Thursday’s Forum

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FILED UNDER: Open Forum
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. DK says:

    Four arrested after photos of Trump and Epstein projected onto Windsor Castle during president’s U.K. visit (NBC)

    The projections included photos of Trump and Epstein; of the two joined by first lady Melania Trump with Epstein and his co-conspirator, Ghislaine Maxwell; and of a lewd birthday message Trump allegedly sent Epstein in 2003 for a 50th birthday book.

    Thames Valley Police said in a statement Tuesday night that they arrested four adults “on suspicion of malicious communications following a public stunt in Windsor.” The police added they will conduct an investigation into the incident, and that all four people arrested remain in custody…

    The inclusion of the alleged birthday message from Trump comes after its release by the House Oversight Committee last week after it subpoenaed Epstein’s estate for documents. Trump and the White House have vehemently denied the authenticity of the message.

    It’s not going away, Donald.

    7
  2. Bill Jempty says:

    @DK:

    It’s not going away, Donald.

    None of this is going to amount to a hill of beans.

    3
  3. DK says:

    Trump’s Selective Memory: “Not Familiar” With Assassinated Democratic Lawmaker While Raging About “Left-wing Violence” (TechDirt)

    …When asked by a reporter whether it would have been appropriate to lower flags to half-staff for Minnesota House Speaker Melissa Hortman, who was gunned down along with her husband in their home this past June, Trump responded with either breathtaking callousness or stunning ignorance: “I’m not familiar. The who?”

    …So let’s refresh Trump’s supposedly failing memory. On June 14, Vance Luther Boelter—a Trump voter with a hit list containing dozens of Democratic lawmakers, abortion providers, and pro-choice activists—carried out a targeted assassination campaign… This wasn’t random violence—it was a systematic attempt to eliminate Democratic officials.

    When this assassination happened, Trump’s response was notably different. He offered a brief, impersonal statement on Truth Social calling the violence “horrific” but did nothing more…

    …This week, when pressed on why he ordered flags lowered for Kirk but not Hortman, Trump claimed he would have done so if Walz had asked. But this conveniently ignores his own words from June, when he explicitly said calling the governor would be pointless…

    Republican lives apparently merit presidential addresses and flag ceremonies. Democratic lives get a shrug and are quickly to be forgotten and never spoken of again.

    What makes this even more perverse is Trump’s immediate assumption that Kirk’s shooter was motivated by “left-wing violence”—without evidence and despite indicators pointing elsewhere suggesting that he was just a confused, troubled, deeply online meme-focused kid with no real political ideology fitting into either the traditional “left” or “right” buckets. Meanwhile, when faced with documented right-wing political assassination—complete with clear hit lists—he claims total ignorance.

    …This is the same pattern we’ve seen repeatedly: extensive right-wing violence gets minimized or ignored, while any violence that can potentially be blamed on the left gets amplified and weaponized.

    The media’s role in this selective memory problem can’t be ignored either. When right-wing violence occurs, it gets framed as the work of isolated “lone wolves” with mental health issues—individual tragedies disconnected from any broader movement. But when violence can potentially be attributed to the left, it becomes evidence of a dangerous ideological trend that demands soul-searching about the state of political discourse. This framing makes it easier for stories like Hortman’s assassination to fade quickly from national attention, while Kirk’s shooting immediately gets positioned as a symbol of broader leftist extremism, despite the lack of evidence supporting that narrative.

    Don’t agree with everything in this article, but its broad complaint is solid. R.I.P. Melissa and Mark Hortman, and Officer Brian Sicknick.

    9
  4. Bill Jempty says:

    Today is Dear Wife’s birthday. We’re both born the same year.

    We’re not going out to eat but having spare ribs for dinner. Reason- Her sister, our nephew Kent, and DW’s cousin Emily will be staying overnight with us.

    For dinner on Saturday or Sunday, DW and I may still go out but since we’re leaving for Italy and Switzerland on Monday, it will have to be a no ‘doggy bag’ outing. Can’t have the food in the refrigerator for the month we’ll be gone. So it will be Shake Shack not Okeechobee Steakhouse for the meal.

    DW and I have been married 36 years. I love her very much. She had to be very strong through my cancer struggles. I wouldn’t have made it without her.

    Today would have also been my father’s 108th birthday, Dad died in 1997. DW and Dad got along great. Shortly after he met DW for the first time, Dad said to me “Oh she is so sweet.” Dad still had that opinion when he died.

