Mess in Minnesota
Going from bad to worse.

WSJ (“The Standoff That Has Turned Minnesota Into a Tinderbox“):
The collision of the Trump administration’s huge immigration operation and the enormous pushback from residents is leading to a tinderbox in Minneapolis.
For locals, much of the anger stems from the clash between the administration’s stated rationale for being in the area and the reality on the ground.
They are here, federal officials say, to find “criminal illegal aliens hurting Americans” after a sprawling welfare-fraud scandal involving dozens of Minnesotans of Somali descent gained national attention.
But residents see massive federal overreach in a place with a relatively small proportion of immigrants in the country illegally compared with other states.
Minnesota’s population of immigrants here illegally stands at an estimated 2.2%, about half the national average, according to the Pew Research Center. More than 90% of the state’s Somali population, the group highlighted in the fraud investigation, have some sort of permanent legal status, according to the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey.
[…]
In a statement Friday, Tricia McLaughlin, a spokeswoman for the Department of Homeland Security, said allegations that ICE engages in racial profiling were false, and that “obstructing federal law enforcement officers during the performance of their duties is not only dangerous but also a federal crime and a felony.”
“Law enforcement uses ‘reasonable suspicion’ to make arrests, as allowed under the Fourth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution,” she said.
Over the past 12 months, DHS has pushed personnel into one liberal city at a time with high-profile immigration actions, but the Minneapolis operation feels different on the ground. Some 3,000 federal officers are operating in and around a city of just 430,000, compared with a few hundred sent to Chicago—population of 2.7 million—this past fall.
Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers here and elsewhere are under pressure from daily arrest quotas that leadership has set at 3,000 a day across the country—the number it would take to reach one million arrests in a year, according to ICE officials familiar with the matter. Though ICE has never come close to meeting that daily goal, officers are rewarded for making arrests, even if the immigrants they take in are later released.
In Minneapolis, those officers are walking and driving through the largely residential city looking for people to arrest—and coming into close contact with angry and organized residents. That proximity helps explain why federal agents are clashing more with locals here than anywhere else.
[…]
A growing contingent of thousands of federal officers dwarfs the roughly 600 police officers in Minneapolis, leading some locals to believe they must protect themselves. Some City Council members now carry gas masks everywhere they go, and the Minneapolis Star Tribune editorial board described the city as being “under siege” by the federal government. Late Friday, a federal judge overseeing a suit brought by protesters imposed new limits on how immigration-enforcement officials can interact with demonstrators, including blocking agents from pepper-spraying or arresting peaceful protesters.
Sadly, the crisis seems to be escalating.
CNN (“Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz mobilizes state National Guard amid ongoing protests“):
Tensions are flaring in Minneapolis as protestors decrying ICE and its agents’ use of force face off with federal law enforcement and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz mobilizes the state National Guard to stand ready to assist.
Crowds of bundled-up demonstrators chanted and waved signs Saturday in subfreezing temperatures in downtown Minneapolis and at the Bishop Henry Whipple Federal Building. Extra measures were put in place in downtown Minneapolis with blocked roads and at least one hotel bolstering security due to the protests.
At the federal building, there were tense standoffs between federal law enforcement officers in riot gear and protesters. As a large group of officers approached the protesters from the federal building, the crowd responded with chants of expletives and boos. Some demonstrators urged the crowd to stay calm and stay together.
[…]
Walz has mobilized the state National Guard to support the Minnesota State Patrol, a spokesperson for the guard said Saturday. An official in the governor’s office said the move was a reconfirmation of Walz’s direction for the state National Guard to mobilize in support of the local law enforcement. The guard hasn’t been deployed.
[…]
Demonstrations now continue with new restrictions on federal immigration agents placed by a federal judge on Friday: Agents carrying out a sweeping operation in Minnesota can’t deploy certain crowd-control measures against peaceful protesters or arrest them.
The limitations came as word spread that the Department of Justice is investigating Walz and Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey over possible obstruction of federal law enforcement, sources familiar with the matter told CNN. The probe raises the possibility of criminal consequences for the two Democrats, who have repeatedly told protesters to remain peaceful and to “not take the bait” that could lead to a heavier federal response.
[…]
The National Guard is “staged and ready to respond,” Minnesota National Guard spokesperson Army Maj. Andrea Tsuchiya said in a statement to CNN. “We are not deployed to city streets at this time.”
Troops will help provide “traffic support to protect life, preserve property, and support the rights of all Minnesotans to assemble peacefully,” Tsuchiya said.
