Sunday’s Forum

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FILED UNDER: Open Forum
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. Kathy says:

    About the upcoming big XpaceS XAI merger and IPO, there’s one other thing to keep in mind: Last year XAI acquired Xitter.

    You may recall Adolf overpaid for Twitter back in 2022. He didn’t just write a check for $44 billion. He got “investors” aboard and also may have borrowed money. We know the value of Xitter dropped as users left and it became more of a wingnut cesspit, which must have delighted the investors involved, right?

    But if neither Xitter nor the child porn image generator company are making a profit, what’s a broligarch to do? Why, merge both with his ISP that is making a profit (because it sells services people want to pay for).

    Voila! Xitter’s investors get share of something that’s actually valuable.

    I’m not saying this is the only motive (see the Michael Reynolds Principle on motivations), but it must be part of the overall strategy, such as it is. Remember neither profit nor productive enterprises that offer useful products or services are the goals of end stage capitalism. it’s all share value now.

    All money to the oligarchs!

    7
  2. charontwo says:

    Some AI stuff:

    NonZero

    Also on Wednesday, Anthropic, maker of the Claude large language model, released some ads that mocked OpenAI’s decision, announced three weeks earlier, to start showing ads to non-paying ChatGPT customers. Here is one of the Anthropic ads, which I personally think is pretty brilliant (leaving aside the question of how fair it is):

    (Embed is here)

    Various aspects of the Anthropic ad speak to this AI moment, but for present purposes just note what the woman who symbolizes a chatbot therapist says after suggesting that her patient try a cougar dating app: “Would you like me to create your profile?” You may not think it’s a big deal for a bot to make such an offer, but a year ago feats like this were beyond the reach of consumer AI. Sure, a large language model could draft your profile, but it couldn’t go online and put it on the dating app. Increasingly, AIs can do these things, which means that the long-promised age of “agentic” AI is upon us. This agentic angle is one thing that links this ad to the other three of this week’s developments.

    The agentic phase of AI evolution rests on two things: (1) The past year has seen huge advances in LLM-based “coding agents”—agents that can create a website or an app based on a verbal description of what you have in mind. (2) If you fuse this coding skill with other things an LLM can do, you get a whole new range of agentic powers. Powers like creating a profile on a dating app. Because a chatbot can’t by itself take something it’s written and put it online, you need a computer program to get that part done—and a good coding agent can whip up whatever little program the occasion calls for.

    2
  3. Jay L. Gischer says:

    @charontwo: My hope is that even as more and more things in our life become fake, that people get a better sense of what is real and value it more.

    I don’t have much more than hope, though.

    3
  4. Jen says:

    Did I miss a post about Michael taking some time away from the site?

    1
  5. CSK says:

    @Jen:

    I believe he said he and Katherine were returning to the U.S.

    1
  6. CSK says:

    @Kathy:

    You gonna watch the Superbowl?

  7. CSK says:

    According to the Daily Beast, among the Epstein files was a draft document from the prosecutor's office announcing Epstein's death–a day before Epstein died.

    This may mean nothing other than carelessness about dates in the prosecutor’s office. If it isn’t carelessness, however, then it’s a very big deal.

    Epstein’s brother is being quite vocal about the fact he believes Jeffrey was murdered.

    5
  8. Gustopher says:

    I’m sitting outside at the coffee shop, because apparently it’s outside weather in February, and there is a group meeting to discuss organizing their anti-ICE protesting security. One man, five women.

    That man either has the worst sense of operation security, or he’s a fed gathering information.

    I was suspicious when he was talking about burner phones and Graphene OS (never trust someone talking about burner phones unless they start with “it’s damn near impossible to keep them from getting linked to you by geographic data”). Now that he’s discussing vetting people, and how he wants their social security numbers. He’s very concerned about being infiltrated by people collaborating with the regime.

    Also, I am sitting within easy listening distance, clearly visible, and appear to be taking notes. I could photograph all of them with the camera on my iPad.

    “I don’t consume any mainstream news, I only consume independent YouTube journalists.”