    2
  5. Bill Jempty says:
  6. Scott says:

    @Bill Jempty: Happy Birthday to DW! And have a great time in Europe.

    3
  7. Scott says:

    Have you ever turned your mind 90 degrees and look anew at what is normal? This morning I went: “Isn’t it weird to have animals wandering around the house or sleeping on your bed?

    Then you snap back and hug that dog.

    7
  8. Scott says:

    Pentagon’s crackdown on Kirk comments stirs fears among troops

    The Pentagon’s crackdown on employees accused of mocking Charlie Kirk’s death has startled troops, who fear an increasing stranglehold on what they’re allowed to say.

    Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and other military leaders have denounced any posts critical of the conservative activist, due in part to far-right influencers who have flagged service members they believe are making negative comments about Kirk. That has led to the start of a suspension process, according to a Defense Department official. Several troops also have been fired or punished for social media posts that don’t necessarily attack the slain activist, according to a congressional aide and a person close to the Pentagon.

    The overtly political tinge has stunned civilian employees and service members, who pledge an oath to the Constitution and not a political leader.

    “We see abuse of these reasonable speech restrictions that have long been upheld to instead instill a culture of fear and intimidation,” said Rachel VanLandingham, a retired Air Force officer and military lawyer. “I fear it will turn the military from being an apolitical institution to being a political one.”

    2
  9. Jen says:

    The texts that have been released in the Kirk case are strange. No young person I know texts like that. They are either providing edited translations or something…the only people who text like that are over 50. Sus AF.

    8
  10. Scott says:

    @Scott: And there’s more!

    At least 8 troops punished for social media comments about Charlie Kirk’s death

    In the wake of Charlie Kirk’s death, at least eight service members have been suspended from their jobs or investigated over comments made on social media about his killing, service officials confirmed to Task & Purpose.

    As of Wednesday, at least five Army officers and an Air Force senior master sergeant have been suspended from their jobs after allegedly posting about the death of Kirk on social media. An Army Reserve major is also under investigation.

    Last week, a Marine officer was relieved of his recruiting duties and placed under investigation for allegedly sharing a meme on Instagram that mocked Kirk’s death.

    An Army official confirmed to Task & Purpose that Army Col. Amy Neiman, Col. Scott Stephens, Lt. Col. Christopher Ladnier, Maj. Guillermo Muniz, and Capt. Andra McCray were suspended from their current roles pending review of social media statements.

    “This kind of vigilante culture war activity is terribly damaging,” said Kori Schake, head of the defense policy team at the conservative-leaning American Enterprise Institute think tank in Washington, D.C. “It’s going to drive talented people out of our military and politicize those who remain.”

    “I propose that anyone advocating for forcing out people who’ve volunteered to defend our country should have to replace them,” she added.

    4
  11. Scott says:

    More Trump foreign policy successes:

    Saudi Arabia and Pakistan sign mutual defense pact as Gulf Arab states grow wary of US security guarantees

    Saudi Arabia and nuclear-armed Pakistan signed a formal mutual defense pact on Wednesday, in a move that significantly strengthens a decades-long security partnership amid heightened regional tensions.

    The enhanced defense ties come as Gulf Arab states grow increasingly wary about the reliability of the United States as their longstanding security guarantor. Israel’s attack on Qatar last week heightened those concerns.

    Is Putin making Trump look weak?

    President Trump’s diplomatic approach toward Russian President Vladimir Putin is characterized by personal engagement and appeasement, which has yielded significant propaganda victories for Russia without securing concrete U.S. objectives.

    High-profile meetings have consistently failed to meet stated expectations on key issues such as a ceasefire in Ukraine, resulting in a perceived weakening of American resolve and leverage.

    Russian President Vladimir Putin remains an ideologically-driven and intransigent adversary who should not be underestimated as he prosecutes an imperial, not merely transactional, war in Ukraine.

    Putin perceives President Trump as someone susceptible to manipulation. Putin’s strategic aims appear to include full control over Ukraine’s annexed eastern regions and beyond. And he has demonstrated a willingness to prolong the conflict indefinitely to achieve his goal while paying little to no price for his refusal to de-escalate.

    4
  12. becca says:

    I saw some otters again this morning. I can usually hear them rustling in the water plants that grow between the riprap on the levy. Sightings are rare, this is only my second. Boy, they’re adorable.
    There are so many different flowering vines and shrubs now. Rose of Sharons and Althea in all colors grow wild. We have blue bugle vines and orange trumpet vines. There’s this lush vine with masses of tiny palest of lavender flowers that drive the pollinators insane. Butterflies, dragonflies and damselflies, bees and wasps of all shapes and sizes just all over it. I also discovered North American passion fruit vine and it’s like nothing I have seen before.
    The mimosas are finished with their beautiful blooms, but I managed to get one started at my mailbox a few years ago and hoping next summer it pays off.

