The First Trump Term, Economic Indicators Edition

Some comparative data.

A Tale Of Two Chinas

Its economic bubble has burst, which may make them more dangerous.

China’s Flailing Economy

Xi’s government is taking a drastically different approach to the slowdown.

America’s Forgotten Empire

Our Pacific territories are giving more than they’re getting.

China Calling in its Loans to Poor Countries

Debt-trap diplomacy has finally come home to roost.

America Becoming More Rural

A new Census definition has changed classifications slightly. It doesn’t go nearly far enough.

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Vicious Cycle of Air Conditioning

Making ourselves cooler is making the earth warmer.

The free high-resolution photo of person, people, girl, boy, child, children, poverty, 2010, afghanistan, afghani , taken with an Canon EOS 5D Mark II 03/14 2017 The picture taken with 50.0mm, f/8.0s, 1/100s, ISO 200 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required. The free high-resolution photo of person, people, girl, boy, child, children, poverty, 2010, afghanistan, afghani , taken with an Canon EOS 5D Mark II 03/14 2017 The picture taken with 50.0mm, f/8.0s, 1/100s, ISO 200 The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required.

US Sanctions Compounding Afghan Crisis

Children are starving and it’s partly our fault.

Classifying Countries by Income

What constitutes a “low income” or “high income” country?

Vaccine Nationalism in a Global Pandemic

The US has more shots available than willing arms while those in the developing world are dying.

Biden’s Defense Secretary

My latest for Defense One.

Age and the US Government

A pandemic and a government populated with people in their 70s and 80s.

USA Most Prepared Country for Pandemics

Despite our poor showing against COVID-19, we have the best infrastructure in place.

Biden’s Veep and Cabinet Choices

The former VP is focused on beating Bernie Sanders but his team is looking ahead.

World Economic Leaders Worry About Impact Of Trump’s Misguided Trade War

President Trump’s tariffs are having a noticeable, and negative, impact on global economies. The President doesn’t seem to care.

Trump’s Trade War Is Bad, And Everyone Is Losing

Donald Trump’s tariffs are hurting the American economy, American consumers, and American businesses.

Climate Change and Central America

More pressures on a region already struggling.

The Trump Administration and Legal Immigration

The target is not just on illegal immigrants.

As Trump Withdraws Into Fortress America, The World Moves On

President Trump has alienated America’s allies and friends, and they are acting accordingly.

On the Potential Global Consequences of a Trump Presidency

The reputation of the US matters in global affairs.

Ashraf Ghani Declared ‘Winner’ Of Afghan Election Plagued By Fraud Allegations

There’s a declared winner in Afghanistan’s Presidential Election, but a cloud hangs over the results.

Is China Number One?

The USA’s 142-year streak as the world’s largest economy is ending.

World Safer But More Dangerous Than Ever

Robert Kagan warns of “a changing world order.” But he’s grasping at rather thin straws.

Bob Zoellick and the Real Mitt Romney

The presumptive Republican nominee has sent a strong and welcome signal about his governing philosophy.

China’s Economy Cooling Down?

China’s economic engine may be sputtering.

Obama And Romney: A Dime’s Worth Of Difference On Foreign Policy?

Despite their rhetoric, there would be few differences between a Romney Administration and an Obama Administration when it comes to foreign policy.

Obama’s Odd Choice for World Bank President

Jim Yong Kim is an impressive man. But he’s got no background in banking, finance, or economics.

Greece’s Dangerous Gamble

The Greek referendum could be a disaster for the global economy. And might be the right thing to do.

Occupy Wall Street Response to Cheating, Not Winning

Occupy Wall Street is not motivated by envy of the rich or even animus towards banks.

Occupy Wall Street Outside The Mainstream?

Does “Occupy Wall Street” really represent the people they claim to be speaking for?

The “Green Jobs” Boondoggle

America is discovering that throwing money at an industry in the hope it will create jobs doesn’t work.

Libya Not Vindication for NATO, It’s a Wake-up Call

My latest for The National Interest is posted under the somewhat misleading headline “NATO Fails in Libya.”

US Competitive Balance

Not only is the US outspending all our allies and competitors combined in real dollars on defense, we’re doing so in terms of GDP as well.

Are The Good Times Really Over For Good?

Watching the news and reading the op-eds makes it clear: America is doomed.

Hillary Clinton World Bank President?

Hillary Clinton is actively lobbying to be the next president of the World Bank, Reuters reports.

There’s More Than One Kind of Anthropogenic Climate Change

Is China’s drought caused by human action?

Will Malthus Have the Last Laugh?

We’re heading towards a future of higher food prices and more hunger.

American Political Violence Rare

While our politics are seldom violent, our violence is often politicized.

2025 Trajectories

The authors of Global Governance 2025 offer a wide range of trajectories for the international system depending on whether we adequately address known threats.

Meanwhile, In Pakistan, The Floods Continue To Worsen

While American politics concerns itself with trivial issues, Pakistan finds itself dealing with a devastating natural disaster that could have real geo-political implications.