WaPo (“Pentagon readies 1,500 soldiers to possibly deploy to Minnesota, officials say“):
The Pentagon has ordered about 1,500 active-duty soldiers to prepare for a possible deployment to Minnesota, defense officials told The Washington Post late Saturday, after President Donald Trump threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act in response to unrest there.
The soldiers are assigned to two infantry battalions with the Army’s 11th Airborne Division, which is based in Alaska and specializes in cold-weather operations.
The Army placed the units on prepare-to-deploy orders in case violence in Minnesota escalates, officials said, characterizing the move as “prudent planning.” It is not clear whether any of them will be sent to the state, the officials said, speaking like some others on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military planning.
[…]
The Insurrection Act, a federal law dating to 1807, permits the president to take control of a state’s National Guard forces or deploy active-duty troops domestically in response to a “rebellion.” Invoking the act would be an extraordinary move and mark the first time a commander in chief has done so since President George H.W. Bush called on the military during the Los Angeles riots of 1992 that killed dozens of people and caused widespread destruction.
Typically, invoking the Insurrection Act is considered a last resort, when law enforcement personnel are unable to keep the peace during times of civil unrest.
Trump threatened Thursday to invoke the law, saying on social media that unless officials in Minnesota could stop protesters from “attacking” agents with Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he would “institute the INSURRECTION ACT” and “quickly put an end to the travesty that is taking place in that once great State.”
The situation is already well out of hand, with Renee Good killed by ICE agents and others shot. Minneapolis was already something of a tinderbox, with community-police relations incredibly strained by the George Floyd murder.
While I believe we ought enforce our immigration laws (and that our immigration laws should reflect the policies we want enforced), there does not appear to be any reasonable justification for a massive ICE presence in Minneapolis. There’s just not a major illegal immigrant population there.
This is compounded by the militarization of these officers. While there are circumstances where camouflage makes sense for domestic law enforcement, patrolling an American city is not one of them. Their being masked adds to this problem: they present as a secret police rather than as public servants.
That said, the nature of the protests is not helpful. Interfering with law enforcement personnel while they are carrying out their official duties practically invites confrontation and escalation. That’s particularly true when they are armed for combat.
Calling out the National Guard would only escalate the situation further. Having opposing militarized forces practically guarantees violence. And, have mercy, invoking the Insurrection Act and sending in active duty personnel would put all concerned into a precarious situation.
I think these words apply to you:
Of course, it’s not the racial stuff that really matters here, but rather the fact that – once again – the “reasonable moderates” are actively harming the cause of justice.
The Minnesotan protestors are the actual patriots here. The ones saying that their actions go too far are actively aiding and abetting the far, far bigger lawlessness of a fascist government.
It’s cowardly (at best).
That, not federal agents carrying out their orders, should be the focus of the protests. There were mass protests against the Vietnam War and smaller ones against the Iraq War. With rare exceptions, they didn’t target the soldiers who were drafted—or even volunteered—to serve, but rather those whose policies they were carrying out.
As noted in the OP, I think ICE’s tactics here are heavy-handed and counterproductive. To a lesser extent, that’s a problem with American law enforcement writ large, which too often see themselves as combatants in a war. But they’re sworn to arrest illegal immigrants who are violating American laws. Impeding them in those duties is intentionally provocative.
@James Joyner:
In Minneapolis of all places?
Against this kind of obtuseness even the gods are powerless.
@James Joyner:
If that were all they were doing it would be OK, but it isn’t. They are arresting people based on skin color or speaking with an accent. They are flat ignoring proof of citizenship such as and including birth certificates. They are roughing up people who are observing them, or recording them with cell phone cameras. Many other outrages, because Trump/Miller/Noem want the violence for various reasons, including the need to normalize fascistic behavior.
People with too much melanin, including citizens and green card holders, are staying home out of fear, not going to work or to school.
All of this needs to be resisted.
ETA: When I compared Miller to Heinrich Himmler and Noem to Ilse Koch, I was not kidding, I meant that.
More ETA: Did you not read those pieces I linked in yesterday’s forum about why Minneapolis was selected for this and why this behavior in general?
Putting a large number of armed men on the streets of any city will eventually lead to conflict; that is just an outgrowth of observable human behavior. Calmness, steadiness, and self control require a self discipline that doesn’t just arrive automatically when the government gives you a badge, and a lot of the ICE guys don’t even have badges that they display. Minneapolis is full of Americans; Americans have guns. The risks of violence are high. Trump knows this and is planning for it.