    7
  13. Kathy says:

    @Scott:

    What I find strange is how dogs can easily integrate into human households, and even adapt to human body language. For instance, dogs know what you mean when you point. Chimps, which are the species most closely related to humans, can’t do this as well.

    3
  14. Scott says:

    @Kathy: I think it is a matter of human-directed co-evolution. All kinds of experiments like the pretty famous Domesticated Silver Fox experiment in the Soviet Union demonstrate the possibilities on how it works.

    2
  15. Scott says:

    Why the hell is JD Vance saluting in this picture. He is not in the chain of command. Are Nixon like palace uniforms in the future?

    I don’t buy the Hitler analogy but Mussolini is pretty analogous with these clowns.

    3
  16. Gregory Lawrence Brown says:

    @Bill Jempty:..hill of beans
    Soybeans?
    Is this the hill that Republican Senators Hoeven and Cramer want to die on?*
    Tariffs leave North Dakota’s top crop without its biggest buyer

    *Disclaimer!!! Trigger Warning!!! In common American parlance a hill to die on is a figure of speech not to be taken literally. This does not mean that I wish harm to come to the two United States Senators who represent North Dakota in the United States Congress. However if the moderators of this site deem this phrase will put OTB in jeopardy of heavy handed action by Trump’s Terror Squad please redact or remove.

    5
  17. Gregory Lawrence Brown says:

    @Scott:..JD Vance

    No way that he knows something about President Trump’s health that is classified from the general public and he is practicing for the future.

    3
  18. Rick DeMent says:

    I’m not sure if this will be a popular opinion, but I firmly believe that we are currently past the Tipping Point. There are too many oligarchs who are ready to back Trump because he is going to give them everything and anything they want. Recent events with the talk show hosts who have been fired with no push back at all, a Supreme Court that is ready and willing to crown Trump king, and the biggest tell is that our allies are absolutely falling in line and treating him like any other president, because they are resigned to the fact that he is here to stay.

    Right now, he is preparing to call everyone and anyone who dares to open their mouth about him Antifa, which is great because it’s undefinable, all you have to do is make the sign of the cross and you’re Antifa. People are going to be hauled off the street, pronounced as Antifa members, and memory-holed.

    The whole thing with Ezrea Kline is the canary in the coal mine. The Trump, Mega Republicans, and people like Charlie Kirk are playing a completely different game than everybody else. Meanwhile, on the left, we have people like Klein who can’t literally see the forest for the trees. MAGA is fighting an actual war while everyone else sits there watching it happen. Kline is wrong. Peaceful protest will have absolutely no effect on this Administration. Sooner or later there are going to be a lot of people who aren’t MAGA will decide that they just aren’t scared enough at the people who don’t want a police state and might take action, but it’s probably too late.

    Between Trump, the oligarchs that support him, and the sycophants that are out there on YouTube propping them up, and the Third Republican state that is going to do a mid-cycle redistricting, this country will be a full-blown fascist dictatorship by 2027. I’m getting to the Point where I could see otherwise level-headed people supporting political violence. We are literally bringing a knife to a gunfight. I wonder when they’ll get around to shutting down this website, I really do. In another 6 months, I can see the administration shutting down anyone who takes on the administration. The only thing that’s going to keep this place open is that they have too many more sites to deal with first.

    The only reason they need Trump right now is that he has this Svengali-like hold on the majority of Republicans. But once all of the trappings of a police state have been put into place, they will get rid of Trump and install someone who has an actual brain. I feel for our kids, they’re the ones who are going to have to live through this nightmare.

    Sorry about being a buzzkill. It’s over, we’ve lost.

    8
  19. Eusebio says:

    @Jen:
    “Sus AF.” Ha, good one.

    I’ll agree that the texts seem unusual for someone in their early 20’s, but people that age can have a range of texting styles, especially depending on the situation and audience. He also may be a more proficient writer than most and have a tendency to text in more complete sentences, kinda like an older person would. And it’s just hard to see why the released texts would’ve been altered except for redaction, which doesn’t seem to have happened.

