Ides of March Forum
Steven L. Taylor
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Sunday, March 15, 2026
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20 comments
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About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored
A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog).
Follow Steven on
Twitter and/or
BlueSky.
Today’s history lesson from Heather Cox Richardson
Ms Richardson concluded: I found it fascinating that a group of ordinary people from country towns who shared a fear that they were losing their democracy could figure out how to work together to reclaim it.
I found this pretty terrifying and I’m just a guy.
They Didn’t Want to Have C-Sections. A Judge Would Decide How They Gave Birth.
Just a step away from Bene Tleilax
In the span of two weeks, I’ve gone from waking up every morning afraid Trump had started a war, to waking up wondering if this will be the day he launches a nuke.
Will we get an emergency broadcast warning if he does, like we get Amber Alerts and severe weather alerts thru our phones? Does anybody know?
@Jax:
You just made me think of this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15YgdrhrCM8&t=25s
@Scott:
So interesting.
@Scott:
So appalling.
@Jax:
I’d like to think that there are more safeguards and human reluctance in the system than for that to happen. But, I have much concern that a much battered Iran or its proxies will find a way to come up with a nuke device. They do not even need a ballistic delivery system to make it effective.
What has happened — with Trump’s irrational violent assault on Iran and Venezuela, coupled with Russia’s violent criminal invasion of Ukraine, AND Israel’s horrific scrubbing of Gaza — is that there is an ongoing, large scale retreat from rational conflict resolution on this planet. Behavior modeling begets behavioral repetition. A long-in-the-making social compact between nations, to civilly work through our state level problems is unraveling in the face of power mad leaderships. Xi is itching to take Taiwan. Humane rationality has been rocked back on its heels.
@Rob1:
I would worry more about Trump getting frustrated and needing an emotional fix by nuking Iran.
@charontwo: Which leads to blowback, the magnitude of which we have no preconception.
Forget nukes. Cheap drones are giving weaker nations outsize power now, and they’re within the means of pretty much every nation on the planet.
Back in 2012 I went to war against Windows 8 (or, as I called it, WINDOS*). The interface was so terrible and near useless, that the war ended relatively quickly with the announcement and launch of Windows 10 (at the time, I suggested it be called Window Apology Edition).
Now I’m at war against LLMs. This is going to be much harder. Microsoft could always back down and release a rational desktop interface And in any case, all Windows versions are understood to be for a few years only. Open AI has nothing else to fall back on, neither does Anthropic. Google and others, including Adolf’s combo ISP/data mining/LLM/space launch concern, have other lines of revenue, but they’ve poured billions on their LLMs, and won’t back off them any time soon.
Still, the first major blow against WINDOS back in the day were apps that overlaid a rational desktop interface on it. I used one, Start8, for my laptop. So, a good beginning would be an app that blocks LLMs from one’s PC and phone.
*I’m contractually obligated with myself in perpetuity to denigrate WINDOS; a.k.a Windows 8 Is Not a Desktop Operating System.
“AI slop, examples and discussion”
Pathocracy.
Le sigh.
BTW, here’s a video on the coming XpaceS IPO.
Beyond Boyle’s snarky, deadpan delivery, he makes some rather good points. Including two I’ve noted before: 1) XpaceS is merging with XAI, which merged with Xitter, to give the investors in both some kind of return by merging them into an Adolf venture that actually makes money; 2) XpaceS seems to depend more on Xtarlink for income than on its stated purpose of launching cargoes to space*.
To the latter, Boyle notes also further growth for Xtarlink is limited. Most people who can afford it live in urban areas where broadband is plentiful , fast, and cheaper. Not to mention that if you get many users in one place, like a city, the satellites will inevitably get congested (whereas optic fibers in DSL lines have a larger data carrying capacity than wireless signals).
Pretty much the major growth areas are commercial aircraft, where Xtarlink faces competition, and seagoing vessels (ditto).
* I sense a kind of vicious circle here. The infamous Xtarlink satellites have a limited lifespan, and require a Xalcon 9 launch to get deployed. Maybe that’s the main reason why Xtarship was designed to be fully reusable, and to be recovered only at the launch site. Also why Adolf harps on how cheap it will be, once he clears the regular explosion phase of development.
Of course, the same applies to Lex Bezos’ satellite ISP venture as well. Maybe in a worse way, as he has so far depended on Adolf’s ISP to launch his internet satellites. IMO, the huge volume capacity of the New Glenn upper stage was meant for deploying as many satellites as possible in one launch.
(and maybe not. the New Glenn’s been in development for over a decade).
@gVOR10: I hadn’t followed the link to the full essay above when I posted it. Worth reading. Turns out it dates from 2021 and was written by one Dr Steve Taylor, Senior Lecturer in Psychology at Leeds Beckett University, and Chair of the Transpersonal Psychology Section of the British Psychological Society.
@Rob1:
And two notable milestones in this trend have been the unilateral withdrawal from the JCPOA eight years ago, and the recent JD head fake with the Epstein administration’s relative peacenik VP meeting with the Oman foreign minister and discussing progress made in the Oman-sponsored diplomatic negotiations between the US and Iran just hours before a surprise attack timed to take advantage of the “opportunity” to assassinate scores of Iran’s political leaders.
One nuclear power has been openly behaving as a terrorist nation for the past four years with limited military pushback other than from the nation it invaded. Now that terrorism-sponsoring Iran has had its sovereignty attacked despite ongoing diplomacy, I’m afraid it will intensify and also broaden its efforts to obtain its own nuclear deterrence.
@Eusebio:
One lesson from this for Iran, I’d say, is that regarding a nuclear weapons project:
“I wouldn’t, if I were you.”
There’s no conceivable scenario in which Israel permits Iran to get to the weaponization threshhold.
@gVOR10: Are you suggesting that our Dr. Steve Taylor is secretly British in his spare time?
The scandal!
(source will remain anonymous)
@gVOR10:
—- The constructs of a theory I’ve been kicking around in my head for over 30 years. Thanks for the post. It’s good to know other people see the same things.
Paul R. Ehrlich of “The Population Bomb” (1968) has passed at 93. I’m not a fan of the Neo-Malthusians. Doom, gloom, repent (but in a secular way). There is a NYT Obit (paywalled). He certainly was a major public intellectual.