Thursday’s Forum

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FILED UNDER: Open Forum,
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. Daryl says:

    Many words were spoken.
    Very little was said.
    What was said was mostly false.
    Thus it has always been with Fatso.

    4
  2. Scott says:

    Movie recommendation.

    Watched Blackberry on Netflix. Basically a fictionalized (highly) story of the rise and fall of the Blackberry. But very entertaining!

  3. Scott says:

    Didn’t watch the President’s speech last night. Nor have read anything about it. However, if the stock market futures are any indication (down around 1.5% across the board) it was not well received. Crude oil prices are also up, about 8%.

    2
  4. charontwo says:

    Based on reporting from the Financial Times

    Wajeeh Lion

    ​Executive Summary

    Mounting Frustration: Riyadh is losing patience with the White House over Donald Trump’s volatile handling of the Iranian conflict.

    ​Diplomatic Insults: Derogatory remarks made by Trump regarding Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) have deeply offended the Kingdom’s leadership.

    ​Geopolitical Vulnerability: Gulf states fear being caught in the crossfire of a US-Iran war, warning that strikes on Iranian infrastructure could result in devastating retaliatory attacks on Arab energy and water facilities.

    ​Mounting Saudi frustration with the United States is reaching a boiling point, fueled by Donald Trump’s increasingly erratic approach to the ongoing conflict with Iran. The Kingdom’s anxieties are being compounded by the US President’s threats to strike Iranian civilian infrastructure, his demands that Gulf states bankroll the conflict, and his increasingly disparaging remarks about Saudi leadership.

    ​Neil Quilliam, a Middle East expert and associate fellow at Chatham House, noted that Riyadh is experiencing “deep disappointment toward the White House,” a sentiment made sharper by the massive political and financial capital Saudi Arabia has invested in cementing ties with the US.

    Saudi fears have been further exacerbated by Trump’s suggestions that the responsibility for reopening the Strait of Hormuz—currently choked off by Iran—lies with other nations, hinting that he might unilaterally end the conflict without resolving the critical maritime crisis.

    ​”They are incredibly frustrated by Trump’s unilateral actions and his sheer unwillingness to consider the consequences,” Quilliam explained. “Topping it all off are his recent comments targeting the Crown Prince.”

    More at the link.

    5
  5. Jon says:

    @charontwo:

    the massive political and financial capital Saudi Arabia has invested in cementing ties with the US.

    I feel like that should read: “the massive political and financial capital Saudi Arabia has invested in cementing ties with the Trump family and regime.”

    14
  6. charontwo says:

    From link above:

    Publicly, Riyadh has condemned Iran while simultaneously urging immediate de-escalation. A full-scale regional war poses a lethal threat to the Crown Prince’s multi-trillion-dollar Vision 2030 plans, which are designed to transform the Kingdom into a global hub for trade and tourism.

    Also UAE , et. Consider this:

    Link

    For the better part of two decades, Gulf states have been executing one of the most ambitious economic transformations in modern history. The premise was straightforward: use hydrocarbons revenues to build the infrastructure, institutions, and international profile of a post-oil economy — one anchored not in what lies beneath the ground but in what passes through the region. Finance, logistics, tourism, sport, hospitality, and high-end real estate would attract the multinational firms, global capital, and international talent that oil alone could not.

    Underlying that bet was an assumption that rarely got named explicitly because it seemed self-evident: that the Gulf could offer a level of operational stability unmatched anywhere else in a volatile region. Not just physical security — though U.S. military presence provided a formidable deterrent — but the deeper stability of predictable systems. Reliable airspace. Functioning logistics chains. Insurance markets that priced Gulf risk as manageable. A business environment where a company could make a ten-year investment decision with reasonable confidence that the operating conditions would hold.

    Etc., etc.

    5
  7. charontwo says:

    @Jon:

    Another ETTD example.

    (Everything Trump touches dies).

