Outside the Beltway

A low confidence Election Day forecast.

Alan Dershowitz is trying to make up his mind.

Because I think too much about this stuff.

Democratic strategists are complaining that Biden is being too honest.

A weird report might explain a puzzling finding in the polls.

MAGA has eaten the Tea Party.

Creeping authoritarianism? Political suicide? Descent into madness?

A breakdown of some Republican primaries.

The last challenger to Donald Trump bows to reality.

A poor answer to a softball question has created unnecessary controversy.

Looking ahead to November 5, 2024

A perennial fantasy has a new standard bearer.

Shockingly, the current President’s numbers are worse than his predecessor’s.

Americans want some new choices.

Some of the early reactions to the inevitable announcement tell the tale.

There was some quiet meddling going on.

The Needle is Broken

Tudor’s down. No laughing or drinking, just a crippled party.

“Moderate” is up, “Liberal” is down, and “Conservative” is static. What does it mean?

They’re spending millions on issue ads in the wake of Dobbs.

The Democrats have lots of problems. Salesmanship is pretty far down the list.

Hillary Clinton edition.

It’s usually more effective to run for something rather than against someone.

The President’s approval has plummeted, largely because of factors outside his control.

A new poll show a very close race.

Not of governance.

Chuck Schumer and company sent a signal to their base against a fait accompli.

The wagons have been circled.

There’s a campaign to encourage anti-Trump Republicans and independents to vote in New Hampshire.

In just three years in office, Donald Trump has succeeded in taking huge steps in transforming the judiciary for decades to come.

Notwithstanding Russia’s weak position vis a vis the west, It’s Putin who seems to be winning.

Two new polls released today indicate that earlier suggestions that the race for the Democratic nomination had shifted were incorrect.

A new poll shows solid support for free trade and opposition to the President’s tariffs, suggesting strongly that Trump is losing the public relations battle on this issue.

The Trump Administration and 2020 campaign are clearly worried about the state of the economy. They should be, because it could be the one thing that dooms his re-election chances.

One week out from the second Democratic debate, Elizabeth Warren appears to be the biggest beneficiary. while Kamala Harris appears to be falling behind.

For the second time in month, the candidates for the Democratic Presidential nomination will face off in a two-night debate, so it’s as good a time as any to look at the polls.

Susan Collins hasn’t officially announced her intentions for 2020 just yet, but she looks like she’s running for re-election. If she does, she appears to be facing some political headwinds.

A convergence of OTB discussions.

There’s some very good news for Joe Biden in the first polls taken after he entered the Presidential race.

The decision to hand Democrats a victory and step on the good news from the Mueller report apparently came from the very top.

A further attempt at explanation.

More polling evidence that the public does not support Trump’s emergency declaration or his wall.

Democratic candidates for President are quickly voicing support for marijuana legalization.

Former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld is preparing for a primary challenge against Donald Trump. He won’t win, but he could still have an impact.

New polling clearly indicates that the President is losing the battle for public opinion over the government shutdown.

Democrats have flipped the Senate seat currently held by Republican Jeff Flake.

On Tuesday, Michigan joined the ranks of the states where marijuana is legal and several other states legalized it for medical purposes.

With one week to go before Election Day, Democrats seem well-positioned to gain control of the House while Republicans seem likely to hold on to the Senate.

The first poll taken in the wake of the Kavanaugh nomination fight suggests the voter enthusiasm gap is shifting toward Democrats.

New polling in a bellwether Congressional District in Northern Virginia appears to signal bad news ahead for the GOP.