RVA Pro Gun Rally 2020-11 Streets of Richmond, VA RVA Pro Gun Rally 2020-11 Streets of Richmond, VA

Trump, the GOP, and Stochastic Terrorism

A conversation in two parts.

photo of working, person, military, construction, cutting, team, helmet, build, labor, job, workers, laborer, task, construction worker, sledge hammer photo of working, person, military, construction, cutting, team, helmet, build, labor, job, workers, laborer, task, construction worker, sledge hammer

Infrastructure Bill Passes! Dems in Array?

Three days late, $1.2 billion long.

Democrats Have Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day

Running against Trump didn’t work this year.

Backwards: When Politicians Choose Their Voters

Voters are suppose to choose elected officials, not the other way around.

The Power of Mythology

It does not create better deliberation.

Ohio, Trump, and the Primaries

Thinking about party evolution and behavior going into 2022.

Netanyahu Finally Out, But for How Long?

Israel’s long national nightmare is over. Or is it?

Senator Joe Manchin Is A Stupid Ape

We’re all apes. And some are willfully stupid about their public duties.

Competitive Pressures and Party Behavior

Assessing Republican strategic positioning (and the incentives in our system).

[Top Secret Clip Art] [Top Secret Clip Art]

UN Ambassador’s Chief of Staff Loses Clearance

A bizarre case of bureaucratic ineptitude.

Biden to Name Commission on Court Expansion

Fulfilling a campaign promise and keeping the discussion alive.

Transphobia, Academic Freedom, and the First Amendment

The 6th Circuit is allowing a professor fired for misgendering a transwoman to sue his state university.

Today in Bad Election Analysis

Let’s not get overly dramatic about special elections.

Voting Legislation on Parade

HR1 is a national approach to expanding voter access. State legislatures are trying to both expand and restrict the vote as well.

HR1: Good, but Not Enough

And what GOP opposition says about the party.

Will Iowa and New Hampshire Lose Their Special Place?

Nevada is mounting a challenge to the rural, lily-white states that always go first in the presidential primary gauntlet.

Our Political Reality

Voting ourselves out of this mess is not so easy

The Centrality of Nominations

American political parties are controlled by the primaries.

Radicalism and Internet Culture

Does online performance logically devolve into rage and violence?

Alabama-Ohio State National Championship

The best two teams in college football play for it all amid some controversy.

President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian) President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian)

The Republicans are Going Nowhere

The party is unlikely to suffer consequences for its anti-democracy actions.

Reforming the EC is not the Same as Overturning it

Wherein I respond to a ridiculous comparison.

More on Alternative Electors

More on why it isn’t going to happen.

Why the Polls Were Wrong

A myriad of possible explanations.

Recount Blues

The numbers behind recounts.

Two Parties, Not Two Countries

We’ve just had an election, not psychoanalysis.

AZ and PA

Trump needs them both.

How Confident Should We Be in the Polls?

Two prominent media pollsters are hedging their bets.

The Weirdest Sports Season Ever?

COVID has given us a surreal calendar.

President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks prior to signing H.R. 1957- The Great American Outdoors Act Tuesday, August 4, 2020, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour) President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks prior to signing H.R. 1957- The Great American Outdoors Act Tuesday, August 4, 2020, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour)

Woodward Revelations Hurting Trump

A new poll shows meaningful shifts in public attitudes.

Slow and Steady Wins the Race?

Biden is polling well, and consistently so.

#NeverTrump Democrats

A movement that has grown beyond recognition.

Trump’s Anti-Mail-in Ballot Position Backfiring?

Are Republicans eschewing absentee voting?

Pediatricians Urge In-Person School

Contra the CDC, the AAP says getting kids to class outweighs the modest risk of their catching COVID-19.

Justin Amash Running for Libertarian Nomination

The erstwhile Tea Party Republican is making a run for President.

Biden Shakes Up Campaign Staff

An encouraging sign.

Sanders Not Quitting Just Yet

The race is over but Bernie’s still running.

I Was Right All Along, Except When I Was Wrong

Looking back at my predictions about the 2020 Democratic race.

Kamala Harris in front of American Flag Kamala Harris in front of American Flag

Harris Endorses Biden

The Democratic wagons continue to circle around Biden.

Bernie Sanders is Toast

He’s repelling the people he needs to mount a comeback.

Elizabeth Warren Ends Campaign

The inevitable has happened.

Getting Over What Happened to Elizabeth Warren

Women didn’t vote for her either. But that doesn’t mean sexism didn’t play a role in her loss.

Women Are Not a Voting Bloc II

A quick follow-up.

Bloomberg Drops Out, Endorses Biden

The wagons have been circled.

Why 2020 Democrats Were Able to Consolidate the Moderates and 2016 Republicans Weren’t

The races are more alike—and yet more different—than we seem to remember.

Super Tuesday Creates Joementum

A bad night for Bloomberg and Warren has radically reshaped the race.

A Democratic Turnout Problem?

Evidence from the four early states is not looking promising.

Warren Can’t Win

96 percent of the delegates have yet to be awarded. How can the race be down to two?

The Most Important Rule Of Surviving A Political Campaign Is: Don’t Quit!

The final delegate count may well be skewed.