Outside the Beltway

Republicans already seem to be blaming Hurricane Sandy in the event Mitt Romney loses.

The analyst actually wants to understand and be correct far more than he or she wants their preferences to prevail in the analysis

The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.

A week out from the election, President Obama is a heavy favorite to win re-election. But the major press continues to pretend otherwise.

There are several circumstances under which we may not know who won the 2012 election for some time after November 6th

Dean Chambers of UnSkewed fame, puts the polling debate into sharp perspective.

As in 2010, Scott Rasmussen’s polling in 2012 has shown a distinct bias in favor of Republicans.

The arguments in favor of major changes in the way we elect our President are unpersuasive.

A recent poll has Obama and Romney tied among women. Another gives Obama a 33 point edge.

Mitt Romney continues to benefit from the first Presidential Debate, but will that last past the second debate?

Sizing up the stakes for tonight’s one and only meeting between the two Vice-Presidential candidates.

The Pew poll is no longer an outlier but the start of a trend.

Mitt Romney has gotten a bump in the polls from Wednesday debate, but it’s still too early to say if it means anything.

Nate Silver offers a scenario where Obama and Romney each get 269 Electoral College votes.

Getting to the heart of the problem from my POV (plus historical numbers).

Mitt Romney’s “47 Percent” remarks seem to be hurting him.

Many on the right are heavily invested in the argument that current polling is intentionally biased against Mitt Romney. Their argument is not very plausible.

Mitt Romney has an Ohio problem, and little time to fix it.

It’s looking less likely that the GOP will be able to gain control of the Senate.

If the first round of post-convention polling is correct, President Obama may be pulling away from Mitt Romney.

So far, there’s very little movement in the polls for Governor Romney.

Mitt Romney’s speech last night was the best he’s ever given, but it’s impact may have been undercut but several odd production decisions that preceded it.

Once again, a Presidential election could be decided by the Buckeye State.

Unless something changes, Obama remains the odds-on favorite to win.

National Republicans aren’t at all thrilled with Todd Akin right now.

The most recent round of national polling seems to show that the negative attacks on Romney are having an impact.

Rob Portman, Bob McDonnell, and Brian Sandoval yield the biggest Electoral College advantage.

Mitt Romney faces an uphill battle in trying to get to that magic number of 270 Electoral Votes.

There are still three months or so go. The race is incredibly tight. And, voters are starting to really dislike both candidates.

Who benefits from the Supreme Court’s ObamaCare ruling?

Several conservatives are touting a poll that purports to show a 22 point drop in support for Obama by Jewish voters in New York. Is it believable?

A new poll purports to show the President losing 20% of North Carolina’s African-American vote to Mitt Romney. Don’t Believe It.

A spate of bad economic news foretells a shift in the campaign for President.

Time to prepare yourself for the incoming deluge of polling.

We may have Rick Santorum to deal with in 2016.

The president’s job approval is down. And it’s also up!

Rising fuel prices are starting to hurt the President in the polls, but it’s unclear what that means for November.