Swing State Voters Prefer Trump

Bidenomics is dragging Biden’s approval.

The Senate Dress Code

Much ado about nothing?

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The Clown Car Has No Brakes

The MAGA wing is driving us over a cliff.

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9/11 at 22

Generations of young Americans weren’t alive or have no real memory of the event.

Stupid Polling Tricks

Americans don’t want either Trump or Biden! Film at 11.

John Warnock, 1940-2023

The Adobe cofounder who revolutionized printing is gone at 82.

When Does A University Stop Being a University?

West Virginia University may be the canary in the coal mine.

Flagship University Arms Race

The oldest state institutions of higher education are spending money to make money.

Could Trump Really Be President Again?

It’s not nearly as far-fetched as most of us would like to believe.

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Phone Numbers

When something simple isn’t so simple.

Fear of a Third Party

The Electoral College is holding a nation of millions back.

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Harris Breaks Tiebreaker Record

A milestone that should never have been approached.

How Serious of a Threat is a No Labels Candidate?

The panic continues. Is it warranted?

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Comity in the Senate

Every once in a blue moon, a glimpse of humanity can be seen.

Dianne Feinstein is MIA

It’s time for her to step down.

Trump and Waco

Some disturbing symbolism.

SCOTUS Punts on Free Speech Case

The court declined to review a preacher’s lawsuit against my alma mater.

The Limits of Academic Freedom

UPenn law professor Amy Wax as a test case.

Another Reason to Dislike the Electoral College

“Red States” and “Blue State”

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National Divorce

The lunatic fringe idea is both appealing and unworkable.

Dilbert Canceled

Newspapers across the country are dropping the popular strip over a racist rant.

Ivy Ressentiment

Old men still bitter about where they went to college.

Ending College Degree Requirements

Too many jobs needlessly specify a bachelor’s.

Blake Hounshell, 1978-2023

A brilliant journalist is gone at 44.

On Polling and Media Narratives

Some thoughts on polling and the news since 2016.

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America Becoming More Rural

A new Census definition has changed classifications slightly. It doesn’t go nearly far enough.

Forecasting 2024 Way Too Early

There are at most eight toss-up states for the 2024 Presidential election.

Warnock Wins and Walker Concedes

Democrats increase their Senate margin.

Minority Rule Isn’t a Myth

The will of the majority can prevail even in a skewed system.

Red and Blue States Aren’t Permanent

The margins for 2024 are likely to be slim. But that hides a larger story.

Not Both Sides

One of these things is not like the other.

Lessons from the Fetterman Victory?

This kind of “analysis” drives me nuts

Republican Governors Don’t Like Trump

Alas, it probably doesn’t matter.

Democrats’ Chaotic Skullduggery

There was some quiet meddling going on.

No Big Lie in 2022?

Even the 2020 election deniers are conceding close elections in the midterms.

Were the Election Outcomes Truly Unexpected?

Thinking about what was likely and what wasn’t.

Making Sense of the Election

Parsing the results thus far.

Murdoch Gunning for Trump

The New York Post and Wall Street Journal are blasting the losing loser.

Republican Losers Conceding, Not Rioting

A low bar has been cleared.

Trump 2022’s Biggest Loser

The 2020 loser has doubled down on losing.

Democratic Ratfucking Worked

Boosting weak candidates in the Republican primaries paid off.

COVID Boosters in the Endemic Phase

How long rather than how many?

Democrats Outperform Expectations

The Needle is Broken

Crystal Ball Final 2022 Ratings

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

The Nationalization of American Politics

Local issues barely matter in Congressional races anymore.

Congressional Control Still Too Close to Call

We likely won’t know on Election Night.

Fetterman and the Politics of Optics

Will voters overlook the elephant in the room?

Midterm Polls Shifting Republican

The race is returning to expectation.

Democracy and ZIP Codes

The rules for voting in America vary widely.

Mastriano Under Fire From Colleagues and Mentors

A former dissertation advisor and two Army War College professors are speaking out against the gubernatorial candidate.