    2
  20. gVOR10 says:

    @Gregory Lawrence Brown: When I was a little kid in ND we had the same senators for years, and they still do. I saw some commentary years ago explaining why senators from the Dakotas tend to be long serving, high seniority. They get the same vote as senators from CA, but they’re tiny media markets, making for very inexpensive campaigns. Along with Alaska and Wyoming, they’re the cheapest senators to buy. Maybe Vermont, but I suspect much of their media comes from expensive adjacent states.

  21. Kathy says:

    @Scott:

    You know, I can’t say whether the cat, too understood pointing.

  22. Kathy says:

    @Rick DeMent:

    I think the last slim reed of hope left is El Taco will tank the economy and produce a backlash.

    5
  23. Rick DeMent says:

    … and this just in … Hell just froze over.

    Tucker Carlson says Trump administration is using Charlie Kirk’s killing to trample First Amendment

    If this had happened in Trumps first term it might have meant something. Right now no one cares.

    3
  24. Kylopod says:

    @Rick DeMent: No, Hell has not frozen over. (In fact it’s quite sunny. Yes, you can take out your tomatoes now.) From the article:

    The longtime former Fox News host did not target President Donald Trump personally in his opening monologue, but went after Attorney General Pam Bondi for comments she made Monday that sparked fierce backlash from both the right and the left.

    That’s always the trick in MAGA-world: to criticize the Trump Admin then blame it on everyone but the man at the top. (And this is coming from a guy who once privately called Trump a demon!) Also, unless they’ve left it out of the quoted passages, Tucker never mentions or alludes to the canning of Kimmel or Colbert. In fact his comments are vague enough to interpret as only complaining about a potential crackdown on portions of the right that saw Charlie Kirk as too establishment, while being perfectly fine (or at least silent) on censorship of Dems and lefties. If you think it’s too absurd to imagine him adopting such a position, let’s recall that he has criticized Israel for its treatment of Christians while being silent on its treatment of Muslims.

    4
  25. becca says:

    Bibi is saying Israel needs to be an autarky because basically nobody likes him. Some think he’s projecting strength, others think he’s nuts.
    https://en.globes.co.il/en/article-netanyahus-autarky-remarks-divide-analysts-1001521881
    Yves over at Naked Capitalism says Larry Wilkerson has been warning the Israeli economy is collapsing, young professionals leaving… wonders aloud if there will even be an Israel in ten years.
    Wow.

  26. Kathy says:

    Futurama dropped a whole season this week.

    I cancelled Disney+, which carries this show, but the subscription is good until October 9.

    Maybe it’s the cancellations and resurrections, but the first ep felt so effing stupid. Not to mention repetitive.

    Ok. I’ve been watching TV series long enough to understand many themes are going to repeat over and over. So one more Bender obsession with some inadequacy, or Fry and Leela struggling in their relationship, is only to be expected. But this was handled so poorly. Unlike when Bender goes looking for free will, or for his factory inspector.

    Perhaps after 25 non-consecutive years, the show has passed its peak.

    1
  27. Gustopher says:

    @Jen:

    The texts that have been released in the Kirk case are strange. No young person I know texts like that. They are either providing edited translations or something…the only people who text like that are over 50. Sus AF.

    The shooter is from Utah, old sport. Everyone in Utah is over the age of 50, even the children.

    But here is the thing that seems a little suspicious to me.

    remember how I was engraving bullets? The fuckin messages are mostly a big meme, if I see “notices bulge uwu” on fox new I might have a stroke alright im gonna have to leave it, that really fucking sucks….

    The meme, and what was engraved on the bullet casing, was OwO, not UwU. The UwU/OwO represents a face. UwU has the eyes closed contentedly, while OwO is surprised.

    By all other accounts, the shooter is a man who knows his memes. It’s weird that he would get it wrong inconsistently. Not impossible, but weird.

    And this line:

    since trump got into office [my dad] has been pretty diehard maga.

    It reads like weird exposition, saying something the other person knows for the benefit of an unseen audience. It has a “since you’re my brother and an ornithologist” quality to it.

    Police routinely lie, and Kash Patel has utterly undermined the FBI and their role in the investigation, so I’m not trusting them, but my expectation is that these are accurate partial transcripts — mostly because it would be incredibly easy to disprove by getting the actual text messages from Verizon (or whoever their carrier is).

    5
  28. Michael Reynolds says:

    Hello, Chairman Xi? Have you seen this? Cool. So. . . how much will you give us for Bagram? –
    The Taliban

    President Donald Trump revealed on Thursday that the U.S. was trying to retake control of Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan.

