Saturday’s Forum

FILED UNDER: Open Forum
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. Jen says:

    As Daryl noted late yesterday, they are considering installing marble armrests at the Kennedy Center.

    This seems only marginally less idiotic than installing marble in the bathrooms of Eastern Airlines.

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  2. Gregory Lawrence Brown says:

    December 27, 1831
    Charles Darwin sets sail from England
    British naturalist Charles Darwin sets out from Plymouth, England, aboard the HMS Beagle on a five-year surveying expedition of the southern Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Visiting such diverse places as the Galapagos Islands and New Zealand, Darwin acquired an intimate knowledge of the flora, fauna, and geology of many lands. This information proved invaluable in the development of his theory of evolution, first put forth in his groundbreaking scientific work of 1859, On the Origin of Species by Means of Natural Selection.

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  3. CSK says:

    @Jen:

    They’re ugly as hell, and they’re bound to be uncomfortable. For pics, see http://www.people.com/trump-shows-off-potential-marble-armrests-for-renamed-Kennedy-center-11876539

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  4. Kathy says:

    @Jen:
    @CSK:

    Will they also have spikes and itching powder?

    I mean, you may as well maximize discomfort.

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  5. Kathy says:

    On aviation news, Volaris and Viva have announced a peculiar merger. rather than create a single airline, they’re making a holding company that will own both airlines. This is more common in Europe, where for example Lufthansa group owns Lufthansa, Austrian, Swiss, Brussels, and some other airlines. There’s also the International Airline Group, and not least Air France-KLM.

    While these airlines operate separately, with their own CEO, board, pilots, cabin crews, etc., they often act as one company. For instance, if you want to fly from Mexico City to Amsterdam on Air France, you’ll be offered MEX-CDG-AMS on Air France, but also MEX-AMS on KLM booked through Air France.

    So maybe if you book Viva from Guadalajara to Veracruz, you’ll be offered a Volaris flight booked through Viva.

    They also share frequent flier programs, reservation systems, lounges (not applicable to Volaris or Viva), financing, etc.

    Mexico has three major airlines. the two in the merger and Aeromexico. The latter will complain bitterly at having the competition consolidate. And they’d have a fair point. We’ve been through something similar in the 90s, when the government took over both Mexicana and Aeromexico, then the only real airlines, and operated them in much the same way as described above. Prices for domestic flights became ridiculous. For instance, it was cheaper to fly, say, AA from MEX to Cancun via Miami, than to fly from Mex to Cancun on AM or MX.

    To complicate matters further, a big shareholder in Volaris is Indigo Partners, which has a controlling interest in Frontier, as well as in Chile’s JetSmart, among other holdings. Worse, it’s a private equity firm.

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  6. charontwo says:

    Came across this this AM:

    (The piece is really long, excerpts below a very small sample)

    https://claireberlinski.substack.com/p/the-president-is-losing-his-marbles

    excerpts:

    Re: Amendment 25:

    This would be unspeakably ugly—not just constitutionally traumatic, but politically explosive. It would require his Cabinet—a group of men and women whose careers depend on proximity to Trump, and who have so thoroughly corrupted themselves that to stay out of jail, they need Trump to be in office—to declare him unfit to exercise the powers of the presidency. Doing so would trigger immediate legal challenges, partisan hysteria, and accusations of a coup. It would fracture the Republican Party, inflame the base, and dominate the political life of the country for months, if not years. It would almost certainly be accompanied by violence, or at least by credible threats of it.

    It would also have an immediate and inescapable consequence: It would make JD Vance the president. This alone explains the discipline with which the system avoids saying the obvious. No one wants this—not the public, not Democrats, not Republicans, not the national security establishment, not our allies. The only person in the universe who likes the idea is JD Vance.

    For Democrats, the prospect is a nightmare. They’re on track to win back Congress and the presidency precisely because Trump is out of his mind. By 2028, they’re thinking, Trump will have done so much damage that Vance will be as unpopular as the president he serves and no threat to a Democratic challenger. Vance has no charismatic power. They’ll steamroll him.

    Republicans are just as dismayed by the thought. They know the base sees Vance as a stalking horse for Silicon Valley and a charmless scold. They would not be riding back into power on his coattails. Vance lacks entirely the power to hold the GOP coalition together. If Trump is removed, the MAGA civil war that’s already underway could easily cease to be a metaphor. (Tucker Carlson was not wrong to tell Trump that appointing Vance would be his insurance policy against coups and assassinations.)

    bvFTD – behavioral variant FrontoTemporalDementia:

    Among psychiatrists, there’s a small ecosystem who regularly discuss Trump’s cognitive state. It’s heavily concentrated among a few activists. John Gartner has been the loudest bell-ringer.7 The Daily Beast podcast recently had him on. He talked about the decline in Trump’s language, his wide-based gait and leg swing, the facial droop. He called the evidence of cognitive impairment “overwhelming.” It’s frontotemporal dementia, he reckons. His colleague Harry Segal, a clinical psychologist and senior lecturer at Cornell Medical School, agrees that Trump is displaying “dead-ringer, telltale signs” of frontotemporal dementia. “If Trump were your relative, you’d be thinking about assisted care right now,” adds Gartner.

