Source: BlueSky

“This is what the leadership of President Trump looks like.”

What if this had been a true crisis?

27

Comments

I will start with two caveats. One, we really don’t know exactly what happened yesterday, and therefore we really do not know who deserves what specific criticism about the causes. Two, the country’s air traffic infrastructure is antiquated and is in dire need of upgrading (and yes, this is a known problem that is hardly the sole responsibility of the Trump administration).

Yesterday I did something I rarely do outside of election night: I turned on the news and watched for several hours uninterrupted. First, it was to simply figure out what was going on. I had been working in the yard listening to a podcast when my wife came home and said that all planes were grounded, plus a riverboat in New Orleans had capsized, which all sounded pretty bad. Given the Microsoft outage earlier this week, my mind went to cyberterrorism or AI mischief, to be honest.

Well, after some false concerns about the National Weather Service further amped those concerns, things started to seem perhaps a little less dramatic than I initially thought might be the case. But I was soon struck by the utter lack of official word from the administration. All that we seemed to have, roughly two hours into this mess, was the FAA saying that it “doesn’t know what is going on” and a brief statement to camera by DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin, who was focused on truly important matters, like correcting a report for using AI instead of SI.

Finally, hours into the crisis, Mullin and Secretary of Transportation Sean Duffy briefed the nation. It was a remarkable event (and not in a good way).

The Air Current summarizes the information provided:

U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy and Secretary of Homeland Security Markwayne Mullin confirmed in a nighttime press conference from the White House that the nationwide ground stop had been lifted. They diagnosed the cause as overloaded routers that “experienced instability” beginning at 3:36 p.m. Eastern time when over 3,500 flights were airborne over the U.S.

While Mullin said “there’s nothing completely certain right now” about the cause of the outage, “it doesn’t appear” there is evidence of a cyberattack or threat from rogue AI systems.

“What it appears to be right now is, as Secretary Duffy and FAA was going in and putting patches into the system, they were putting new equipment and new technology, and that new equipment, new technology…it was overwhelming the older system,” he added.

One thing that struck me was that Mullin stated that the crisis was not caused by a cyberattack, but also, as quoted above, “there’s nothing completely certain right now.” So, which is it? His main evidence that it was not an attack appeared to be that no one had claimed responsibility. This had occurred to me as well, but surmise is not actual evidence, nor is it what top officials should be using to make assessments like this.

The bulk of the “briefing” was a combination of ass-kissing of Trump by two cabinet secretaries and Sean Duffy whining about needing more money to fix the problem while decidedly eliding the question of who has had a governing trifecta since January 20, 2025.

The whole thing can be summed up by Mullin himself:

Markwayne Mullin: “This is what the leadership of President Trump looks like”

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) 2026-11-14T01:36:15.852Z

Indeed.

After I finally abandoned the news, I couldn’t help but think: what if this had been a real crisis?

The inability of this administration to have provided even the most basic briefings hours into a national ground stoppage of all flights (an action many of us associate with 9/11) was pretty incredible and demonstrated a lack of capacity and basic understanding of core government functions. I am not saying, at all, that I expected answers to all my questions about what was going on immediately. But I think it is the bare minimum responsibility of the government that is responsible for things like air traffic control to be able to give a basic briefing as to what the government knows, to tell us in basic terms what is being done, and to provide some assurance to the population that the problem is being addressed.

When the power or internet goes out at your house, do you not feel better if you can check an app or website on your phone to know that, yes, the relevant company is aware of the problem and that crews are on their way? Basic information, often to simply acknowledge that a problem exists, can alleviate some anxiety.

Again: bare minimum.

Instead, we get Heckle and Jeckle waiting hours to tell us anything, and it’s mostly praising Trump and asking for billions of dollars.

Nothing about last night inspired a lick of confidence.

It’s as if appointing a bunch of incompetent boobs to lead complex organizations was a bad idea!

Apropos of nothing, that reminds me of these two Axios stories: U.S. loses measles elimination status, and MAGA turns on Lutnick amid China spy scandal.

So, yes, the ATC system needs a massive overhaul, so maybe Duffy should have been focused on that instead of making a reality show with his family. And, for that matter, maybe Trump should be more concerned with planes in the sky than ballrooms, arches, and reflecting pools.

And, of course, there is stuff like this (from PBS last year): How DOGE’s cutbacks at the FAA could affect aviation safety.

See also Wired: No Pilots. Few Air Traffic Controllers. What Could Go Wrong?

On September 27, US transportation secretary Sean Duffy posted a video on X with the words “GAME CHANGER.” “Introducing ‘SMART’—the new air traffic management tool that saves YOU time, cuts back DELAYS, and makes your flying experience BETTER,” he wrote. This was a new AI-infused air traffic control system. Almost three weeks later, that post would get a new life, as a nervous joke, as the FAA issued a national groundstop on Friday the 13th that instantly threw the world’s airline schedules into chaos. The administration quickly announced that there was no evidence of a cyberattack, and no sign that SMART had anything to do with the communications failure at the heart of the government’s decision to suspend flights. But when asked on Friday night whether he could definitively rule out AI failure, Homeland Security secretary Markwayne Mullin could only say, “There’s nothing certain right now.”

