Saturday’s Forum

OTB relies on its readers to support it. Please consider helping by becoming a monthly contributor through Patreon or making a one-time contribution via PayPal. Thanks for your consideration.

FILED UNDER: Open Forum
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a retired Professor of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. charontwo says:

    About Musk and drug use etc. …

    Don Moynihan substack

    … The problem is, the Trump administration is full of people who are fundamentally disconnected from reality, who saw Musk as a powerful avatar and enabler of the radical beliefs that they shared.

    There are many things that are worrisome here:

    Musk’s drug and social media consumption disconnect him from reality, feeding what appears to be an underlying tendency towards paranoia and conspiracy theories. The interaction effect between the two appear to be deeply unhealthy for him. But they are also deeply bad for everyone else since he is making literal life-or-death decisions.

    For example, the most persuasive reason why Musk decided to eliminate USAID appears to be that he believed social media conspiracy theories that it was full of criminals. And so now USAID no longer exists, and credible estimates suggest that 300,000 people have died as a result, two-thirds of them children.

    Musk is not a rational actor, and rationality is a pretty basic value for managing public services. I don’t know how much of this is the drugs, the media bubble he has created, or underlying personality issues, but it is clear a) it has gotten worse, and b) he has no business making decisions that affect the lives of others.

    Musk has been enabled. Harris asks why those around Musk won’t acknowledge the problems and the obvious answer is that it is not in their interests to do so. Musk is a source of money and power for his friends, and a threat to his enemies. He was Trump’s biggest funder, and turned X into a Republican propaganda machine. Don Lemon, the former CNN anchor, was supposed to launch a media show on X until he asked Musk about his drug use, and Musk killed the deal. Musk sues critics like Media Matters to bankrupt them, and Trump’s government has joined in the attacks.

    Musk remains a government contractor, but the government is now full of people who are aligned with him, and have shown a willingness to fire uncooperative employees. The Times reported that as a contractor, Musk is reported to take drug tests, but he is warned of those by government officials, which seems like an extraordinary scandal. There seems to be no accountability.

    Lots more at the link

    9
  2. Kathy says:

    Video on what’s taking the new AF1 so long

    Note that every word on technical issues applies to the bribe plane as much as to the two 747s Boeing is already working on. The bribe plane is never going to qualify as a suitable AF1, even if El Taco calls it that and uses it in that capacity.

    4
  3. CSK says:

    Tulsi Gabbard plans to make Trump’s daily briefing into a video presentation, since he can’t or won’t read it.

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/gabbard-considering-ways-revamp-trumps-intelligence-briefing-rcna209805

    3
  4. Rob1 says:

    The MAGA reach back – RFK Jr, weathermap sharpies, fake studies, and science denialism, all in pursuit of political domination.

    The tragic story of Soviet genetics shows the folly of political meddling in science

    The emerging ideology of Lysenkoism was effectively a jumble of pseudoscience, based predominantly on his rejection of Mendelian genetics and everything else that underpinned Vavilov’s science. He was a product of his time and political situation in the young USSR.

    In reality, Lysenko was what we might today call a crackpot. Among other things, he denied the existence of DNA and genes, he claimed that plants selected their mates, and argued that they could acquire characteristics during their lifetime and pass them on. He also espoused the theory that some plants choose to sacrifice themselves for the good of the remaining plants – another notion that runs against the grain of evolutionary understanding.

    Pravda – formerly the official newspaper of the Soviet Communist Party – celebrated him for finding a way to fertilise crops without applying anything to the field.

    None of this could be backed up by solid evidence. His experiments were not repeatable, nor could his theories claim overwhelming consensus among other scientists. But Lysenko had the ear of the one man who counted most in the USSR: Joseph Stalin.

    https://theconversation.com/the-tragic-story-of-soviet-genetics-shows-the-folly-of-political-meddling-in-science-72580#:~:text=Western%20crops%20flourished.,in%20the%20USSR:%20Joseph%20Stalin.

    ~~~~~~

    Lysenkoism
    was a political campaign led by the Soviet biologist Trofim Lysenko against genetics and science-based agriculture in the mid-20th century, rejecting natural selection in favour of a form of Lamarckism, as well as expanding upon the techniques of vernalization and grafting.

