President Donald Trump participates in a press conference with departing DOGE adviser Elon Musk, Friday, May 30, 2025, in the Oval Office.
Official White House Photo by Molly Riley

Musk Has Donated Over a Quarter Billion Dollars to Republicans This Cycle

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NYT (“Inside Elon Musk’s $276 Million Midterm Rescue Mission for Republicans“):

Elon Musk has quietly funneled more than $276 million into Republican groups and his super PAC since the start of July, building a huge turnout operation to help the party battle headwinds in the midterm elections.

The staggering amount of money makes Mr. Musk, the richest person in the world, by far the largest known donor in the midterms. Representatives for Mr. Musk supplied the previously unreported figures on his political giving to The New York Times before a federal filing deadline on Thursday.

In an effort to save Republicans’ Senate majority, gave a total of $158 million this summer to the Senate Leadership Fund, the main super PAC backing the party’s candidates for the chamber, according to his team. In sum, that is one of the largest political donations in American history, and more than the group’s Democratic rival raised from all of its donors that quarter.

Mr. Musk has also built a major Republican turnout operation through a super PAC he founded in 2024, America PAC. He donated over $76 million this summer to the group, which in turn spent that much on building a sprawling canvassing program to try to turn out hard-to-reach Republican voters. The group is active in seven Senate battlegrounds and nearly three dozen House races.

Mr. Musk has already given far more money, about $366 million, to federal committees during the 2025-26 election cycle than he did during the 2024 election, when he laid out roughly $290 million to help return President Trump and Republicans to power. He has given even more in undisclosed donations during both elections, according to people briefed on the giving.

The latest torrent of spending has helped give the Republican Party a financial advantage in the midterms, as well-funded outside groups like Mr. Trump’s powerful super PAC flood the airwaves with advertising in the final weeks. No Democratic billionaire is spending nearly as much as Mr. Musk, and money remains a central worry for the party in an otherwise favorable political environment.

The donations also clear up the mystery of how much staying power Mr. Musk wants to have in American politics.

$656 million—that we know of—over two cycles is, well, a lot of money. And, certainly, it buys Musk a lot of influence.

Mr. Musk, who oversees a vast business empire that has benefited from enormous federal contracts, is famously unpredictable and often jumps from one project to another. He has been far quieter about his political work since his dramatic blowup with Mr. Trump last year. After months of wielding vast influence inside the White House and overseeing Mr. Trump’s government cost-cutting project, he raged against the president’s major domestic policy bill and floated threats to start a third party.

But the two men have warmed back up, appearing together at three events in the last two weeks and praising each other.

To the extent we want our elected representatives to represent us rather than a handful of rich donors, that’s troublesome.

That said, Musk’s $366 million is still a small fraction of the overall spending in this cycle. Through June 30, Congressional candidates had spent a little over $2 billion, party committees a little over a billion, and PACs a little over $6.5 billion. That’s roughly $9.6 billion disbursed. And they combined to raise just under $12.5 billion. And, again, that’s just through the end of June.

So, while Republican candidates and their party apparatus are certainly happy to have Musk’s cash, it still amounts to a rounding error in the overall campaign expenditures. It’s unlikely to make much difference in the outcome. Indeed, I suspect we’re well past the point of diminishing returns on advertising for this cycle.

And one wonders whether influence peddling works both ways. Democrats will likely take back at least one, and possibly both, Houses of Congress in less than three months. It wouldn’t surprise me in the least if they applied extra scrutiny to government contracts with Musk’s companies.

27 responses to “Musk Has Donated Over a Quarter Billion Dollars to Republicans This Cycle”

  1. What is the Republican Party today? A bunch of Vichy officials who have given up any pretense of legislative initiative or expertise and instead turned their meaningful duties over to wealthy donors. Musk bought the right to run the government (DOGE) from Trump and the Republicans did nothing as he came in and destroyed generations of work in a few months, and then got tired of it all and left.

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    1. “he came in and destroyed generations of work in a few months, and then got tired of it all and left.”

      And in addition, he got something he wanted from the government (personal information on most, if not all, Americans — for example the records from the Social Security Administration).