    The president made the comments during a press conference alongside British Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer while criticizing the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan under President Joe Biden in 2021.

    The president said the U.S. was going to leave Afghanistan but keep Bagram. “We gave it to them for nothing,” Trump said. “We’re trying to get it back by the way.”

    “We’re trying to get it back because they need things from us. We want that base back,” the president added.
    —–
    Trump did say, however, that one reason America wanted the base back was “it’s an hour away from where China makes its nuclear weapons.”

    2
  29. Gustopher says:

    @Kathy: Or that Trump will die from being a billion years old, and then MAGA will tear itself apart as they fight for control.

    That’s my assumption, anyway.

    1
  30. dazedandconfused says:

    @Scott:

    I don’t like that guy either, but the people saluting him have to hold it until the salute is acknowledged by his returning of it. See page 2:

    Unless he wants to be rude he has to return the salute.

    1
  31. JohnSF says:

    @Bill Jempty:

    None of this is going to amount to a hill of beans.

    Well, it’s amounted to something for the UK Ambassador to the US, Peter Mandelsson, who was sacked a few days ago after the Epstein documents revealed he’d been sending sympathetic mails to Epstein after the latters conviction in 2008.
    Having formerly stated he broke links after that conviction.

    Ironic: it’s assumed one of the reasons for Mandelson’s appointment in the first place were his social connections to Trump and others in DC.
    I can’t help thinking the Services screwed up on this one: perhaps fell into the cracks between SIS and SS, and what gets relayed to the Cabinet Office as (lawfully)”known”, and what the PM and his staff actually pay attention to.
    Oopsie.

    5
  32. Kathy says:

    @Gustopher:

    It would depend how JD Vance does at the top. He might do something actually smart like rescind the crazy tariffs.

    On other things, we have the annual National Earthquake Drill tomorrow at noon. I think this year I won’t skip it like the past two years.

  33. Jen says:

    @Gustopher: The excerpts you’ve quoted are actually another thing that bothers me about the texts. It seems very odd to me that things are spelled out. I mean, if these are allegedly people in a relationship, the “remember when I was doing X, that meant Y” is strange. Assuming these are people in proximity when the activity is occurring (as is indicated by the “remember when”), wouldn’t the romantic partner have asked THEN? (“Hey, I see you are engraving bullets. What’s up with that?”). It feels like someone who is narrating a confession. Not someone who had a real-life interaction.

    Is it a sign of a conspiracy? No. Is it strange? Yes.

    ETA: Yes, this, exactly: “It reads like weird exposition, saying something the other person knows for the benefit of an unseen audience. It has a “since you’re my brother and an ornithologist” quality to it.”

    3
  34. JohnSF says:

    @dazedandconfused:
    It’s an odd US convention, it seems.
    British politicans never return salutes.
    Nor does the monarch; more junior royals who are formally officers do.

    The basis being: the politicians are civilians and therefore outside the military hierarchy; junior royals are often formally regimental colonels; the monarch IS the sovereign that is saluted.

  35. JohnSF says:

    @Scott:
    In fact Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have rather long-standing defence links, if less formally.

    There are reasons why the Saudis bought Chinese missiles that are only suitable for nuclear weapons use, due to high CEP, and if said missiles aren’t specced to mate to Pakistani warheads, you can paint me red and call me a radish.

  36. JohnSF says:

    @Michael Reynolds:
    My lord, but Trump is such a putz.

    What does he propose, landing the 101st at Bagram?
    Sanctions?

    Maybe it’s all just a cunning plan to make Xi die from uncontrollable fits of laughter?

    4
  37. Scott says:

    @JohnSF: That is the way it used to be done here in the States. Reagan the showman was the first to salute regularly. Eisenhower did it occasionally but he was a retired 5-star general and that was usually the context. It used to be understood that the Commander in Chief title did not make one military but was emblematic of the civilian control of the military. The VP is not in that line unless he is made President.

    But no one cares anymore about propriety. It is propaganda 24/7 these days.

    4
  38. gVOR10 says:

    @Kathy:

    I think the last slim reed of hope left is El Taco will tank the economy and produce a backlash.

    I fear they’ll pull a Reagan, tank the economy, then get re-elected (or whatever Trump or the minions are planning) on a Fed engineered recovery, however weak.

