Thursday’s Forum

FILED UNDER: Open Forum
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. Scott says:

    This could prove fun.

    Trump says he will soon endorse in runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton

    President Donald Trump said he would “soon” endorse a candidate in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate and, in doing so, call on whomever he does not endorse to drop out of the race — though he did not specify whether he would back Sen. John Cornyn or Attorney General Ken Paxton.

    In a post on Truth Social, Trump said that the stakes of Texas’ Senate race in November are too high to allow the Cornyn-Paxton contest to go on. The two Republicans finished just over one point apart in Tuesday’s primary, but neither reached the majority threshold to win outright, forcing a May 26 overtime round.

    My dream scenario is that Trump will endorse Cornyn and call for Paxton’s withdrawal. Paxton, being the adulterous, indicted felon and liar that he is, will go “Nah, I think I can still win”. The Republicans will totally split between the anti-semitic, anti-islamic, George Wallace descendants and the rapidly retreating “normal” Republicans. Leaving an opening for Talarico.

    It’s a long shot but one can dream.

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  2. Neil Hudelson says:

    @Scott:

    It’s a long shot but one can dream.

    Gotta be honest, I think there is at least a 50% chance of this being the very scenario we face. Honestly I think it’s the likely scenario, but that’s just because of my naturally sunny disposition.

    ETA: The other likely scenario is that Trump remains ‘one week away’ from announcing his pick for the next 10 weeks or so.

    4
  3. Scott says:

    In addition to the 4 soldiers killed in Kuwait reported yesterday, there are two more:

    Maj. Jeffrey R. O’Brien, 45, of Indianola, Iowa, died on March 1, 2026, in Port Shuaiba, Kuwait, during an unmanned aircraft system attack.

    Chief Warrant Officer 3 Robert M. Marzan, 54, of Sacramento, Calif., was at the scene of the incident on March 1, 2026, in Port Shuaiba, Kuwait, and is believed to be the individual who perished at the scene.

    That makes six soldiers killed from the 103rd Sustainment Command, Des Moines, Iowa.

  4. CSK says:

    @Scott:

    I’m assuming Trump will endorse Paxton for a couple of reasons. One is that they’re both pigs. Two is that Trump doesn’t like Cornyn.

    5
  5. Charley in Cleveland says:

    Pam Bondi – an audacious rule breaker – now wants to be an audacious rule MAKER, claiming the right to stop bar complaints against her foot soldiers:

    In other words, any time Bondi learns of a bar complaint against one of her own, she would have authority to ask any state bar in the nation to halt their process while she reviews the claims. And if those bars “refuse,” the DOJ “shall take appropriate action to prevent the bar disciplinary authorities from interfering with the Attorney General’s review of the allegations” — though it’s unclear exactly what that would entail….While the AG and her allies argue that this would help ensure fairness of process for DOJ attorneys and reduce costs, it could also amount to Bondi empowering herself to pick and choose which disciplinary cases to “review” and clear of misconduct, while at the same time claiming a level of federal control over state bar proceedings.

    There’s the usual blather about “weaponization” of the bar review process, and “political activists” making complaints. Bondi is taking the Trumpian position that any opposition to blatant rule breaking simply has to be politically motivated, as he and she chip away at the very foundation of the rule of law. Bastids!
    https://lawandcrime.com/high-profile/ag-pam-bondi-claims-right-to-take-over-state-bar-investigations-of-her-lawyers-ethics-or-else-cites-unprecedented-weaponization-of-complaints/

    2
  6. reid says:

    In addition to DHS secretary Noem being grilled in Congress about her awful leadership, let’s not overlook that there were some allegations about sweetheart advertising deals being handed out:

    https://www.mediaite.com/media/news/watch-house-democrat-corners-kristi-noem-on-fishy-143m-contract-she-doled-out-in-tense-hearing-confrontation/

    This alone would lead to endless news coverage in the normal times, but these days it’s likely just a blip and par for the course for this administration.

    5
  7. Kathy says:

    I’m close to finalizing a recipe for ground beef and potatoes. Mostly I’m a bit stuck on the mechanics of it, as parts are done in the air fryer (mine is a two in one air fryer and instant pot), and parts in a saucepan.

    I’ve been focusing on technique of late, and maybe I’m carrying it too far…

    1
  8. charontwo says:

    Political right and body imagery:

    Liberal Currents

    Death and destruction from the sky all day long. We’re playing for keeps. Our warfighters have maximum authorities granted personally by the President and yours truly. Our rules of engagement are bold, precise, and designed to unleash American power, not shackle it. This was never meant to be a fair fight. And it is not a fair fight. We are punching them while they’re down, which is exactly how it should be.

