Will Trump Leaners Come Home to Biden?

The weirdness of this year’s polling gives the President’s team hope.

Do Democrats Have A Shot At Unseating Lindsey Graham?

Democrats in South Carolina seem to think they have a shot at beating Lindsey Graham in 2020. I wouldn’t be so sure of that.

No Mr. President, There Isn’t Going To Be A “Red Wave” In November

President Trump claims that November will see a “red wave” rather than the “blue wave” that most analysts are expecting. There’s no evidence to support his hypothesis.

West Virginia Supreme Court Bars Third-Party Candidate From Ballot

The West Virginia Supreme Court has ruled that a candidate who lost the GOP primary for Senate cannot run as the nominee of another party due to the state’s “sore loser” law.

Kevin Williamson Doesn’t Want Women Murdered and Doesn’t Belong at The Atlantic

Argumentation without the intent to persuade is masturbation, not journalism.

Republican Midterm Optimism Mostly Misguided

Recent polls have caused Republicans to become more optimistic about their chances in this year’s midterms. That optimism is both premature and misplaced.

In Many States, It’s A Midterm Election In Name Only

In many states, there aren’t really any races at all this year even if both parties have candidates on the ballot.

A Contrarian Analysis Of The 2014 Midterms

One analyst thinks that the predictions of a Republican Senate in 2014 are wildly optimistic.

Republicans Hold Edge In Battle For Senate Control

Thanks to favorable polling numbers and candidate selection, winning the Senate may very well be in the GOP’s grasp.

The State Of The Union Is Pointless

Tonight, the American political system stops to engage in the biggest waste of time ever invented.

Republicans Take Slight Lead in Generic Congressional Ballot

So far at least, the 2014 elections do not appear likely to be a political earthquake on the scale of 2006, 2008, or 2010.

The “Obama Scandals” Could Backfire On Republicans

The GOP’s latest investigatory crusade could end up backfiring on them.

Scandals Having Seemingly No Impact On Public Opinion Of President Obama

So far, three weeks of bad news hasn’t really had much of an impact on the public’s view of how President Obama is handling his job.

Odds Of A Democratic House Takeover Low

The odds for a party switch in the House of Representatives remain quite low.

Hindsight Isn’t Lying

Tthere’s enough bad punditry going around that there’s no need to invent cases to expose.

The 2000 Election All Over Again?

We could be headed for another extremely close election where the Electoral Vote and the Popular Vote disagree with each other.

Obama Leading Romney In New Polls, Extent Of Convention Bounce Is Unclear

A new round of polling has Obama in the lead and shows reasons why Romney’s supporters should be concerned, but it’s unclear how long any of this will last.

The Speech Of Mitt Romney’s Political Life

Tonight’s convention speech is the most important speech Mitt Romney has ever given.

Mitt Romney Is Letting Obama’s Bain Attacks Define Him, To His Detriment

By failing to respond adequately, Mitt Romney is letting his opponent define him for the voters. That could hurt him greatly in November.

Charlie Cook: Change In Control Of House Unlikely

Absent something extraordinary, it’s unlikely that the GOP will lose control of the House.

Maine Senator Olympia Snowe To Retire, GOP Senate Hopes In Jeopardy

A Northeastern Republican announces retirement. And GOP hopes for control of the Senate in 2013 become more tenuous.

The Impeachment Crisis Of 2015?

Could things possibly get worse on Capitol Hill? Grover Norquist seems to relish the possibility.

Where Are The Rational People In The Debt Ceiling Debate?

The participants in the debt negotiations are being led by constituencies that have little interest in compromise.

The Ryan Plan’s Political Problem

Will the Ryan Plan ever be voted out of the House?

Republicans Losing the Center?

Can a candidate appealing enough to the base to win the Republican nomination beat Obama?

Who Will Be The 2012 Republican Nominee? Follow The Money

The 2012 GOP nominee will have to raise $300 million and assemble a top-notch staff.

Less Than Two Weeks Out, Republicans Poised For Big Gains

Voters head to the polls in thirteen days, and current indications are that they’ll be handing a big victory to the Republican Party.

Prospects Of Republican Senate Dim

It’s looking less and less likely that the GOP will gain control of the Senate, but they’re going to come awfully close,, and that might be just as good from their point of view.

Odds Of GOP Senate Takeover Less Likely After Delaware Primary

Christine O’Donnell’s victory in Delaware Tuesday has made it less likely that the GOP will be able to take control of the Senate, but they still have an excellent shot of making substantial gains that will transform Congress’s Upper House.

Charlie Cook: The Senate Is In Play

For most of the year, a GOP takeover in the Senate seemed beyond the realm of possibility. That’s no longer the case.

2010 vs. 1994 Revisted, Part The Second

Another political analyst is out with a 2010 prediction that should make Democrats very nervous.

2010 vs 1994 Revisited

32 Democratic incumbents are running even or behind their Republican challengers in one or more public or private polls. At this point in 2006, when Republicans lost control of Congress, only 11 GOP incumbents were running even or behind.

Could 2010 Be Worse Than 1994 For Democrats?

The signs point to 2010 being an even worse year for Democrats than 1994.

Should We Fear A Lame-Duck Congress ?

Will Democrats use a lame-duck session of Congress to pass legislation they can’t get through otherwise ? They might try, but I doubt they’ll succeed.

Charlie Cook: “Hurricane GOP” Bearing Down On Democrats

The latest poll trends have pollster Charlie Cook thinking that the Democrats could be in for a very bad trouncing on Election Day.