    ETA: Why I put my brokerage accounts into defensive posture as soon as I saw the election outcome.

    3
  8. Kathy says:

    You know, I can’t build an LLM without the proprietary source code.

    TL;DR: Anthropic has issued 8,000 copyright takedown requests following the accidental exposure of the complete source code for its AI model, Claude.

    “Copyright for me but for thee!”

    Screw them.

    6
  9. becca says:

    So Trump wants to get rid of Medicare, Medicaid and SS because he needs the money for wars.
    He said so on camera yesterday…

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/news/trump-says-medicare-and-medicaid-may-not-survive-as-war-spending-takes-priority/ar-AA1ZZsz4

    The man is on a murder spree both foreign and domestic.

    6
  10. CSK says:

    The New Republic is predicting that Pam Bondi and Tulsi Gabbard are the next in line for Trump’s chopping block.

    1
  11. Kathy says:

    @CSK:

    Not that either of them has any business in a real cabinet in any country, and the same goes for Klaus Barbie, but it looks more like El Taco is getting rid of the women in his cabinet.

    6
  12. Neil Hudelson says:

    @CSK:

    Bondi’s out!

    2
  13. CSK says:

    @Kathy:

    That would be my guess, too.

    1
  14. Scott F. says:

    @Neil Hudelson:
    All that sh!t on her nose (thank you South Park for that indelible image) and in the end it wasn’t enough for the manchild. The schadenfreude is abundant on this one.

    Won’t improve the situation at DOJ one bit, though.

    3
  15. becca says:

    @Kathy: gotta get the vajayjays out of politics. Hard to overturn the 19th Amendment otherwise.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/02/us/household-vote-women.html?unlocked_article_code=1.X1A.Xmfr.keTmEs9Pd8Py&smid=url-share

    1
  16. CSK says:

    @Neil Hudelson:

    Apparently she failed to secure indictments against Trump’s political foes.

    ETA: According to MSNBC, Jeanine Pirro and Alina Habba are I the mix to replace Bondi.

    1
  17. Kathy says:

    @CSK:

    Well, it’s hard to prosecute someone who hasn’t committed a crime.

    If Habba gets the post, she may be the first attorney general who gets disbarred while in office.

    6
  18. reid says:

    @CSK: As if the blatant and unprecedented abuse of the DOJ by the president wasn’t bad enough.

    Please tell me that the accelerating insanity will result in a 400-seat majority for the Democrats next year….

    2
  19. Sleeping Dog says:

    @CSK:

    If Blondi couldn’t get indictments, how can they consider Piro? Got one indictment that the jury laughed it out of court in returning the verdict is less than an hour.

    I’m for Lyndsey the insurance lawyer.

    How is it to be home?

    2
  20. CSK says:

    @Sleeping Dog:

    Fine, thank you!

    3
  21. Kathy says:
  22. DK says:

    @Sleeping Dog:

    If Blondi couldn’t get indictments, how can they consider Piro?

    Saying they’re considering Pirro (so the shortlist includes women for PR purposes) is different from actually considering Pirro.

    2
  23. Gustopher says:

    @Kathy: The Artemis mission will take people the furthest anyone has ever been from Elon Musk.

    6
  24. Jay L. Gischer says:

    @Kathy: I think I understand well why somebody these days might make a simple judgement of “AI BAD”. I mean, there really is a whole bunch of terrible slop out there because of it. But remember, every single bit of that slop is the result of a human asking an AI to do something and then a human publishing it.

    We are the greatest slop producers the world has ever known. Pigs have nothing on us.

    AND, if there’s a good guy in the AI biz, it’s Anthropic. These were the guys who wrote into their contract with the DOD things like “don’t just use the ai to do targeting without a human signing off on them” Things that made Pete Hegseth mad, because he so very much wants to be able to blame the AI when things go wrong.

    Many other points here. They are not funded by either Thiel or Andreesen, and so they are rivals to those guys. Meanwhile, they have a better product. So T and A will (and probably already have) undoubtedly use whatever pull and/or resources they have to give Anthropic problems.

