Outside the Beltway

A weird report might explain a puzzling finding in the polls.

Public perception is not aligned with the top level data.

He’s ratcheted up what Trump started but also shifted focus.

Presidential v. senatorial polling in swings states is just, well, odd.

Yesterday’s New Jersey speech was something to behold.

An interesting analysis by The Economist.

Americans look back more fondly on the Trump economy than they did in 2020.

It’s a relative thing.

Shockingly, most people aren’t economists.

A pandemic hangover may be clouding American politics.

It’s great for the well-off but increasingly problematic for the larger economy.

The S&P and Nikkei are at all-time highs. Economists warn that it won’t last.

The food is too damn high!

Ezra Klein makes a compelling case.

Yes, every special election is a very special snowflake, but trends do emerge

What I’m reading but don’t have time to write about at length.

An interesting consumer benchmark.

We’re entitled to our own facts.

The US is doing better than peer economies.

And the intuition that things aren’t really working.

The inevitable response to attacks on international shipping.

A misleading survey result.

A chart to ponder.

Economic Chart Edition.

He’s at 61 percent disapproval in the lastest Monmouth poll.

Prices are way up, even though the CPI is back under control.

Most no longer believe it’s possible to get ahead through hard work.

Continued disjunctures between perceptions and the indicators.

The President has tepid support in the 18-29 demographic.

…and the perceptions thereof.

We shouldn’t be surprised that Americans have noticed their grocery bill.

A likely lost seat for Democrats in 2024.

Abortion, an unrepresentative electorate, and candidate idiosyncracy ruled the off-off-year election.

Survey research is not without flaws. But we dismiss it at our peril.

Looking ahead to November 5, 2024

Contrary to some public opinion, the economy is in decent shape.

The Arizona gubernatorial loser is back to lose the Senate.

One of the worst movies in memory may be getting a sequel.

Some people say there’s a reporter to blame.

A joke(?) gone a-rye.

Germany’s economy is among the worst in the OECD.

The mainstream media isn’t and shouldn’t become a counterpart to the right-wing infotainment complex.

The trend shows no sign of abating.

The MAGA wing is driving us over a cliff.

The President’s support for labor and aggressive action on climate change are in tension.

His message isn’t getting through. Is it the messenger?

The Economist joins the “Biden is too old” bandwagon.

Xi’s government is taking a drastically different approach to the slowdown.

The average new vehicle is now $48,000. And huge.

West Virginia University may be the canary in the coal mine.