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Ukraine Ramping Up Drone Attacks on Russian Supply Trains

Amateurs target tactics, professionals target logistics.

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AP (“Ukrainian midrange drones reshape the battlefield by targeting Russian supply lines“):

Through the grainy gray-and-white haze of thermal images streamed from a drone, Ukrainian pilots watch the roads that keep Russian forces supplied, hunting for targets with a fleet of midrange drones that is reshaping the battlefield.

In a basement command post in Ukraine’s Kharkiv region, hundreds of kilometers from the drone over Russian-held territory, pilots wait for movement. When a vehicle appears, they will nudge the controller, sending the aircraft diving toward its target to disrupt Russian supplies deep behind the front.

“Our mission is to cut logistics,” said Kat, commander of Ukraine’s K-2 brigade, which fires midrange drones. “Cut off their supply lines, and the infantry on the front line have no food, no ammunition, no night vision, no batteries. Nothing. That’s how we’re wearing them down in every sense.”

Obviously, this is a huge shift, albeit one that’s been building gradually. As valuable as hitting enemy maneuver forces is, taking out their ability to provide logistical support can actually turn the tide of the war. It not only makes it harder for the Russians to fight, it will eventually break the will of their soldiers. Even Russians aren’t going to fight indefinitely low on food and ammo.

Soldiers spoke to The Associated Press on condition their call signs and not real names be used, in line with military regulations.

By repeatedly striking the highways that carry fuel, ammunition and reinforcements, Ukrainian commanders say they have made logistics slower, costlier and far less predictable, helping stall Russian advances and enabling Ukrainian counterattacks and strikes into illegally annexed Crimea to isolate the peninsula from the mainland.

Until recently, much of that territory lay beyond Ukraine’s reach. Front-line drones lacked the range, while long-range drones were reserved for strategic targets hundreds of kilometers away. Between them stretched a 25- to 200-kilometer (15- to 125-mile) corridor where Russian troops and supplies moved with relative freedom.

Fixed-wing midrange drones equipped with Starlink satellite communications have begun closing that gap, turning Russia’s logistical rear into an active battlefield.

“They’re ensuring that the Russians are constantly pressured along their supply logistics lines and that they are unable to supply certain parts of the front so that the situation may be more controllable,” said Samuel Bendett, a researcher at the Center for Naval Analyses.

So far, so good.

Here’s where it gets dicey:

The machinery of the midrange campaign hides in plain sight. An ordinary office is a command post. A carpenter’s workshop is a drone assembly point. A quaint village house, a launch site.

The nerve center of K-2, one of Ukraine’s most elite drone units, sits in a drab workspace. The workstations are cluttered with coffee mugs, energy drink cans and e-cigarettes.

In May, the unit launched 800 midrange drones, 650 of which struck intended targets — all from this room.

Dressed in civilian clothes, the pilots sit beneath harsh fluorescent lights, eyes fixed on computer screens, as if working late over spreadsheets.

Using civilian facilities to launch military strikes is a war crime under Article 28 and Article 51 of the Geneva Conventions of 1949. This is, of course, rather mitigated by the fact that the Russian military has been routinely targeting civilian population centers, for little to no military advantage, since the outset of the conflict.

9 responses to “Ukraine Ramping Up Drone Attacks on Russian Supply Trains”

  1. I wondered about this since 2022. Specifically when the US and NATO limited how far inside Russia they could strike pons the weapons they gave Ukraine.

    I’m not a pro, but aerial warfare wince WWII involves a great deal of bombing factories, depots, ports, bridges, and supply convoys. Naval warfare goes even earlier. The Germans’ submarine warfare was almost entirely about sinking ships carrying weapons and ammo to Entente nations in Europe.

    I wondered, too, whether Mad Vlad would begin to attack such targets in Poland and other NATO nations that supply Ukraine. Militarily it would make sense, were it not for the fact it would bring such countries actively into his not-a-war war.

    1. The weapons limits were far more a US than a European thing.
      The Biden admin was obsessed with chin-stokery about “escalation limitation” and “messaging”.
      Trump admins just incoherent “let’s make a deal” bs.
      That’s why the Ukrainian missiles and long range drones quietly use European tech and data to cut out the US stupidity.
      Flamingo and FirePoint

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  2. Michael Reynolds Avatar
    Michael Reynolds

    I hope the US military is studying this and (eventually) adapting. We don’t have air defenses to stop hundreds or thousands or tens of thousands of drones. If Iran were as clever as Ukraine we would not be able to keep our bases in Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain. The Iranians could destroy desalination plants and make life literally impossible to sustain in the GCC. Not difficult, literally impossible, as in cities emptying out. The strait of Hormuz would remain permanently under Iranian control, and god help Israel.

    This is multiples of the WW1 innovations of the machine gun and the tank and barbed wire. This is steel vs. bronze, or Conquistador horses, plate armor and arquebuses vs. spears and woven shields. This is an absolute revolution.

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    1. I get the sense that Iran wants to turn the Gulf States not necessarily hurt them. But that is pure conjecture on my part.

    2. It’s a two way street.
      Iran is also vulnerable; as I’ve no doubt Ukrainians are currently explaining to the Gulfies.
      I doubt we’ve seen the full iteration of this sort of warfare, and the possible counter moves.

  3. Here is a visual of Ukrainian deep strikes into Russia. As deep as 2000-2500 km into the Russian interior:

    https://understandingwar.org/map/ukrainian-strikes-on-russian-energy-infrastructure-from-january-1-to-june-30-2026/

    Not only is infrastructure being hit, the strikes are also visible the Russian public which creates a dissonance from the government propaganda.

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  4. Idle curiosity led me to wonder if Voice Of America still broadcasts short wave in Russia. It does not.

    Instead, it has a digital first strategy to stream on a variety of platforms.

    My question, then, is can national governments (like Russia) effectively block the internet from passing undesirable information to its population?

    1. dazedandconfused Avatar
      dazedandconfused

      Not seeing much evidence the strikes in Russia are being blocked from viewing to the Russian public, and it may well be pointless to try in this day and age. Instead I’m seeing the Russian pundits, by and large, pointing it out to bolster their desired case that Putin should escalate. “Quit messing around and kick some ass!” essentially, precisely what I would expect to be happening here if the US was losing a war on it’s own border. There are some of them adding that if they are not going to do that Russia should GTFO though. How it will shake out, how the Russian people as a group respond, is anyone’s guess.

  5. The Ukrainian campaign seems to have multiple components.
    The one that gets most attention is the deep strike on Russian refineries etc.
    But perhaps more important is the combination of that with choking the fuel and other supplies to the Russian army in Ukraine.
    The combination seems likely to degrade the offensive capability of the Russian army, and to force the Russian government into hard choices about fuel allocations to the army, the war economy, the general economy, and civilian consumers.