Latest Cook Forecast
Steven L. Taylor
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
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4 comments
The latest from Charlie Cook:
House: GOP gains from 32-42 (39 is magic number for a bare majority).
Senate: 5 to 7 (8 is the current magic number, as they would need 51 seats to control the chamber, as 50 would give the tiebreaker to the Vice President).
As such, total control of the Congress by the Republicans is highly unlikely.
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a retired Professor of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored
A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog).
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You know what would be funny………if the GOP picked up 7 Senate seats and then Lieberman decided to caucus with the GOP
Unlikely, I know, but still……..
“You know what would be funny………if the GOP picked up 7 Senate seats and then Lieberman decided to caucus with the GOP”
Or Charlie Crist wins and decides to caucus with the Democrats….
If Crist wins he WILL caucus with the Democrats, if they’re in the majority
If the GOP is in the majority, he’ll cozy up to them.
Bascially, Charile Crist will do whatever is in the best interests of Charlie Crist
I remember Charlie Cook saying, months ago, that “the House is lost” for the Dems.
Now his range seems to indicate that its more likely the Dems will keep the House? I don’t subscribe, so I can’t read his complete rationale here. Does he see a shift toward the Dems, or does he just weasel out of his earlier predictions?
Personally, I am finding it hard to see the Senate losses being more than 2-3, without going way down the pessimism road.