But, you know: “This is what the leadership of President Trump looks like”

See also: Ann Telnaes.

27 responses to ““This is what the leadership of President Trump looks like.””

  1. It seems where the regime fails in competence it makes up with a total lack of self-awareness.

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  2. Mullin was a low IQ congressman and Duffy ran a truckers union. Their primary qualifications were allegiance to Trump, just like almost everyone else in his administration. Ability, experience and qualifications largely dont exist.

    My understanding, I think Kathy follows this stuff more closely and may have a better idea, is that it will cost a ton of money to update control systems while avoiding shutdowns. As we all know its difficult to get spending past the GOP congress/Trump unless its for ICE, ballrooms, arches or Elon Musk projects so maybe this loosens up the pursestrings.

    Steve

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    1. I know more about what ATC does than how it does it.

      It’s been known for decades the system is old and antiquated. It’s less well known there have been some improvements and upgrades. But I don’t know in which way it fails or what has improved.

  3. https://dcinboxinsights.substack.com/p/what-does-congress-say-about-l3harris?r=2jh99&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

    https://www.l3harris.com/all-capabilities/faa-telecommunications-infrastructure-fti?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

    The government’s aging aviation infrastructure is receiving renewed attention, and officials are calling for additional funding to modernize it. L3Harris is already deeply involved in that infrastructure. Its own materials describe its responsibility for operating and maintaining telecommunications networks that support air traffic management. In many important areas, the federal government relies on private companies to design, build, maintain, and operate the systems that make government work.

  4. I’ve done a lot of flying in the past year and a half, and I was already a little nervous about increased risks during the stewardship of corrupt morons. But I don’t want to jump to any conclusions, based on yesterday’s stoppage.

    But that’s exactly your point, Steven. To fight people’s natural anxieties, you need to exude competence. Provide timely information about what is known, in a way that doesn’t obviously understate or overstate anything. Keep the updates flowing, so that people sitting in airport terminals, or friends and family anxiously awaiting word about them, have some reasoned, helpful voice in their ears, instead of just the awful little voices in their heads.

    And above all, don’t appear to be more concerned about appeasing Dear Leader than addressing real and imagined risks.

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    1. @Kingdaddy Every time a member of this admin speaks publicly, it is clear there is only one person they are really talking to.

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  5. The “move fast and break things” mantra came from Zuckerberg. Our government has adopted it as their way of doing things because Trump has no interest in planning, proceeding with frequent checks, and allowing for mid course corrections. Thus we get DOGE, 5% bonds, the war against Iran, and the reflecting pool. Also, arches, a torn up East Wing, and a ballroom with Führerbunker extras. Now Sean Duffy wants $30, no make that $50 billion. I am not upset that he and Markwaynepeterpaulandmary didn’t come up with a quick diagnosis; I have big doubts that they will ever do the work to get a useful understanding of the problem. It’s not the culture of the administration. I do think that there is something to the SI term instead of AI. We are not getting Artificial Intelligence; we are getting Shit Intelligence.

    1. Oh spit. I saw a report early yesterday evening that the cause was a software update. I was skeptical because who’d do that at a busy time? Apparently Duffy has confirmed it.

      1. And I guarantee you they knew it last night. So in between kissing Trump’s fat ass they lied to the American people, not to mention ignoring the air traffic controllers whose measly 2.8% wage increase–allocated by Congress–was blocked by Trump’s FAA head.

      2. Starting to sound like this is going to be fun. Above I noted disbelief anyone would load an update at peak demand. An AI might. Sorry SI.

        I’ll add that a week or so ago I noted Paul Krugman’s fear AI hacking would make the internet unusable, possibly within months.

    2. Now Sean Duffy wants $30, no make that $50 billion.

      So we could have modernized the ATC system instead of starting a pointless war in Iran and making gas $4.50 a gallon?

    3. To me, “move fast and break things” is fine if we’re talking about an early-stage social media webapp. Broken features do not have major consequences.

      It is not so fine when it applies to air traffic control.

  6. It’s Biden’s fault.

  7. Are people ever going to wake up to the fact that our billionaire tech overlords are a bunch of creeps and clowns? What a collection of immature, inadequate men.

    3
  8. US air travel is a joke. Higher and higher prices charged by the US airline oligopoly for worse and worse service. And it’s a bipartisan failure.

    1) We need extensive intercity and interstate rail, to ease the pressure on aviation and increase competition. No party’s voters are making an issue of this.

    2) I’ve been hearing about the need to upgrade America’s dangerously outdated air traffic control systems for literally my entire adult life. Nothing has been done.

    Americans have done this to ourselves by failing to care about these issues and thus failing to elect leaders who will address them. And no I don’t believe it’s just mere coincidence it’s all coming to a head under a incompetent regime that let Musk and the DOGE clowns rampage through government running off ~400,000 workers, including at the FAA.

