Friday’s Forum

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Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. Charley in Cleveland says:

    Here’s your ‘man of the people’:

    “The great big beautiful bill also slashed taxes on millions of Americans, small businesses, including restaurants, dry cleaners, corner stores,” the president said before pausing his speech. “What is a corner store? I’ve never heard that term. I know what a quarter store is, but I’ve never heard it described. A corner store. Who the hell wrote that, please?”

    “Corner store” is as baffling to the senile, mentally ill billionaire as the word “groceries” is.

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  2. charontwo says:

    Mideast follies:

    Wajeeh Lion

    The geopolitical landscape of the Middle East is undergoing a seismic shift, but the driving force isn’t traditional diplomacy. Instead, it is the unprecedented merger of United States foreign policy with the private financial ambitions of the Trump family.

    ​During President Donald Trump’s second administration (2025–present), his immediate family members—specifically Jared Kushner, Donald Trump Jr., and Eric Trump—have embarked on a massive wealth accumulation strategy. They are expanding aggressively into private equity, defense contracting, global real estate, and decentralized cryptocurrency finance.

    ​What makes this extraordinary is that these individuals hold no official government titles. Operating entirely outside the constraints of standard federal financial disclosure laws and the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA), they are effectively functioning as unofficial envoys. All the while, they are managing multi-billion-dollar portfolios funded almost entirely by foreign sovereign wealth.

    ​Using advanced open-source intelligence, corporate filings, and strategic modeling, investigators have pieced together a horizontally integrated strategy. United States foreign policy—from arms exports and drone bans to artificial intelligence restrictions—is currently moving in lockstep with the Trump family’s private corporate valuations. The financial results are staggering: Donald Trump Jr.’s estimated net worth has surged to approximately $300 million, largely via cryptocurrency ventures, while Eric Trump’s fortune has expanded to roughly $400 million through heavy investments in defense and autonomous systems.

    This is the story of how American executive power has been fundamentally intertwined with private financial gain, creating unprecedented conflicts of interest, profound intelligence blind spots, and deep structural vulnerabilities.

    Above followed by a variety of examples. Not just the Trump boys, Kushner too of course.

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  3. charontwo says:

    @charontwo:

    https://www.thedailybeast.com/donald-trump-admin-hands-20b-contract-to-weapons-group-backed-by-jared-kushners-little-brother/

    The Trump administration just handed a huge deal to a defense firm backed by the brother of the president’s son-in-law.

    The Defense Department has announced a new contract with Anduril Industries, Inc.—which counts Joshua Kushner, younger brother of Jared Kushner, among its major funders—to provide up to $20 billion in military equipment and systems.

    Large portions of the full contract notice, reviewed by the Daily Beast, are redacted. It nevertheless shows the Pentagon has now effectively agreed to treat Anduril as a go-to resource for computer systems, military hardware, and data infrastructure, as well as support and training for those services, over the next decade.

    […] The Pentagon awarded the contract to the Kushner-backed group under what’s known as a “sole source” framework, allowing the department to sidestep normal requirements for open competition among potential contractors if it determines that only one company can do the job

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  4. Kathy says:

    @Charley in Cleveland:

    Manypeoplesaythat it’s a store that sells corners. That’s where a cornerback goes to get his corner, and then heads to the back store.

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  5. charontwo says:

    png

    Prevail

    Baal Bearings

    Why does Iran keep showing Trump worshiping an ancient Canaanite god? And why does that same demonic deity appear in Donald’s own Jesus meme?

    For the last month or so, the Iranians have been releasing propaganda music videos, in which the likes of Donald Trump, Bibi Netanyahu, Pete Hegseth, and Melania—as well as the Iranians and even, in a more recent clip, the Pope—are depicted as Lego figures, over hip-hop dis-tracks that absolutely slap. They are creative, they are clever, they are catchy, and they troll “the Epstein regime” to great comic effect.

