The GOP Only Has Itself to Blame

It's their own damn fault.

Source: The White House

This Axios headline caught my eye: Term-limited Trump mortgages GOP’s future.

My brain had to first sort out that “Trump mortgages” weren’t some new policy gimmick, but instead the word was being used as a verb.

This led me to read the first line:

President Trump is governing like a man who will never face voters again, mortgaging his party’s future on promises he won’t be around to keep.

And then this towards the end:

 For Republicans, the risk of Trump’s short-sighted bets extends far beyond the midterms.

Regular readers know that I am reticent to assign sweeping blame to whole categories of people (like “the Right” or “the Left” or a given party writ large). I am constantly noting how weak our parties are, and the ability to have coordinated action is limited.

However, on February 23, 2021, the US Senate had the opportunity to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial over his actions on January 6th. The only penalty they could have levelled would have been barring him from ever holding federal office again (he couldn’t be kicked out of office, because he was already done with his first term).

The Senate that day contained 50 members of the GOP elite. Indeed, U.S. senators are among the most elite members of either party. Seven of those GOP elites voted to convict; 43 did not. It would have required 10 more.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell knew Trump was guilty. He said so on the day of the vote:

There is no question that President Trump is practically and morally responsible for provoking the events of that day.

The people who stormed this building believed they were acting on the wishes and instructions of their President.

And yet, after going on for a bit about how bad J6 was, he pivoted to pretend to have a constitutional duty not to convict. He noted:

We have a criminal justice system in this country. We have civil litigation. And former Presidents are not immune from being held accountable by either one.

Of course, SCOTUS would eventually essentially give former Presidents a great deal of immunity, and hacks like Aileen Cannon would make prosecutions for obvious crimes impossible.

McConnell’s moral cowardice, as shared by 42 other members of his party, will hopefully go down in infamy.

All of this is to say that the GOP is not passively suffering from Trump’s presidency and the commensurate damage he is doing to their electoral prospects. The highest elected officials in the GOP had the chance to stop this from ever happening, and they gambled that they could ride the Trump wave and benefit from it.

They made a bad bet, and we are all suffering for it.

But whatever they are, they are not passive victims.


Side-note: the picture above, from Trump’s first term, tells quite a story. Speaker Paul Ryan, a more standard conservative, is out of office, having exited politics after a very frustrating two years as Speaker under Trump. Mike Pence, who almost certainly thought being veep would lead to him being the GOP nominee for president, was ousted and sent into exile because he, to his credit, did his constitutional duty on J6. McConnell is now a sad old man who seems to at least have some understanding of what he allowed to happen. I am by disposition not a vengeful man, but I hope that his choice in February of 2021 keeps him up at night. He will retire at the end of this term.

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Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. Scott F. says:

    Amen!

    They made a bad bet, and we are all suffering for it.

    The Republicans keep doubling down and our suffering grows.

    I’d only add that the GOP has the power to impeach him now – from the illegal war to the blatant Trump family corruption there is ample cause. While it would have been immeasurably easier to rid themselves of Trump in February 2025, it wouldn’t be that hard today. Republican congresspeople in vulnerable seats wouldn’t have to play along for a bold few to join the Democrats to get it done.

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  2. gVOR10 says:

    While I entirely agree with your post, I have a cavil about the headline. I fearlessly predict they’ll blame anyone but themselves.

    Yesterday I linked to Michelle Goldberg quoting Tucker Carlson blaming “Zionists and globalists” for manipulating and controlling Trump. Today Paul Campos at LGM links both to that Goldberg column and to Sohrab Ahmari, “one of the most prominent (OK, tallest building in Omaha but still) red-brown alliance types”, blaming liberals. Via psychoanalytic “determination by the signifier”, Trump has come to occupy the liberal “caricature” of himself.

    It’s our fault, Steven. Don’t you know it’s always the lib’s fault? … Murc’s Law. … Conservatism cannot fail.

    But yes, they had their chances to dump Trump, sometimes handed to them on a silver platter by Democrats, and they didn’t have the stones to do it. Weak party indeed.

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