Trump: ‘A Whole Civilization Will Die Tonight’

The President has threatened massive war crimes.

So this happened on my drive into work this morning:

His previous declarations certainly evoked concerns about the possibility of war crimes being committed. But sending them “back to the stone ages” could be dismissed as hyperbole. While destroying all roads and power plants would be a crime against humanity, any given target could potentially be justified. But this is rather clearly a threat of mass murder of the civilian population.

It should also be noted that this is the same President who vowed to come to the aid of these very same people if their government cracked down violently on protestors. Now, he’s threatening to kill them at a scale that makes the regime look moderate.

If an actual Go order is given along these lines, a whole lot of people are going to have to make some very hard decisions. I do not envy them.

FILED UNDER: Crime, Law and the Courts, Middle East, Military Affairs, National Security, World Politics, ,
James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is a Professor of Security Studies. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm veteran. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.

Comments

  1. Moosebreath says:

    “A Whole Civilization Will Die Tonight”

    Reminiscent of the Oracle of Delphi’s advice, “The Oracle suggested vaguely that, “if King Croesus crosses the Halys River, a great empire will be destroyed.” Croesus received these words most favorably, instigating a war that ironically would eventually end not the Persian Empire but his own.”

    14
  2. Daryl says:

    He’s going to wipe out 92M people?
    Good luck, Fatso.
    He could drop a nuke. Or he could TACO. Which is more likely?

    3
  3. HelloWorld says:

    I really don’t understand whats going on here. The dystopia goes beyond just Mr. Trumps words. I don’t care what anyone says about Hitler cliches but we have been at that level for some time now. I don’t see the alarm at the highest levels of government, from either party. The enablers are all around – everywhere – and the closer to the top you get the more enabling they are.

    5
  4. Daryl says:

    Keep in mind this whole thing started because he had a “feeling.”
    He’s never given a good reason for this shit-show.
    So he wants to destroy a civilization for no reason.
    But, “her emails….”

    8
  5. Sleeping Dog says:

    @HelloWorld:

    It’s like watching a car accident. Horrifying but all you can do is watch.

    4
  6. charontwo says:

    There is an off-ramp still in play. Maybe?

    Wajeeh Lion

    The Diplomatic Lifeline: The Islamabad Accord

    ​Amidst this chaos, an unlikely coalition has presented an off-ramp. After Iran rejected an initial 15-point proposal from Pakistan and Turkey, a new two-phase framework emerged: The Islamabad Accord.

    ​Because formal bilateral talks are politically impossible, the Accord is engineered as an electronic Memorandum of Understanding (MoU). Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff, Field Marshal Asim Munir, has served as the sole communications conduit between U.S. Vice President JD Vance, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.

    ​The Accord is broken into two strict phases:

    ​Phase One (45 Days): An immediate, verifiable ceasefire halting all military operations by the U.S., Israel, and Iran, coupled with the mandatory reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping.

    ​Phase Two (15–20 Days): Formal, in-person negotiations in Islamabad. Iran must verifiably commit to permanently abandoning nuclear weapons in exchange for comprehensive U.S. sanctions relief and the unfreezing of sovereign assets.

    ​Pakistan’s role is driven by both history and desperation. Historically, the two nations share deep ties—they were Cold War allies in CENTO, suppressed a shared Baloch insurgency in the 70s, and Iran backed Pakistan in its 1965 and 1971 wars. Regional experts like Vali Nasr note Pakistan also enjoys the tacit backing of Saudi Arabia, allowing Riyadh to pursue de-escalation without directly conceding to Tehran.

    Domestically, Pakistan must end this war. Importing 90 percent of its crude oil, the strait’s closure has caused Pakistan’s import bill to explode, threatening double-digit inflation. Worse, the central bank warns that the ensuing debt crisis could wipe out the domestic banking system, which holds roughly 60 percent of the government’s domestic debt.

    The Sino-Russian Axis and China’s Shadow Fleet

    The Islamabad Accord is unique because it holds the active, public backing of China and Russia. Following an April 5 phone call between Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, the two nations formed a unified front.

    ​At the UN Security Council, Bahrain (representing the GCC and Jordan) introduced a resolution condemning Iran’s blockade. Despite being backed by 135 member states, China and Russia abstained rather than vetoing, allowing it to pass 13-0. This acknowledged the Gulf’s need for maritime security while allowing China to criticize the U.S.’s “root cause” aggression. Conversely, a Russian resolution demanding a halt to hostilities (which failed with only four votes) proved to Tehran that Moscow had its back.

