Outside the Beltway

Outside the Beltway

The Five Reddest States

Steven L. Taylor
10

Pursuant to a comment on my post about the potential for an electoral college sweep, I expanded my pool of GOP-no-matter-what-states to five to include Alaska and Idaho, which are actually better cases for my argument than Oklahoma (although OK certainly fits).

While one will readily acknowledge that past performance is not indicative of future outcomes, these are five states that, no matter who is nominated, will go Republican in 2012 and likely will be in that position well into the future.

There are no comparable Democratic states over the same period of time, unless one counts DC, which is undeniably a guaranteed win for the Democrats. 

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In regards to 2012, there are a number of other states that also will almost certainly go GOP no matter who is nominated, but they do not have the same long-term electoral profiles as those in the table.  Specifically for 2012 I would easily include Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas as very reliable Republican wins regardless of nominee.

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10 responses to “The Five Reddest States”

  1. Davebo Avatar
    Davebo

    What else do all these states have in common?

    Other than a net gain of federal dollars versus taxes paid.

  2. Stan25 Avatar
    Stan25

    There is no way that anyone from any deep blue state will move to Wyoming in the mass numbers needed to change the demographics in the near term. Besides, people have to wait a year to be able to register to vote here. Especially, people from New York. They think that we are very backwards here. I don’t look for California going red anytime soon either. The DemocRATs have that sewn up for the foreseeable future. The only way that would change in a hurry, is if the San Andreas Fault took a cataclysmic turn for the worst.

  3. David K. Avatar
    David K.

    “DemocRATs”

    Thanks for saving me the time of considering your opinion Stan25. Ask yourself how well you’d respond to someone who used ReTHUGlicans in their post?

  4. An Interested Party Avatar
    An Interested Party

    They think that we are very backwards here.

    Well, if you are representative of the people there, it is little wonder others might think you are backwards…I mean, when you use terms like “DemocRATs” or talk about the San Andreas Fault taking a cataclysmic turn for the worst to help turn California red…

  5. Bleev K Avatar
    Bleev K

    They think that we are very backwards here.

    Read your post over and over, you may understand why.

  6. Davebo Avatar
    Davebo

    There is no way that anyone from any deep blue state will move to Wyoming in the mass numbers needed to change the demographics

    Which means Wyoming will continue to be a net drag on our economy. It’s a shame that such a beautiful part of the country has such a net drain on it’s people but I suppose that, and you, are the price we have to pay.

  7. MM Avatar
    MM

    Shorter Stan25: I find it offensive that DimoKKKRats refuse to engage me in adult conversations.

  8. superdestroyer Avatar
    superdestroyer

    DAvebo,

    Actually Wyoming is a net contributor to the national economy. Wyoming actually produces things such as minerals and energy. Blue states like Maryland, Mass, or New Jersey specialize is moving money or text around.

  9. ptfe Avatar
    ptfe

    Right, so back to the topic at hand: I think it’s interesting that the highwater mark here seems to be 1988, when 3 of the 5 hit their peaks and Dukakis (!) was running. Not even a midterm Clinton could beat the AK numbers for that year, despite facing a pretty plain Bob Dole.

    Carry on.

  10. Steven L. Taylor Avatar
    Steven L. Taylor

    Right, so back to the topic at hand

    Such a concept! 😉

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