    Why Legos? Because Legos are toys, and showing these powerful people as little pieces of plastic kids play with is itself a dis. It’s also a low-key insult to the American audience; Iran is saying that it takes short videos with killer beats and animated toy characters for us to pay attention. Plus: The Lego Movie and The Lego Batman Movie were executive-produced, in part, by Trump’s former treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin. Oh, and: Legos are made in Denmark. Which owns Greenland. Still. Despite all the agro posturing by Trump and JD Vance.

    […] That the Iranians have been churning out these little masterpieces should be no surprise. Iran is a nation of 93 million people, many of whom are enormously creative, all of whom are enormously oppressed. Skewering Trump and Bibi and the losers in their orbit is a wonderful way to channel all that repressed creative energy.

    But there’s something odd I noticed in the videos, something that gave me pause. The rapper denounces Trump—and this is supposed to be a big insult—as a worshiper of Baal. Later in that same video, Trump and Bibi are shown bowing before a thronèd Lego Baal, depicted with horns, red eyes, a monstrous head, and cloven feet. The scene is reminiscent of the picture on the Devil tarot—but with a Star of David in place of the five-pointed Satanic star:

    […] I forgot all about Baal, until a week later, when Trump released that stupid Jesus meme of him healing the sick. At the top of the image, we see this:

    […] First off, Baal is not one specific deity. The word means “lord,” and was applied, four thousand years ago, to various local gods, designated by place-name, all around the Holy Land. There is even a record of Yahweh Himself being referred to as “Baal Yahweh.”

    […] Look at the still shot from the video again:

    Baal has the Star of David on his forehead. His throne is surrounded by prayer candles and Hebrew scrolls. He’s clearly being associated with Jews. Once we discover that Baal worship involved child sacrifice, the clip becomes a subtle, almost subliminal nod to the dangerous, hateful “blood libel” false narrative.

    […]An Israeli flag is a symbol of the Israeli government; but a Star of David, like the one on Baal’s forehead, is a symbol of Jewish people. It is not antisemitic to criticize Bibi, or the IDF, or Tel Aviv. It is antisemitic, dangerously so, to perpetuate the “blood libel” lie—which is what the Baal section of the video seems to be doing. This antisemitism must be identified, and it must be called out.

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  6. charontwo says:
  7. Kathy says:

    @charontwo:

    And El Taco will crow about it nonstop until the end of time.

    Of course, Iran had agreed to reopen Hormuz in the ceasefire announcement, which the Pakistani PM said included Lebanon. Iran also claimed it included Lebanon. When El Taco and Bibi claimed it didn’t, and attacks on Lebanon did not stop, Iran refused to reopen the strait.

    It’s important to remember these ancient history facts from a few days ago.

    It’s also important to note one thing: Iran does not represent that good guys in this conflict. I see it more as a simile to Elon’s Germany going to war with Stalin’s USSR. May they both lose. In war, as opposed to sport, this is a possibility*.

    They simply are not the aggressor. They’ve also been acting more rationally. So, there’s a natural tendency to trust them more, and to take their side more often. but one should remember they engaged in mass murder of their own citizens to quell protests just days before the war started.

    *A very remote one

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  8. gVOR10 says:

    @Kathy:

    *A very remote one

    Oh, I think it’s entirely possible, even likely, everyone loses, coming out of this worse than they went in.

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  9. Kathy says:

    @gVOR10:

    That can fairly be described as the outcome of WWI and WWII. Except in both cases, the US wound up either no worse off or better off, if we overlook hundreds of thousands of casualties in both conflicts.

    Arguably, too, the post 1945 reconstruction of Western Europe, emphatically including the Marshall Plan, left that part of Europe better off than it was in 1939. I’m not even overlooking the millions of casualties here. The reconstruction period ended in a continent largely at peace, in a balance of power situation, emphatically stressing NATO, which made a conflict like the two world wars very unlikely in the future.

    You know, the thing El Taco and Mad Vlad are trying to tear apart.