    China’s pressure on Iran is absolute because of the “shadow fleet.” China relies on the Middle East for 45 percent of its oil and 20 percent of its LNG, and absorbs 90 percent of Iran’s oil exports. This oil is funneled through dark ship-to-ship transfers to Chinese “teapot” refineries holding opaque ties to state giants like CNPC and Sinopec.

    The following paragraph has some bogus numbers that slipped in somehow.

    4
  7. Assad K says:

    We may kill you all, we may not, WHO KNOWS. God Bless you.

    5
  8. steve222 says:

    We bombed North Korea “into the Stone Age”. End result? They got nukes.

    Steve

    4
  9. Jay L. Gischer says:

    “However, now that we have Complete and Total Regime Change, where different, smarter, less radicalized minds prevail, maybe something revolutionarily wonderful can happen”

    What on earth is he talking about? What regime change? You mean the new boss, which is same as the old boss, from what I can tell?

    I think this is his offramp story. They did the decapitation, they got a new leadership. He wants to posture a lot and remind everyone that he can nuke them. But they changed, so he won. He’ll take the settlement.

    Mind you, I don’t know, and I certainly wouldn’t want to make him think the story isn’t working…

    4
  10. charontwo says:

    It should also be noted that this is the same President who vowed to come to the aid of these very same people if their government cracked down violently on protestors. Now, he’s threatening to kill them at a scale that makes the regime look moderate.

    In Trump’s mind he is the only person in the world with agency, someone who actually exists with an inner mind. The rest of all people are merely NPC’s, non-playable characters in gamer talk.

    That’s part of being Trump’s special sort of nut job.

    10
  11. Gavin says:

    Sure, but the alternative was listening to conversations about diversity!

    13
  12. Kathy says:

    I want to think that if nukes were being seriously considered, someone would have leaked it by now.

    But I’m old enough to know what I want and what actually happens tend to be different things.

    3
  13. Assad K says:

    @Gavin:

    LATINX!!

    5
  14. Scott says:

    If an actual Go order is given along these lines, a whole lot of people are going to have to make some very hard decisions. I do not envy them.

    I wonder how deep the purge in the Pentagon and Armed Forces has gone.

    Which Senior Military Officers Were Removed or Asked to Retire Under the Trump Administration — and Why?

    The latest Generals purged were the Army Chief of Staff Randy George and the Army Chief of Chaplains Maj Gen William Green.

    And the guy who holds the football?

    Our government is ruled by fanatics who think Armageddon would be just peachy.

    5
  15. Eusebio says:

    If he doesn’t like being called a taco, then he should stop making threats that he won’t back up. Surely* this one will be another taco, although I expect some attack that he will claim is what he meant to do all along.

    Iran will probably respond to any major escalation with its own escalation, as they seem to have dry powder. They have made numerous recent strikes on Israel and on petroleum, financial, and high tech targets in GCC countries, demonstrating they are able to evade defenses that may be facing interceptor shortages. And the Houthis are still in reserve, so Iran may still call on them to shut down ship traffic in/out of the southern Red Sea.

    *Okay, not 100% sure, and something so consequential should not rely on a roll of the dice or the spin of the roulette wheel, or wherever the bouncing ball in his head stops.

    1
  16. Kathy says:

    @Moosebreath:

    Arguably American civilization died on November 5th 2024.

    5
  17. Kylopod says:

    War crimes?! He’s literally threatening genocide. We may argue about exact definitions of the g-word, but this is pretty unambiguous.

    Not that I believe this is actually going to happen. Trump is perhaps the weakest monster the world has ever seen. He’s not saying any of this from a position of strength; he is simply a cornered rat.

    5
  18. gVOR10 says:

    Milley, in Trump’s first term, reportedly took precautions against Trump using nukes. One hopes Caine has done something similar.

    WRT hitting civilian infrastructure, Adam Silverman at Balloon Juice writes,

    what I expect has happened is that OLC or the NSC counsel or White House counsel or the DOD senior legal counsel to SecDef have produced a legal memo, most likely referenced to a presidential finding of fact none of us will ever see, stating that all Iranian dual use facilities are legit targets because the Iranians use all of them for military purposes based on “intel analysis.” It’ll be complete bullshit, but it gives them what they think they need, which is legal top cover to ensure that the military follows the orders because they’ve produced a justification making the orders legal.