    More than 3,000 mainstream biologists were dismissed or imprisoned, and numerous scientists were executed in the Soviet campaign to suppress scientific opponents. The president of the Soviet Agriculture Academy, Nikolai Vavilov, who had been Lysenko’s mentor, but later denounced him, was sent to prison and died there, while Soviet genetics research was effectively destroyed.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lysenkoism

    A vote, a voice for MAGA, is a call to retreat for our human civilization.

    5
  5. Michael Reynolds says:

    Pete Hegseth has his drink on and is threatening China. I will defer to Joyner and some of the other military pros here, but I’ll be damned if I see how we fight China without support from Japan, South Korea and the Philippines.

    And I’ll be equally damned if I can see why any of those countries – in range of many Chinese missiles – would risk war to support a US regime which is actively trying to damage their economies. Why in God’s name would South Korea put Seoul at risk? Why would Japan risk its ports, airfields and factories? Would the populations of either country support such a move in support of an untrustworthy maybe ally?

    Without the allies our unstable president is busy crapping on, where do our ships refuel and refit? Where do we stage for a counter-invasion? Are we contemplating a fight where we are limited to aircraft carriers standing well outside the range of Chinese missiles? Guam is a long way from Taiwan, and a single pinpoint 1700 miles from the war zone seems like a pretty shaky position.

    6
  6. charontwo says:

    Piece on the Federalist Society:

    Describes what it has been up to now.

    Discusses how it is in conflict now with the Trumpists.

    Some speculation on various different ways it might change in response to new ethical (Trumpist) environment.

    Substack – Programmable Mutter

    Here are the concluding paragraphs:

    Furthermore, if this process begins to get going there is a real likelihood that the Federalist Society will effectively fall apart, as (a) some members rush to embrace the new normal so that they can get their hands on the goodies, and (b) implicit ideological fractures begin to widen. The immediate reason why Trump is unhappy is that three trade judges (two conservative; one a Trump appointee) unanimously sided with a brief attacking Trump’s tariffs authored by Ilya Somin, a Federalist in good standing (and a scholar who I have real respect for). How long will real libertarians stick with a president who anathematizes trade and civil liberties? What about actual small government conservatives? Will the Federalist Society split, be co-opted, find some tacit accommodation or go never-Trump? I’d guess the last of these is by some distance the least likely, but that’s as far as I’d be willing to make predictions.

    Equally, the Federalist Society has resources to defend itself. As matters stand, many conservative judges are deeply connected to it, in ways that they are not connected to the administration. It still has a cheering squadron for decisions that hew to conservative ideology, even if the cheers will likely be much more muted thanks to cross pressure from the administration. It is far better suited than Trumpism for a system in which precedent and the trappings of reasoned argument from text still matters. It is capable of collective action, if (a big if) it is able to reach some consensus decision on what it wants to do. Finally, court appointments obviously have to be approved by the Senate, where Republican senators like Mitch McConnell have put decades of effort into building a system that is rigged subtly rather than crudely.

    I am not the kind of expert who can provide plausible predictions about whether the Federalist Society will prevail over the Trump administration, or vice-versa, or what terms they might meet if they find some compromise. My best guess – and it is just a guess – is that Emil Bove’s confirmation process will tell us a lot about what happens afterwards. But which side wins and which loses in the bigger contest will have important consequences for the kind of conservatism that prevails, and for the kind of America that we’re going to live in.

    1
  7. CSK says:

    According to the WaPo, Trump has decided that the Library of Congress is his. Has he ever even set foot in a library? Any library?

    1
  8. de stijl says:

    Why does Trump have a hard-on specifically for Harvard?

    It’s creepy and stalkerish.

    2
  9. Kathy says:

    @CSK:

    Like Gabbard has any intelligence to report…

    1
  10. CSK says:

    @de stijl:

    Probably because neither he nor any of his kids could get in there. With Trump, it’s always about revenge.

    1
  11. de stijl says:

    Imagine being Melanie. Man, that’d suck. I know she is responsible for taking the deal for gain, but the devil’s in the details. Eye candy trophy wife to a foolish buffoon. I seriously doubt they’ve ever slept in a gold-plated bed together once.

