May Day Forum

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Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. Scott says:

    After sworn testimony, more facts come out.

    Iran war’s true cost closer to $50 billion, not $25 billion, U.S. officials say

    The true price tag of the Iran war is closer to $50 billion, U.S. officials familiar with internal assessments told CBS News, roughly double the public estimate the Pentagon cited in congressional testimony this week.

    In testimony Wednesday on Capitol Hill, a Pentagon official placed the cost of the Defense Department’s Operation Epic Fury at about $25 billion, a figure that did not fully account for damaged or destroyed equipment or U.S. military installations damaged.

    Repairing damaged US military bases will add billions to Iran war cost, sources say

    The $25 billion estimate that a top Pentagon official gave to lawmakers on Wednesday for the total cost to date of the Iran war is a lowball figure that does not include the cost of repairing extensive damage suffered by US bases in the region, three people familiar with the matter told CNN.

    One of the sources said the real cost estimate is closer to $40-50 billion when accounting for the costs of rebuilding US military installations and replacing destroyed assets.

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  2. Scott says:

    Book Recommendation:

    Been reading A Woman of No Importance: The Untold Story of the American Spy Who Helped Win World War II by Sonia Purnell.

    The book is as good as the blurb:

    In 1942, the Gestapo sent out an urgent transmission: “She is the most dangerous of all Allied spies. We must find and destroy her.”

    The target in their sights was Virginia Hall, a Baltimore socialite who talked her way into Special Operations Executive, the spy organization dubbed Winston Churchill’s “Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare.” She became the first Allied woman deployed behind enemy lines and–despite her prosthetic leg–helped to light the flame of the French Resistance, revolutionizing secret warfare as we know it.

    Virginia established vast spy networks throughout France, called weapons and explosives down from the skies, and became a linchpin for the Resistance. Even as her face covered wanted posters and a bounty was placed on her head, Virginia refused order after order to evacuate. She finally escaped through a death-defying hike over the Pyrenees into Spain, her cover blown. But she plunged back in, adamant that she had more lives to save, and led a victorious guerilla campaign, liberating swathes of France from the Nazis after D-Day.

    Based on new and extensive research, Sonia Purnell has for the first time uncovered the full secret life of Virginia Hall–an astounding and inspiring story of heroism, spycraft, resistance, and personal triumph over shocking adversity. A Woman of No Importance is the breathtaking story of how one woman’s fierce persistence helped win the war.

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  3. Michael Cain says:

    @Scott:
    There is some chance some or all of those bases will be abandoned rather than rebuilt. One of the strategic questions the press is largely ignoring is who defends the Arab Gulf states against Iranian drones and missiles? The way things are shaping up with the US defensive missile supply, the US is probably not the answer to that question. There have been a number of reports that the KSA is eager to spend a lot of money buying defense gear from Ukraine. And the completely unstated possibility is Iran — if Iran’s not shooting at the other Gulf states, there’s no need to defend. There’s lots of weird ways the regional situation could settle out.

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  4. Assad K says:

    Definitely need to keep records of what was said and done and bring them up ALL THE TIME. I keep thinking about making notes every day..

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/did-come-trump-remains-disengaged-170427505.html

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  5. Scott says:

    The endless lament is that we have to wait until Senators have nothing at stake for them to do the right thing.

    ‘Just go to Hell’: Ed Martin, Thom Tillis squabble amid Tillis’ anti-Jan. 6 litmus test

    “Being hated by idiots is the price you pay for not being one of them,” Sen. Thom Tillis wrote on X Thursday.

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  6. Gregory Lawrence Brown says:

    The Huck’s and Circle K that just yesterday charged a new price of $4.799/gal are today charging $4.999/gal for unleaded regular.

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  7. Neil Hudelson says:

    I’m chaperoning our town’s second grade field trip to the zoo. Eight elementary schools worth of 8 year olds. Its been 30 minutes and I am not sure if I’m going to make it.

    Teachers do this every day. A reminder they are made of tough stuff.

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  8. Neil Hudelson says:

    @Gregory Lawrence Brown:
    3.28 here last week. 3.65 Monday, 4 Tuesday, 4.50 Wednesday, $5 yesterday. And thats with a suspension of the states gas tax which will expire next week, shooting it up to around $6.