“Law and Order” was a slogan of a government conducting a pointless, losing war when I was young. Things haven’t changed.
Bullshit! Arrests require PROBABLE CAUSE, not merely reasonable suspicion.
Should it surprise anyone that a spokesperson for this fascist administration doesn’t know the law or the Constitution? Because it’s obvious at this point they respect neither.
@drj: There are certainly illegal aliens in Minneapolis. But, as noted in the OP and the WSJ report, it’s certainly not near the top of the list that would justify anything like this concentration of efforts.
@charontwo: The means of resistance is naturally going to lead to unfortunate escalation, especially given the poor screening and modest training these agents are getting. I don’t always read forum comments, especially on days when I’m otherwise busy as I was yesterday.
@Mikey: They can make stops based on reasonable suspicion, but yes, they need probable cause to make arrests.
@Mikey: I am very sorry to report that the current state of affairs includes that law enforcement can detain and hold you for 23 hours and not have to ever give anyone a reason.
What’s more, hours on the weekend don’t count. This is the legal state of affairs, and it has been so for a long time.
I think focusing on other aspects of this are better.
For instance, since when is observing and taking pictures “interfering”? If residents are “interfering” how are they doing so?
By the way, the testimony of the government and ICE is not admitted in the Court of Jay. They have shown themselves to lie constantly and repeatedly over just this kind of thing. They say one thing, but when it gets before a judge, it gets tossed out immediately.
So I say again, what constitutes “interfering”? What is being done? I hardly expect the answer is “nothing”. I expect somebody, somewhere in the Twin Cities to be doing stuff I don’t really approve of. That’s how this stuff works. Somebody will do something.
But what? I have seen nothing credible.
I will go a step further: they are as a secret police rather than public servants.
As someone who lives in the Twin Cities this piece is infuriating and, as I understand it, misleading as to the potential calling up of the MN guard.
First, the vast, vast majority of the protesters are engaging in their 1st amendment rights to protest against actions they consider an overreach (right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances…look it up). Blowing whistles (I carry mine every where I go) and following ICE vehicles, but not impeding them, is absolutely allowed as the US District Judge just ruled (see summary and link to the order here, https://www.fox9.com/news/judge-issues-restraining-order-banning-ice-retaliation-against-peaceful-protesters
ICE are actively causing accidents with vehicles by hitting them (like in Chicago), even when the drivers are persons not involved in protesting. They are dragging citizens out of their cars who are on their way to the doctor and using teargas and pepper spray on protesters exercising their constitutional rights. See again the District Court TRO. Grabbing citizens, taking them off-site and then, once confirming they are citizens, letting them go miles from where they started, in January, in Minnesota. Not to mention going door to door and breaking down doors with no court issued arrest warrants.
As for Walz getting the national guard ready to deploy, as I understand it it was not about protests about ICE but worries that the Nazi rally held yesterday by the Jan 6 character raised concerns that there might be a confrontation with counterprotestors that could get out of hand and which LEOs couldn’t contain. That did not happen as the Nazi protest had just a handful of participants (though lots of counterprotestors).
@James Joyner:
Those soldiers weren’t showing up at people’s houses without a warrant, breaking down the door, teargassing children, blinding people, and so on. Or, more accurately, they were, but not in the USA. Saying that this situation should be handled by regular non-violent protest is insane. What exactly are people supposed to do? Their mayor has said that the state is unwilling/unable to protect the populace from a set of invaders who outnumber the police. The people of Minneapolis seem to be showing a great deal of restraint in trying to protect themselves and their neighbors from an invasion. I don’t know how long that will continue.
So, yeah. Non-violent protest outside of Minneapolis, sure. But inside? It should be noted that the National Guard, if deployed, have had to broadcast that they’ll be wearing Hi-Viz vests to distinguish themselves from the people cosplaying as an invading military. Most of the people sent to Vietnam didn’t want to go. ICE agents have self-selected to be ignorant racist thugs who just want to hurt people.
Between this and that we appear to be about to go to war with Europe over Greenland, I don’t know how anything survives another three years of this. Trump et al is going to lose, as they’re willfully ignorant of basically everything, but I don’t know what it looks like on the other side.
@Kevin: While your points about ICE and what they are doing are correct I don’t think it is time, even in MSP, to abandon non-violent protest. The tactics of citizens of the Twin Cities have forced ICE/CBP to go around in large groups rather than small ones, cutting their effectiveness and reach, the whistles and horns are an effective warning system and the cadre of resistors using internet and radio to follow ICE actors are in the thousands.