    She can’t even have a lover, a paramore. It’d get noted and reported. Hence the: “I really don’t care. Do U?” jacket. She did willingly sign on the indicated line, so my empathy is truncated, but still. That would suck.

    Worse, yet: Baron. Lil dude did not ask for any of this, and now it’ll be his burden to bear his whole life. You don’t get to choose your parents. OMG, I’d be so fucking rebellious in his shoes.

    I hope he finds a way.

    4
  12. Rob1 says:

    @de stijl:

    Performative. MAGA has to ascert itself over the “educated elite.” Education, science, true intellectualism, can puncture the hollow rationalizations of a power mad Right. MAGA is marking territory, making an example of Harvard.

    3
  13. Rob1 says:

    @de stijl:

    Performative. MAGA has to ascert itself over the “educated elite.” Education, science, true intellectualism, can puncture the hollow rationalizations of a power mad Right. MAGA is marking territory, making an example of Harvard.

  14. de stijl says:

    @Kathy:

    Gabbard’s intelligence mostly comes from Moscow.

    Imagine the hue and cry if a D administration hired on an obviously compromised mole as DNI. I am still boggled that Gabbard got confirmed. Wow! Not one R dissented; that’s telling.

    One nice thing about stupid is that it announces itself.

    4
  15. charontwo says:

    @charontwo:

    From the link within the piece, why Trump chooses the kind of lawyers and cabinet/judicial appointments he does:

    The actually relevant point is that doing bad things together serves two useful purposes for criminal and quasi-criminal enterprises. First – it enables you to identify and screen out the people who have real moral qualms before you have to rely on them to cooperate in whatever quasi-legal thing it is that you want them to do. Second, it gives you and them a stake in mutually assured silence. There is a third thing too: it plausibly corrupts people, rewiring their moral codes so that things that they might once have identified as wrong come to seem like ordinary practice. Most people don’t want to seem evil to themselves; equally, most people don’t want to feel that they are suckers or losers. If you can get people to feel as though they are a sucker or loser if they don’t participate, you’re half-way towards pulling them in.

    Gambetta provides other examples of how corrupt systems of trust work in his book, Codes of the Underworld. Why is it that Italian professors not only are often incompetent at research, but (according to his account) boast loudly about their incompetence? Gambetta says that they are behaving perfectly rationally. Their incompetence and their boasts are costly signals that they can be relied on. When someone who is in their academic clan asks them to find a job for their nephew or research assistant, they won’t ask indelicate questions about whether the person is intelligent and qualified to carry out good academic work. They’ll just find a job for the idiot, on the assumption that the favor will be returned in due course. Boasting about incompetence is signaling that you can be trusted to be corrupt.

    2
  16. de stijl says:

    The Kompromat division of the FSB is working nights and weekends to keep up. New hires and interns to manage the servers. To teach field agents how to PowerPoint effectively.

    The Hegseth files, alone, are terabytes.

    Gabbard has a whole rack and chassis. Dedicated 24/7 support.

    Imagine if things were flipped. If this were a D president.

    2
  17. Kathy says:

    El Taco was swindled. The bribe plane he got from Qatar is worth $100 million less, and it’s older than the bribe plane they gave to Erdogan.

    Really, he should invade Qatar and take all its other jets for this insult.

    Or admit he’s not worth as much as a competent dictator.

    2
  18. CSK says:

    @de stijl:

    Well, I wouldn’t trade places with Melania for any amount of money. But, as you point out, she willingly made the deal. She knew precisely what she was getting.

    It’s uncomfortable to speculate about their sex life for a multitude of reasons (the inevitable imaginary visual is beyond repellent), but I’d be willing to bet that they haven’t had intercourse since Barron was conceived. As long as Melania fulfills her trophy function, Trump is satisfied. After all, Trump said he married her because he wanted other men to drop dead with envy when he walked into a room with her on his arm.

    As for Barron, he looks just like his father, so why shouldn’t he be like him in other respects?

    1
  19. de stijl says:

    Up until earlier I’d never seen a Tesla Cybertruck parked and still. Until then, always on the road.

    Holy crap! It’s so aggressively ugly. The angles are just so wrong. Did Homer Simpson design this?