    The psychologist Suzanne Lachmann remarks that Trump “seemingly forget[s] how the sentence began and invent[s] something in the middle,” resulting in “an incomprehensible word salad,” a pattern frequently observed “in patients who have dementia.” Elisabeth Zoffmann, a forensic psychiatrist and professor of psychiatry at the University of British Columbia, suspects behavioral-variant frontotemporal dementia: “People presenting with such a cluster of observations should undergo expert assessment.” Lance Dodes, a distinguished fellow of the American Academy of Psychiatry and retired Harvard Medical School professor, describes the evidence of dementia as “overwhelming.”

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  7. JohnSF says:

    A belated Merry Christmas to all OTB folks!

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  8. Gustopher says:

    @Gregory Lawrence Brown: Darwin was only on the Beagle because the captain wanted a buddy, or maybe a mascot.

    Was Darwin the ship equivalent of a house boy? I wouldn’t go that far, but I wouldn’t rule it out either.

    The letters between FitzRoy and Darwin are a little unhinged. Honestly, they should make a musical about it.

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  9. Gregory Lawrence Brown says:

    @Kathy:..maximize discomfort.

    Any prankster worthy of the title would use the itching powder on the toilet paper…

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  10. dazedandconfused says:

    @charontwo:

    Can’t say, I’m not a doctor, but his digressions seem to becoming more bizarre of late.

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  11. dazedandconfused says:

    @Gustopher:

    I don’t think so. The Beagle was a very small ship and carried a crew of 75. Pace off 90 ft, imagine having to live with 75 people in that space for five years. Nobody was brought as a pet. The captain expressed a legitimate concern about a guy he didn’t know well with whom he would be a trapped roommate with for half a decade is all that was. At that time he didn’t know Darwin well at all, but all letters afterward (until their falling out decades later) heaped praise upon Darwin’s character. They got along splendidly throughout the voyage.

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  12. JohnSF says:

    @Gustopher:
    @Gregory Lawrence Brown:
    HMS Beagle was always going to have a naturalist, even if Darwin had never signed up for it. It was a survey ship mission.

    And even if Darwin had not been there to start fitting in the data to support speciation via natural selection, the whole idea was too close to being obvious to have been missed for much longer.
    The concept of evolution was already present; Erasmus Darwin for one had had ideas about that prviously.
    All it needed was for someone to link up the obvious paleontological, comparative anatomy, and bio-geographical evidence for evolution with the expreience of domestic breeding and the mathematics of populations as per Malthus.

    Alfred Wallace got to the same point at about the same time.
    And as Huxley said: “How extremely stupid not to have thought of that!”

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  13. JohnSF says:

    @dazedandconfused:
    This, indeed.
    On a survey ship mission, the captain was free to bring along a “gentleman” to assist.
    Otherwise the ship’s doctor would have done double-duty as a naturalist, iirc.

    Their later falling out had to do with Fitzroy becoming increasingly a Biblical fundamentalist, and Darwin’s work indicating literalism was not just mistaken, but had obvious and rational alternatives.
    It was essentially geology that had doomed Biblical literalism, way before Darwin.

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  14. dazedandconfused says:

    @CSK:

    @CSK:

    There’s something vaguely “Nero-ish” about our Interior Decorator In Chief. Why is he spending time on such things? I dunno…maybe because it’s all he knows. Fiddling while his popularity burns down.

    His gilded-age mindset reminds me of Rome, in a way.

    1
  15. JohnSF says:

    It’s quite funny, in a way.
    Like Gulf princelings or Russian oligarchs trying to impress with bling, and just being all the more disdained for their vulgarity and aesthetic shortcomings.
    If you have to try, you’ve already failed.
    European snobbery can be a pita at times, but when it comes to sneering at the wannabes, it has its uses.

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  16. Kathy says:

    @JohnSF:

    And even if Darwin had not been there to start fitting in the data to support speciation via natural selection, the whole idea was too close to being obvious to have been missed for much longer.

    That actually happened.

    Darwin hesitated for years on publishing his notions about natural selection. Eventually Alfred Russell Wallace, with whom he was acquainted, developed much the same set of ideas. When Wallace sent him an essay on the subject, Darwin decided to publish.

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  17. JohnSF says:

    @Kathy:
    Yup.
    Darwin seems to have been reluctant to publish his conclusions for years, and was perhaps trying to pin down the evidence by other studies, or perhaps aware of the controversy it would cause, and valued his quiet life?
    Wallace also figured it out.
    I suspect others would have done so, soon enough.
    Mendel was already unravelling genetic heritability.
    Lamarck was positing a diffrent mechanism for evolution, but mathematical analysis would indicate Lamarck was mistaken.

    The whole thing was becoming obvious from the point that systematic geology and biogeography began, and mathematical population statistics, and Humbolt’s work on ecosystems.

    Darwin had both the brilliance and the opportunity to set out an pretty inarguably clear explication of how natural selection could explain speciation.
    (Albeit short of a real theory of genetics, due to Mendel getting ignored)

    But it’s pretty clear that it was “steam engine time” re evolution in the mid 19th century anyway.

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  18. JohnSF says:

    @dazedandconfused:
    Melania’s panties?
    WTF?
    Has there ever been another leader of a major modern democratic state so indispubtably bug-shagging nuts?

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