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2016 Congressional Election Predictions

My predictions for the House and Senate.

2016 Presidential Election Prediction

And the winner is……

Bill Maher’s Mea Culpa

With Donald Trump on the ballot, Bill Maher regrets some past words. He shouldn’t be the only one.

A Final Look At The Polls

With just one day to go, Clinton’s paths to victory continue to look far more realistic than Donald Trump’s.

My Final EC Prediction

I say: Clinton 323 and Trump 215.

Janet Reno, First Female Attorney General, Dies At 78

Janet Reno, who served as Attorney General for nearly all of the Bill Clinton Administration, has died at 78.

F.B.I. To Congress: Never Mind

F.B.I. Director Comey tells Congress that it’s investigation into new emails revealed no information to change its conclusions about Hillary Clinton and her email server.

Anyone But Trump

Even if you’re not sure who you should vote for, it’s obvious who you shouldn’t vote for.

As The Revolving Door Turns

A senior congressional staffer is taking a new job that happens to coincide with her boss’ committee assignment.

Trump, Populism, and Anti-Semitic Dog Whistles

Distinguishing between anti-elite populism and coded anti-Semitism is next to impossible.

A Stunning Contrast

Obama v. Trump in handling protesters at rallies (and a helping of untruth from Trump).

Meh Hillary

It has become necessary to destroy the party in order to save it.

California, Four Other States, Set To Vote On Marijuana Legalization

If polls are any indication, voters are set to legalize marijuana in five more states on Tuesday.

Polls, Polls, Polls.

Looking beyond FiveThirtyEight

Former Chris Christie Aides Convicted In Bridgegate Trial

Two of Chris Christie’s closest aides were convicted in the criminal trial resulting from the ‘Bridgegate’ scandal.

Rolling Stone Loses Defamation Suit In University Of Virginia Rape Case

Journalistic malpractice has real consequences.

Electoral College Wargames And Paths To Victory

A look at the Electoral College shows that It is far more likely that Hillary Clinton will win the election than that Donald Trump will.

October Jobs Report Shows Resilient Jobs Growth

Another month of resilient, but not noteworthy, jobs growth.

A Minimal Win?

A True Baseball Fan

Cubs Break 108 Year Old Drought, Win World Series

A drought that began when Theodore Roosevelt was President has finally come to an end.

Your Ballot Selfie May Or May Not Be Legal

Depending on what state you live in, taking a picture of your ballot and yourself on Election Day may or may not be legal.

Bush Family Member Says Bush 41 And 43 May Vote For Clinton

Are these the faces of Clinton voters? George P. Bush thinks so.

I’m A Political Junkie, But 2016 Has Burned Me Out

I’ve been something of a political news junkie for 40 years now. This year has burned me out.

With One Week To Go, The Presidential Race Tightens But Clinton Still Has The Advantage

Seven days from now, millions of Americans will be headed to the polls. So far at least, Hillary Clinton is still the front runner.

Early Polling Shows Little Impact From Additional Revelations About Clinton Email Investigation

For now at least, it looks as though last week’s email news is having little impact on the state of the race for President.

Early Voting Seems To Favor Democrats

Early voting is favoring Democrats in a wide variety of swing states.

Clinton’s Lead Shrinking Ever So Slightly

Her numbers are steady; he’s reclaiming Republican voters.

Supreme Court To Decide Case Involving Transgender Student’s Use Of Bathroom

The Supreme Court has agreed to hear a case involving Federal law and the rights of transgender students.

Some Poll Observations

Some musings on the RCP average and such.

F.B.I. Investigating New Emails That May Or May Not Be Connected To Hillary Clinton

A late Friday news dump by the Director of the F.B.I. has thrown a confusing curve ball into the race.

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Would Senate Republicans Really Block Any Supreme Court Nomination Hillary Clinton Makes?

Two Republican Senators are exchanging barbs over the idea that the GOP should block any attempt by Hillary Clinton to nominate anyone to the Supreme Court if she becomes President.

Initial G.D.P. Reports Show Stronger Growth In The Summer

Initial reports for the third quarter show strong economic growth during the summer;

Joe Biden For Secretary Of State?

According to reports, Vice-President Biden is on a Clinton campaign short list for Secretary of State.

GOP Committee Chair Says Investigations Will Continue If Hillary Clinton Becomes President

Get ready for more hearings if Hillary Clinton becomes President.

Clinton-Cartwright Comparisons Don’t Hold Up

Clinton is getting no special treatment by the standards of her high-powered peers.

Clinton, Inc.

The personal, the political, and the Foundation are so intertwined as to be one enterprise.

The McMullin Factor

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Down-Ballot Republicans Campaigning As If Clinton Has Already Won

Republican candidates for the Senate and House are campaigning on the argument that they will be a bulwark against a Clinton Presidency.

It’s Two Weeks Until Election Day, And Things Are Looking Very Good For Hillary Clinton

Two weeks before Election Day, everything seems to be going Hillary Clinton’s way.

Polling Illiteracy

While not quite the great unskewing of argument past, here is an example of why non-experts need to avoid critiquing polling.

Chicago Cubs Break Decades Long Curse With NLCS Win

The last time the Cubs were in the World Series, World War II had just ended. Now, they have a chance to break one of the longest droughts in sports history.