    Meanwhile, I’ve been hearing from people who know employees and I like these guys.

    Sooo, my ask is that you be more specific, not that you refrain. Just learn more about the object of your derision and focus it on the people-the individual decision makers -who really, really deserve it.

    2
  25. DK says:

    @Gustopher: Bahahaha. Omg

    1
  26. Gregory Lawrence Brown says:

    Hegseth ousts Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George
    CBS News

    1
  27. Jon says:

    @Jay L. Gischer:

    if there’s a good guy in the AI biz, it’s Anthropic

    ahhhhh ….. no. There are no good guys in the AI business and, if there were, it would for sure not be Anthropic. Being slightly less bad than Grok or OpenAI is not the same as being good.

    And good lord they’re not rivals with Thiel; they had partnered with Palantir to get Claude all throughout the DoD in the first place.

    3
  28. DK says:

    @Jay L. Gischer: Anthropic is still partnered with Thiel’s Palantir, since 2024. That alone justifies Kathy, good guys seems generous. Anthropic feigning shock at Trump admin abuse of Claude is a little like the frog/scorpion fable. Did they not know who they were crossing the river with? Or did they just not care til they were stung?

    I bank with USAA and often tell non-members who express admiration that yes, USAA’s decent… relative to the low bar of other banks. But they’re still a bank. They still do customers dirty.

    Anthropic is still bit too entangled with shady business to be given the Costco treatment this soon. Maybe later.

    3
  29. Gustopher says:

    @Jay L. Gischer:

    But remember, every single bit of that slop is the result of a human asking an AI to do something and then a human publishing it.

    Eh, you can automate those parts away.

    Scrape whatever topicality you need from trending topics or churning through a few creators and consolidating their cruft into techno-cruft.

    I think you could replace 3/4ths of the right wing outrage economy with AI — it’s all the same, you just need to know what the outrage du jour is. Gay Klingons, a Columbia student protesting Israeli genocide, woke floor patterns… whatever.

    4
  30. Gustopher says:

    @DK:

    the frog/scorpion fable.

    Consider poison dart frogs — poisonous, and brightly colored. The species as a whole does better with the individuals being more vulnerable but taking any predators with them (either killing the predator or making them sick enough to change behavior)

    The scorpion is a threat, but makes an argument about reasonability and self-interest before consigning both himself and the frog to death in the river. It’s the scorpion’s nature to sting, but it might also be the frog’s nature to take him across the river. Remove a predator that regularly kills at the cost on just one frog.

    Frogs might gather around and tell the tale, but the story is one of self-sacrifice, with a moral of “drown that fucking scorpion.”

    This doesn’t explain Anthropic, but I assume they’re either dumbasses, or were on board with it, or figured they could make a deal with the devil to do what they already wanted to do with no ill-effect — expecting that they would be RFKJr, rather than Pam Bondi.

    2
  31. Gustopher says:

    @Gregory Lawrence Brown:

    Randy George

    Ah, yes, Randy George, the pornographic variant of Curious George.

    (I suppose Bi-curious George could also be pornographic, but for a different audience)

    3
  32. JohnSF says:

    @Gustopher:

    Frogs might gather around and tell the tale, but the story is one of self-sacrifice, with a moral of “drown that fucking scorpion”.

    Eventually leading to the evolution of scorpions smart enough to kill the frogs either before or after the river crossing bit? 😉
    Or possibly a sting-immune scorpion-eating frog?

    2
  33. JohnSF says:

    @Kathy:

    …problems with MS Outlook.

    “Microsoft. Making your life more interesting.”

    3
  34. JohnSF says:

    @Gustopher:

    I think you could replace 3/4ths of the right wing outrage economy with AI

    Probably make more sense, have better grammar, AND BE LESS PRONE TO ALL CAPS!!!
    Therefore, not fooling anyone. 😉

    2