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So argues Jon Ralston in the Las Vegas Sun (How the race has turned sour for Sharron Angle) and he makes a somewhat convincing case. However, it is too early to make dramatic proclamations, although I must confess that if I had to lay a bet at the moment, I would bet on Reid squeaking out a win in November.
Ralston is correct, I think, in arguing that Angle’s only hope is in continued bad (if not worsening) economic news.
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Then she has a great chance as the economy, under this administration, will not improve for some time. Harry Reid will lose, at best and at worst will become the Senate minority leader. Why Nevada would reelect dirty Harry is questionable. Reid cannot run on his record so he must smear his opponent.
Boy, the efforts of the Tea Party and movement conservatives have sure paid dividends. They’re likely going to lose a seat in Florida and another one in Kentucky (both which they easily could have won) and a big scalp in Nevada who looked doomed before the primary looks like he might just get re-elected. All successful wins for the conservative faithful against those mushy establishmentarians who are the death of the party.
Reid’s numbers have improved. I can report that, living in Nevada, this is largely because Reid is vastly outspending is opponent. There are at least three or four Reid ads running for each Angle ad.
However, Nevada remains a libertarian state, and Reid is not a libertarian. Reid still hasn’t cracked 50% support in any poll I’ve seen. Nevada’s other Senator is Republican and Reid is considered to have moved left since becoming Senate Majority Leader.
Angle can regain her lead simply by running ads stating “you have a choice: either keep Reid in charge of the Senate’s agenda, and watch card check and amnesty become law, watch the budget drown in even more red ink, and watch the federal government take a larger role in your life, or send Reid packing.”
