Mitt Romney’s Incredibly Narrow Path To Victory

The biggest argument against Romney winning in November is the fact that there aren’t many ways for him to get to those pesky 270 Electoral Votes.

The Six States That Will Likely Decide The 2012 Election

Six states are likely to decide the 2012 election.

On Using the US Constitution as a Model

Yes, the US Constitution has been the most successful such document in human history. That does not mean it is a good template for other countries.

Obama Crusin’ For A November Bruisin’?

Things aren’t all sunshine and roses for the Obama 2012 campaign.

40 Percent of Americans Identify as Independents; 10 Percent Actually Independents

A record number of Americans don’t consider themselves a member of either party.

Is Jon Huntsman the Future of the Republican Party?

The former Utah governor will almost certainly never be the GOP nominee. But someone like him will be soon.

Changing Electoral Maps

Looking back at the Electoral College results of the modern era–and ahead to November.

A Glance Into The Crystal Ball For 2012

So, what’s next?

Ohio Voters Overturn Public Union Restrictions

Ohio voters overwhelmingly rejected a Republican law restricting the collective bargaining rights of public employees–and also rebuked the health insurance mandate central to ObamaCare.

Electoral College Predictions and False Premises

The Electoral College doesn’t matter in the way pundits think it does.

Obama’s Path To Victory

Despite the seeming odds against him, the Electoral College map is very favorable for President Obama.

More on the Electoral College v. a Popular Vote

Yes, again with the EC.

Immigration Deportations Under Obama On Pace To Far Exceed Those Under Bush Administration

Based on the numbers, Barack Obama is an immigration hawk.

Santorum Supports PA EC Plan

Rick Santorum: naked partisan. (Although, really, this is more a post about the EC than it is about Santorum).

Three Arguments Contra the Electoral College

A book could be written on this subject, but let me suggest the following as a good place to start

Looking to the Design of the Electoral College

Of the institutions designed by the Framers, the electoral college is the one that deserves the least amount of defense if one’s defense is predicated on assumptions of the genius of said framers.

Here’s an Idea (Electoral College Edition)

Why even have an electoral college?

Pennsylvania’s Electoral College Reform Plan Is A Good Idea

Allocating Electoral Votes by Congressional District is an idea whose time has come.

Pennsylvania Ponders Bold Democrat-Screwing Electoral Plan

Republicans have a plan to wrest half of the Keystone State’s electors from Obama.

Rick Perry Holds Commanding Lead In GOP Race, But Obama Still Competitive In General Election

Is the GOP race really down to just two men at this point?

Design and Intent: Some Musing about the Constitution

We often conflate intentionality with design. However, even designers may not fully understand how what they have created will work.

Madison, the Philadelphia Convention, and Presidentialism

The US came a lot closer to something resembling a parliamentary system than most people think.

Third Party in 2012?

It’s a shame that Duverger’s Law doesn’t come with criminal penalties.

State Polls Show A Tough Electoral Map For Obama

State-level job approval numbers seem to suggest that the President could have Electoral College worries in 2012.

Can Any Republican Beat Obama in 2012?

Does it matter which candidate the GOP nominates?

Electoral College 2012 – Ridiculously Early Handicapping

Looking at the state-by-state map way too early.

The Debt Deal “Super Committee”: Unconstitutional, Undemocratic, Or Much About Nothing?

The “super committee” created by the debt ceiling deal is already the subject of criticism, most of it unwarranted.

Can Jon Huntsman Revive the Party of Reagan?

Condi Rice’s speechwriter thinks Huntsman can appeal to the Tea Party.

Obama In Trouble In Battleground States

The electoral map should be making the Obama 2012 camp just a little bit nervous.

Functional Apathy’s Opposite

Steven Metz muses, “Scholars argue that too much political mobilization can make democracies dysfunction. Is that where the US is today?”

Is an Electoral College Sweep even Possible?

Sunday afternoon musings on an electoral college sweeps.

Looking to the Founders

Sandy Levinson suggests that there is a key lesson from the Founders that we ignore.

Unemployment and Presidential Elections

Unemployment was high when Barack Obama took office and it’s gotten substantially higher. Does that mean he won’t get re-elected?

Mitt Romney: Defender of the Free Market

To the shock of no one, Mitt Romney announced his bid for the GOP presidential nomination today.

Don’t Let him Read any Jefferson Biographies

Erick Erickson questions Jon Huntsman’s loyalty to America.

Is Arizona’s ‘Birther’ Bill Unconstitutional?

Arizona’s so-called “Birther Bill” seems to violate several provisions of the Federal Constitution.

Obama’s State-Level Job Approval Polls And The 2012 Election

A new set of polls from Gallup show that President Obama is still looking good for re-election.

Whites Leaving Democratic Party

The Republicans are increasingly the party of white America. That’s short term good but long term bad for the GOP.

Memo To South Carolina: Your Secession Is Nothing To Celebrate

150 years ago today a group of men gathered in Charleston, South Carolina and made one of the gravest mistakes in American history. They should not be honored for it.

Michael Bloomberg Says He Isn’t Running For President

New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg says he isn’t running for President, but he’s sure acting like a guy who’s at least thinking about it.

The 17th Amendment, Federalism, And Reversing History

Would returning to indirect election of Senators really have a significant impact on the growth of the Federal Government? Probably not.

Why Whitman and Fioriana Lost

Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina didn’t lose because of corporate baggage or resentment over how much they spent on their campaigns but because they were Republicans.

Bloomberg: Independent President “A Good Idea”

New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg thinks a President independent of either political party would be a good idea. Is he right?

Silly Third Party Musings

Thomas Friedman engages in some early speculation about a serious third party presidential run. As usual, such speculation ignores the basic structures of American politics.