Clinton’s Lead Shrinking Ever So Slightly

Her numbers are steady; he’s reclaiming Republican voters.

It’s Two Weeks Until Election Day, And Things Are Looking Very Good For Hillary Clinton

Two weeks before Election Day, everything seems to be going Hillary Clinton’s way.

Trump In Danger In Deeply Red Utah?

Donald Trump is facing potential trouble in a state that has gone for a Democrat only twice since the end of World War II.

What Happens if Trump is Un-nominated?

Some early musings on a political fantasy that’s less implausible than it was 12 hours ago.

Republicans Abandon Trump Over Lewd Remarks

Republicans are abandoning Donald Trump in droves after last night’s revelation of lewd remarks he made in 2005.

Presidential Race Remains Tight Heading Into First Debate

With just hours before the first debate, and six weeks until Election Day, the race for President remains tight.

Third Party Candidates Excluded From Presidential, Vice-Presidential Debate

Once again, the debate commission controlled by the two major parties is excluding third-party candidates from the Presidential debates.

With Eight Weeks To Go, A Tighter Race But It’s Still Advantage Clinton

The election is now fifty-six days away and, while the race is tighter than it has been, it’s still one in which Hillary Clinton has seemingly all the advantages.

With Nine Weeks To Go, Clinton’s Post-Convention Bounce Seems To Have Disappeared

It’s the traditional start of the campaign season, and the race for President is getting close, at least at the national level.

With Eleven Weeks To Go, Hillary Clinton Appears To Be Unstoppable

It’s eleven weeks — just 77 days — until Election Day, and things are looking pretty good for Hillary Clinton, and pretty bad for Donald Trump.

The Election Isn’t Over Quite Yet

Don’t be fooled into thinking that the election is “over,” because it isn’t.

Latino Voters Overwhelmingly Favor Clinton Over Trump

Not surprisingly, Latino voters are heavily turned off by Donald Trump and seemingly quite eager to vote against him in the fall.

Another Round Of Battleground Polls Puts Clinton In The Lead

Donald Trump’s path to 270 Electoral Votes is becoming less likely by the day.

Trump Barely Leading In South Carolina?

A new poll shows Donald Trump barely winning in a state that should be solidly red.

Wisconsin Unlikely To Go Republican In 2016

Republican hopes that Wisconsin might go Republican this year seem to be slipping away.

Anti-Trump Republicans Get Behind Campaign Of Some Guy Nobody’s Ever Heard Of

The latest desperation bid from anti-Trump Republicans is guaranteed to make a GOP civil war more likely.

Virginia Not Exactly Looking Like A Battleground State

The Old Dominion seems like it’s going to be even more firmly Democratic in 2016.

Donald Trump’s Electoral Map Isn’t Growing, It’s Shrinking

Post-convention polling at the state level holds some bad news for the Trump campaign.

Hillary Clinton Gets Her Post-Convention Bounce, Takes Back The Lead In The Polls

Hillary Clinton appears to be doing very well in the wake of the first round of post-convention polls.

Donald Trump’s Path To Potential Victory Is Already Narrowing

Looking at the Electoral College, it’s already apparent that Donald Trump’s campaign faces a daunting, perhaps impossible, path to victory.

Trump Leads Clinton After Convention Bounce

The worst convention in history has given Trump a yuuge bounce.

Could Crazy Donald Trump Actually Win The Presidency?

While a Clinton landslide seems obvious after the dumpster fire of a Republican convention, the race is close.

Donald Trump Claims Nomination Of A Party That Remains Divided

Donald Trump completed his unlikely journey to the Republican Presidential Nomination last night, but he the party he now leads remains divided.

Pre-Convention Polls Show Clinton Leading, Johnson Rising, Major Party Candidates Hated

A look at the state of the race before the two party conventions begin.