    2
  39. JohnSF says:

    @becca:
    Still plenty of flowers in my garden also.
    The buddleia is gowing brown, but the Lady of Shallott rose is still flowering away (definitely my most successful rose: for some reason it’s really happy!) .
    Also some geraniums
    The perennial sunflowers and Michaelmas daisies, rudbeckias, nasturtiums, autumn aconites, etc are only really now getting started, having been held back by the hot drought of this summer.

    Just hoping for some nice sunny autumn weekends to really appreciate it.

    The countryside grass is greening up again after the rain we’ve had over the last few weeks, after looking like an African savannah at the end of August.

    If every year now is likely to be as hot and dry in summer as the last few, and in particular this year, there are going to be have to be changes in garden plans: going to need more plants that can cope with less water in midsummer.

  40. gVOR10 says:

    @Gustopher:

    Police routinely lie, and Kash Patel has utterly undermined the FBI and their role in the investigation

    And the Governor prayed the killer would be an “other”. Seems to be trying hard to make that true.

    2
  41. gVOR10 says:

    @Gustopher:

    Police routinely lie, and Kash Patel has utterly undermined the FBI and their role in the investigation

    And the Governor prayed the killer would be an “other”. Seems to be trying hard to make that true.

  42. Scott says:

    Gotta love the rough and tumble of the British press:

    This Scottish Newspaper’s Cover About Trump’s UK Visit Is Going Viral

    2
  43. JohnSF says:

    @Kylopod:

    … let’s recall that he has criticized Israel for its treatment of Christians while being silent on its treatment of Muslims.

    Hardly novel; I recall a bunch of paleocons on blogs I visited from time to time back in the late 90’s/early ‘oughts who used to make frequent refrence to that.

    It’s a long-standing, if not so often, these days, explicitly stated, aspect of both Orthodox and Catholic dissatisfaction with Israeli policy, and indeed of the British Mandate, to some extent.

    In mandatory Palestine, iirc, about 10% of the Arab population was Christian; and mostly concentrated in Jerusalem and Bethlehem.

    A lot of the former in particular were displaced after 1967.
    They generally considered themselves to be the longest continually resident population of Palestine, but had also come to identify as “Arabs” (for an arbitrary value of “Arab”)

  44. JohnSF says:

    @Scott:
    Never mistake British state ceremonial performance for what most Brits actually think.
    Many may think it’s necessary, in the national interest, to schmooze the sod.
    But I doubt either the government or the Royals are, in private, to be numbered among the 19% of the UK polled who actually approve of him.

    1
  45. Kylopod says:

    @JohnSF:

    In mandatory Palestine, iirc, about 10% of the Arab population was Christian; and mostly concentrated in Jerusalem and Bethlehem.

    Nowadays it’s roughly 1-2% in Israel proper as well as the West Bank, while being ~0.1% in Gaza. It’s simply absurd (but also incredibly bigoted) to focus solely on the impact of the conflict on Christians and ignore everyone else. I’d also be curious to know what Tucker’s audience thinks is the percentage of Christians in those areas. While I’ve never watched his program beyond clips, I read that he had at least one Palestinian on–a Palestinian pastor.

    2
  46. dazedandconfused says:

    @JohnSF:

    I imagine our generals are contemplating a war with Iran and have mentioned Bagram as a place they’d love to have, but Trump’s mind simply grasps at the first straw it happens to come across and runs with it.

    Trump is hard-wired transactional. Ask Trump for anything and he reflexively asks for something in return. Wouldn’t be surprised if Trump asked for Bagram response to an ask for some baby formula for starving kids.

    2
  47. Jc says:

    @Jen:
    Agree that it is all very weird. The odd thing of the rush by all to assign this guy to some collective (guilty myself as well in trying to do so) is exasperating. When looking at him he was not registered with any party, did not vote nor espoused any type of identity or ideology, at least from what is out there, or consistently. It may just be a gay man struggling with mental health issues targeting someone he despised. The family, the interactions, the weapon, the history all these things here and there…it is quite a web of WTH? Guy may be a anomaly, which unfortunately means the constant quest to assign him to some collective ideology will just continue ad nauseum.

    3
  48. Gustopher says:

    @gVOR10: all I know about the governor is that he read “If you read this you are gay. lmao”.

    So, he’s gay.

    4
  49. JohnSF says:

    @Kylopod:
    Yes, its pretty bigoted.
    I mean, it’s understandable, I suppose in terms of the churches concerned.
    Whose actual bishops, and their actual congregations, are directly affected.

    But it’s really rather odd re American Evangelicals, who most traditional middle eastern Catholics and Orthodox would regard as a bunch of heretics in the first place.