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  10. Daryl says:

    Karma…it’s pronounced, “HA!!!”
    https://x.com/SundaeDivine/status/2045104697443266999?s=20

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  11. Kathy says:

    Newly unsealed records, part of a lawsuit filed by California against Amazon, confirm that Amazon has been doing what everyone already knew Amazon has been doing.

    I won’t say it’s common knowledge, but such allegations against Amazon have been out there in the news, in Youtube channels, in social media, blog posts, etc., for years. Along with other uncompetitive, monopolistic practices.

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  12. Gustopher says:

    @Charley in Cleveland: It’s genuinely impressive that one can live in NYC and not recognize a corner store.

    I’m almost willing to give the benefit of the doubt on this one and just assume it is the type of normal day-today misfire that can happen when you parse something wrong or grab the wrong definition, rather than senility — I think senility leaves you remembering things from 30 years ago instead of today for the most part.

    Like when you read “therapist” as “the rapist” and then completely blank on what a therapist does. Or when you see the word “farfel” and know that either “falafel” or “farfale” has momentarily left your vocabulary.

    Huh, I wonder why I immediately think of “the rapist” when I think of our esteemed President?

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  13. gVOR10 says:

    Ezra Klein interviewed Ray Madoff, a professor of tax law, Our Tax System Should Make You Furious (gift link). Very long, but well worth a read. Basically, the very, very rich have the tax system they paid for. A few bits and pieces (bold is Klein):

    How does this fit with the statistic people might have heard, which is that, in this telling, our tax code is very, very progressive — almost ridiculously so. Forty percent of people pay no federal income taxes, and then the top 1 percent pay 40 percent of the income taxes.
    When you hear that, that sounds like a very soak-the-rich kind of code.

    Absolutely. And the problem with that statistic is it’s misleading on both ends.

    And even though 40 percent of Americans don’t pay any federal income taxes, they still pay significant payroll taxes.

    Indeed, today I just read a statistic that 80 percent of Americans pay more in payroll taxes than they pay in income taxes.

    But where it’s particularly misleading is when it comes to this top 1 percent. We see this all the time, whenever there are movements to impose more taxes on the wealthy.

    The stories start popping up in The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, The Economist — those are just in the past couple of months. They all say: What are you talking about? The top 1 percent are already paying 40 percent of the income taxes.

    And what this isn’t capturing is that statistic is referring to the top 1 percent of income earners. Those with the most income. High-income lawyers, doctors, finance people — they indeed are paying a significant chunk of the income taxes.

    However, when it comes to the wealthiest Americans — Zuckerberg, Bezos, Musk, Larry Ellison, all the people we hear about so often — they are just as likely to be in the 40 percent of nonpayers as they are in the top 1 percent of payers.

    That investigation found that year that Warren Buffett had what they call a true tax rate of 0.1 percent; Jeff Bezos had 0.98 percent; Michael Bloomberg had 1.3 percent.

    Because salaries are for suckers.

    And it turns out, selling stock is for suckers, too — but just slightly less of a sucker. You get to pay lower tax rates than you would if you were to take a salary. You don’t have payroll taxes. You just have this net investment tax, which is less, and you have a 20 percent capital gains rate.

    So that’s better than salaries, but not as good as borrowing against the stock.

    The Beverly Hills surgeon is going to pay a lot of taxes, probably in excess of 50 percent on all of their earnings. When they have however much they’ve accumulated over their lives, they’ve already paid significant taxes on that acquisition of revenue.

    However, our tech person who has a mere $180 million — not a billionaire, a piker — still has achieved this $180 million entirely tax free.

    Right. That double tax that hurts family farms and businesses, the death tax — that campaign was funded by 18 of the country’s wealthiest families in the 1990s.

    As I said, long. But a very understandable explanation of how the uber rich have managed to pay little or nothing back into the society that made them uber.

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  14. Kathy says:

    After finishing the Technomage trilogy, I re-read the novel, by the same author, Jeanne Cavelos, that’s advertised as a prequel, The Shadow Within.