    Jesus Fucking Christ, the 25 year old “socialists” are not ok.

    7
  9. Kathy says:

    @CSK:

    Is that today 😀

    Actually I’m getting the week’s cooking out of the way, so I’ll be free to watch the game later.

    1
  10. Jen says:

    @Gustopher: Oh, dear. I’ve fussed about this before, but I really think television and movie content has rotted people’s brains. My husband and I have been watching Homeland, and that show is absolutely chock-a-block full of the worst intel habits I’ve ever seen, and one of the biggest offenses is the chattering about highly classified material out in public with tons of people within earshot. Sigh.

    3
  11. Jen says:

    @CSK: Yes, I recall that now, thank you!

    1
  12. Beth says:

    @CSK:
    @Kathy:

    This kickoff at 11:30 pm is bullshit. For some unknown reason, YouTube turned off the pre-game stuff a half hour before kickoff. Just silence for 30 mins.

    Also, looks like our PM might be getting shitcanned tomorrow.

  13. CSK says:

    @Beth:

    Well, Starmer’s chief of staff called it quits today. Will Keir be far behind?

  14. Michael Reynolds says:

    Did Dr. Oz recall his oath or something?

    WASHINGTON (AP) — A leading U.S. health official on Sunday urged people to get inoculated against the measles at a time of outbreaks across several states and as the United States is at risk of losing its measles elimination status.

    “Take the vaccine, please,” said Dr. Mehmet Oz, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services administrator whose boss has raised suspicion about the safety and importance of vaccines. “We have a solution for our problem.”

    Oz, a heart surgeon, defended some recently revised federal vaccine recommendations as well as past comments from President Donald Trump and the nation’s health chief, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., about the efficacy of vaccines. From Oz, there was a clear message on the measles.

    “Not all illnesses are equally dangerous and not all people are equally susceptible to those illnesses,” he told CNN’s “State of the Union.” “But measles is one you should get your vaccine.”

    2
  15. Beth says:

    @CSK:

    The two things I’m seeing a lot of is 1. The revolt he’s been facing for months is exploding, and 2. He’s called a press conference tomorrow.

    I’d take my read with a fistful of salt though. I’ve spent the last year trying to figure things out here. But, man, Starmer is a charisma black hole. He’s like if you took Gavin Newsom, stripped out ALL the charisma and political smarts, and installed a thick marbling of old school racism*. That man is Sideshow Bob stepping on rakes in human form.

    As an aside, if Starmer does make it past this week he’s done in May. There are elections that Labour will assuredly eat shit. I get to vote and I’d rather eat hot broken glass than vote for anyone in Labour. I’m guessing my heavily immigrant and hipster borough is gonna go Green.

    *before he went full MAGA my English father worked to make his racism appear posh and noble. I didn’t understand just how racist he was until much later.

    4
  16. CSK says:

    @Beth:

    Your read seems pretty accurate to me.

    1
  17. Kathy says:

    Halftime take:

    Defensive slog, surprisingly few penalties. The score does not reflect Seattle’s 183 yards on offense, though it does New England’s 51 yards. That’s a ferocious red zone defense, though.

    Sometimes the second half turns into a different game. I hope this is one of those times.

    1
  18. CSK says:

    The Pats lost. Shit.

  19. Jay L. Gischer says:

    My oh, My! San Francisco isn’t a shithole! Who knew?

    3
  20. Jay L. Gischer says:

    @CSK: CSK, I wish you a full and happy life. May your every wish come true.

    Except for the one where the Pats beat the Seahawks. That one I’m claiming. However, I would trade it in an instant to see the Mariners in the World Series.

    2
  21. Kathy says:

    Odd game. Somewhat reminiscent of last year, but more even in both stats and scores. Again, one team shut down the other for most of the game, and the attempted comeback in the 4th quarter was undone by turnovers.

    New England should do well next year. That they went from a 4-13 record to a 14-3 one and a conference championship in back to back seasons, is nothing short of amazing.

  22. CSK says:

    @Jay L. Gischer:

    Seems fair to me.

    1