The Pre-New Hampshire Post

Observations, questions, and some toastosity.

Clinton Supporters Scold Younger Women For Supporting Bernie Sanders

Hillary Clinton’s campaign and its supporters seem to be getting frustrated by the fact that younger women are seemingly more interested in her opponent than in her.

Hillary Clinton And Bernie Sanders Clash In First One-On-One Debate

With the Vermont Senator holding a seemingly insurmountable lead in New Hampshire, Bernie Sanders and HIllary Clinton clashed last night in their most contentious debate yet.

Iowa 2016 Provides Yet More Evidence For The Argument Against Caucuses

Reports of discrepancies in the counting of ballots in the Democratic Caucus in Iowa reveal yet again why the caucus process is outdated and ought to be abandoned.

The State of Play Headed into New Hampshire

Clinton is a virtual lock for the Democratic nomination. Rubio is the most plausible Republican winner in a messy field.

Clinton Narrowly Wins Iowa, Heads To Seemingly Unwinnable Battle In New Hampshire

Hillary Clinton eked out the narrowest of wins in Iowa, but now she’s headed to New Hampshire where Bernie Sanders holds a seemingly insurmountable lead in the polls.

Final Iowa Polling Shows It All Depends On Turnout, Plus A Projection

The final polls of the Iowa Caucus show that the outcome of tonight’s caucuses depend almost entirely on turnout at this point. Plus, a projection of who will win and the order of finish.

Donald Trump And Bernie Sanders Hold On To Solid Leads In New Hampshire

With just over a week to go, the New Hampshire primary is being dominated by a bombastic New York celebrity and a septuagenarian Vermont socialist.

Clinton, Sanders, Cruz And Carson Won Fourth Quarter 2015 Money Race

Fundraising in the final three months of 2015 largely reflected the state of the race itself, but some candidates are better positioned going forward than others.

Trump, Clinton Hold Leads In Final Des Moines Register Iowa Poll

The final Des Moines Register poll before Caucus Night shows Donald Trump leading the GOP field, and Hillary Clinton with a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders, but much of the final outcome will depend on who shows up for the respective party caucuses.

State Department Withholds 22 Hillary Clinton Emails For Containing “Top Secret” Information

More email headaches for the Clinton campaign, but it remains unclear if any wrongdoing occurred.

Rush Limbaugh Really Doesn’t Get Donald Trump

Chris Cillizza thinks “Rush Limbaugh totally gets Donald Trump.” I disagree.

Hillary Clinton And Bernie Sanders Battle Going Down To The Wire

With less than a week to go before the Iowa Caucuses, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are fighting a closely-pitched battle that will depend largely on turnout.

Des Moines Register Endorses Clinton, Rubio

Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio have won the endorsement of the Des Moines Register, but it’s unclear how much this will help their respective campaigns.

Michael Bloomberg Apparently Thinking Of Running For President For Some Reason

We’re in another Presidential election cycle so it must be time to speculate about Michael Bloomberg again.

Clinton Email Server Contained Information Classified Above ‘Top Secret,’ Report Contends

New email headaches for Hillary Clinton, but it’s not clear what impact they will have on the race for President, if they have any impact at all.

Clinton, Sanders Clash In Final Democratic Debate Before Iowa Caucuses

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders clashed in the final debate before the Iowa Caucuses in the context of a race that has appeared to become tighter than it was before Christmas.

Sixth Republican Debate Grabs 11 Million Viewers

The primary debates continue to draw in a lot of viewers.

Democratic Race Continues To Tighten, Democrats Still Believe Clinton Will Be Nominee

Polling is continuing to show a tightening in the race for the Democratic nomination, even though most Democrats continue to believe that Hillary Clinton will be their eventual nominee.

Democratic Race Tightens In New Iowa And New Hampshire Polling

The Democratic race in Iowa and New Hampshire is tightening, according to new polling, but this still seems to be Clinton’s race.

Clinton, Sanders Lead In Reports Of Fundraising For Last Quarter Of 2015

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders both released strong fourth quarter fundraising reports, as did Republicans Ted Cruz and Ben Carson.

No, Jim Webb Probably Would Not Be A Viable Independent Candidate For President

Jim Webb’s recent criticism of Hillary Clinton is renewing speculation about an independent bid for the White House, but he hardly seems like a viable candidate for such a run.

Trump Comes In Second, Tied With Pope, In ‘Most Admired Man’ Poll

Donald Trump is in second place, and tied, with Pope Francis, in a poll asking Americans to name the person they most admired in 2015.

No, the US is not on the Verge of a Multi-Party System

We will have a two party system for the foreseeable future.

The Quixotic Quest for the Radical Center

Americans don’t trust their government or each other. There’s no reason to hope it’ll get better.

