble, excuse.
    (mea culpa, Ronnie)

  83. Michael Reynolds says:

    @Jay L Gischer:
    It’s a matter of simple politeness to address people as they prefer to be addressed, as male or female. It is a mistake to demand it, to attack or demean those who resist, or to try to enforce it in law.

    It was a ridiculous mistake to insist on the singular ‘they.’ Never worked, and it never will. I have repeatedly posed the question: “How do I write an action scene involving several characters while using the singular they?” No one has ever answered, because it doesn’t work. You end up either tagging every character by name or by title and that makes for very clunky writing, and you actually lose the use of the word ‘they’ entirely. It can’t be ‘they’ charged, it has to be, “Tom, Dick and Mary charged, and then Tom, Dick and Mary fell down, and Tom, Dick and Mary were bruised. They, however, stood aside.” So, who is they? One of the other characters?

    The smart move was not social media bullying, the smart move was to leave it as a matter of politesse and let time do the rest. Let it evolve naturally, as language does, as it is meant to do. Forcing neologisms on people is irritating, divisive and counterproductive, it makes something naturally flexible into something rigid and ideological thus creating backlash.

    3