    Incidentally, there’s an amusing, for arbitrary values of “amusing”, episode in mid 19th European diplomacy, when France and Russia were disputing the privileges of being “protectors of the Christians of the Holy Land” re the Ottoman Porte.
    Sounds anachronistic now, but it was serious at the time, and still has echoes in Orthodox and Catholic conservative circles in Europe to this day.

    iirc, a disproportionate number of the Palestianian diaspora in the US are Christian, so perhaps not that odd for Tucker.
    (Beyond Tucker being odd in the first place, and likely pandering to his almost-as-odd audience)

    1
  50. Gustopher says:

    @Jc:

    When looking at him he was not registered with any party, did not vote nor espoused any type of identity or ideology, at least from what is out there, or consistently.

    I think it’s more that a lot of people don’t understand the black-pilled Nick Fuentes Groypers enough to realize that they are an identity and ideology, because it seems so self-contradictory.

    The shooter definitely shared memes that were very popular with Groypers, and the roommate was often on /r/4tran, and /r/4tran4, Reddit groups for Nazi incel femboys and self-loathing trans folks who want to be one of the “good ones”.

    Was he a Groyper? Dunno, but he looked like one and travelled in those circles.

    It may just be a gay man struggling with mental health issues targeting someone he despised. The family, the interactions, the weapon, the history all these things here and there…it is quite a web of WTH?

    Nick Fuentes was either dating a catboy or pretending to date a catboy for the “lulz.” And that lovely group of the right is enamored of an ahistorical vision of the Roman Empire where “gay” doesn’t apply if the other man is feminine enough.

    There’s a lot of WTH? though. It’s pretty much all WTH?.

    I make no guesses as to the genders or orientations of anyone involved, if they are even really in a relationship. I think there’s a decent chance we would stare at their self identifications, and say “No… that doesn’t work. At least one of you has to be wrong.”

    3
  51. JohnSF says:

    @dazedandconfused:
    I personally doubt any US commnders are so silly.
    Bagram is about a thousand miles from eithe Tehran or the Gulf Coast areas, which would be the main focus of any serious US operation.
    And you have the teensy issue, for any helicopter ops, of the Hindu Kush.
    Arabia and the Gulf States are far more practical.

    I think the default is as ever: Trump is an idiot, who probaly glanced at a map and said
    “Gee, Afghanistan is kinda central in central Asia! Look, I’m a genius. Where’s my sharpie?”

    4
  52. Beth says:

    @JohnSF:

    I was under the impression that McSweeny was well aware of what Mandelson’s deal was. To me it seems like one more rake Sideshow Starmer gleefully jumped on.

    I’m also of the mind that Raynor should have paid the tax and penalties, told Starmer and his boys to fuck off, then grabbed her vape and danced away.

    Which reminds me, I need to register to vote and join the Greens and Hypnotits. I’ve been a life long Democrat and I’m not falling for milquetoast right wing centrist bullshit again. I’ll vote for Labour right after Streeting gargles my balls.

    @Gustopher:

    Huh, well, I learned something today.

    2
  53. Kylopod says:

    @JohnSF:

    But it’s really rather odd re American Evangelicals, who most traditional middle eastern Catholics and Orthodox would regard as a bunch of heretics in the first place.

    Charlie Kirk died in the middle of Mormon country, a religious group he almost certainly did not consider legitimately Christian, but kept that to himself because of the need to maintain the coalition. Hell, I remember reading that there was friction between Falwell and Robertson due to the latter being a charismatic.

    3
  54. JohnSF says:

    @Beth:
    McSweeney was well aware, as everyone was, that Mandelson had Epstein connections before his conviction.
    So did a lot of people: Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell were, imuho, running a classic “multi-level” entrapment operation.
    First there’s the “charitable” and “business” and “futurological” outer shell of “networking”.
    Once within the outer circle, you just tempt, stage by stage.
    That’s why a lot of people with nominal “Epstein links” pre-2005 are not necessarily culpable of anything.
    A lot of prominent scientists and charitable figures were linked during the early days.

    What does astound me is that SIS/SS did not warn the Brits concerned off: Ghislaine’s connections were screamingly obvious to anyone among the intel/security clueful from the outset.

    That aside, the point is, Mandelson seems to have assured everyone that after Epstein was convicted in 2008, he broke off.
    The recent releases indicate he did not.
    That is, he lied to the PM, it seems.

