On Election Eve, The Race Is Close But Obama Has The Advantage
The 2012 Election promises to be close in the Popular Voter, but President Obama still retains an Electoral College advantage.
Romney In OH And PA On Election Day: Sign Of Confidence, Or Desperation?
The Romney campaign doesn’t seem too confident of its path to victory.
Virginia Now Leans Obama
Democrats Barack Obama and Tim Kaine have gained momentum in Virginia in weekend polling.
Did Hurricane Sandy Blunt Romney’s Momentum?
Republicans already seem to be blaming Hurricane Sandy in the event Mitt Romney loses.
Obama Introduced F-Word to Washington?
Barack Obama’s Washington is more foul-mouthed and course, according to no evidence whatsoever.
Republicans, The Latino Vote, And Immigration
Republicans are going to get trounced among Latino voters tomorrow, and they only have themselves to blame.
Democrats And The White Vote
President Obama is likely to win re-election while overwhelmingly losing the white vote. Does it matter?
Ohio: Turnout vs. Suppression
Could Romney win Ohio by ginning up Republican turnout and tamping down Democratic votes?
2012 Congressional Election Predictions
OTB bloggers give their best guesses on the House and Senate races.
Interpretation, Art, and Analysis
The analyst actually wants to understand and be correct far more than he or she wants their preferences to prevail in the analysis
If Obama Wins (Even If He Doesn’t), The Campaign For 2016 Will Begin Soon
It’s just a few days until the 2012 campaign ends, and the jostling for position for 2016 begins.
2012 Presidential Election Predictions
The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.
Alabama Utility Crews Turned Away From Sandy Relief: Not Union [UPDATE: Not Exactly]
Utility crews from Alabama traveled to New Jersey to help get the power back on. They were turned away on account of not being unionized.
Modest Growth In Jobs Report Makes Its Election Impact Unclear
A mostly positive, but mixed, jobs report drops five days before Election Day
New York Marathon Diverts Scarce Resources After Sandy
Mayor Bloomberg has decided to hold the New York Marathon Sunday even though millions are still without power and the city infrastructure is unable to cope with normal activity.
Preparing to Evaluate the Predictions
Making note of some of the predictions and such as we approach November 6th.
Math, Damned Math, and Statistics
How Obama can have a 75 percent chance of winning an election despite being essentially tied in the polls:
Don’t Try To Parse Chris Christie
Pundits on the left and the right are having a hard time understanding what Chris Christie’s praise of the President is all about.