But you are absolutely correct that, unlike Vietnam soldiers, these new ICE actors knew what they would be doing and are attacking US residents/citizens/cities.
Quoted for emphasis.
This kind of lame bothsidesism needs to die already. Pundits who peddle false balance think it’s measured and reasonable. It’s often just dishonest.
Nobody would “impede” ICE if they just carried out official deportation duties, as done sans violent confrontation throughout the Biden years. To the extent they’re suddenly being impeded now, it’s because masked ICE goons are suddenly tear gassing children, terrorizing and zip tying families in the middle of the night, racially profiling and illegally detaining US citizens, and kidnapping Latinos to torture camps without 5th Amendment due process. And now attacking the inevitable protest response to the point of tragic injury and death.
A suggestion the escalation here is from protesters looking to stop rote deportations is embarrassing disinformation. The provocation is ICE antics so vile that even the likes of Joe Rogan recognizes it as shockingly Gestapo-like, that ICE is at sixes and sevens with even the Minneapolis PD.
Bothsidesism should be deployed when appropriate to the facts. That’s sometimes the case, but not always. Reflexive bothsidesism regardless of fact is a bad habit, especially to aggrandize oneself as an avatar of fairness and moderation. People who do this think it makes them look rational; it actually makes them look vain and as unserious as the most intransigent reflexive partisans.
@Kevin:
Those deployed to Minneapolis volunteered to be assigned to this Minneapolis deployment, my emphasis added..
@Kevin:
This is becoming a cold war, not kinetic/military, as in devolving into a tariffs/trade war as T. has been made to understand he can’t do military. Republican senators are speaking out, saying things like “impeachment” and “end of presidency,” I believe this is getting through to him.
So, yeah, we are going to do tariffs and the EU will respond.
Appreciate the post and the discussion, but about this…
Policing in Minneapolis has been systematically improved since the George Floyd murder. Last Monday’s interview with Police Chief Brian O’Hara on the NYT Daily podcast gives a good look at his perspective of the state of the city’s policing and the impact of the ICE occupation. The city had already put in place sweeping police reforms including improved community relations and emphasis on de-escalation and revised use-of-force policies. IIRC, most of the officers on the force when Floyd was murdered are no longer with the Minneapolis Police. Things have improved, but the actions of groups of undisciplined federal officers are both counter to those reforms and creating conflicts that take the Minneapolis police away from their normal duties.
@jehrler: Sorry, perhaps I should have been more clear. Partly I’m not sure what James is envisioning happening in his world of perfect non-violent protest; are the people of Minneapolis supposed to picket outside of various Federal buildings and call it a day?
Please elaborate on the helpful and appropriate nature of protests when the federal government has sent a swarm of poorly trained thugs to attack and terrorize a community.
There are more ICE-holes in Minneapolis than police at this time. And the ICE-holes have been told that they have “absolute immunity” by the people at the highest levels of our government.
The protests have been loud, but peaceful, even when being routinely attacked with “less lethal” rounds aimed directly at their heads. The protests are acting to make the cost (manpower, mostly) of fascism higher, hopefully higher than the administration can afford. To limit the power of fascism by wearing out the fascists. To resist.
(Meanwhile, in Seattle, people like to gather in a park and hold up signs in a designated free speech zone while surrounded by police, and I hate them all.)
To the extent that this OP is a rumination on a tragic situation, I agree with James. But.
Brad DeLong had a Substack post recently that touches on our recurring theme of weak parties and on these protest, Thinking of a Very Loose Coalition as an Organism with a Single Heart, Mind, & Will Makes You Stupid. DeLong sees this as “a significant failure mode of human reasoning”.
He quotes a commenter, “Krenik”,
(DeLong notes there are far more consequences for GOP defectors than for Ds.)
It’s well and good to say, “That (lawlessness of a fascist government), not federal agents carrying out their orders, should be the focus of the protests.” There is a loose coalition of organizers and individuals protesting the provocation in front of them. There is no “the protesters” who can make such a decision. There is a loose coalition of organizers and individuals reacting to the provocation in front of them.
@Kevin: No problem. As for just protesting outside the Federal Building that is the command center wouldn’t help, protestors are being pepper sprayed there too.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
@Gustopher:
And this has been demonstrated by the fact Jonathan Ross is absolutely going to get away with an obvious (at least to those not in the cult) murder.