    IMHO it’s a stone cold certainy that “the Big Eye” aka GCHQ knew. But what they can actually tell, even in private, re UK citizens, is legally tricky.
    As I say, I suspect it fell into the cracks of communication and authorty between GCHQ, SIS, SS, Special Branch, and the Cabinet Office, and was only indicated in “hints” that McSweeney etc simply did not appreciate.
    Or just thought were “rumours”.
    So they asked Mandelson and he lied.

    They should have gone to the “services” and (off the record) asked: “is there dirt?”
    I suspect if Sue Grey had still been in post she’d have done exactly that.
    But for some reason no-one at No10 seems to have been smart enough to “go unofficial”.

    2
  55. JohnSF says:

    @Beth:
    The whole Rayner business is a farce.
    She got legal advice, seems to have handed it off to her solicitors and purchase agents, and everyone in the Tory press (and some Labour enemies) is bitching that she should have got a second opinion.
    I’m damn sure if I’d been told by my solicitor and estate agent “this is all fine” I’d have not bothered.

    It’s all to do with if it was, or was not, her, and her families, “primary” residence, and also because she had legal obligations relating to her childrens trust, relating to previous marriage.

    Meanwhile, Farage who claimed to have “bought a property” in the constituency he represents, is now blithely stating it had nothing to do with him, and it was just his partner buying a house there, for reasons best known to herself.
    And nobody gives a shit.
    Because reasons.

    Frankly, I’m pissed off.
    I rather liked Rayner.

    2
  56. Beth says:

    @JohnSF:

    Nothing I’ve seen of Starmer and his crew since I got here has given me any indication that they anything more than snobby, witless morons. Between Farage running circles around them and the “Island of Strangers” speech I’m shocked by how bad at this they are. That one pissed me off pretty bad, but I’m in a fairly unique situation of being both an immigrant and a citizen.

    Re: Rayner, it took me a bit to figure out what was going on, it it’s basically just a complicated transfer tax. I get that she has a whole lot of stuff that makes it complicated, but it really seems, to me, that posh Starmer and his boys figured they could just dump her because she’s a woman and get away with it. I realize there’s more to it, but shit. She shouldn’t have resigned. That picture of her in the tube with the vape really made her look like a normal person.

    What I fully don’t understand is how in both the U.S. and UK, ostensibly center-left/left parties can’t get their shit together enough to just say, “no, these people are just fucking lying.”

    3
  57. Kathy says:

    At first glance, this both makes no sense but feels reassuring: CDC panel recommends multiple shots for measles, mumps, rubella and chickenpox instead of single vaccine

    I counsel against being reassured.

    My first thought was “Sure, make it less convenient to get children vaccinated by requiring multiple vaccines; more expensive, too.” So fewer children wind up with the full complement of childhood vaccines, even before taking into consideration which require two doses to begin with.

    And then there’s the rest of the world. The US is a huge market. I wonder whether some pharmaceutical firms that make the MMRV vaccine will discontinue it, as it won’t be as popular in one of the biggest markets. this would complicate things for every other country in the world.

    2
  58. dazedandconfused says:

    @JohnSF:

    One can never have too many available bases in war, as bases can get pelted, and it’s nice to have the enemy defending multiple directions. The A-rabs are not exactly reliable allies. The Gulfies have oil and yuuuuge piles of cash which gives them leverage to buy minds as well as agendas of their own, while Afghanis can be more or less ignored.
    I am quite certain we have generals silly enough.

    Btw, the Hindu Kush mountains are located on the other side, between China and Afghanistan, not between Iran and Afghanistan.

  59. JohnSF says:

    @dazedandconfused:
    The Hindu Kush run across eastern Afghanistan from NE to SW.
    Kabul, and Bagram are on the eastern slope, away from Iran.
    The mountains between Afghanistan and China are the NE end of the range, and the Pamir and Karakoram ranges they join with.

    The more the merrier with airbases, but I doubt this is in any way a serious plan, outside Trump’s silly head.
    With possible exception of Hegseth, who is rather silly on his own account.

  60. dazedandconfused says:

    @JohnSF:

    Why are you arguing something as obvious and easy to look up as the location of the Hindu Kush mountains?

  61. JohnSF says:

    @dazedandconfused:
    Because you said the Hindu Kush are between Afghanistan and China; they are not.
    Just look at the map image I linked; or any other.

    Kabul and Bagram are east of the Hindu Kush, Iran is to the west, and that’s that.

    You could obviously fly high altitude aircraft, over them; but lower ceiling aircraft, such as helicopters, not so much.

    And I suggest you don’t presume to teach me about geography.