    This is how Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth addressed the country on Wednesday in a press conference about the ongoing war with Iran. It was a lurid, machismo-driven appearance that almost smelled of bloodlust through the screen. As MS NOW commentator Mika Brzezinski described it, it was “a childish litany of accomplishments…a lot of rhetoric about death and destruction and power, and no real reasoning about what the immediate threat was.”

    Hegseth’s focus on the imagery of pain and ruin echoed Trump’s State of the Union last week, in which the president repeatedly described the bodily suffering of various individuals, including U.S. servicemembers. Trump offered the image of West Virginia National Guardsman Andrew Wolfe, the victim of a November shooting in D.C., in his hospital bed with “blood all over.” He detailed the injuries of Eric Slover, a member of the strike force that seized Maduro earlier this year, by saying, “He absorbed four agonizing shots, shredding his leg into pieces.”

    Throughout the speech, one was left with the clear sense that Trump was at his most animated when describing the bloodied and mangled bodies of other people. This obsession with the body—and particularly with the body as the subject of serious injury, even death—is a hallmark of right-wing politics in America.

    I’ve written in the past about how Hegseth’s vision of the American military is preoccupied with an ideal of the male form—one that’s a kind of modern mishmash of Spartan imagery and homoerotic fascist machismo. But that is only one facet of the Trumpian right’s fixation on the body. Another example is the now well-known phenomenon of Mar-A-Lago Face, wherein the women of the right doctor their appearances with filler, cosmetic surgeries, and absurd excesses of makeup. My colleague Samantha Hancox-Li has astutely observed that the prevalence of steroid use and plastic surgery on the right constitutes its own form of gender-affirming care in an era of reactionary fantasies.

    What’s inescapable through all of this is the sense of the human form—particularly as a subject of violence or abuse—as a source of inextricably political and sexual excitement. Yes, this is especially true of Trump, but it’s a generalized phenomenon on the right.

    There is, everywhere, a sense that our current leaders are aroused: aroused by one another, as in the case of Noem and her sordid alleged affair with Corey Lewandowksi; aroused by war against America’s enemies; aroused by doing violence to the political opposition, especially as ICE is doing; aroused by domination and the thought of domination; aroused by resistance; aroused by their anger; and, perhaps ironically, aroused by their own internal revulsions.

    So we are treated to our president, who is also an adjudicated sex offender, giving semi-erotic rants about violent crime and wounded soldiers. We are forced to endure the mentally pubescent antics of a Secretary of “War” who boasts about the death and destruction created by his rippling “war fighters.” We must endure the spectacle of women like Kristi Noem and Nancy Mace, doctored to fit a ghoulish notion of femininity, as they parade bodies for our scorn and entertainment.

    It is a fitting culmination for Trumpism. After all, this is the man who worked tirelessly to portray himself in tabloid media as a figure of robust sexual desire and achievement. This is the man who ran beauty pageants that he used as opportunities to sexually harass the teenage participants. This is the man who sent Jeffrey Epstein this birthday letter about their “secret” knowledge.

    America’s current descent into lawless, violent, unaccountable government is at least a little bit a story of psychosexual unmooring. Republicans were once the party of prudes. Now their politics are, in every way, an exercise in perversion.

    12
  9. Kathy says:

    A piece on deaths of ICE agents in the course of routine removal operations

    TL;DR:

    The analysis showed that no deportation officer has died a violent death in the line of duty since US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) was first created in 2003. Of the 15 officers who died in the line of duty while working for Enforcement and Removal Operations, the ICE branch charged with detaining unauthorized migrants within the interior of the US, all but two died of Covid.

    3
  10. Jen says:

    Trump tells Axios that he needs to be involved in the selection of Iran’s next leader, and that Khamenei’s son is an “unacceptable” choice.

    1
  11. Eusebio says:

    @Neil Hudelson:

    The other likely scenario is that Trump remains ‘one week away’ from announcing his pick for the next 10 weeks or so.

    This would be my guess — that he puts off making an announcement until fizzling out in a TACO. Unless, that is, he can somehow privately convince Paxton to drop out. Because he must know that Cornyn stands a better chance of winning, and doesn’t want to be seen as a loser supporting the loser Paxton.

    2
  12. CSK says:

    @Jen:

    Will Trump’s choice be Reza Pahlavi?

  13. Jen says:

    Apparently, Noem is out at DHS, and Trump has nominated Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Outer Space) as her replacement.

    1
  14. Daryl says:

    Noem is out.

  15. Gregory Lawrence Brown says:

    Trump fires Kristi Noem as Homeland Security Secretary
    Source

  16. ptfe says:

    Noem out, moved to some made-up nonsense involving “Shield of the Americas” which has Miller’s fingerprints all over it. Sen. Markwayne Mullin, perhaps the dumbest of Trump’s senate concubines, is suggested as future Deputy of Racism:

    https://bsky.app/profile/esqueer.net/post/3mgdhoiww7s26

    2
  17. JohnSF says:

    @CSK:
    Could be; and rather uncientific indications from Iran indicate he is rather remarkably popular, at least as a symbol.
    Whether such popularity lasts after installation is more doubtful.

