Donald Trump Would Lead The GOP To Electoral College Disaster

Putting Donald Trump at the top of the ticket would likely lead to an Electoral College disaster for Republicans.

Another Senator Defects On “No Hearings, No Votes” As Public Opposition Rises

Another Republican Senator has broken ranks and called for hearings on the nomination of Merrick Garland, as another poll shows most Americans support hearings as well.

Latinos Are Becoming Citizens For The Chance To Vote Against Donald Trump

Donald Trump is motivating people! The problem for Republicans is that he’s motivating them to become citizens so they can vote against him and, potentially, other Republicans.

Trump Leads Rubio In Florida By Double Digits

If Marco Rubio can’t win in his home state, where can he win?

Latino Voters Really, Really Dislike Donald Trump

A new poll shows Donald Trump with historically low support for a Republican from Latino voters. That’s a recipe for electoral disaster.

Republicans Risk The Senate And The Presidency By Refusing To Consider Any SCOTUS Nominee

Republicans are putting much on the line in their refusal to consider any Supreme Court nomination from President Obama.

Who Wants Michael Bloomberg To Run For President? Practically Nobody

As Michael Bloomberg flirts with the idea of running for President, a poll finds very little enthusiasm for the idea.

The Great Rubio Hope? Maybe, But He’ll Need To Show He Can Win First

Many analysts are making the argument that Marco Rubio is the GOP’s best hope to win the General Election in 2016. That may be true, but before he can get there he needs to find a way to win the GOP nomination.

No, the US is not on the Verge of a Multi-Party System

We will have a two party system for the foreseeable future.

The Battle Of The 2016 Narratives

To a large degree, the narrative you believe will govern the 2016 elections depend on which party you want to see win. But what’s the most likely outcome?

Republicans Underestimating Hillary Clinton?

Republicans seem to be thinking that Hillary Clinton will be an easier General Election candidate than the evidence suggests she is likely to be.

A Webb Independent Run

Pure fantasy.

The 2016 Electoral College Battlefield Is Very Small

The 2016 election will be fought on a very small battlefield, and right now the makeup of that battlefield heavily favors the Democrats.

John Kasich Begins Seemingly Quixotic Presidential Bid

Ohio Governor John Kasich looks good on paper, but his campaign seems as though it’s unlikely to get out of the starting gate.

John Kaisch To Enter Presidential Race In Late July

In an ordinary year, Ohio Governor John Kasich seems like he’d be a perfect candidate for Republicans in an era when winning the Buckeye State is essential to winning the White House. But things are far from ordinary in the GOP.

Reports Of Hillary Clinton’s Impending Political Demise Are Mostly Just Wishful Thinking

Even with a recent negative downturn in the polls, the reports of Hillary Clinton’s impending political demise are largely wishful thinking on the part of conservatives.

2016 A Close, Noncompetitive Election?

Once again, only six or seven states are likely to matter.

Making A Play For Latino Voters, Clinton Backs Path To Citizenship For Illegal Immigrants

In a move that is clearly designed to have an impact in the General Election, Hillary Clinton came out in support of broad immigration reform in Nevada yesterday.

Mitt Romney to Announce 2016 Plans Today

Mitt Romney is set to make an announcement at 11 Eastern today. [UPDATE: He’s out!]

In The Wake Of Midterm Losses, Some On The Left Say Democrats Should Write Off The South

Some on the left are suggesting Democrats should write off the South for the foreseeable future, but that would be as foolish as Republicans assuming that their dominance in the region will last as long as Democratic dominance did in the century after the Civil War.

Can Hillary Expand The Electoral College Map In 2016? In An Important Sense, It Doesn’t Matter

An adviser close to Hillary Clinton is talking about expanding the Electoral College map in 2016, but even without such an expansion the GOP faces an uphill battle.

With The Midterms Done, Will Republican State Legislators Revisit Electoral College “Reforms?”

After the 2010 elections, several newly Republican state legislatures flirted with the idea of changing the way their state allocates Electoral Votes. The outcome of last weeks elections raises the possibility that this could happen again.

A (Mostly) Solid Republican South, At Least For Now

The GOP is dominant in the Southern United States, but it’s unlikely to last as long as Democratic dominance of the region did.

What to Make of the 2014 Wave Election

What happened Tuesday? And what does it tell us about 2016?

US Capitol Rotunda US Capitol Rotunda

Virginia Senate Race Shockingly Too Close To Call, Likely Headed For Recount

Arguably the most surprising Senate race of 2014 was in Virginia, and it’s not over yet.

What “Third Term Curse?”

Some have argued that there is an historical bias against political parties holding on to the White House for more than two terms. As with most commonly held ideas, that simply isn’t true.

Will the GOP Ever Win Another Presidential Election?

It’s hard for a party to win four straight presidential elections. The Democrats may pull it off.

GOP Losing Cuban-American Vote Too

A new poll suggests that Republicans could be losing a constituency that is very key for them in the nation’s third most populous state.

Who will be the new House Whip?

GOP Whip Kevin McCarthy of California won the vote to replace Eric Cantor as the new GOP House Majority Leader. The question is who replaces McCarthy.

California GOP Turns Against The Tea Party

Another victory for the GOP establishment in its battle against the Tea Party.

Should We Eliminate The Vice-Presidency?

Does the office of Vice-President serve any useful purpose anymore?

A Democratic Lock On The Electoral College

The Democrats have a big advantage in the Electoral College, at least for now.

New York Becomes 11th ‘State’ To Pass National Popular Vote Law

New York has joined nine other states and the District of Columbia to vote to for an Electoral College bypass.

Time For A GOP/Tea Party Divorce? No, Time To Re-Open The ‘Big Tent’

Much like the Tea Party, David Frum wants to make the GOP tent smaller.

Christie Leads All Other Potential GOP Candidates In Match-Up Against Hillary Clinton

The one Republican currently polling anywhere close to Hillary Clinton is, unfortunately for the GOP base, Chris Christie.

Obama’s Pivot To The Economy: More Of The Same

As expected, President Obama’s latest “pivot” to the economy is less than meets the eye.

Sandra Day O’Connor: Maybe SCOTUS Should Have Stayed Out Of Bush v. Gore

Former Justice O’Connor seems to regret the fact that the Supreme Court got involved in the 2000 election. Her regrets are misplaced.

Republicans Not Giving Up On Electoral College Allocation Schemes

Republicans at the state level are still trying to cook the books in the Electoral College

Virginia Electoral College Reform Bill Fails

Virginia has decisively killed a bill that would have awarded the Commonwealth’s electoral votes to the winner of gerrymandered congressional districts rather than the statewide winner.

Allocating Electoral Votes By Congressional District Is A Bad Idea

Some proposed reforms just need to be ignored.

Obama Re-Elected!

Six weeks ago, we held a non-binding referendum asking Americans who they’d like for president. Yesterday, the real election was held.

A Map Is Worth A Thousand Votes

Democrats are approaching an “Electoral College lock.” Republicans are trying to pick it.

Pennsylvania Considers Electoral College Reform

Pennsylvania Republicans want to do the right thing for the wrong reason.