Outside the Beltway

Pundits like Thomas Friedman struggle with premature prognostication.

Addressing an analytical pet peeve (and, more importantly, correcting a mistake).

NATO has stepped up in a pleasantly surprising way to resist the Ukraine invasion.

News and commentary of note.

Sanctions are already taking a toll. But the West could do more if it had the will.

Deterring Russia is a matter of principle.

The military threat is smaller, but the political one is bigger.

Putin’s forces are in Kyiv.

The first shoe has dropped.

The much-anticipated escalation has happened. Now to see how the United States and its allies respond.

Western intelligence agencies continue to predict an invasion under absurd pretexts.

There’s no keeping politics out of these Games.

Expert opinion on the standoff differs sharply.

The United States and its NATO allies are in a dangerous standoff.

Russia’s leader sees the situation in the former Soviet Republic quite differently than the West.

Russia may invade Ukraine again. The United States would prefer otherwise.

President Biden was advised to keep troops in Afghanistan . . . for no apparent reason.

Our brains are wired to seek approval but may not be equipped to handle our modern existence.

If it’s made in France, it’s “sparkling wine.”

Some recent news items that add to concern about American democracy.

Some good news in the hacking wars.

Empowering authoritarians.

The fecklessness of U.S. human rights policy in full display.

The iconoclastic journalist is out at the publication he founded.

Rudy Giuliani and a hack tabloid are trying to revive the Burisma story.

A defense of the indefensible.

A shocking and yet completely unsurprising development.

CNN has a lengthy, deeply reported piece on Trump’s phone calls to other heads of state.

The President should have known about the plot. There’s a good chance he didn’t.

We need a better vocabulary for treating the spectrum between rude and horrific.

Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos alone have lost $15 billion in net worth since January.

There are two theories, neither of them good.

Moscow helped Trump in 2016. Do they want him back?

A bold new plan for security in the Middle East.

Notwithstanding Russia’s weak position vis a vis the west, It’s Putin who seems to be winning.

Ted Cruz is the latest Republican Senator to repeat discredited Kremlin-backed conspiracy theories about Ukrainian interference in the 2016 election.

Much like the President they obsequiously defend, Republicans have become useful idiots in Russia’s war on Western liberal democracy.

POTUS believes, and is propagating, a conspiracy theory.

An internal Justice Department investigation fails to find any evidence of political bias in the Russia investigation.

As Republicans and their conservative cohorts spread a discredited conspiracy theory about the 2016 election, Vladimir Putin smiles at yet another victory.

The final two witnesses in this week’s public hearings before the House Intelligence Committee reduced the Republican talking points in the President’s defense looking as absurd as they have always been.

After a long day of hearings, the case against the President is becoming clearer and Republican defenses becoming more absurd.

French President Emmanuel Macron declared that the NATO alliance is suffering brain death due to President Trump’s neglect and lack of leadership.

As American forces retreat, Russia and Turkey are dividing up northern Syria like,well,a turkey.

As the vultures continue to circle above the White House, the President continues to lash out.

As the Turkish invasion of northern Syria continues, Donald Trump responds with basically nothing.

A new Senate Intelligence Committee report adds to the evidence regarding Russian interference in the 2016 election.

Turkish forces advance, American forces retreat, the Kurds seek new allies, and Syria and Russia come out the winners.

President Trump has reportedly pledged to Chinese President Xi Jinping that the United States would not speak out against Chinese actions in Hong Kong.