A Webb Independent Run

Pure fantasy.

The Supreme Court Begins A New Term With Several Politically Charged Cases

The marriage equality issue is resolved, but that doesn’t mean the Supreme Court won’t have a lot of high profile cases on its docket over the next eight months.

Have we Seen Peak Trump?

Trump remains in the lead, but he has been steadily falling over the month of September. (And this triggers, as these things do, musings about institutions and our party system).

The 2016 Electoral College Battlefield Is Very Small

The 2016 election will be fought on a very small battlefield, and right now the makeup of that battlefield heavily favors the Democrats.

Trump as Perot 2.0

In 1992, an eccentric billionaire ran an independent campaign against a Bush and a Clinton. It could happen again.

Trump Refuses To Rule Out Running As A Third-Party Candidate

Donald Trump won’t rule out running against the eventual Republican nominee. Will the RNC use this as an excuse to try to force him out of the race?

Hillary Clinton Remains Untouchable In The Polls

A new poll shows that Hillary Clinton remains largely unstoppable on her quest for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, and she has a pretty clear path to the White House as well.

Reports Of Hillary Clinton’s Impending Political Demise Are Mostly Just Wishful Thinking

Even with a recent negative downturn in the polls, the reports of Hillary Clinton’s impending political demise are largely wishful thinking on the part of conservatives.

Hillary Clinton’s Favorability Hits Its Lowest Level In Years

Hillary Clinton is taking a hit in the polls, but it’s unclear if that’s going to matter when 2016 rolls around.

Support For Same-Sex Marriage Hits Record High In New Poll

A new Gallup poll puts support for same-sex marriage above 60% for the first time ever.

2016 A Close, Noncompetitive Election?

Once again, only six or seven states are likely to matter.

Republican Race Remains Tight, Clinton Continues To Dominate General Election Polling

The GOP race remains tight, but some candidates have benefited from their entry into the race more than others. Overall, though, Hillary Clinton continues to dominate.

Is 2016 a 50-50 Proposition?

Pundits and political scientists agree that, if the 2016 presidential election were today, we’d have a much better idea who would win.

Hillary Clinton To Enter Presidential Race This Weekend

To the surprise of few, Hillary Clinton is running for President

Some Questions for Those who Oppose an Opening with Cuba

A little round of Qs and As on US-Cuban policy.

In The Wake Of Midterm Losses, Some On The Left Say Democrats Should Write Off The South

Some on the left are suggesting Democrats should write off the South for the foreseeable future, but that would be as foolish as Republicans assuming that their dominance in the region will last as long as Democratic dominance did in the century after the Civil War.

Can Hillary Expand The Electoral College Map In 2016? In An Important Sense, It Doesn’t Matter

An adviser close to Hillary Clinton is talking about expanding the Electoral College map in 2016, but even without such an expansion the GOP faces an uphill battle.

With The Midterms Done, Will Republican State Legislators Revisit Electoral College “Reforms?”

After the 2010 elections, several newly Republican state legislatures flirted with the idea of changing the way their state allocates Electoral Votes. The outcome of last weeks elections raises the possibility that this could happen again.

What Happened In Virginia?

Trying to explain one of the biggest surprises of Election Night 2014.

If Republicans Win The Senate, They May Not Hold It For Very Long

If the GOP wins the Senate in November, their majority could prove to be fleeting.

Mitt Romney 2016? Maybe More Likely Than We’ve Been Thinking

While it still seems unlikely that he’ll run, Mitt Romney does seem to be leaving the door open to a third run at the White House.

What “Third Term Curse?”

Some have argued that there is an historical bias against political parties holding on to the White House for more than two terms. As with most commonly held ideas, that simply isn’t true.

Mitch McConnell Promising More Showdowns And Shutdowns If The GOP Wins The Senate

If Republicans win the Senate, what we’ve seen for the past three years could end up seeming tame by comparison.

No, Obama Isn’t Seeking ‘Regime Change’ in Iraq

The United States is, in fact, doing the exact opposite.

House Republicans Are Dooming Their 2016 Nominee With Latino Voters

Republicans in the House seem determined to make life difficult for whomever wins the GOP nomination in 2016

Presidents and Prime Ministers

More on instiutional design.

GOP Losing Cuban-American Vote Too

A new poll suggests that Republicans could be losing a constituency that is very key for them in the nation’s third most populous state.

Should We Eliminate The Vice-Presidency?

Does the office of Vice-President serve any useful purpose anymore?

A Weak Democratic Bench For Vice-President?

Who do the Democrats have to take Joe Biden’s place?

Is Same-Sex Marriage Now A Wedge Issue For Democrats?

Is support for marriage equality now an issue that can benefit Democrats at the polls?

A Democratic Lock On The Electoral College

The Democrats have a big advantage in the Electoral College, at least for now.

New York Becomes 11th ‘State’ To Pass National Popular Vote Law

New York has joined nine other states and the District of Columbia to vote to for an Electoral College bypass.

New San Diego Mayor Is A Republican, But Not Exactly A Ted Cruz Republican

Kevin Faulconer proves that Republicans can win in California, but not if they follow the path laid out by the party’s far right wing.

The Size of the House

Is 435 the right number?

Obama Ending 2013 On A Rough Note

For a year that seemed to start out so well, 2013 has been among the President’s worst of this five years he’s been in office.

A Qualified Yes to a Constitutional Convention

Some thoughts on reform.

Too Early for 2016 Talk?

We’re actually not speculating about who might be running any more than we used to.

Sandra Day O’Connor: Maybe SCOTUS Should Have Stayed Out Of Bush v. Gore

Former Justice O’Connor seems to regret the fact that the Supreme Court got involved in the 2000 election. Her regrets are misplaced.

Black Voter Turnout Higher Than White Voter Turnout In 2012

2012’s election represented a significant change in voting patterns in the United States. What’s unclear is if the change is a permanent one.

Republicans Not Giving Up On Electoral College Allocation Schemes

Republicans at the state level are still trying to cook the books in the Electoral College

Virginia Electoral College Reform Bill Fails

Virginia has decisively killed a bill that would have awarded the Commonwealth’s electoral votes to the winner of gerrymandered congressional districts rather than the statewide winner.

Allocating Electoral Votes By Congressional District Is A Bad Idea

Some proposed reforms just need to be ignored.

Judging The 2012 Preditions

Last January 1, some of us made a series of predictions. Here’s how we did.

Obama Re-Elected!

Six weeks ago, we held a non-binding referendum asking Americans who they’d like for president. Yesterday, the real election was held.

Lieberman Backs Term Limits For Senators on Way Out of Senate

Joe Lieberman has had a change of heart on term limits: He’s now for them.