A Map Is Worth A Thousand Votes

Democrats are approaching an “Electoral College lock.” Republicans are trying to pick it.

Pennsylvania Considers Electoral College Reform

Pennsylvania Republicans want to do the right thing for the wrong reason.

Joe Scarborough Answers the “Is our Pundits Learning?” Challenge

Seems that the answer continues to be “no.”

Unskewed Polls Guy Now Claiming Election Was Stolen

Dean “Unskewed Polls” Chambers is back, and he’s as deluded as ever.

In Fiscal Cliff Negotiations, President Obama Holds The Upper Hand

Republicans need to realize that they are at a disadvantage in the upcoming negotiations regarding the Fiscal Cliff.

Republicans Could Have Done A Lot Worse Than Mitt Romney

Mitt Romney wasn’t a perfect candidate, but he was much better than most of the 2012 Republican field.

Some Respond To Election Results By Advocating Secession

Some people on the right apparently want to return to this map.

Barone not Learning

Barone tells some tales to make himself feel better.

What do I Mean by “Benghazi Conspiracy Theories”?

An attempt to lay down some basic groundwork for discussing this story.

Unfortunately For the GOP, Democrats Have An Electoral College Advantage

The Democratic Party appears to have a lock on a substantial part of the Electoral College. That poses a problem for Republicans.

Republicans Need To Understand What Went Wrong If They Want To Win Again

Republicans are trying to figure out what went wrong. Will they learn the right lessons from their loss?

Retroactive Line of the Day (“Data? We Don’t Need no Stinking Data” Edition)

I just came across Peggy Noonan’s pre-election column. It is quite illustrative.

Conservative Media Bubble

If you’re a white Southerner who gets most of his information from Fox News and Rush Limbaugh, you probably don’t know a lot of people who voted for Barack Obama.

Donald Trump Loses It

The Popular Vote

Ohio Provisional Ballots Could Leave Presidency In Doubt For Weeks

Will Ohio’s Provisional Ballot’s be 2012’s version of the Hanging Chad?

On Election Eve, The Race Is Close But Obama Has The Advantage

The 2012 Election promises to be close in the Popular Voter, but President Obama still retains an Electoral College advantage.

Interpretation, Art, and Analysis

The analyst actually wants to understand and be correct far more than he or she wants their preferences to prevail in the analysis

Paths To Victory

2012 Presidential Election Predictions

The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.

Preparing to Evaluate the Predictions

Making note of some of the predictions and such as we approach November 6th.

Math, Damned Math, and Statistics

How Obama can have a 75 percent chance of winning an election despite being essentially tied in the polls:

Romney Running Out Of Time In Ohio And Elsewhere

Mitt Romney has ground to make up if he’s going to catch the President and there’s not much time left to do it.

Presidential Race ‘Tight’ in Meaningless National Polls [UPDATED]

A week out from the election, President Obama is a heavy favorite to win re-election. But the major press continues to pretend otherwise.

The Race Might Not Be Over On November 6th

There are several circumstances under which we may not know who won the 2012 election for some time after November 6th

Most Random Constitutional Amendment Ever?

Congressman Steve Israel has proposed an amendment to the Constitution to award 29 bonus electoral votes to the popular vote winner.

There’s No Good Reason To Get Rid Of The Electoral College

The arguments in favor of major changes in the way we elect our President are unpersuasive.

Previewing Tonight’s Foreign Policy Debate

The candidate’s meet for one last time tonight to talk about some of the most important issues in the world.

Gender Gap: Gone Yet at Record High

A recent poll has Obama and Romney tied among women. Another gives Obama a 33 point edge.

Romney and Obama Work for Every Vote, Especially in Small States (Oh, Wait…)

No, the electoral college does not encourage the candidates to pay special attention to the small states.

Presidential Race As Tight As It’s Ever Been

With sixteen days to go, the race for President is tied.

Love the Tracking? Hate the College (Redux)

National numbers can overstate regional preferences.

The 2000 Election All Over Again?

We could be headed for another extremely close election where the Electoral Vote and the Popular Vote disagree with each other.

Gallup Shows Romney With A Seven Point Lead

Some interesting movement in early post-debate polling.

Romney’s Post-Debate Surge Continuing, But Will It Last Past Tuesday?

Mitt Romney continues to benefit from the first Presidential Debate, but will that last past the second debate?

Biden-Ryan Debate Mostly A Draw

Last night’s Vice-Presidential debate was combative, but is unlikely to have a major impact on the race for President.

How Hamilton saw the Electoral College

Looking to Federalist 68.

Big Gains for Romney in CA

Of course, these voters are walled off from the process, so they don’t matter.

New Battleground Polls Show Slight Romney Surge

Romney’s post-debate surge is being picked up in swing state polls, but will it be enough?

Romney Leads Popular Vote Race, Trails Badly in Electoral Vote Race

For the first time all cycle, Mitt Romney leads Barack Obama in the RealClearPolitics average.