Bill Clinton Set To Play Bigger Role In His Wife’s Campaign In The New Year

Former President Clinton is set to hit the campaign trail for his wife in the New Year, and that could make things quite entertaining.

Third Democratic Debate Grabs 6.7 Million Viewers, The Lowest Yet For Any 2016 Debate

To nobody’s surprise, the third Democratic Debate received the lowest ratings yet of any debate so far this election cycle.

Third Democratic Debate Establishes That The Democratic Nomination Fight Is Over

If you were looking for evidence that the race for the Democratic nomination is basically over, you need look no further than last night’s Democratic Debate.

US Capitol Rotunda US Capitol Rotunda

Marco Rubio Misses Senate Vote On Omnibus Budget Bill

After making a big deal about voting against the budget bill passed yesterday by Congress during the last debate, Marco Rubio ended up missing the vote altogether.

Debate Schedule And Other Incidents Lead Sanders And O’Malley To Allege DNC Favoritism

A debate schedule that seems designed to limit the ability of viewers to see candidates, and other incidents, has led Hillary Clinton’s opponents to allege that the D.N.C. is favoring Hillary Clinton.

Heading Into Next Debate, It’s Still Trump On Top With Cruz And Rubio Fighting For Second Place

A pair of new national polls shows a new trend in the GOP race heading into the final debate of 2015.

Trump Continues To Control The Race For The GOP Nomination

Notwithstanding the hopes of many Republicans, Donald Trump continues to be the person to beat in the race for the party’s 2016 Presidential nomination.

Trump’s Plan To Bar Muslim Immigration Widely Condemned, But It’s Unlikely To Hurt Him

Donald Trump’s plan to bar all Muslim immigration to the United States is being widely condemned by his fellow Republicans and others, but the proposal probably won’t hurt him politically in a Republican Party that is deeply bigoted against Muslims in general.

A Good, But Not Great, Jobs Report For November

The November Jobs Report was good, but there still aren’t signs of the kind of stronger economic growth we need to see.

Yes, Trump is the Frontrunner, but…

Polls are quite useful in the right circumstances, but knowledge, complexity, and timing all have to be taken into account in determining what they are telling us.

It’s Thanksgiving, So Of Course People Want You To Start Political Fights With Your Relatives

Happy Thanksgiving! Don’t forget to start a political fight with your family!

Hillary Clinton’s Ideas On How To Fight ISIS Are As Incoherent And Flawed As Everyone Else’s

Hillary Clinton’s recently announced policies toward the ISIS fight are as incoherent and misguided as President Obama’s and those of her Republican opponents.

Poll Finds American Fearful Of Terrorism, Distrustful Of Obama And Syrian Refugees

A new poll taken in the wake of the Paris attacks finds Americans increasingly fearful of ISIS attacks in the U.S., opposed to the admission of Syrian refugees, and not very confident in President Obama’s ability to deal with the ISIS threat.

The Race For the Democratic Nomination Is Basically Over

Barring some event that would essentially be historically unprecedented, Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2016.

Donald Trump Remains At The Top Of The Republican Field

Seemingly disproving yet another round of predictions of his imminent demise, Donald Trump continues to dominate the race for the Republican nomination.

Hillary Clinton: I’m Close To Wall Street Because Of The 9/11 Attacks

Hillary Clinton’s attempt to explain her relationship with Wall Street and banking interests makes it sound like she’s channeling Rudy Giuliani.

Democrats Debate In The Shadow Of The Paris Attacks, And Iowa Football

A Saturday night debate wasn’t likely to get much attention to begin with. A Saturday night debate in the wake of a major terrorist attack, and a major football game for Iowa’s premier college football team, likely got even less attention. That’s probably good news for Hillary Clinton, and bad news for her two remaining rivals.

With New Poll, It Looks Like Smooth Sailing Ahead For Hillary Clinton

A new poll provides further evidence that Hillary Clinton’s path to the Democratic nomination looks to be clear.

Obama Administration’s Immigration Executive Action Suffers Another Court Defeat

President Obama’s executive action on immigration suffered another setback in court late yesterday.

Ted Cruz: Atheists Aren’t Fit To Be President

Meet Ted Cruz: Religious Bigot

You Shouldn’t Pay Much Attention To Head-To-Head General Election Polling Right Now

Hillary’s leading potential Republican candidates, but so is Bernie! Rand Paul does better against Hillary than other Republicans! Those are the headlines you get from head-to-head match-up polls, but it’s all largely meaningless.

Donald Trump Fails To Make Saturday Night Live Great Again

Donald Trump was on Saturday Night Live last night. It wasn’t even remotely funny.

Obama Administration Rejects Keystone XL Pipeline

To no real surprise, the Obama Administration has rejected the application to approve the Keystone XL Pipeline. It is likely to remain an issue in the upcoming Presidential campaign, though.