The First Trump Term, Economic Indicators Edition

Some comparative data.

What Explains a Trump Win?

Also: don’t forget a lot of people also voted against him.

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Whose Predictions Were Wrong?

Like Guy Fawkes, I got burnt!

Day After Tabs

It’s the Institutions, Stupid

A different take on our political realignment.

Thinking About the Border

Plus some thoughts on mass deportation.

Why We Can Say Crime Is Down Despite The FBI Upward Revision 2021’s Crime Estimates

Ignorance and motivated reasoning are never a good combination

Biden Wants to Limit Data Transfers to Adversaries

Closing the barn door after the horse has left.

Models Moving Trumpward

A modest disturbance in the force.

Reaching The Undecideds

They are not like you and me.

Illustrating Representation Deficits in the US

Looking at the US South.

Are We Seeing a Realignment?

Subtle demographic changes may have created a tipping point.

Electoral College Insanity: Florida Edition

Trump is significantly outpeforming his 2020 results in New York and Florida. It doesn’t matter.

The Immigration Backlash

Democrats and Republicans alike are less supportive than they were four years ago.

What Trump’s Election Denialism Hath Wrought

Some direct evidence of the effects.

Today’s Example of the Endless Grift

Trump Bibles: made in China.

The Other Undecided Voters

They have a preference but may not vote.

Republican Electoral College Advantage May Be Shrinking

The skews may offset.

The Elusive ‘Likely Voter’

Where the science and art of polling intersect.

Nate Silver: Pundit

Going solo has its disadvantages.

Sunday Tab Clearing

Vice President Kamala Harris attends a meeting with President Joe Biden and their “Investing in America” Cabinet to discuss the Administration’s economic agenda, Friday, May 5, 2023, in the Roosevelt Room of the White House. Vice President Kamala Harris attends a meeting with President Joe Biden and their “Investing in America” Cabinet to discuss the Administration’s economic agenda, Friday, May 5, 2023, in the Roosevelt Room of the White House.

Harris to Cut Degree Requirements

A modest proposal for Civil Service reform.

Vehicle-to-Everything Technology

A regional pilot program could be expanding.

Nate Silver Under Fire

The election analyst is out on a limb with Trump.

A ‘Normal’ Election?

Whatever that means anymore.

Harris Leads But Could Still Lose

Nate Silver is throwing cold water on the convention bounce.

Post-Affirmative Action College Campuses

More data shows a more complicated picture.

Election Tabs

The Lack Of Economy In Trump’s “Economy” Speech

I love a good data visualization!

Kamala’s New Map

Democrats suddenly have multiple paths to victory.

AIgorithmic Price-Fixing

Why the rent is too damn high.

No Joe-mentum

The Democrats are in a good place heading into their convention.

Kennedy’s 5%

Where will it go?

Monopoly board Go Directly to Jail with car and hotel Monopoly board Go Directly to Jail with car and hotel

Judge Rules Google is a Monopoly

The search giant lost a major court battle. What’s next?

Harris Has a Slight Lead

The reset is real.

OTB Update – Going Temporarily Offline Later Today

Commenting will turn off at 1pm ET today

The Blurry Line Between Legitimate PACs And Scams

Spoiler: the same people often work at both

The Gender Wars

They’re apparently ongoing. Who knew?

The Changing Spotlight

An odd juxtaposition in the major press.

A Rebooted Race

We’re back to Square 1.

Forced Relocation of Migrants

Cruelty with compound interest.

President Joe Biden talks to reporters before boarding Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House, Wednesday, March 23, 2022, for his trip to Europe. President Joe Biden talks to reporters before boarding Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House, Wednesday, March 23, 2022, for his trip to Europe.

Biden in Black and White

The President’s support is considerably stronger among Black Democrats.

Democrats Overwhelmingly Want Biden Off Ticket

Efforts to oust him from the race have picked up steam.

Dr. Ruth Westheimer, 1928-2024

“Dr. Ruth” is gone at 96.

Should He Stay or Should He Go?

A clash of possibilities.

Polls Continue Trumpward Shift

The slide continues.

Design Matters

UK 2024 edition.

SCOTUS Not as Radical as You Think!

Who are you going to believe, the WSJ or your lying eyes?