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  9. Jay L. Gischer says:

    @Assad K: The problem here is that Trump could simply be lying to avoid talking about something. As in, he knows about the decision, but he doesn’t want to touch it. He doesn’t want headlines linking him to it.

    I mean, yeah, that’s a problem, but it’s not a problem with incapacity.

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  10. gVOR10 says:

    Over at his Substack, Phillips O’Brien offers a little hope. He notes that the administration seems to be less confused about war aims and is settling on denying Iran nuclear weapons. He takes this as a sign of a possibility, not a probability, that we may be close to ending the war on an agreement designed to let Trump claim a victory on nuclear weapons so he can quit. Let us pray.

    O’Brien also notes that JD seems to be on the outs with Trump and that there is talk of The Apprentice being rebooted with Don Jr. Perhaps viewed as a step toward Jr. following daddy’s steps into the White House.

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  11. Jen says:

    @Scott: It’s an excellent book! Virginia Hall’s contributions to spycraft are so notable that the CIA named its training facility after her.

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  12. DK says:

    @gVOR10: Iran’s leadership is as crazy and irrational as America’s current regime, but they must see that the Straight of Hormuz is a more effective trump card for them than their nuclear program — at least until the US, European, and Pacific states come to their senses on nuclear and renewable energy.

    The children in D.C. and Tehran could both declare victory and stop the madness, if they weren’t both stubborn whackjobs.

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  13. Charley in Cleveland says:

    There he goes again! Trump says he will impose a 25% tariff on European Union made autos, even though (1) the Supreme Court has already told him he cannot use an imaginary economic emergency to impose a tariff, and (2) there is a trade agreement in place with the EU in which it and Trump agreed to a 15% tariff ceiling. Trump claims the EU isn’t complying with the deal, but naturally doesn’t give any evidence of non-compliance. Trump is likely to claim (fabricate) a national security situation exists that allows him to bypass congress. When the Supreme Court said Trump’s previous tariffs were illegal, the EU didn’t take advantage:

    “A deal is a deal,” the European Commission said in February after the Supreme Court ruling. “As the United States’ largest trading partner, the EU expects the U.S. to honor its commitments set out in the Joint Statement — just as the EU stands by its commitments. EU products must continue to benefit from the most competitive treatment, with no increases in tariffs beyond the clear and all-inclusive ceiling previously agreed.”

    But a deal is only a deal if a certain narcissist is in a good mood:

    Lincicome* also said Trump’s threats are “just another example of why these trade deals are vaporware. They all rely on handshakes and winks and hopes that Trump doesn’t get mad about something.’’

    *Scott Lincicome is with the Cato Institute’s Center for Trade Policy Studies, and knows BS when he sees it.

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  14. dazedandconfused says:

    Something I’ve long wondered about but never looked up:

    “Mayday” is used as the international radiotelephone distress signal because it is the phonetic equivalent of the French phrase m’aider, which means “help me”.

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  15. Gregory Lawrence Brown says:

    @dazedandconfused:..from WikiP:

    The “mayday” procedure word was conceived as a distress call in the early 1920s by Frederick Stanley Mockford, officer-in-charge of radio at Croydon Airport, England. He had been asked to think of a word that would indicate distress and would easily be understood by all pilots and ground staff in an emergency. Since much of the air traffic at the time was between Croydon and Le Bourget Airport in Paris, he proposed the term “mayday”, the phonetic equivalent of the French m’aider.

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  16. dazedandconfused says:

    @Gregory Lawrence Brown:

    Yes. For extra credit: PAN PAN PAN is another French derivative.

    PAN PAN PAN (pronounced pahn-pahn) became the international standard radio urgency signal in 1927, derived from the French word panne (breakdown).

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  17. CSK says:

    @Neil Hudelson:

    You’re a very brave person.

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  18. Kathy says:

    Speaking of distress in aviation, it looks like Spirit will cease operations any minute now.

    I’ll have more to say about it tomorrow. Today I’m beat from working on a day off…

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