Clinton Cleared Legally, But Her ‘Extreme’ Carelessness Will Follow Her To The White House

Hillary Clinton’s extreme carelessness with classified information probably won’t cost her the election, but it should.

What Does The Success Of Brexit Tell Us About Donald Trump’s Chances? Pretty Much Nothing

Many pundits are arguing that the victory for ‘Leave’ presages good news for Trump in November, but there’s no reason to believe that.

Sabato Predicts Electoral College Landslide for Clinton

Donald Trump has a steep hill to climb to reverse a quarter century trend.

Evaluating Hillary’s Short List For Running Mates

A purported ‘short list’ of potential running mates for Hillary Clinton is out. Here’s how the candidates stack up.

Clinton Holds Slight Lead Over Trump As General Election Race Begins

Hillary Clinton has a slight lead in national polling over Donald Trump as the battle for the White House really begins.

Trump the Presumptive Nominee (Some of What I got Wrong)

In case anyone noticed: I got the Trump nomination wrong.

Republican Insiders Still Talking About Quixotic Independent Run For POTUS

With Donald Trump now destined to become the GOP nominee, some Republican insiders are trying to put together another ‘too little, too late’ strategy to stop him.

A Reminder About Polling

As we begin to head into General Election season, a few things to remember about the avalanche of polls to come.

Donald Trump Within 102 Delegates Of Clinching GOP Nomination

With the field before him now clear, Donald Trump is now assured to win the Republican Presidential Nomination. After that, though, his plans don’t seem to make a lot of sense.

GOP Begins 2016 General Election Race With A Big Electoral College Disadvantage

A first look at the Electoral College paints a very grim picture for Donald Trump and the GOP.

Awful Presidential Cycle Likely to Get Much Worse

If you think this campaign has been awful, you ain’t seen nothin’ yet.

Clinton Campaign Looking Beyond Sanders, Looking At Potential Running Mates

Hillary Clinton’s campaign is beginning to look beyond Bernie Sanders and talk about running mates.

Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Both Viewed Very Badly Outside The GOP

The two men most likely to win the Republican nomination aren’t very well liked outside the Republican Party.

Cruz Likeliest Winner in Contested GOP Convention

The second place finisher in the Republican primaries is looking like the first loser.

Nebraska To Abandon Congressional District Method For Electoral Votes?

Nebraska legislators are talking about abandoning their somewhat unique method of allocating Electoral College votes.

Everybody Hates Donald

A new poll finds that Donald Trump is really, really disliked by voters, but it’s unclear how much that will matter going forward.

Donald Trump Would Lead The GOP To Electoral College Disaster

Putting Donald Trump at the top of the ticket would likely lead to an Electoral College disaster for Republicans.

Michael Bloomberg Came Really Close To Running For President, But Decided Not To

Michael Bloomberg announced today that he’s not running for President, but he came awfully close to getting into the race.

Huntsman, Trump, and the Limitations of a Two Party System

All of which leads to a discussion of electoral rules.

Latino Voters Really, Really Dislike Donald Trump

A new poll shows Donald Trump with historically low support for a Republican from Latino voters. That’s a recipe for electoral disaster.

No, Jim Webb Probably Would Not Be A Viable Independent Candidate For President

Jim Webb’s recent criticism of Hillary Clinton is renewing speculation about an independent bid for the White House, but he hardly seems like a viable candidate for such a run.

No, the US is not on the Verge of a Multi-Party System

We will have a two party system for the foreseeable future.

Donald Trump Once Again Refusing To Rule Out Running As An Independent

Two months after seemingly promising to remain loyal to the Republican Party, Donald Trump is again refusing to rule out an independent run for the White House next year.

Republican Voters Agree With Trump On Immigration

A new poll shows that a near majority of Republicans agree with even some of Donald Trump’s most controversial statements on immigration.

Republicans Underestimating Hillary Clinton?

Republicans seem to be thinking that Hillary Clinton will be an easier General Election candidate than the evidence suggests she is likely to be.