I’ve Got Some Ocean Front Property in Arizona

And if you’ll buy that, I’ll throw the Golden Gate in free.

On Polling and Media Narratives

Some thoughts on polling and the news since 2016.

The Chaos is the Point

The anti-McCarthy holdouts have no end game.

Buttigieg Responsible for Flight Delays?

Should Secretary Pete have done more?

Tabs of Christmas Eve

Poor, Poor, Pitiful Pence

The past just won’t let him be.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks at a Cinco De Mayo reception Thursday, May 5, 2022, in the Rose Garden of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Cameron Smith) President Joe Biden delivers remarks at a Cinco De Mayo reception Thursday, May 5, 2022, in the Rose Garden of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Cameron Smith)

Biden’s Running. Really.

The President will be the 2024 Democratic nominee. Get used to it.

Kyrsten Sinema’s ‘Side Hustle’

The Arizona Senator runs an online thrift store in her spare time.

Forecasting 2024 Way Too Early

There are at most eight toss-up states for the 2024 Presidential election.

Kyrsten Sinema Leaving Democratic Party

Because of course she is.

Barr on Trump

Waaaay too little, waaay too late.

Red and Blue States Aren’t Permanent

The margins for 2024 are likely to be slim. But that hides a larger story.

Not Both Sides

One of these things is not like the other.

Republican Governors Don’t Like Trump

Alas, it probably doesn’t matter.

Democrats’ Chaotic Skullduggery

There was some quiet meddling going on.

AZ Called for Democrat Hobbs

Another election denier loses.

Does Campaign Money Matter?

How much is enough?

Election Denialism did Poorly at the Polls

The “America First” slate of candidates lost all but one contest.

“We Used to Know on Election Night!”

Well, kind of, but not really.

Nevada ‘Blue Shift’ Expected to Keep Senate Democratic

Adam Laxalt’s big lead is slowly erodiing.

Democrats Need One More to Hold Senate

It boils down to NV or GA.

Were the Election Outcomes Truly Unexpected?

Thinking about what was likely and what wasn’t.

Making Sense of the Election

Parsing the results thus far.

Murdoch Gunning for Trump

The New York Post and Wall Street Journal are blasting the losing loser.

Republican Losers Conceding, Not Rioting

A low bar has been cleared.

Trump 2022’s Biggest Loser

The 2020 loser has doubled down on losing.

Democrats Outperform Expectations

The Needle is Broken

Crystal Ball Final 2022 Ratings

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

Biden Warns Democracy at Stake

Is the President governing like he means it?

Congressional Control Still Too Close to Call

We likely won’t know on Election Night.

Pelosi Attack a Turning Point?

What will it take to end the cycle of violence?

Imagining a Stolen 2024 Election

It’s easy if you try.

Midterm Polls Shifting Republican

The race is returning to expectation.

newspaper newspaper

Democratic Local News Network

Fifty-plus “local” news outlets are a front for David Brock and company.

The High Price of Politicizing COVID

Republicans have died at a far higher rate than Democrats.

Asking the Wrong Questions

Tudor’s down. No laughing or drinking, just a crippled party.

The Emerging Democratic Majority at 20

How well has the famous thesis fared?

Today’s Reverse Freedom Rides

A shameful stunt reminiscent of an even darker era.

The Polls Are Essentially Meaningless But They’re Here to Stay

They could be overstating support for Democrats. Or understating it. Or be more or less right.

Anti-Zionism Isn’t Anti-Semitism

Many young, progressive Jews are feeling unwelcome in young, progressive circles.

The Media Rage Machine

Shockingly, when the most-watched news outlet is built on divisiveness, the country becomes divided.

Trump Tipping Point?

As more details emerge about the documents he stole, defenders are falling away.

Liz Cheney Walloped in Primary

The Trumper consolidation of their control of the GOP continues.

Feelings Don’t Care About Facts

“America can survive the demagogues themselves, it’s their audience that will kill us.”

The Ongoing Mystery of Sinema

Her price to sign on to the Inflation Reduction Act was, well, odd.

The free high-resolution photo of street, bicycle, asphalt, vehicle, hat, park bench, homeless, stockholm, packing, baby carriage, drifter, norrm larstrand , taken with an DMC-FS10 01/29 2017 The picture taken with 10.0mm, f/3.8s, 1/640s, ISO 80 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required. The free high-resolution photo of street, bicycle, asphalt, vehicle, hat, park bench, homeless, stockholm, packing, baby carriage, drifter, norrm larstrand , taken with an DMC-FS10 01/29 2017 The picture taken with 10.0mm, f/3.8s, 1/640s, ISO 80 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required.

Texas and Arizona Bussing Migrants to DC and NYC

A cruel and insidious ‘solution’ to the border problem.

Looking to the Senate Elections

It’s early, but here are some key numbers as they exist now.

Tony Dow, 1945-2022

The man most famous for his turn on “Leave it to Beaver” has passed from liver cancer aged 77.

Being Known by the Company you Keep

Meeting with people who are essentially couplotters should be disqualifying.