Dumping Russian Vodka is Stupid

It might feel good but it has zero impact on Putin.

It’s Not Time To Eulogize The Old Order

Pundits like Thomas Friedman struggle with premature prognostication.

The free high-resolution photo of street, bicycle, asphalt, vehicle, hat, park bench, homeless, stockholm, packing, baby carriage, drifter, norrm larstrand , taken with an DMC-FS10 01/29 2017 The picture taken with 10.0mm, f/3.8s, 1/640s, ISO 80 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required. The free high-resolution photo of street, bicycle, asphalt, vehicle, hat, park bench, homeless, stockholm, packing, baby carriage, drifter, norrm larstrand , taken with an DMC-FS10 01/29 2017 The picture taken with 10.0mm, f/3.8s, 1/640s, ISO 80 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required.

Ukraine Updates

Links and infographics.

Is Putin “Irrational”?

Addressing an analytical pet peeve (and, more importantly, correcting a mistake).

West Accelerates Pressure on Russia

NATO has stepped up in a pleasantly surprising way to resist the Ukraine invasion.

Ukraine Updates

News and commentary of note.

President Joe Biden calls New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, Wednesday, November 3, 2021, in the Oval Office Study. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden calls New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, Wednesday, November 3, 2021, in the Oval Office Study. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Biden a Failure?

Some of his numbers are worse than even Donald Trump’s.

The free high-resolution photo of street, bicycle, asphalt, vehicle, hat, park bench, homeless, stockholm, packing, baby carriage, drifter, norrm larstrand , taken with an DMC-FS10 01/29 2017 The picture taken with 10.0mm, f/3.8s, 1/640s, ISO 80 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required. The free high-resolution photo of street, bicycle, asphalt, vehicle, hat, park bench, homeless, stockholm, packing, baby carriage, drifter, norrm larstrand , taken with an DMC-FS10 01/29 2017 The picture taken with 10.0mm, f/3.8s, 1/640s, ISO 80 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required.

Hitting Russia Where It Hurts

Sanctions are already taking a toll. But the West could do more if it had the will.

Deterring The Deterrers

Deterring Russia is a matter of principle.

It’s Like 1939, But Better In Some Ways, And Also Worse

The military threat is smaller, but the political one is bigger.

Russia Really Invades Ukraine

Putin’s forces are in Kyiv.

The Beginning of a Response to the Beginning of an Invasion

The first shoe has dropped.

Putin Invades Ukraine in Defiance of West

The much-anticipated escalation has happened. Now to see how the United States and its allies respond.

Russian ‘False Flag’ to Justify Ukraine Invasion

Western intelligence agencies continue to predict an invasion under absurd pretexts.

Secrecy and Democracy

How do we know when our government is telling us the truth?

US Waives Iran Sanctions as Deal Nears

The Biden administration is close to repairing the damage Trump caused.

The Olympic Spirit and Authoritarian Regimes

There’s no keeping politics out of these Games.

The Children Must Be Protected!

But from what? Comparing two stories from Tennessee that show our society’s contradictory impulses when it comes to “protecting the children.”

Which Black Woman Will Biden Appoint to the Supreme Court?

The 46th President will follow the lead of the 40th in making a historic appointment.

Ukraine: Advantage Putin? Advantage NATO?

Expert opinion on the standoff differs sharply.

Game of Chicken Kiev

The United States and its NATO allies are in a dangerous standoff.

Biden’s January 6 Anniversary Speech

A necessary but likely irrelevant gesture.

Capitol Riot: One Year Later

A roundup of reflection on a somber anniversary.

Tab Clearing Tuesday

Misc. stories for your enjoyment.

Omicron and the Vaccines

Modern and Pfizer are your best bets, but most of the world has had other vaccines.

Vaccine Mandates Aren’t Cost-Free

Kids are getting caught in the crossfire of the fight over COVID shots.

Putin, Ukraine, and History

Russia’s leader sees the situation in the former Soviet Republic quite differently than the West.

Biden and Putin to Talk Ukraine

Russia may invade Ukraine again. The United States would prefer otherwise.

US Capitol Rotunda US Capitol Rotunda

Defense Bill Stalled Over Amendments

Every now and again, it’s not Mitch McConnell’s fault.

Is Autocracy Really Winning?

A depressing magazine piece argues it is.

Saving American Democracy

The Politician’s Syllogism rears its ugly head.

US-France Submarine Contretemps

American cheese will henceforth be known as liberté cheese. And not because of the metric system.

Milley and Woodward Revisited

A follow-up to yesterday’s analysis.

A Nuclear Iran is Inevitable

The Islamic Republic is very close to being able to fuel a single weapon.

Where Are the White House Photos?

A departure from the Internet-era tradition.

It’s Only Champagne if it’s Made in Russia

If it’s made in France, it’s “sparkling wine.”

Who Lost Afghanistan?

The postmortems are well underway.

Red Lights on the Dashboard

Some recent news items that add to concern about American democracy.

Quick Hits

Gotta clear those tabs.

DOJ Recovers Half of Colonial Pipeline Ransom

Some good news in the hacking wars.

Ryan Says GOP Must Move Past Trump

“If the conservative cause depends on the populist appeal of one personality, or on second-rate imitations, then we’re not going anywhere.”

Classifying Countries by Income

What constitutes a “low income” or “high income” country?

Trump Campaign-Russian Intelligence Link Definitively Established

RussiaGate is back in the news but the story is unlikely to move the needle.

Nick Burns to Be China Ambassador

An exceptional choice that breaks the recent tradition of politicos in the post.

Leaving Afghanistan After Only 20 Years

Four administrations and two decades later, it’s about to be over.

President Biden’s First Press Conference

The media became the story but the President was the news.

A Key Legacy of the Trump Administration

Empowering authoritarians.

US Capitol Rotunda US Capitol Rotunda

On Coups, Insurrections, and Security Theater

Reflections on the events of 6 January two months later.

Biden Punishing Russia but Not Saudi Arabia

The fecklessness of U.S. human rights policy in full display.