CPAC as a Leading Indicator

The annual gathering showed us what the Republican Party would become years ago.

Will Iowa and New Hampshire Lose Their Special Place?

Nevada is mounting a challenge to the rural, lily-white states that always go first in the presidential primary gauntlet.

National Guard Sleeping in a Garage!

What we have here is failure to communicate.

Recount Blues

The numbers behind recounts.

Could Trump Shock the World Again?

Fear of a reprise of 2016 is still with us.

The Senate’s Rural Skew

Injecting data into the conversation.

Some Swing State Polls

More good news for Biden.

President Trump at the Bioprocess Innovation Center at Fujifilm Diosynth Biotechnologies President Donald J. Trump listens to a reporter’s question during a press conference Monday, July 27, 2020, at the Bioprocess Innovation Center at Fujifilm Diosynth Biotechnologies in Morrisville, N.C. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead) President Trump at the Bioprocess Innovation Center at Fujifilm Diosynth Biotechnologies President Donald J. Trump listens to a reporter’s question during a press conference Monday, July 27, 2020, at the Bioprocess Innovation Center at Fujifilm Diosynth Biotechnologies in Morrisville, N.C. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead)

Trump’s Free Fall Over?

The President has hit rock bottom.

Congressional Republican Leadership Reject Trump’s Election Delay

McConnell and McCarthy both reject the notion of a delay.

Tulsa Covid Outbreak

A result of the Trump rally?

Carl Reiner Dead at 98

A legendary comic is gone.

Iowa was a Waste?

Who knew?

I Was Right All Along, Except When I Was Wrong

Looking back at my predictions about the 2020 Democratic race.

Biden’s Veep and Cabinet Choices

The former VP is focused on beating Bernie Sanders but his team is looking ahead.

Elizabeth Warren Ends Campaign

The inevitable has happened.

Getting Over What Happened to Elizabeth Warren

Women didn’t vote for her either. But that doesn’t mean sexism didn’t play a role in her loss.

Women Are Not a Voting Bloc II

A quick follow-up.

Why 2020 Democrats Were Able to Consolidate the Moderates and 2016 Republicans Weren’t

The races are more alike—and yet more different—than we seem to remember.

Super Tuesday Creates Joementum

A bad night for Bloomberg and Warren has radically reshaped the race.

A Democratic Turnout Problem?

Evidence from the four early states is not looking promising.

Warren Can’t Win

96 percent of the delegates have yet to be awarded. How can the race be down to two?

Pete Buttigieg Drops Out

The Iowa winner and New Hampshire runner-up has acknowledged the inevitable.

Warren Persistent Despite Losing Again

She’s continuing to swing at the candidates beating her at the polls.

Tom Steyer Drops Out

The billionaire has decided to stop tilting at windmills.

Super Tuesday Forecast

If the current polls are right, the race will be all but over in five days.

The Magnitude of Sanders’ Win

It comports with the polling.

Is Sanders Inevitable?

There’s no way to catch him in a six-candidate field.

Nevada Caucuses Go as Expected

Media overreacts to the Sanders victory all the polls predicted.

Money Could Decide Super Tuesday

Competing in fourteen states plus overseas territories in one day is expensive.

The Buttigieg-Klobuchar Dustup

It got somewhat ugly at the kids’ table.

Nevada Democratic Debate Roundup

Most national pundits saw it differently than I did.

Democracy is Hurting Democrats

The wrong people are choosing the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

Queer Activists Disrupt Buttigieg Fundraiser

Do gay candidates have a special obligation to be leftists?

Brokered Democratic Convention a Real Possibility

Could the fevered dream really come true?

Are Biden and Warren Toast?

Two early frontrunners are being written off.

America Ready for a Gay President?

It’s a reasonable question but not the right one.

Post-New Hampshire Polling

We now have five candidates in double-digits.

Deval Patrick Drops Out

The Democratic nominee will be white.

The Narrative Abides

Iowa and New Hampshire voters are changing the perception of the race.

Andrew Yang Drops Out

The math compelled it. But he outlasted several better-known candidates.

It isn’t a Dirty Trick to Vote in an Open Primary

The plurality of New Hampshire voters are unaffiliated. Should they all stay at home?

NH Sample Ballots

Post-Iowa Reset Not What You’d Expect

Biden’s support is in decline. But it’s not clear that Buttigieg is getting an Iowa bounce.

My Buttigieg Theory

How is the mayor of a modest-sized Midwestern city doing as well as he has?

Ratfucking the Democratic Primaries?

There’s a campaign to encourage anti-Trump Republicans and independents to vote in New Hampshire.

Front-Loaded Primary Schedule

The primary season has just started. It is almost over.

Has the Democratic Race Changed?

Is there a new frontrunner?

What Does “Winning” Iowa Mean?

The obsession over a singular winner ultimately makes no sense.

Iowa is the New Florida*

The caucus tallies are so riddled with errors that the DNC is calling for a recount.

Iowa Shifting the Narrative?

The media coverage continues on script.