Paths To Victory

2012 Presidential Election Predictions

The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.

Alabama Utility Crews Turned Away From Sandy Relief: Not Union [UPDATE: Not Exactly]

Utility crews from Alabama traveled to New Jersey to help get the power back on. They were turned away on account of not being unionized.

Modest Growth In Jobs Report Makes Its Election Impact Unclear

A mostly positive, but mixed, jobs report drops five days before Election Day

New York Marathon Diverts Scarce Resources After Sandy

Mayor Bloomberg has decided to hold the New York Marathon Sunday even though millions are still without power and the city infrastructure is unable to cope with normal activity.

Preparing to Evaluate the Predictions

Making note of some of the predictions and such as we approach November 6th.

Math, Damned Math, and Statistics

How Obama can have a 75 percent chance of winning an election despite being essentially tied in the polls:

Don’t Try To Parse Chris Christie

Pundits on the left and the right are having a hard time understanding what Chris Christie’s praise of the President is all about.

Self-Driving Cars Better Than You-Driving Cars

We are fast approaching an era where robot-driven cars will not only be practical but mandatory.

Romney Running Out Of Time In Ohio And Elsewhere

Mitt Romney has ground to make up if he’s going to catch the President and there’s not much time left to do it.

Hurricane Sandy And The Broken Window Fallacy

Once again, a natural disaster has caused a common economic fallacy re resurface.

Presidential Race ‘Tight’ in Meaningless National Polls [UPDATED]

A week out from the election, President Obama is a heavy favorite to win re-election. But the major press continues to pretend otherwise.

New Star Wars Movie Coming in 2015

George Lucas has sold the Star Wars franchise to Disney, which has announced a new Star Wars movie for 2015.

On Postponing Elections

Under the right circumstances, it would be possible to postpone a Presidential election.

Explosives Found in Wreckage of Polish Plane Wreck [UPDATE: No Explosives After All]

Two years ago, Polish President Lech Kaczynski and 95 others were killed in a plane crash in Russia. A new report has “traces of explosives” in the debris.

Hurricane Sandy Open Thread

Were you impacted by Hurricane Sandy? If so, how did you fare?

Chris Christie Praises Obama Sandy Response

New Jersey Governor Chris Christie has been working tirelessly to ensure Barack Obama is a one-term president but has been effusive in praising Obama’s leadership during Hurricane Sandy.

Hurricanes And The News Media

Why do natural disasters cause the news media to act so stupidly?

Romney Has An Advantage Among Independents

Mitt Romney has an advantage among self-identified Independents that makes writing him off at this point inadvisable.

White House Website Politicization

I was struck by the degree to which WhiteHouse.gov looks like an Obama campaign site.