Outside the Beltway

If the Romney campaign looked shocked on Election Night, that’s because they didn’t believe the polls either.

More griping about poor analysis.

Republicans are trying to figure out what went wrong. Will they learn the right lessons from their loss?

The impact of outside spending on the election turned out to be far less consequential than many had feared.

I just came across Peggy Noonan’s pre-election column. It is quite illustrative.

The 2012 Election should be a warning to the GOP that it needs to open itself up to minority groups, especially Latinos.

Why I supported Mitt Romney despite his constant flip-flopping, fibbing, and fecklessness.

Will Ohio’s Provisional Ballot’s be 2012’s version of the Hanging Chad?

Republicans already seem to be blaming Hurricane Sandy in the event Mitt Romney loses.

Could Romney win Ohio by ginning up Republican turnout and tamping down Democratic votes?

OTB bloggers give their best guesses on the House and Senate races.

The analyst actually wants to understand and be correct far more than he or she wants their preferences to prevail in the analysis

It’s just a few days until the 2012 campaign ends, and the jostling for position for 2016 begins.

The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.

How Obama can have a 75 percent chance of winning an election despite being essentially tied in the polls:

Under the right circumstances, it would be possible to postpone a Presidential election.

Naturally, most of us are asking: What does this mean for next Tuesday’s election.

Dean Chambers of UnSkewed fame, puts the polling debate into sharp perspective.

Congressman Steve Israel has proposed an amendment to the Constitution to award 29 bonus electoral votes to the popular vote winner.

As in 2010, Scott Rasmussen’s polling in 2012 has shown a distinct bias in favor of Republicans.

The arguments in favor of major changes in the way we elect our President are unpersuasive.

A recent poll has Obama and Romney tied among women. Another gives Obama a 33 point edge.

Younger voters are starting to become as cynical as the rest of us.

All eyes on Northern Virginia.

We could be headed for another extremely close election where the Electoral Vote and the Popular Vote disagree with each other.

Once again, it seems necessary to debunk some commonly believed myths about polling.

Once again, the Obama campaign appears to have an advantage among people who have voted already or will be voting before Election Day.

Looking to Federalist 68.

Of course, these voters are walled off from the process, so they don’t matter.

Romney’s post-debate surge is being picked up in swing state polls, but will it be enough?

Will conservatives freak out if Romney loses? That’s pretty much guaranteed.

A victory for advocates of Voter ID laws in a Washington, D.C. Federal Court.