Dick Morris seems to think so.
The political fact is that a Rice candidacy would destroy the electoral chances of the Democratic Party by undermining its demographic base. John Kerry got 54 percent of his vote from three groups that, together, account for about a third of the American electorate: African-Americans, Hispanics and single white women. Rice would cut deeply into any Democrat̢۪s margin among these three groups and would, most especially, deny Clinton the strong support she would otherwise receive from each of them.
I’d be interested to see polling data supporting this contention, which I find dubious. So far, I’ve seen little evidence that blacks are particularly drawn to black Republicans. Clarence Thomas, J.C. Watts, Condi Rice–and even the moderate Colin Powell–seem to be much more hailed among whites than blacks. Similarly, nothing I’ve seen indicates a pro-Condi groundswell among Democrat-leaning Hispanics or single women.