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    2. Brings to mind Fitzgerald’s phrase in “The Great Gatsby”:

      “They were careless people … they smashed up things and creatures and then retreated back into their money or their vast carelessness or whatever it was that kept them together, and let other people clean up the mess they had made.”

      Though that may be optimistically assuming the mess Musk has made can or will be cleaned up any time soon.

      1. Musk wasn’t careless. He just wanted to smash things.

        Say what you will about Gatsby, but I don’t think Gatsby deliberately ran someone over.

        Granted, my memory of the book is a little weak — I mostly remember Nick obviously being so madly in love with Gatsby so he could see no flaws he couldn’t excuse, and the massive amounts of racism from Tom Buchanan and Narrator Nick.

        Also the theory that Gatsby is a light-skinned Black man passing as white, but that’s not explicitly in the text.

  2. And all that money hasn’t moved the polls. In fact, in most cases, the additional money pouring in by GOP groups have only improved the polling of the Dems.

    I’ve been burned too much by hopium, so I’m not going to get too excited about the polls, but it’s looking better because it doesn’t seem like alot of Republican voters are “coming home” to the GOP.

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    1. All that money hasn’t moved the polls.

      I don’t think that’s entirely true. Short term it’s not improving GOP approval, but would it be getting worse faster without the money?

      The Kochs and their fellow travelers decided decades ago to buy minority government, and they’ve largely succeeded. Trump has effed up pretty much everything he’s touched, DOGE, the deficit under his Big Beautiful (sic) Bill, tariffs, Iran. Even his best issue, immigration, has been handled so crudely it’s repelled a majority of the country. Without all that money, his approval would be below 20 and Dems would be 80/20 to take the Senate.

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      1. The old “elephants conundrum”.

        That being two stories:
        1) A man is sitting on a train travelling through southern England.
        The man next to him is spraying an aerosol out the window.
        First man: “What are you doing?”
        Second man: “It’s elephant repellent.”
        First man: “But there are no elephants in England!”
        Second man: “That’s how well it works!

        2) A man is sitting on a train travelling through Kenya.
        The man next to him is spraying an aerosol out the window.
        First man: “What are you doing?”
        Second man: “It’s elephant repellent.”
        First man: “But look out there; there are dozens of elephants!”
        Second man: “Just think how many there would be otherwise!”

  3. Charley in Cleveland Avatar
    Charley in Cleveland

    American politics went off the rails when SCOTUS decreed (or agreed) that corporations are people, and money = speech. The perversion of the 1st amendment has continued apace, culminating in Elon Musk’s purchase of the GOP in general and Donald Trump in particular. Local TV is unwatchable because of the endless stream of noxious political ads, and the same is true for surfing YouTube.* Congress and the media are the two entities that could stop this assault on our senses, but they are also the two entities that benefit the most from it. So Musk runs amok, throwing accelerant on America’s decline.

    *also very likely the case with TikTok, IG, and FB

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    1. Local TV is unwatchable because of the endless stream of noxious political ads, and the same is true for surfing YouTube.*

      YouTube can be solved by using aggressive ad blockers. The two most commonly recommended approaches are: Firefox browser with uBlockOrigin; and Brave browser.

      Brave is easier, as you don’t have to figure out extensions. Brave also works on iOS, if that where you do your YouTubing.

      This will not fix America, but it will allow you to watch your videos of how to fix your toilet (or whatever) in peace, and that’s not nothing.

    2. Elon Musk’s purchase of the GOP in general and Donald Trump in particular.

      Presumably he doesn’t mind how much the GOP and Trump hurt Tesla? There has been a noticeable drop-off in Tesla sales since the federal subsidy went away, and Tesla is — at least in the US — a major player in grid battery storage for renewables, which the GOP and Trump attack at every opportunity. He doesn’t seem to be able to buy approval of the Tesla self-driving software, either.

  4. How about a 100% tax on every penny of cash or paper wealth over $999,999,999.99? Adjusted for inflation, even.

    No one needs or can be trusted with that much wealth.

