Tuesday’s Forum
More word of mouth.
Steven L. Taylor
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Tuesday, March 31, 2020
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44 comments
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a retired Professor of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored
A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog).
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Revealed: Monsanto predicted crop system would damage US farms
BUT…
NYT: N.Y. Hospitals Face $400 Million in Cuts Even as Virus Battle Rages
Helmut Marko wanted Red Bull’s F1 drivers to deliberately catch coronavirus
Gee, what could go wrong?
Bernie Sanders still has an office here in Palm Beach County and its in the news-
Bernie Sanders’ unofficial campaign office in Lake Worth Beach is vandalized
The only good thing about the coronavirus? It is that the Presidential campaign is almost forgotten at the moment.
Trump claims credit for Cuomo’s popularity.
Now’s the time for Biden to step up and support the states; build momentum going into the summer that he can ride out in November.
Only the best healthcare in America. Land of the Free, Home of the Dead.
@Mu Yixiao:
There is absolutely nothing Biden can do to ‘step up.’ He’s not an elected official, he has no role in any government. I suppose he could call for donations for relief efforts. Beyond that, what is there?
Either a miraculous cure or vaccine will be developed and we can all go back to work, or we are doomed to become a textbook example of what not to do in a crisis. If the first, Biden loses no matter what he does now. If the second, Biden wins.
Jonathon Chait’s article “The Conservative War on Science” reminds me of just how fast things are changing. I had completely forgotten about
Richard Epstein predicting there would be 500 Americans killed by covid-19, total. There were over 450 yesterday alone.
@Kari Q:
You may also like this Isaac Chotiner interview with Epstein, then: The Contrarian Coronavirus Theory That Informed the Trump Administration.
Police are already seeing another epidemic: reports of domestic violence are going up – already. Some victims are requiring hospitalization. The police are in a fix about arresting someone because the jails are being emptied.
Unintended but expected consequences. People can’t be cooped up for long without there being consequences.
At least here people are being encouraged to get outside, go walkng, ride a bike, do yard work, walk the dog.
In our neighborhood the parents and schools have organized activities for kids such as running, sidewalk art, and dying t-shirts. There are also two tracks nearby.
A hero for our times: Planting hope: the Syrian refugee who developed virus-resistant super-seeds
The best part?
Us Americans could teach her a thing or 2.
From:
I’m going to continue to beat the drum that Trump is hoarding supplies and doling them out to his allies or using them to enrich himself personally in some way. One thing I cautioned about was counting the administrations promises as proof of good faith. Here’s a TPM article describing how the administration had trumpeted their promise to deliver N95 masks to Illinois but instead sent inferior surgical masks. The word of Trump or any administration official, means nothing. They continue to keep secret actual shipments. There is no non-corrupt reason for that.
@Tyrell: “People can’t be cooped up for long without there being consequences.”
And yet somehow my wife and I have managed to refrain from physically assaulting each other.
Well, we have an arrangement. I stay outside, ride the bike, do lawn work, and walk in the woods.
She stays in.
She watches her programs. I watch mine: Smackdown, H50, MacGyver, Flash, Super Girl, Supernaturals, Disney +, History Channel.
@wr: And there will be consequences from that!
@Jon: I’ve been dumping on Epstein for a few days now. Thanks to the Chotiner interview, this morning Dan Drezner at WAPO is on the bandwagon of Epstein’s self destruction, in the broader context of the uselessness of the”conservative intelligentsia”.
Note that Epstein is not some rando RWNJ, he’s one of our most influential conservative legal scholars. And this coronavirus piece is so bad it’s hard to believe the sloppiness and motivated reasoning are confined to his writing on the pandemic.
The Mexican government has issued a very vague order to shut down all non-essential activities until April 30th. Supposedly no one can be fired, and salaries will continue to be paid, but there’s no word of any government money involved for this purpose. No doubt many big businesses can do this, but how are small businesses which close supposed to manage this?
As for me, work continues. Food production and distribution is essential. But this doesn’t mean we should continue to keep putting proposals together.
The way government goes about acquiring goods and services, most commonly, is through open invitations for companies to submit bids. Federal ones are mostly done online, with no contact with the participants, except if visits and/or samples are required. State and local ones are 99% in person, with a meeting for questions, samples and visits if required, then a meeting to present the proposals and bids, then a meeting to issue a ruling on who qualifies, then another meeting to open the bids and declare a winner. In Mexico City, in addition, there’s a reverse auction, where participants can offer lower prices.
All this involves a lot of contact and travel, all of which is unnecessary. Laws vary by state, but about all allow for simplified procedures in case of emergency or force majeure. A pandemic certainly qualifies.
Also, existing contracts can be extended as much as 20-30% at any time after they run out, except, again in case of emergency or force majeure. Again, the pandemic certainly qualifies.
Now, there’s a measure of self-interest. My employer currently is bidding for contracts it already services that are running out. A suspension of the acquisition process would extend them for a month or two, or even longer. Sure. But we’re also competing for contracts we don’t currently serve, so those are gone. And all these contracts are at fixed prices, so a suspension means we have to keep last year’s prices instead of raising them.
@gVOR08:
Ah, I missed that. Well done, then, and sorry to re-post!
@Jon: There’s room on the Epstein-is-an-idiot bandwagon for everyone.
@Tyrell:
You’re not supposed to be mixing the kids. This isn’t day camp. Might as well have Opie in school if you’re doing that.
Just crate them like dogs or something. But make a game of it, so it’s not child abuse.