    The same may be true of nukes, at least tactical nukes. I’m not really expecting any refusal of questionably legal orders beyond maybe a few more quiet resignations.

    2
  19. Daryl says:

    Supposedly Fatso just told one of the entertainers at Fox that it’s on at 8:00.
    https://www.rawstory.com/trump-iran-2676674839/

  20. wr says:

    I just left phone messages — for the first time in my life — for my two useless senators, demanding to know where they are and what they’re doing while the president of the United States literally announces he will be ordering genocide in six hours, making me and them and everyone in this country party to the biggest act of mass murder in the history of the world.

    God knows it’s not usually hard for Schumer to find an available TV camera, and Gillibrand managed to summon up plenty of moral outrage when it came to getting Al Franken out of the senate. But now that Donald Trump is threatening to outdo Hitler, Stalin, Mao and Pol Pot, I guess they’re too busy having fun on their vacation.

    6
  21. Scott says:

    @wr: Usually my Senators (Cornyn and Cruz) (or their interns) are busy putting out Facebook posts. They’ve been strangely silent yesterday and today. They were busy putting out Happy Easter posts on Sunday but nothing since then.

    And thanks for reminding me to call and yell at them.

    2
  22. Eusebio says:

    Malcom Nance was especially animated in today’s Warcast Podcast, with an expletive-laced rant of a half hour plus on trump’s genocide threat. The second half hour is an update on the Iran war from Nance and his co-hosts (Jacob Kaarsbo, Waijeeh Lion). For those with limited time, this podcast can be comfortably listened to at 1.25X speed (maybe greater?), as the hosts speak deliberately and reasonably clearly.

  23. Kathy says:

    Beneath it all, there’s the sneaking suspicion El Taco is just manipulating the markets and pocketing loads of money on each trade.

    4
  24. JohnSF says:

    Utterly mad, and quite sickening.
    Both

    “A whole civilsation will die tonight …”

    and

    “God Bless the Great People if Iran!”

    and

    “… we have Complete and Total Regime Change …”

    Bloody hell.

    2
  25. Gustopher says:

    If an actual Go order is given along these lines, a whole lot of people are going to have to make some very hard decisions.

    I have very little faith that any of them will not follow illegal orders abroad. At home, maybe, but foreign lives don’t really have much value in the moral calculus.

    3
  26. Roger says:

    @wr: I just left phone messages — for the first time in my life — for my two useless senators,

    You inspired me to do the same with my senators. Given the fact that I live in Missouri, I have a pretty strong suspicion that they won’t care, even though Josh Hawley flirted with the idea of caring about Congress’s war powers earlier this year before he remembered who he was. Kinda feel the same way about this I did about No Kings–can’t imagine it will help, but can’t bear not to do something.

    3
  27. Kathy says:

    CNN reports El Taco claims to be in “heated negotiations” with Iran, and Pakistan is pleading for a 2 week extension to the genocide deadline.

    I think that’s a mix for TACO on a silver platter.

    Damn, I hope that’s what it is.

    2
  28. JohnSF says:

    UK government state US forces will NOT be permitted to use UK bases for strikes on Iranian civlian infrastructure targets.
    Good for Starmer.
    I’ve been a pro-Atlantic Alliance type all my adult life, but the UK must not be party to war crimes of this sort in Trump’s “war of choice”, and with sod all operational or strategic justification.
    It doesn’t even have the dubious merit of being likely to make the Iranian regime cave in on the Straits.

    And it’s increasingly clear that Trump is flailing about, and on the verge of being totally unhinged.

    6
  29. gVOR10 says:

    At LGM Robert Farley excerpts a new piece at NYT.

    Jonathan Swan and Maggie Haberman are writing a book about Trump administration foreign policy, and fortunately they have decided to tip their hand rather than hold out on us. First, on Bibi’s sales pitch:

    The (u. S.) intelligence officials had deep expertise in U.S. military capabilities, and they knew the Iranian system and its players inside out. They had broken down Mr. Netanyahu’s presentation into four parts. First was decapitation — killing the ayatollah. Second was crippling Iran’s capacity to project power and threaten its neighbors. Third was a popular uprising inside Iran. And fourth was regime change, with a secular leader installed to govern the country.

    The U.S. officials assessed that the first two objectives were achievable with American intelligence and military power. They assessed that the third and fourth parts of Mr. Netanyahu’s pitch, which included the possibility of the Kurds mounting a ground invasion of Iran, were detached from reality.