    The problems are: there is not much indications of a broad and well organised “Pahalavi underground” in Iran.
    How can any leader get installed and achieve national control if the the dispersed IRGC fights?
    Can a new regime put down a likely Pasdaran diehard insurgency?

    1
  18. JohnSF says:

    Meanwhile Iranian forces (are they still under effective direction at all?) continue to make friends and influence people: strikes on Kurdistan and Azerbaijan.

    The latter is particualrly foolish: Azerbaijan has a small but highly effective military, and President Aliyev is not exactly known for his warm and cuddly nature.

    While in Lebanon, Hezbollah seems determined to bring yet more distaster down on their heads.
    The thing is, Hezbollah is no longer the power it was in Lebanon, and other Lebanese seem very unhappy about being dragged into another war.
    There is considerable possibiility of anti-Hezbollah pogrom; and possibly a full anti-Shia civil war.

    1
  19. Gregory Lawrence Brown says:

    Mutt: I believe that Donald J. Trump was sent by God!

    Jeff: Why? Did he run out of locusts?

    (seen on Facebook)

    4
  20. Rob1 says:

    Making wars cheaper and easier

    U.S. Deploys 500km PrSM Ballistic Missile in First Combat Strike on Iran.

    The PrSM combat debut is a messaging event aimed beyond Iran. It demonstrates that U.S. ground forces can now impose rapid, precision effects deep into a theater from mobile launchers, complicating adversary planning and raising the cost of concentrating air defense, missiles, and command infrastructure within a few hundred kilometers of U.S. positions. It also validates the industrial and acquisition bet behind PrSM’s ramp

    If they get a new hammer, they gotta find or make an opportunity to use it — to assert authority over rivals, and to justify the tax expenditure. We did not need to nuke Hiroshima or Nagasaki. The lie told 81 years ago is the same lie told in 2002 on invading Iraq, and the same lie being told now. There were alternatives to the extreme measures we have taken in each instance.

    Making war cheaper and easier! Our contribution to mankind! Uncle Sam’s Club for your volume war materiel buyers! Buy one PrSM ballistic missile, get a matching one! Don’t let your tube artillery get lonely! Put two in each tube. Double the pleasure, double the fun!

    You’ll wonder where the enemy went when you brush your tubes with PrSM-O-dent!

    (*offer not valid in Ukraine, Canada, or Denmark)

    This race to economize war via lower-cost, volume weaponry is a open Pandora’s box, making the means to armed conflict more accessible and more likely. Advantages gained are temporal and becoming short lived. Rather, we need to be investing in human processes that eliminate state level violence, and promote rational conflict resolution. And the starting point is becoming more astute at the granular level of nonviolent interpersonal conflict resolution. Needs to be part of our human manual.

    1
  21. Rob1 says:

    @CSK:
    <blockquote
    I’m assuming Trump will endorse Paxton for a couple of reasons. One is that they’re both pigs. Two is that Trump doesn’t like Cornyn

    Predators find acceptance and comaraderie among their own kind. Hegseth is in the club. Gaetz tried to make the cut, but there were some complications.

    1
  22. Rob1 says:

    @charontwo:

    America’s current descent into lawless, violent, unaccountable government is at least a little bit a story of psychosexual unmooring. Republicans were once the party of prudes. Now their politics are, in every way, an exercise in perversion.

    —- Totally, Totally, THIS.

    Republicans wrap themselves in our flag and hide behind The Cross, and yet they betray the core values that define allegiance to both.

    And one thing more: they betray the very intellectual process that their educations afford them, and with which they festoon their CVs, to convince all that they are indeed “serious people” to be taken “seriously”, even as they indulge in the tabloid fantasies they represent as a “serious” effort to formulate national policy, upon which hangs the fate of our 300+ million citizens.

    Trump is a parody of himself. Hegseth is a parody of himself. Noem is self-parody. Bondi is self-parody. Markwayne is self-parody.

    Deadly parody. Are we still laughing?

    3
  23. Rob1 says:

    @CSK:

    Will Trump’s choice be Reza Pahlavi?

    Reza Pahlavi may be acceptable to Iranian expats who fled the revolution, but a majority of people would likely not sign on to that. And given the size, depth and decades of control exerted by the Iranian theocracy there is no way a Pahlavi could survive a return to Iran. Anything this White House attempts to impose on Iran will not stick. We’re in for either a long bloody conflict, or a retreat home with tail between legs, or both.

    1
  24. Kathy says:

    @Rob1:

    War used to be massive, relying on tons and tons of bombs and shells to overwhelm or destroy enemy forces or production and transportation facilities. Then it morphed to finesse and precision, efficiency, which required fewer bombs and shells, but was far more expensive. It was also believed to be more effective.

