Outside the Beltway

So says Pew.

Trump brags about being the “most admired” and provides yet another example of poor understanding of data.

A myriad of possible explanations.

A reminder that narratives are narratives and data are data.

Some good news for our democracy.

Some interesting findings from the preeminent Republican polling firm.

It’ll be days before we know the final 2020 results but a resounding repudiation is unlikely.

Monmuth’s latest.

Trump has pulled ahead in some individual polls but Biden continues to have a commanding lead.

Fear of a reprise of 2016 is still with us.

It isn’t unidirectional.

Two prominent media pollsters are hedging their bets.

Alabama’s junior Senator needs my help.

The state polling is not lining up along usual patterns.

Chuck Schumer and company sent a signal to their base against a fait accompli.

Let’s just say Rasmussen is an extreme outlier.

Some surprising poll numbers.

He has the largest lead of any challenger since modern polling began in 1936.

Trump continues to lag.

Trump’s favorite pollster has some bad news for him.

One of these really isn’t like the other.

Some numbers from PA and a CNN poll that gives Biden a huge lead.

Joe Biden’s chances remain extraordinarily good.

Is Trump really an outlier?

President Trump is historically unpopular and has consistently trailed Joe Biden. He could still win.

More good news for Biden.

The two oldest major party nominees in American history are not inspiring great confidence.

The latest FNC poll has more good news for Biden.

New numbers show more consistency.

Accuracy takes time.

Trump is less popular with the troops that one might assume.

The President has hit rock bottom.

A hundred days out, a wave election is the best bet.

An interesting if frustrating new survey from Cato.

Comparisons with 2016 all work against Trump’s re-election.

The President does not like his poll numbers.

Joementum.

President Trump is behind 14 points in the latest NYT poll.

Fewer people are very happy and more are not too happy than any time in a longstanding survey.

If the Democrats win back the White House in November, it’ll be no thanks to men.

Because sometimes a comment starts to become a post.

The Economist gives Joe Biden an 83% chance to win the Electoral College.

The vagaries of our Presidential election mechanism gave us a surprising result in 2016. That’s unlikely this year.

The Tara Reade allegations haven’t hurt the presumptive nominee with the party.

The President seems to be enjoying a mild rally effect.

Nate Silver now gives Biden an 87% chance of winning the nomination outright.

The vanity candidate may impact the race.

Media overreacts to the Sanders victory all the polls predicted.

Two early frontrunners are being written off.

We now have five candidates in double-digits.