    When Mr. Trump joined the meeting, Mr. Ratcliffe briefed him on the assessment. The C.I.A. director used one word to describe the Israeli prime minister’s regime change scenarios: “farcical.”

    Within the cabinet, Mr. Hegseth was the biggest proponent of a military campaign against Iran.

    Mr. Rubio indicated to colleagues that he was much more ambivalent. He did not believe the Iranians would agree to a negotiated deal, but his preference was to continue a campaign of maximum pressure rather than start a full-scale war. Mr. Rubio, however, did not try to talk Mr. Trump out of the operation, and after the war began he delivered the administration’s justification with full conviction…

    The vice president thought a regime-change war with Iran would be a disaster. His preference was for no strikes at all. But knowing that Mr. Trump was likely to intervene in some fashion, he tried to steer toward more limited action. Later, when it seemed certain that the president was set on a large-scale campaign, Mr. Vance argued that he should do so with overwhelming force, in the hope of achieving his objectives quickly.

    I expect Vance and Rubio are leaking furiously to Haberman, trying to distance from Trump without actually opposing Trump.

    4
  30. Kathy says:

    @gVOR10:

    …were detached from reality.

    Gotta hand it to Bibi. You want to persuade El Taco, you have to speak his language.

    3
  31. gVOR10 says:

    @gVOR10: Gift link to the Swan and Haberman piece at NYT.

  32. JohnSF says:

    @gVOR10:
    Well, good for Ratcliffe, because farcical it was.
    The Kurds have plainly decided to nope this out (being screwed over by thw US reapeatedly being a learming experience, even for the ever-optimistic Kurds).

    And even if they had been able to secure Iranian Kurdistan, that would do sod all to remove Pasdaran predominance over core Iran.

    My gut feeling is that Netanyahu (via Witkoff and Kushner?) sold Trump on a near-maximal plan.
    Then Netanyahu bounced him into full-on regime kill on February 28th. With Trump too damn stupid to appreciate the consequences himself, and Netanyahu probably deliberately forcing the pace to get Trump’s approval before others in DC had the chance to persuade him that he was being cornered into an all-out war by Bibi.

    3
  33. Michael Reynolds says:

    Apparently it is TACO Tuesday. Pakistan cleverly offered a two week cease fire knowing Trump’s affection for two week delays.

    Just a reminder that we are one week from a new moon.

    1
  34. Gustopher says:

    @gVOR10:

    I expect Vance and Rubio are leaking furiously to Haberman, trying to distance from Trump without actually opposing Trump.

    Harris wasn’t able to distance herself from Biden, and I don’t think these two will have any more luck.

    They gave up Senate seats for this.

    Might work out for Vance — Trump is an old sick man, and if he drops dead, Vance will undoubtedly try to reshape Trump’s legacy to whatever he wants (“transgenderism is all about regulation on AI” or whatever). I don’t see anything for Rubio, unless he can somehow become the King of Cuba.

    2
  35. charontwo says:

    @Michael Reynolds:

    Trump accepted the 2 week extension contingent on Iran fully opening the Strait. I have seen no Iranian response. How long would it take for Iran to be able to respond? Also, opening the Strait seems like a pretty big ask.

    2
  36. Rob1 says:

    @Kylopod:

    Trump is perhaps the weakest monster the world has ever seen. He’s not saying any of this from a position of strength; he is simply a cornered rat.

    Except that, and notably, in his own mind, he has a loud cheering section that confirms he is both strong and smart and right. A virtual reality position of strength, albeit hallucinating. Which would be fine if he had just dropped acid and stood on the roof of one of his buildings, contemplating his own ability to fly. But here we are, shackled to this nutjob.

    2
  37. Rob1 says:

    @Kathy:

    sneaking suspicion El Taco is just manipulating the markets and pocketing loads of money on each trade.

    Or at the very least, some insider pals.

    2
  38. Rob1 says:

    @Michael Reynolds:

    His minders and whisperers determined that it was time to tweak his medication. Look for new bruising on his hands.

    2
  39. Slugger says:

    So, what are the odds that this last minute proposition from Pakistan has been on the table for some time, and all this rhetoric was more theater? Stay tuned, Pauline is tied to the railroad tracks, and the intrepid hero might not get there in time to save her!

    2
  40. Jc says:

    If this is not market manipulation I don’t know what is….2 weeks until the next whatever the fuck this is we are doing….TACO Tuesday. I’m done, I wish I could just stop watching…..everything!

    1