Are “Liberal” States Shrinking?

Thinking about unsupported narratives and a little bit about data usage.

President Donald J. Trump disembarks Marine One at Joint Base Andrews, Md. Friday, Sept. 18, 2020, and is escorted to Air Force One by U.S. Air Force personnel. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour) President Donald J. Trump disembarks Marine One at Joint Base Andrews, Md. Friday, Sept. 18, 2020, and is escorted to Air Force One by U.S. Air Force personnel. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour)

The Final Weeks of Trump

First whining about losing, now whining about legislation. (And creating chaos along the way).

[Voter Fraud Graphic] [Voter Fraud Graphic]

Two Crazy Aspects of Trump’s Fraud Allegations

Granted, there are more than two. But from a political science/political history POV, these two stick out in my mind.

CFB Playoff Selection Forum

Who ya got?

The Republican Party’s Shame

The Party of Lincoln went over the cliff like lemmings in support. It’s tough to see how they recover.

A 2020 Legal Dispute That’s Not Over

A case involving Pennsylvania may not be resolved for quite some time. Thankfully, it’s immaterial to the election outcome.

On Faux Analysis of Biden’s Win

Arguments and analyses that are, well, turkeys.

Cracks in America’s Election System?

Was Trump’s attempt to overturn the outcome a one-off or a sign of things to come?

Trump Has Already Stopped being President

He seems to have taken his ball and gone home.

US Capitol Rotunda US Capitol Rotunda

Virus Politics

The virus is real and infections and exposures have consequences.

Emily Murphy’s Plight

Why is making the obvious call so hard for the GSA Administrator?

Good News on the EC Front

GOP leaders in key states signal no EC shenanigans.

306

All the states have been called.

Coming to Grips with Reality

In a sane world, Joe Biden’s election win would not have come as a surprise. Alas . . . .

Not as Bad as We Feared

Revisiting predictions about what would happen if what has happened happened.

Facts over Feelings

A reminder that narratives are narratives and data are data.

President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian) President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian)

A Repudiation After All?

The early reaction was premature.

House Democrats and Dashed Expectations

Who’s to blame for the Blue Wave not materializing?

“Stop the Count”

Look, either you believe in democracy or you don’t.

Two Parties, Not Two Countries

We’ve just had an election, not psychoanalysis.

Susan Collins Wins Re-Election

Her Democratic opponent has conceded.

The Two Sides of Fox News

Last night amplifies a long pattern.

Election Thoughts

A lot to think about, not a lot of conclusions.

Florida Vote Weirdness

The votes for President and the ballot measures don’t seem to line up.

Blue Wave Crashes

It’ll be days before we know the final 2020 results but a resounding repudiation is unlikely.

Trump Likely to Claim Victory

The expectations game will be especially tricky this year.

Supreme Executive Power Derives from a Mandate from the Masses

Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government!

AZ and PA

Trump needs them both.

Election 2020 Scenarios

Some thoughts on voter enthusiasm and EV scenarios.

Is the Race Narrowing?

Trump has pulled ahead in some individual polls but Biden continues to have a commanding lead.

Voting From the Grave

When early voting meets tragedy.

Could Trump Shock the World Again?

Fear of a reprise of 2016 is still with us.

The Shadow of 2000

The two parties learned different lessons from the last contested election.

A Record Day for US Covid Cases

Another unwelcome milestone that magical thinking won’t fix.

27 Million Americans Have Already Voted

Election Day is increasingly a myth.

Trump Gaining Black and Hispanic Voters

Some surprising poll numbers.

The Pandemic Continues

Reminders from a perusal of the news.

Nick Saban Tests Positive

Alabama’s head football coach and athletic director have both tested positive for COVID-19.

Trump Rejects Virtual Debate

His campaign now wants more live debates.

The Proud Boys Heard Trump Loud and Clear

They are standing by as ordered.

Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Debate

A national nightmare that may not have changed many minds.

Hypocrisy on SCOTUS Confirmations?

An unconvincing attack on the Democratic position.

Trump Taxes: Topline Findings

The President is deeply leveraged with no escape in sight.

The Senate’s Rural Skew

Injecting data into the conversation.

Is the American Government Legitimate?

A long-winded and esoteric discussion about an elusive idea.

Is Federalism the Real Problem?

A fundamental building block of our system makes it nearly impossible to fix.

Do the Polls Matter?

President Trump is historically unpopular and has consistently trailed Joe Biden. He could still win.

Presidential Campaign Down to Six States

The Electoral College is once again having the opposite effect of what its defenders claim.

More on the Absurdity of the Electoral College

A game wherein one team has to score more points to win than does the other.