    It was a company car for an HVAC company. You roll up in that thing and about 70% of potential customers are just gonna say “nope!”

    Don’t get me wrong. I don’t dislike new, innovative designs. I welcome and generally appreciate push-the-edge designs, but the Cybertruck looks like it was drawn by an 11 year old edgelord looking to be paid in Robux.

    On some things, I am an early adapter. Appreciate futurism. This, though. This is a travesty. A war crime.

    It’s so misshapen!

    4
  20. Kathy says:

    @de stijl:

    I saw one parked near mine the other day. I could have hit it taking out my car (I didn’t for some reason). It was also painted a darker gray, which didn’t help its look.

    This was Homer’s car

    1
  21. Gustopher says:

    @de stijl:

    It was a company car for an HVAC company.

    I think the car has a certain movie-style air vent look, so this fits. The shiny, not-strong-enough, ugly air vents the hero crawls through, like in Die Hard, but somehow in car form.

    4
  22. just nutha says:

    @Kathy: Even IT has better lines and look than a cybertruck.

    1
  23. de stijl says:

    @Gustopher:

    Good point. The fit and finish is a lot like half-assed duct work.

    My fridge has better sheet metal. And it’s low-end Frigidaire studio apartment level fridge.

    I never spend big money on appliances. Can you keep my shit cold reliably? Can you cook my cold shit reliably? Are you not aggressively ugly? If so, welcome aboard!

  24. Eusebio says:

    Speaking of Qatari airplanes, in today’s European soccer club championship final, Qatar Airways beat online gambling company Betsson. At least that’s what it says on their jerseys. The teams are from Paris and Milan.

  25. de stijl says:

    I have owned a dishwasher most of my adult life.

    I have used a dishwasher zero times in my adult life. I’m single. It’s easier to clean as I go and only use what I need. I use my dishwasher to store infrequently used pots and pans.

    I have a sink, running water that gets hot, access to soap, hands, and a scrub brush. It never occurs to me to run used dishes, etc. through a dishwasher. That is an unnecessary, wasteful step. It would take me weeks to fill it up, and after four meals, I’d run run out of cutlery and dishes.

  26. CSK says:

    Trump has pulled his nominee to be head of NASA, Jared Isaacman, on the grounds that he is not “in complete alignment with President Trump’s America First agenda.”

    1
  27. de stijl says:

    @CSK:

    “Sometimes, I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion.”

    1
  28. CSK says:

    @de stijl:

    I know about Sparkle Motion, but I’m afraid I don’t get your meaning in this context.

  29. de stijl says:

    @de stijl:

    I’m not against the concept of dishwashers, but for me, it’s entirely impractical. I’d feel extravagant using it. For me, superfluous. Unnecessary.

    But, I always know where my stockpot is stored for that one time I need it maybe twice a year.

    Everything in it’s place.

    1
  30. just nutha says:

    @de stijl: Or, it’s also possible that the dishwasher people are correct about a dishwasher using less water to wash even a small load of dishes than the sink uses. I neither have a dishwasher, a place to plumb it into, nor concerns about needing to conserve water where I live, so I don’t spend any time thinking about it. “Wasteful” has multiple definitions and contexts all the same.

  31. Jay L Gischer says:

    I personally do not like the look of the Cybertruck. However, I have non-MAGA friends who do. They say it looks like a Mars rover sort of vehicle, which they think is cool.

  32. Kathy says:

    @Jay L Gischer:

    Maybe you can direct them to this Wikipedia page. There are photos of several Mars rovers, and none looks like an overturned fridge on wheels 🙂

    To the larger point: there’s no accounting for taste.

    1
  33. al Ameda says:

    @de stijl:

    Why does Trump have a hard-on specifically for Harvard?
    It’s creepy and stalkerish.

    @CSK:

    @de stijl:
    Probably because neither he nor any of his kids could get in there. With Trump, it’s always about revenge.

    A friend of mine thinks it’s because Barron didn’t get accepted to Harvard, whereas Malia Obama was accepted. We know how much Trump hates Obama for mocking him about his Birther fetish at the 2011 White House Correspondents dinner, so if this conspiracy is true it makes perfect sense.

    4