Outside the Beltway

Two weeks after it seemed to be tightening, there are signs the battle for control of the Senate may be moving in the GOP’s direction.

Republicans still have an advantage, but Democrats seem to be holding their own in the battle for Senate control.

One analyst thinks that the predictions of a Republican Senate in 2014 are wildly optimistic.

The GOP has a good chance of taking the Senate in 2014, but it will be by a narrow margin.

Signs continue to suggest that a GOP Senate takeover is likely.

It might not be pretty.

New York has joined nine other states and the District of Columbia to vote to for an Electoral College bypass.

For now at least, Republicans are far more enthusiastic about voting in November than Democrats. That could be decisive.

Have gubernatorial elections become more nationalized?

Republican leaders continue to say stupid things. They may still retake the Senate in November.

Wonkblog’s founder is leaving the Washington Post to start a new media outlet of his own.

It’s no wonder there’s no compromise in Congress.

The GOP’s approval numbers have fallen like a stone, but it’s unclear whether this will matter in 2014.

Apparently, there was a culture clash at the Grey Lady.

Three years after joining The New York Times, Nate Silver is jumping ship to Disney’s ESPN and ABC.

The GOP’s chances to take over the Senate became much better over the weekend.

President Obama faces some perilous times ahead now that his Administration is under fire.

Ooops.

Presidential honeymoons aren’t what they used to be, and President Obama’s second term honeymoon isn’t likely to last very long.

There are very rational reasons behind the current gridlock on Capitol Hill.

Democrats are approaching an “Electoral College lock.” Republicans are trying to pick it.

Seems that the answer continues to be “no.”

Dean “Unskewed Polls” Chambers is back, and he’s as deluded as ever.

There are some expected and unexpected results in Nate Silver’s review of pollster accuracy in 2012.

The Democratic Party appears to have a lock on a substantial part of the Electoral College. That poses a problem for Republicans.

More griping about poor analysis.

Is the triumph of political forecasting good for our democracy?

Wherein I get a bit petty (but to make a point and, maybe just because it amuses me).

If you’re a white Southerner who gets most of his information from Fox News and Rush Limbaugh, you probably don’t know a lot of people who voted for Barack Obama.

There are still votes to be counted, and the Romney campaign has yet to concede, but the race is over and Barack Obama has been re-elected.