Fixing the Redistricting Mess

It won't be easy.

Obama administration Attorney General Eric Holder takes to the NYT to proclaim, “This Redistricting Chaos Must End.” He spends most of the essay explaining why the ongoing gerrymandering fight is dangerous and how we got here, both of which regular readers here are well acquainted. What’s more interesting is his proposed fix.

The next time Democrats take control of Congress and the White House, their top priority must be to rebuild and reimagine American democracy, creating a system that, more than ever before, reflects and is responsive to the will of the American people. That means banning partisan gerrymandering — and much more.

[…]

In the short term, pro-democracy forces can ask state courts to toss skewed maps in states that restrict partisan gerrymandering. Meanwhile, if Republicans continue to redraw their maps for partisan advantage, Democratic states must be willing to respond by redrawing maps in the states they control, even if it means suspending for a time the independent redistricting commissions that I have fought for.

Despite the obstacles that the Roberts court and the Republican Party have put in front of them, citizens must use the power they have to vote in local, state and federal elections to begin to carve a path to ultimately achieve much-needed reforms.

[…]

Long term, Congress needs to pass new voting rights legislation and reform the Supreme Court, so that this hyper-ideological majority cannot use a skewed reading of the Constitution to block laws that protect democracy.

When Democrats eventually take control of Congress and the White House, top of their list should be banning partisan gerrymandering and mid-decade redistricting, along with reviving protections against racial gerrymandering and guarding against other forms of voter suppression. Democratic senators should exempt such a bill from being filibustered, preventing Republicans from blocking it.

[…]

Even this would not be enough. The Supreme Court’s destruction of the Voting Rights Act, a law that was enacted and repeatedly reauthorized in Congress with overwhelming bipartisan support and under multiple Republican presidents, shows that democracy reforms will be at legal risk as long as a radical court majority rules with obvious favoritism for one side. Senate Republicans constructed this majority by freezing out Democratic court nominees while fast-tracking Republican ones. The court needs to be reined in and reinvigorated.

Congress should impose Supreme Court term limits of 18 years, a binding code of ethics that applies to the justices and a provision that requires a new justice to be appointed in the first and third years of each presidential term. This would expand the court’s membership at first, but, over time, the court would revert to a nine-member institution. Vacancies and appointments would be less subject to partisan manipulation and drama, and public confidence in the court’s independence would grow.

This is . . . a lot. And maybe not enough.

First and foremost, it requires Democrats winning back the White House, the Senate, and the House of Representatives under conditions that give Republicans a significant thumb on the scale. The Electoral College and Senate have long given the party an advantage, and the very problem Holder is attempting to solve does so in the House.

Those hurdles cleared, you would need to have majority support in both Houses for “banning partisan gerrymandering and mid-decade redistricting, along with reviving protections against racial gerrymandering and guarding against other forms of voter suppression.” I’m not sure what “banning partisan gerrymandering” looks like in practice, but it would seem to be within Congress’ express powers. Banning mid-decade redistricting (presumably, a return to the standard practice of redistricting pursuant to the decennial census, effective with the year ending in 2) certainly would. I have no idea what “guarding against other forms of voter suppression” looks like, but it may be within Congress’ power. Certainly, the enforcement provisions of the VRA having been struck down, “reviving protections against racial gerrymandering” would not.

While I certainly defer to Holder’s legal expertise, it has long been understood that Article III’s declaration that, “The Judges, both of the supreme and inferior Courts, shall hold their Offices during good Behaviour” confers lifetime appointments. Imposing 18-year term limits, which I would support, would therefore almost certainly require a Constitutional amendment.

Assuming majority support in both Houses of Congress, I believe a judicial code of ethics and the appointment of a new Justice in the first and third years of every presidential term would survive Constitutional muster. But it likely wouldn’t achieve Holder’s goal. The Democratic President would only be guaranteed a Democratic Senate for the first of those appointments. S/he would need to preserve the Senate majority in the midterms to be guaranteed confirmation of the second Justice. And that would, barring retirements, only give us a 6-5 Court with a Republican swing Justice. It would require the re-election of said Democrat and keeping the Senate for a third consecutive cycle to reach 6-6, and keeping the Senate through the midterms to reach a 7-6 Democratic majority.* (Granted, it’s unlikely the current Republicans all survive that long.)

All of this, mind you, just gets us back to the status quo ante.


*It is not at all clear how or why “over time, the court would revert to a nine-member institution.” Nor, honestly, is it obvious why we would want it to. A process with regular appointments to the Court would solve many problems created by the fixed size, which effectively invites timing judicial retirements with the partisan control of the White House.

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James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is a Professor of Security Studies. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm veteran. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.

Comments

  1. Neil Hudelson says:

    Every single proposal for trying to ‘fix’ gerrymandering operates from the assumption that geographically-based, single-member districts must exist. Why? Fucking why??? Overturn the Uniform Congressional District Act and enact multi-member districts. Or, [insert host of other ways to structure and elect the House].

    It’s like if we were all in a boat that is just filled with holes that, for some reason, we all shot into the bottom over the course of 100 years. We could spend time plugging the holes, and we could definitely pass laws that say no more shooting holes into the boat or ELSE, and we could put term limits on the people shooting the guns into the bottom of the boat.

    Or we could just get a new, bullet proof fucking boat.

    First and foremost, it requires Democrats winning back the White House, the Senate, and the House of Representatives under conditions that give Republicans a significant thumb on the scale.

    That’s going to be true about any law pertaining to any subject. If the Democrats are able to achieve that trifecta, instead of passing a dozen odd bills tinkering with a broken system hoping to unbreak it, they need to pass a single bill that creates a new system.

    Am I missing something here? Why do leaders who ostensibly want to unbreak our system insist on keeping a system that’s so goddamn breakable?

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  2. Tony W says:

    Regarding judicial tenure, I maintain that, without any change to the Constitution, we could pass legislation that rotates SCOTUS justices on and off the SCOTUS, using fixed terms, as long as they remain federal judges for life once their time on SCOTUS is over. Further, we could expand the court to 13 justices – one per circuit.

    It is well past time for the Democrats to start playing hardball.

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  3. Charley in Cleveland says:

    The most accessible of Holder’s wish list is the goal of creating a binding ethical code for the Supremes. Such a code already exists for lower court judges. Just like it took a Trump to spur the notion that presumed ethical conduct needed to be codified, the shameless antics of Clarence Thomas and, to a lesser extent, Sam Alito, have done the same for Supreme Court justices.

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  4. James Joyner says:

    @Neil Hudelson: I agree that some sort of proportional representation with multi-member districts is a better fix. It’s just a harder hill to climb because it seems so foreign to the American experience.

    @Tony W: Ultimately, the Supreme Court would rule on such a proposal and, I strongly suspect, the vote would be 9-0 against. And they’d be right to do so: “The Judges, both of the supreme and inferior Courts, shall hold their Offices during good Behaviour” clearly delineates the Supreme Court as a separate body.

    @Charley in Cleveland: Agreed.

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