    Now it’s reverting to type.

    Just the same: Oppression for pennies a day!

    3
  25. Eusebio says:

    @Rob1:

    This race to economize war via lower-cost, volume weaponry is a open Pandora’s box, making the means to armed conflict more accessible and more likely. Advantages gained are temporal and becoming short lived.

    This administration, which fetishes big-ass bombs and is actually planning trump class battleships, has no such understanding of armed conflict. The bigger and more violent, the better in their book, especially if there’s video that can be used as a demonstration of might.

    There’s probably a reason why the Iranian Navy frigate near Sri Lanka was the the first enemy vessel sunk with a torpedo from a U.S. submarine since World War II, like maybe torpedoing ships hasn’t been necessary. Such torpedoes are known to have devastating ship-killing effects, and it did provide a violent spectacle, but we heard nothing about the threat posed by the frigate and it was left to the Sri Lankan Navy to rescue the survivors.

    2
  26. Kathy says:

    A Chinese company has developed an airborne wind turbine.

    It’s clever, and looks great, but it’s the kind of thing that comes with issues not addressed in the link.

    I assume it’s tethered to the ground. Ok. What happens if the tether breaks? How does the thing keep station in high winds? How often will it need a helium refill? Is there enough helium in the world for masses of airborne turbines? And lots more.

    It does work, as in it does generate power and can hook up to the grid with a long cable (jokes about long, long, long extension cords would be appropriate here).

    Oh, and remember China has no wind turbines in operation at all. Not.ONE. 😛

    1
  27. Michael Cain says:

    @Charley in Cleveland:

    Pam Bondi – an audacious rule breaker – now wants to be an audacious rule MAKER, claiming the right to stop bar complaints against her foot soldiers

    In court yesterday, a DHHS attorney told the judge that Secretary Kennedy’s decisions about vaccination are unreviewable. From Reuters:

    “Is it your position that is totally ​unreviewable?” [Judge] Murphy asked. “If the secretary said instead of getting a shot to prevent measles I think you should get a shot that gives you measles, is that unreviewable?”

    “Yes,” Belfer replied.

    2
  28. al Ameda says:

    @Scott:

    My dream scenario is that Trump will endorse Cornyn and call for Paxton’s withdrawal. Paxton, being the adulterous, indicted felon and liar that he is, will go “Nah, I think I can still win”. The Republicans will totally split between the anti-semitic, anti-islamic, George Wallace descendants and the rapidly retreating “normal” Republicans. Leaving an opening for Talarico.

    I’ve got to ask: Won’t the Wesley Hunt voters go for Paxton?
    Which if true seems to favor Paxton. Am I right? Wrong?

    3
  29. dazedandconfused says:

    @Kathy:

    The tether can serve as the power line, and it’s the same as the miles of line that currently carries power on the grid. What I see as a big disadvantage is, if they get those say a couple thousand feet up, can’t have another such blimp tethered within about a mile. Squirrely winds will surely tangle two blimps up eventually. Windmills can be packed pretty tight.

    In more tech news: A Petri Dish Of HUMAN Brain Cells LEARN TO PLAY THE GAME DOOM!

    Not artificial intelligence, just artificial Hegseth.

    1
  30. Eusebio says:

    @Kathy:
    Ah, the old inflatable tethered wind turbine. There were earlier models in the US at least 10 and perhaps 20 years ago, with the idea that they could generate electricity in remote locations. But there were always better options. This Chinese model is certainly big, and probably more refined than previous examples, but I’m left wondering how much electricity it can really generate. In typically non-technical fashion, the article describes a test of unknown duration that generates “385 kilowatt hours of electricity,” so we’re left to wonder how much power this “megawatt-class airborne wind power generation system” can produce. Sounds like…not a megawatt?

    And I can imagine how much of an aviation hazard it would be — a 2,000-meter-high tethered object, which is moved by the wind so that it occupies a space that is perhaps 2,000 meters (or more) in diameter.

  31. Kathy says:

    @dazedandconfused:

    We’re going to wind up with human brains under computer control, and insist this is not slavery for some reason…

    Speaking of AI, I’m not satisfied with the ending to one of my stories. Try as I might, though, I can’t think of any changes. So, I fed it to Copilot and asked for a rewrite.

    It was trite, cliched, and absolutely awful.

    @Eusebio:

    I can see some limited use cases in isolated areas, mountainous areas, places with limited ground area. They’ll probably won’t replace ground based turbines.

    They may also work on ships at sea, if they ever need more power than their engines can provide. Or, maybe, to power a ship with electricity rather than fuel oil…

    1
  32. Kathy says:

    And so it begins… Judge orders customs to issue tariff refunds.

    I see it like this: getting a refund should be as easy for the importer, procedurally, as was paying the illegal tariff in the first place.

    1