Manchin 2024? Hogan 2024?

The market for competent centrists.

Next Joint Chiefs Chairman

The Marine and Air Force chiefs appear to be the top candidates.

Yearly Reminder: Dr. King Had A Lot More To Say Than That One Sentence

My (apparently) annual reflections on “The content of their character” day

Biden’s Documents vs Trump’s

One of these is not like the other.

GOP Behavior

Ezra Klein has some thought on the Republican Party.

Biden Document Probe Gets Serious

A second stash has led to a special counsel and political embarrassment.

Katie Porter Running for Feinstein’s Seat While She’s Still in It

The race is on before the 89-year-old has announced her intentions.

Blake Hounshell, 1978-2023

A brilliant journalist is gone at 44.

Biden’s Classified Documents!

Just like Trump’s except for every important detail.

Bolsonaro Supporters Storm Brazil’s Presidential Palace, Congress, and Supreme Court

Latin America’s answer to Donald Trump has his own insurrection attempt.

US Capitol Rotunda US Capitol Rotunda

The GOP Clown Show

Just when you thought they couldn’t get more incompetent.

Some Tabs and Quick Takes

Some tab plus some tabs equals some tabs.

Trump’s 187 Minutes

As I have noted before: he betrayed his oath.

The Perfect President

What Americans say they want in the Oval Office.

Banning Trump From Office

The January 6 Committee recommends invoking the Insurrection Clause.

Poor, Poor, Pitiful Pence

The past just won’t let him be.

What Trump Taxes Show: Not Much

His businesses make and lose a lot of money.

Some Pretzel Logic from American Greatness

I went down the rabbit hole a tad…

US Capitol Rotunda US Capitol Rotunda

Congress to Make Trump’s Taxes Public

House Democrats are releasing them because they can.

Trump a Laughing Stock

Is this how the cult ends?

Trump Company Guilty of Tax Fraud

The years-long NYC investigation finally bears some fruit.

Trump’s Rhetoric and the GOP’s Test

Spoiler alert: the GOP has already failed this test multiple times.

No Room for Palin in Party She Remade?

What to make of her second straight loss?

What’s the Pattern for Senate Seats in Mid-Terms?

Looking at past Senate elections and some more thoughts on historical patterns.

What’s a “Normal” First Term Seat Loss?

Looking at some historical data.

Beware The Exit Polls

The numbers aren’t real. Not yet, anyway.

Republican Losers Conceding, Not Rioting

A low bar has been cleared.

Trump 2022’s Biggest Loser

The 2020 loser has doubled down on losing.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks at a Medal of Valor ceremony, Monday, May 16, 2022, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks at a Medal of Valor ceremony, Monday, May 16, 2022, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Press Corps Demanding Press Conference

President Biden is being pressured to face the music after the midterms.

Trump Special Counsel Likely

The Justice Department is looking to inoculate itself against charges of partisanship.

Impeachment in a System of Checks and Balances

What should be the bar? Can it ever be reached?

Biden’s Debt Ceiling Gaffe?

The President flubbed a softball question. Oh noes!

Midterm Polls Shifting Republican

The race is returning to expectation.

The ‘Crime of the Century’ Didn’t Happen

Three-and-a-half years and almost 6 million tax dollars have produced nothing.

Trump Subpoenaed by January 6 Committee

A dramatic if likely symbolic move.

A Basic Theory of Voting Behavior

And a reminder of the role of political parties.

Supreme Court Poised to Upend Everything

The term that kicks off today could undermine our entire system of government.

Trump’s Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day

Makin’ his way the only way he knows how, that’s just a little bit more than the law will allow.

Roberts and the Court’s Legitimacy

Roberts may not like it, but SCOTUS is political and does have a legitimacy problem.

[Documents taken in August Mar-A-Lago search] [Documents taken in August Mar-A-Lago search]

District Judge Grants Trump’s Request For Special Master

I warned you all, my predictions are notoriously wrong.

Biden: MAGA Republicans Threaten Republic

The President delivered a rousing stump speech from Independence Hall.

[Update] Analysis of NARA’s Letter to Former President Trump

Why would the Trump team release a document that casts them in such a bad light?

Cheney in ’24?

Thoughts on the scenarios.

American Ideological Self-Identification

“Moderate” is up, “Liberal” is down, and “Conservative” is static. What does it mean?

Commentary On Presidential (De)Classification Powers

“Declassification, even by the President, must follow established procedures.” (Trump Administration 2018)

Myths of Presidential Impunity

While enormous, the commander-in-chief’s control over state secrets is not absolute.

Politics, Law, and the Mar-a-Lago Search

That’s some catch, that Catch-22.

Post-Weekend Tabs

Some quick hits.

Prosecuting Trump for Mishandling Classified Materials

It’s complicated, hard to prove, and politically fraught.