Trump says Republicans would ‘never’ be elected again if it was easier to vote
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/mar/30/trump-republican-party-voting-reform-coronavirus
Report of Urns Stacked at Wuhan Funeral Homes Raises Questions About the Real Coronavirus Death Toll in China
https://time.com/5811222/wuhan-coronavirus-death-toll/
Depending on just how desperately bored you are, I’m doing a sort of free write-in-the-open of a project I’ve had in the back of my mind for a while: Guns and Dragons.
@Gustopher: The state governor said no more than ten people, so the little groups are usually about 4 or less at different stations or activities. They are kept six feet apart. All are outside in the fresh, warm air. The school people come around and give out gift bags that have books, crayons, candy, coloring paper, and toys like yo-yo’s.
That seems to be a better arrangement then having them in the day care places, which are still open.
The teens – no telling what they are doing. I see some playing basketball or swimming. But what can you do? I think most of their parents are still working.
@David S.:
Yep. I said from the start the Chinese numbers were almost certainly bullshit. It won’t surprise me in the least to learn that a million people have died in Wuhan and elsewhere.
@Michael Reynolds:
Michael,
Let’s see how many down votes this post of yours gets. I said something similar about 7-10 days ago and I stirred some of the natives here.
@Tyrell:
When did you start trusting what the government says??
The latest Republican talking point is that Impeachment distracted Trump form the Coronavirus, and thus his poor response to the crisis.
So, while Trump is saying he has done a great job and no one could do better, Republicans are admitting that he hasn’t done a great job? I wish soemone in the 4th Estate would show some balls and ask Trump about this.
But…essentially…they are saying that if someone robs a convenience store and crashes into a school bus while trying to escape, and kills all the kids, that it’s the cops fault for chasing him in the first place???
@Kari Q:
He’s a former Vice President, a 36-year senator, the de-facto candidate of the Democratic party, and possibly the next President of the United States. He has connections, he has influence, and he has a voice with authority behind it.
If he can’t do more than “absolutely nothing” with all of that, he should drop out of the race and retire somewhere. Leadership doesn’t depend on votes. Leaders step up and lead.
He can speak openly and honestly with America and build trust. He can use his influence to move things along in Washington–with the knowledge that he might be the one in charge 9 months from now. He can put those in need and those with influence in the same room and let them work out deals. He can call on local parties and precinct captains and put them to work where they’re needed. He can call on experts in the appropriate fields and give them a platform from which to speak. He can use some of his ad-buys to highlight blue-state blue-collar workers and what they’re doing to fight COVID-19–in solidarity with red-state blue-collar workers. He can craft a message that says this is an American crisis, not a political one.
He can step up and be a leader.
Folks, Interesting read. Second generation mobster.
Tinker, Tailor, Mobster, Trump
Mobsters, casinos, informants, Moscow… many details woven together.
@Mu Yixiao:
Biden’s Team has put together some powerful ads, and his podcast is generally interesting.
But mostly, he should remain in the background.
There is no point in murdering a man who is committing suicide.
@Liberal Capitalist:
That was interesting. Thanks for the link.
@Liberal Capitalist: What makes me crazy is that all that was known years ago. But the supposedly liberal MSM didn’t report it because it wasn’t news or it wasn’t balanced or gawd knows why. What did come out was dismissed on the right as fake news. And he got elected President*.
@Daryl and his brother Darryl:
Ah… but that’s where the real skill of leadership comes in.
Biden should do all the things I said–without openly attacking Trump. I could navigate that, and he probably has assistants to assistants that are far more skilled than I am.
He just needs to step up and be a leader that people want to follow. Strong, confident-yet-humble, honest, and positive.
Aside from doing the right thing, that approach would play well in swing states. A lot of northern conservatives would respect Biden for rising above politics and looking out for all Americans. A lot of southern conservatives would respect him for being honest and “being a good Christian” (honesty, help thy neighbor).
Of course plenty of others wouldn’t, but it’s about tipping the balance.
@Mu Yixiao:
I think, if you bother to look, you’ll see he is doing those things.
He has a new ad out today which is very powerful.
@Daryl and his brother Darryl:
I don’t have a TV. I don’t have Facebook. I… basically don’t have anything that shows me ads.
Thanks for letting me know. I’ll see if I can find his ads on YouTube tomorrow.
@OzarkHillbilly:
Hospital was probably in poor shape, the prospect of uninsured or underinsured COVI-19 seriously ill patients triggered pulling the plug. This will happen elsewhere also.
So this may be the reason why the US government decided to indict Maduro.
I’m sorry. But I keep picturing old Nick with a smirk, asking “Yeah? You and what army, Donnie Boy?”
@OzarkHillbilly:
And of course, part of using them correctly includes advising your neighbors to buy Monsanto dicamba resistant seed, right?
It seems to me that the two statements in that sentence contradict each other. Or am I being too cynical?
@Sleeping Dog: When it became convenient to–just like all the other “can’t trust the gubmint” types I’ve ever met.
Or in the alternative, when the government does something they believe they will benefit from.
Mike Pence just said ‘help is on the way’. That reminded me of this.
@Liberal Capitalist: Interesting read. I have only one observation, related to the Gravano comment near the end:
While I will acknowledge that the implication of Gravano is that Trump is a gangster, the outcome of his forays with Putin, et al. would seem to argue against Trump being a “fucking gangster”–or at least a competent one.
Of course, it may also be that Gravano is simply wrong and it doesn’t take a gangster to deal with those leaders. Still in all, an interesting read. Thanks for the link.
@Just nutha ignint cracker:
Not mutually exclusive.