    The story moves along two tracks. One is about Anna Sheridan trying to figure out what seems to be a biomechanical artifact from, she thinks, a dead civilization. This eventually leads to the ill-fated last voyage of the Icarus.

    The other track is about John Sheridan, anna’s husband, in his early days in command of the Earth Alliance cruiser Agamemnon.

    It’s the first time I re-read the book. Waaaay back when I first read it, I recall posting a rather acerbic, short review of it in a message board. I don’t remember what I said, but I called the post: A Shadow of a Novel.

    I think my issue is that the novel is supposed to fill Anna’s and John’s backstories, and doesn’t. We never see them together, not once. They talk directly to each other in one scene, and that’s it. There are no flashbacks of their relationship, either.

    We do know more about who Anna was, as compared to the show. That’s good, but not enough. We still don’t get any sense of who they were as a married couple.

    Otherwise it’s an easy read. Anna does archaeology, John deals with insubordinate, disgruntled crew. Morden is in it, as part of the Icarus archeology crew.

    Next will be the last re-read of a B5 novel. This one is much better, and I’ve re-read it a few times before. It’s about what Sinclair did in between arriving on Minbar to serve as ambassador, and the event of Babylon Squared on the show. The title is “To Dream in the City of Sorrows,” by Kathryn M. Drennan.

    She was married to JMS, and also wrote one of the better endings for a non-arc B5 ep: By Any Means Necessary

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  15. Kathy says:

    Re on my comment on chatbots giving bad medical advice, I tested Copilot by asking about the fake disease Bixonimania.

    It told me it’s fake (!) and that LLMs had previously answered it was a real disease, then it related some of what I linked to the other day. I assume this means the bots have been updated, or the internet buzz on chatbots treating fake disease Bixonimania as real has grown larger in their data-scraping.

    Now, I know the answers you get from a bot are not in any way what the bot thinks or knows, as it neither thinks nor knows. I know they are programmed to be agreeable and sycophantic, and to drive engagement* (be it for data mining or further training, makes no difference to me). Nevertheless, I asked it some more questions on the lack of judgment and confident hallucinations chatbots have grown notorious for.

    It agreed a lot with me, with caveats. It also tried to make the case that LLM chatbots are useful, really*. I then asked whether a specialized small language model, one trained only in a certain area of knowledge, might be more effective in, say, drafting legal documents, proofreading science papers, etc.

    It kind of agreed, but then proceeded to talk down SLMs, with links to sources from disinterested entities like OpenAI and Anthropic. Funny how that works.

    *I’ve found the agreeable, sycophantic part of the model useful for one minor diversion I’d rather not get into, and even then I do 90% of the creative work. It’s a fine timewaster when I’m too tired to spend my time productively.

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  16. JohnSF says:

    @charontwo:
    Or not.
    Iran, like the US, is attempting to play games with the details.
    As might be expected.
    But eventually, the patience of others is going to run out.

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  17. JohnSF says:

    @charontwo:
    If you pay attention to Iranian propaganda, it’s quite interesting.
    Similar to Russian, but also not.
    The whole idolatory thing is something that plays to Muslims, both Shia and Sunni, and also to “conservative” Christians outside the (rather odd) political context of the US.
    The whole “Trump as Messiah”and “Trump vs Pope” thing is really , seriously, damaging to the perception of Trump in many countries where the general public have generally not given a damn.

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  18. JohnSF says:

    @Kathy:
    From the pov of the US, perhaps.
    But both the Second and Third Reichs were intolerable to the UK (and France).
    The British decisions to fight both to the death were not frivolous.
    The Germany of Kaiser Wilhelm II was less appalling than that of Hitler; but still rather nasty.
    In both cases, at enormous cost, an unacceptable outcome was averted.
    And now we have MAGA chanting “Ethno-nationalist agression? Hell yeah!”

    Europe is arguably far more potentially dangerous than either China or Russia could ever hope to be.
    And here’s MAGA, merrily pissing off a Europe including the UK for the shitz and giggles.
    Foolish.

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