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    1. Brad DeLong advises reverting to the 2000 tax code. I’d prefer the more conservative approach of reverting to the Eisenhower era tax code, a 90+% top marginal rate AND a functioning estate tax. Somehow taxing the rich didn’t seem to stifle growth.

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      1. Either proposal is an improvement over the existing code. They would chip away at the deficit, getting it to a manageable level and provide moneys for programs.

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        1. I suspect, and Smart Clippy confirms, that without the GOP tax cuts since 2000 we would not be “chipping away” at the deficit, we would have eliminated the deficit, and taken 10 trillion off the current debt.

          Right off the top, just the “tax gap”, the difference between taxes owed and taxes collected, is about a third of the deficit. This is illegal tax evasion, not legal avoidance. Both were lower back when IRS enforcement was better funded and the tax code was less crapped up with lobbyist/GOP driven loopholes.

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        2. At the end of the Clinton admin, we were on a pace to pay off the debt entirely by 2008 as the last couple of Clinton budgets ran surpluses. And then came Bush…

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        3. …as the last couple of Clinton budgets ran surpluses.

          I remember the infamous Greenspan remarks about how much the global economy would suffer if the US started paying off its bonds w/o selling new ones in their place.

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  5. Both Adolf and Lex have made statements that the AI revolution will reduce work and raise incomes. Lex said people will work under 30 hours a week and get by fine on one income.

    No links handy, sorry.

    This worries me.

    It’s posible AI (meaning specifically generative text AI, or LLMs) may increase productivity in office work and maybe in other areas. Jevons “paradox” aside, when was the last time productivity gains showed up in employees’ pay? In the late 70s or early 80s, so almost 50 years ago.

    So, what are they really after?

    Aside from replacing millions of employees with AI, that is.

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    1. Curtis Yarvin, a big thinker that a lot of the tech bros listen to, hopes OpenAI can solve “the Jewish Problem”

      So, there’s that.

      I’m sure that he will claim to have been joking, but that’s not the thing people joke about unless they want some kind of solution to the problem.

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      1. I continue to hope that human intelligence will eventually resolve the Curtis Yarvin problem.
        Mainly by telling Curtis Yarvin to f@ck off.

    2. I don’t know how AI will shake out economically. But I do know who, as things currently stand, will make the relevant decisions. We’re screwed.

    3. A columnist in the FT at the weekend noted that US market analysts are currently advising investing in AI related companies, because of predicted rising AI service profits.
      But at the same time, current profit forecasts for non-AI companies are tepid.

      But if the latter is forecasts are accurate, where the heck are the surging AI sales revenues supposed to be coming from?
      Cannibalising employee costs absent profit rises seems unlikely to run anywhere near fast enough to meet the AI sector profit forecasts that are supposed to pay off the current investment.

      Given the amount of financial leverage currently in play in the area, there appear to be serious refinancing risks for existing data centres, if interest rates continue to rise to service the Treasury bond market.
      Which seems likely: because of inflation, because AI investment is diverting capital at scale from other bonds, because overseas investors are hedging against dollar holdings, and because tariffs tend to eat into dollar earnings overseas.

      If the tide goes out, we may once again find numerous financial bathers short of shorts, as it were.

      1. Oh, yes, and add to the “because” list:
        Because the Administration and Congress continues to be insouciant about current deficit levels and the need to strike a reasonable balance of tax re expenditures, allowing for debt erosion due to to growth and (mild) inflation.
        Which in turn means a massive and continuing US Treasury need to sell bonds, which in turn tends to push rates up, and in then adds to debt service costs, which increase need to issue yet more debt.
        There is a point when this becomes a very vicious circle.

  6. As has been said, the existence of billionaires is incompatible with democracy.

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  7. If I dropped all that money I’d be pissed it had no effect. But I imagine the grift is worth it. He’s gotten the govt investigators off his back and gotten far $ in govt more contracts than he had before. So I guess you and I are the fools.

    1. @Daryl It is almost nothing to him. And that is part of the problem.

  8. I suspect the law of diminishing returns applies with special force to campaign spending, to the extent that returns eventually turn negative because some voters express their resentment at being constantly bombarded with election messaging. This “too much money is never enough” mentality has not been transformed into electoral success with any consistency since Citizens United.

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