    This is end-stage anti-government, pro-monopoly Reaganism. Will Americans and our electeds get woke and course correct? We’ll see.

    1. California has been struggling with high speed rail for 30 years. If there were any real chance of success it would be a huge influence on the US. Though I guess it’s doing that right now by failing…

      1. Typically childish American response that typifies why our country’s transportation grid is a mess, why we can do longer do big things, and why we’re stuck being price gouged by monopolies.

        California deserves credit for trying while others do absolutely nothing at all. It’s embarrassing for a country this rich to not have extensive rail (and to have citizens dying for inability to afford basic healthcare, but that’s off topic). The good-to-great rail in Europe should the baseline to reach for, and the ncredible systems in places like Japan the benchmark.

        In sane and smart countries, the difficulty California has had building high-speed rail would prompt a serious nonpartisan effort to come together and fix the problems; for example, by comparing permitting, environmental review, construction, supply chain, processes in the US vs. Japan. Americans would then double down on finishing the project and getting it right.

        That is how America built interstate highway and put a man on the moon. They didn’t let initial setbacks cause them to abandon ship.

        Now, the difficulties of rail projects here is just an opportunity for losers who love mediocrity to score cheap “Durrrrr California durrrr” political points, suggesting that not even trying is sustainable. Unserious. But the immature attitude is all too typical of Americans c. 2026. It’s why American aviation is a wreck.

  9. All this happened during my work day in Honolulu, and I was legitimately concerned. The whole state relies on air transportation for everything, an extended stoppage has huge ramifications. I was preparing to stock up after work if it wasn’t resolved, just as I would for hurricane or tsunami threat. But this would have been a man made disaster.

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  10. https://luciantruscott.substack.com/p/its-the-morning-after-the-ground?r=2jh99&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

    Neither of the two Trump-bots mentioned the $12.5 billion that was appropriated for the FAA as part of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” in 2025. It emerged today that of that amount, only about one billion has been spent, and much of that amount, some $875 million, has been assigned to a Boston area startup company called Air Space Intelligence to pay for a new AI-powered “tool” called SMART that is supposed to “reduce delays, reduce fuel consumption and improve the travel experience for the flying public,” according to an FAA “fact sheet” that was published on Tuesday. “After a successful initial rollout to the National Capital Region in September, the FAA will now use SMART in the airspace of all 22 centers across the country,” the FAA continued, bragging about its new AI tool two days before the entire country’s air traffic control system failed, causing the ground stop ordered by the FAA yesterday at 4:00 p.m.

    So where is the rest of the $12.5 billion? That money is supposed to be spent as part of what is supposed to be the FAA’s “modernization program.” Will the $12.5 billion be included in the $50 billion Sean Duffy kept demanding last night, or is it on top of that number? And why was the administration as recently as Monday claiming that it needed only $30 billion to complete the “modernization program” of the air traffic control system?

  11. From what I am reading, I place a 75% probability on the problem coming from those new, AI-infused systems. It may or may not be an “AI” problem as such. But that’s the big destabilizer.

    It also highlights how serious things could get if we did have to cope with a state actor level cyberthreat.

  12. ASI donated $12,500 to the congressional campaign of Michael Alfonso in March 2026. Mike is the son-in-law of Sean Duffy. In June 2026, ASI was given a $875 million contract (no competition bid). November 12, ASI installed some software into the FAA. The next day, the system went down. I’m not eager to give Secretary Duffy $50 billion to disburse.

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  13. The Clown Car arrived, Mullin and Duffy emerged and proceeded to tell us that:
    (1) their people crashed the system, but …
    (2) Congress is to blame, and …
    (3) all thanks to the leadership of the greatest president in American history.

    3
  14. NYT says Duffy said it was caused by their activity to upgrade from copper to fiber.

    So it wasn’t the old stuff and lack of money, it was mismanagement of spending the upgrade money they already had. How very Trumpian.

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  15. Not one of these losers is making me feel good about flying.

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  16. Reflecting pool redux.

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  17. I would love to hear an explanation for why that portion of a critical system wasn’t thoroughly tested before being brought online?!?

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  18. Per the Guardian:

    “What we’re working to determine is whether we had incompetence,” Duffy said, “or did they install a faulty router.”

    If this is remotely true, I can guarantee incompetence.

    Critical infrastructure should be designed with redundancy, with failover when things go wrong, and metrics to detect when things go wrong. Mistakes happen, of course, and that’s what the redundancy is for.

    And —and this is critical— you regularly test the failover by introducing errors, whether that is Ye Olde Facebooke’s Chaos Monkey, or carefully designed events, or just wandering around pulling out plugs. Failing to do this is incompetence.

    And sometimes shit happens — human error means you measure the wrong things, or two big problems happen at once or some drunken hunter shoots out your fiber, or the backup generator is filled with rats. A carefully designed event at one company I was working at was interrupted when an unrelated data center in Ireland (Land of Ire) sank into a bog causing failover to fail.

    The administration’s statements show that no one making or writing the statements understands how to run these systems. Hopefully the people three levels down are better.

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