You Win Some, You Lose Some

A reflection on four decades of presidential elections.

Another List

Putting down markers for future reference.

Trump’s Mandate

It’s neither unprecedented nor powerful. It doesn’t exist.

[Voter Fraud Graphic] [Voter Fraud Graphic]

Because it was Always a Lie

Trump’s voter fraud allegations have melted away.

A Lame-Duck Session SCOTUS Nominee?

Could Democrats replace their oldest Justice before it’s too late?

Comparative Incumbencies

The US was not exceptional.

What Explains a Trump Win?

Also: don’t forget a lot of people also voted against him.

The Trump Realignment

Not a Red Wave but a Red Shift?

Advice From Popehat

Definitely not advice from the pope

The 51 Percent

How that awful man won again.

Grieving For A Country

Let’s take a moment to recognize our grief, and what it means.

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Whose Predictions Were Wrong?

Like Guy Fawkes, I got burnt!

Some Preliminary Thoughts on Trump’s Win

Here we go again.

Trump Wins Pennsylvania, Likely the Presidency

The 45th President looks to be the 47th.

The List

My concerns about a second Trump administration.

A Dearth of Democratic Competition

Not a lot of true competition on my ballot in Alabama.

Rationalizing All of This Must be Exhausting

I really do not want four more years of parsing this stuff.

A Guy Fawkes mask is placed atop the grave of Samuel Adams for a photograph. More at The Schumin Web: www.schuminweb.com/life-and-times/boston-megaraid-part-1/ Ben Schumin is a professional photographer who captures the intricacies of daily life. This image may be used under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0. A Guy Fawkes mask is placed atop the grave of Samuel Adams for a photograph. More at The Schumin Web: www.schuminweb.com/life-and-times/boston-megaraid-part-1/ Ben Schumin is a professional photographer who captures the intricacies of daily life. This image may be used under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0.

9ish Guy Fawkes Day & Beyond Predictions [Updated]

Remember, remember the fifth of November…

Election Day Tabs

Final 2024 Predictions

A low confidence Election Day forecast.

trend trend

OTB Late Night

“Election Day”

Trump Advisors Promise A Recession (And Worse) If He Wins

Elon is on record warning Trump supporters to be prepared for “temporary hardship”

Starting The Steal

The guardrails may not hold this time.

The free high-resolution photo of desk, black and white, technology, white, money, market, blue, business, black, monochrome, chart, statistic, monitor, bw, bank, display, graph, stock, digital, currency, dollar, trade, information, sell, economy, server, financial, management, data, finance, cost, analysis, profit, investment, exchange, ticker, rate, accounting, funds, earning, trading, forex, personal computer, monochrome photography, index, electronic device, personal computer hardware, electronic instrument, foreign exchange , taken with an unknown camera 03/17 2017 The picture taken with The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required. The free high-resolution photo of desk, black and white, technology, white, money, market, blue, business, black, monochrome, chart, statistic, monitor, bw, bank, display, graph, stock, digital, currency, dollar, trade, information, sell, economy, server, financial, management, data, finance, cost, analysis, profit, investment, exchange, ticker, rate, accounting, funds, earning, trading, forex, personal computer, monochrome photography, index, electronic device, personal computer hardware, electronic instrument, foreign exchange , taken with an unknown camera 03/17 2017 The picture taken with The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required.

Companies Go On Record About Future Tariff-Related Price Increases

Trump’s core policies will drive inflation

An Unfavorable Election

Trump is less unpopular than ever.

This isn’t “Pro-Life”

The consequences of the post-Roe world.

Vibe Check

How we feeling?

Freedom Caucus Chair’s Anti-Democratic Musings

Floating the idea that NC should just award its EVs to Trump.

Politics As Pornography

It’s the opposite of politics as usual.

Late Night OTB

Florence and the Machine

With Early Voting Comes Early Claims Of Vote Switching

And the real destruction of mail-in ballots

Flag Ukraine Silhouette Ruins Soldier War Flag Ukraine Silhouette Ruins Soldier War

North Korea Sending Troops to Ukraine

Escalation? Russian desperation?

Stupid Polling Tricks

Making mountains of molehills.

lego people crowd lego people crowd

A Status Quo Election

Our long national nightmare is not over.

Tucker’s Authoritarian Rant

Apparently, some of us have been a “bad little girl” who needs a “vigorous spanking” (and I quote).

Trump Proposes Ending Income Taxes

In idea whose time is gone.

Thinking About the Border

Plus some thoughts on mass deportation.

The More Things Change…

Nostalgia is not new.

Kelly Describes Trump as a “Fascist”

From an NYT interview.

Trump’s Disdain for the Military

With a guest appearance by Hitler.

Why We Can Say Crime Is Down Despite The FBI Upward Revision 2021’s Crime Estimates

Ignorance and motivated reasoning are never a good combination

And it’s 50-50?

Models Moving Trumpward

A modest disturbance in the force.

Defining and Discussing Fascism, Part II

Hitler comparisons.

A National Election That’s Really 51 Separate Contests

Each state sets its own election rules. That’s not a good thing.

President Donald J. Trump, joined by Vice President Mike Pence and members of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, takes questions from the press at a coronavirus update briefing Saturday, March 14, 2020, in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead) President Donald J. Trump, joined by Vice President Mike Pence and members of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, takes questions from the press at a coronavirus update briefing Saturday, March 14, 2020, in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead)

A Question For Our Anti-Anti-Trump Commenters

What prevents you from affirmatively supporting Trump?

Trump on January 6th

From the Univision forum.